Wu Guangliang took a sip of tea and said: "Our population plan should be to plan for the future.

It takes nearly two decades for a person to start creating social value from birth.

So, I think it's important for us to plan 20 years in advance, because the demographic structure of the next 20 years is entirely determined by the current population policy.

If we don't recognize this, we risk repeating the mistakes of the past and going down the same path that that country has gone through.

The total population of 500 million should be a relatively appropriate upper limit, but at least in 20 years, it is impossible for our Huaxia Kingdom to reach such a population size.

So, let's start by setting a population target for 20 years.

For example, let's take 50 million people as our population control target for the next 20 years, and then carry out population planning around this number.

Based on the proportion of each age in the optimal age chart, if the death curve is set to start at the age of 60, the optimal number of births per year before the age of 60 is 700,000, plus or minus 10 percent.

In other words, within 20 years, we can control the number of people of each age group before the age of 60 to about 700,000.

Then, in twenty years' time, we will be able to reach a population size of 50 million, and the age structure of all populations will be close to or at the state that we have described as the optimal demographic model.

For the existing population, as long as the number of new additions by age group does not exceed 700,000, then we can increase the number of people in these age groups.

If the population of a certain age group has reached the standard value of 700,000, we need to initiate corresponding measures to raise the threshold for people in this age group to join the Chinese state, so as to prevent population peaks in this age group.

As for the annual newborn population, as long as the newborn population does not reach the standard of 700,000, we can introduce corresponding measures to stimulate fertility, and gradually remove the stimulus measures when the birth population is close to this standard, so as to ensure that the population of this age group is controlled within the standard range. ”

Wei Minsheng listened to Wu Guangliang's explanation and said: "It is a good idea to formulate a population policy based on the optimal age structure.

However, some measures may sound simple, but they can encounter unforeseen obstacles in their implementation.

For example, how do you ensure that every couple has equal reproductive rights?

If we cannot ensure that every couple has equal reproductive rights, it will inevitably destroy the fair social ecology that we have built with great difficulty, and thus induce some new social problems.

I think you need to at least come up with an effective, fair and just way to control your birth, so that we can move on to the next step. ”

Wu Guangliang said: "I think that the policy of 'late marriage, late childbearing, fewer births, and eugenics' should be integrated and added to the policy of stimulating births, and this family planning policy can be regarded as a truly effective means to solve various social problems."

If a medical examination reveals that someone has a serious genetic disorder, there is a strong chance of having a defective baby.

We should control their reproductive behavior, because if they give birth to babies with physical defects, it is a burden to their families and society, and it is also a pain for the babies themselves.

I don't think there's a problem with such a birth policy, right? ”

After the vigorous development of medical technology in recent years, the people of the Ministry of State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration have fully realized the significance of pregnancy examination, and reduced the number of babies born with abnormal development, and the results of eugenics are obvious to all.

Therefore, the people of the Ministry of State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration have expressed their agreement with the first policy proposed by Wu Guangliang.

Seeing that there was no opposition, Wu Guangliang continued: "We cannot control the number of women of childbearing age, but we can guide the childbearing time of these women of childbearing age in an orderly manner.

For example, we have a clear number of pregnant women registered in our health system, and their due dates are known, so we can at least intervene in the birth situation in the coming months.

If the number of pregnant women in a given year is close to the standard value of 700,000, we can introduce a policy that requires couples who have a family plan to delay their family planning during this period. ”

"How do we enable them to delay their birth plans as we ask?

Penalty? Confiscation of property? Or let him lose his job? “

"Economic sanctions are not a panacea, and administrative measures can also have serious sequelae.

What's more, our Huaxia country itself has a very effective guidance mechanism that has covered the integrity of all members. ”

Xiaobao said: "This integrity value corresponds to the integrity behavior of the parties in their daily lives, which is a bit unrelated to what you said, right?"

If too many policy factors are introduced into this creditworthiness value, I think it is possible to weaken the fairness of the creditworthiness value to the evaluation of individuals.

Because, if this integrity value will be affected by policy factors, it will not be able to truly reflect the person's daily behavior.

They will feel that they are unlucky, and they will encounter policy factors that affect their integrity value, which will affect others' evaluation of their true behavior.

So, I don't think it's appropriate to do that. ”

"Have you forgotten that there is another factor that can affect the value of personal integrity, social contribution points?

Women of childbearing age who delay their birth plans in accordance with our policy requirements are contributing to our social management, so it is also appropriate to reward certain social contribution points. ”

"The question is, how do we define who is delaying their family plans in response to our policy requirements.

For example, if I know that the number of pregnancies this year has reached the upper limit, and then say that they are ready to have children, regardless of whether they have a family plan or not, do we want to reward all women of childbearing age with contribution points? ”

"It's that if they do, we won't be able to define what is really a family plan, and that will obviously affect the fairness of the policy."

"If such a practice is not in violation, it will seriously damage the integrity evaluation system of our Huaxia country, because such a policy not only does not guide everyone's integrity behavior, but will become a negative guidance, and I also think it is inappropriate."

“……”

People from the Ministry of State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration have questioned Wu Guangliang's methods.

Wei Minsheng also looked at Wu Guangliang, hoping that he could find a solution, at least theoretically, that would not be problematic to prove that his policy was practical. 2k reading web