Chapter 509: The Way Out is in the East 2
"You are still a cunning politician after all, and some people say that you are a businessman, but in fact it is an insult to you. Pen & Fun & Pavilion www.biquge.info" Moltke sighed, he had to say that the prince's political skills are too powerful, using arms as bait to provoke the other party's internal friction, and in exchange for the most needed materials, this means is powerful. However, Moltke Jr. still underestimated the prince's lower .......
"And then we're going to clean up the mess again? Choose a suitable person for us to act as a surrogate? Moltke asked tentatively.
"No, no, no. They will all perish or sink, we cannot choose those who are tainted as our spokesmen, as soldiers, we can all imagine that all forces will do everything in the fight for power and land, they will use all kinds of means to oppress the people, that is, whoever wins, their hands will be full of blood, and they will always have a group of hostile forces in the country. And this hostile power may turn to post-war Russia, because we choose to support the winner, then the opponent can only choose Russia! This is very incompatible with our interests. ”
"And these people who fought out of the war have their own military team, and for a country like Russia, mastering the military is equivalent to mastering everything, which is also unnecessary for us, so we will choose a government composed of civilian people and civilian officials, and at the beginning, military protection will be provided by us! No matter how bad this government is, it will do better than the warlords did in the melee, right? The prince said with a smile.
"By the way, you said I was a businessman?" The prince suddenly remembered something. "Thank you for the reminder that we also need to analyze Russia's potential in an economic context. In this way, you will be more convinced of what I say! ”
"Russia's economy has always been in trouble, or it is difficult to say whether Russia would be in the same situation without the support of the French. The basis on which a country's income is determined is its national income, which Russia has the lowest among all countries, but it maintains a fairly large army, which in peacetime can barely be maintained by the monopoly of wine and railways, as well as all kinds of taxes, but in wartime it is different! ”
"First of all, the production and sale of alcohol as a luxury product will inevitably be affected, because these things need to be supplied to the army first, and alcohol is made from crops, and because a large number of people and livestock are requisitioned, food production will very certainly be reduced, and alcohol sales will definitely be affected. The same is true of the railway system, if a large amount of capacity is used to transport military supplies, then the income from transporting civilian goods will definitely decrease, and as the front continues to move forward, the Russians will definitely have fewer and fewer railways. ”
"Of course, there is also the problem that the Russian government does not tax a particular class of the rich! And if Russia wanted to finance their war effort, there were only two options, one was to issue paper money, and the other was to borrow money. And this will undoubtedly accelerate the collapse of Russia's already fragile economy! ”
In fact, the situation in Russia was much worse than in Germany in terms of war expenses, and the historical situation was as the prince had predicted, and the tax revenues were sharply reduced after the outbreak of the war, and if the tax revenue in 1914 was 100, then the income of Russia after 1915 would be a little more than 60 percent at most.
And in order to compensate for the growing number of military points, the Russians have nothing but the issuance of paper money in addition to borrowing! As a result, the issuance of banknotes in Russia during the war increased by 8 times compared to before the war! Gold's ability to pay has dropped from 98.2% before the war to 9.4%! The French also increased the amount of money issued by a factor of 6, while the Germans increased it by a factor of only 4. From a monetary point of view, Germany is in the best situation!
You must know that the currency at that time was linked to the precious metal reserves, and the collapse of the economy was even more fatal, when the money was not money, and the credibility of the government also collapsed with the financial system, then no matter how powerful the country was, it would not be able to recover the fate of collapse! Even Russia is economically deadlier than his transport system and national problems!
"So, you think Russia will be the first to collapse, and the key to breaking the deadlock?" Little Moltke thought for a moment and said. "Your strategy is very different from our original strategy of attacking the Western Front and flattening the Eastern Front. If you do it, what are your odds of winning? ”
"It is difficult to say that the victory on the Eastern Front is only a foundation, and the first thing that is certain is that even if the Eastern Front ends according to our vision, the resources we can obtain in a short period of time will still be limited, and how much will an already underdeveloped country have left after a war and a catastrophe? And how much can be transported to the Western Front? It is very difficult to support the war on the Eastern Front! ”
"If I were the Chief of the General Staff of the German Army, I would have tried to negotiate peace with Britain and France as soon as the fighting on the Eastern Front was over. When we consolidate our advantage through one or two limited battles, and make the other side realize that there is nothing to gain from the fight, it is time for us to stop. The prince said.
"If Britain and France can accept the realities of the Eastern Front and are willing to give up Belgium and some of the colonies, this can be considered." Moltke nodded in agreement with the prince's opinion, in his opinion, although this war to "end" all wars did not achieve its goal, but Germany benefited a lot from it, and it was time for it to end, and Germany in the future will be stronger after digesting the dividends of this war.
"If you really think so, then this war will not end, because you have put forward a condition that is simply unacceptable to the other side!" The prince shook his head, he knew that the most crucial moment of this meeting with Moltke had finally arrived! And it was also the toughest talk.
It is not difficult for Moltke Jr. to understand the situation in Germany, and it is not difficult to make Moltke believe that he is doing everything for Germany, because Moltke Jr. has subconsciously identified with the prince. Otherwise, he wouldn't have come to Munich from Berlin himself. Let Moltke realize that the Eastern Front is easier to solve than the Western Front, although there are some difficulties, but the overall difficulty is not great, because Moltke is reasonable, when you come up with enough data and examples, when you have a complete set of strategic battle system, Moltke can be convinced.
The real difficulty of this meeting was to get Moltke Jr. to give up his unrealistic illusions about war! In other words, he is too greedy, he wants too many things, and he doesn't think about whether he can eat it! Historically, Germany has also demanded peace talks, in addition to guaranteeing the fruits of victory on the Eastern Front, he also wants to obtain reparations and colonies, which the other side obviously cannot agree! And the result was that the war continued until the United States entered the .......
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