Chapter 552: Planning for the Future (2)

Wu Guangliang took a sip of tea unhurriedly and said, "With complete population information, it is not complicated for us to define this real birth plan.

Moreover, we can use administrative means to intervene in everyone's family planning.

We can further spread the number of planned births for a year to each month, and when the number of pregnant women registered in the health system has exceeded the standard value for that month for several consecutive months, we can temporarily start the registration of birth plans.

If the number of declarations and registrations is within the annual plan, the policy guidance can not be initiated.

When the number of couples who have declared and registered a birth plan exceeds the annual plan, the birth plan of some people will be directly cancelled in accordance with certain rules.

For example, in the generational replacement fertility rate we discussed earlier, the average number of births per couple in a stable society should be around 2.1.

If a couple has already had more than two children, then their family plan is the first to be cancelled.

If the number of family plans is still higher than the annual plan after the cancellation of the couple's family plan, the number of family plans can be excluded by age.

We can rank all the people who propose a family plan from highest to lowest age, and give priority to the reproductive needs of older couples.

Based on the number of family plans remaining in the year, we determine which age groups can implement family planning and which age groups need to delay family planning.

As long as either couple is within the age of the age at which the family plan can be implemented, their birth plan can be confirmed.

For couples who are asked to postpone their birth plans due to policy needs, their birth plans will be postponed until the following year.

If these people get pregnant and give birth according to the delayed birth plan, I think they can consider their birth plan to be real and can be rewarded with a certain amount of social contribution value.

If they do not conceive and give birth according to the delayed birth plan, their delayed birth plan is considered to be a sham and social contribution points will not be rewarded. ”

"What if they don't delay their birth according to the birth plan set out in the policy?"

"Population policy is related to the allocation of resources in the whole society, if they do not delay the birth plan in accordance with the policy, their behavior may have a certain impact on the stability of the whole society, and will affect the seriousness of the national policy.

Therefore, I think that such people should also be punished with a certain amount of social contribution value. ”

"I think this method is good, but now the power between men and women in Huaxia is equal, and under the influence of the task release platform, the difference between men and women in the process of engaging in social affairs is not big.

Under such circumstances, many couples with incompatible personalities have reconciled and divorced, which is also allowed by the laws of Huaxia.

According to your approach, how should you define the number of children born to such a divorced couple? ”

"Yes, if a couple already had two children before they divorced, and when they remarried, if neither of them had children, how should this be calculated?"

Wu Guangliang said: "What's wrong with this, the population system of Huaxia has clearly recorded everyone's children, and if either husband and wife have more than two children, they will naturally be considered excluded from the rules." ”

"But isn't it a bit unfair to the other party who has never had children?"

"According to the laws of Huaxia, everyone has equal reproductive rights, but in this way, how can their reproductive rights be protected?"

"Canceling their annual birth plan is not to prevent them from having children, but to prevent them from having children within this special age group.

Depending on the age structure of the population system, we can postpone their need to have children until the next year or longer.

In this way, we are not restricting their reproductive needs, but only making their fertility plans more reasonable than social management and resource allocation. ”

"But in that case, according to your previous policy, if one of the spouses has already had two children, they will be canceled in the first place.

Now that their birth plans have been canceled, how can they participate in the delay of the birth plan? ”

"If you follow such a rule, it feels a little unfair to a couple who have multiple children and no children.

But if you don't, you get a loophole where if you divorce after having two children and then remarry a childless member, you can have more children.

I fear that this will seriously undermine the equity of reproductive rights. ”

"Having two children per couple is just the minimum standard to keep the population from declining, so we actually have certain indicators that we can use to deal with such special situations," Wu said.

First of all, I think that although such behavior may exist, it is not what we want to see, and it should not become the mainstream of society.

So, we can limit this kind of behavior that society should not promote by developing some targeted policies.

For example, we could have a policy that allows one child if one of the spouses is married for the first time, as long as the number of children in the spouse reaches three combined.

If the total number of children of the spouses reaches four, it will not be included in the family plan, regardless of whether one of the spouses is married for the first time.

Reproductive rights are unfair and do not depend on a few specific circumstances.

If the reproductive rights of a small number of people are met and more people feel unfair, it will be contrary to the original purpose of our birth policy. ”

Wei Minsheng said: "Absolute fairness is difficult to achieve, we can only try to do better, plug the possible management loopholes in advance, and use administrative or economic means to guide everyone's reproductive behavior, so as to gradually optimize our population structure and form a good foundation for development." ”

Wu Guangliang continued: "In fact, our country is still in a stage of rapid population development, and we have enough time to gradually change everyone's concept of childbearing.

Since our social system can tolerate fluctuations in the number of births per year by 10 per cent more than the previous year, we may wish to formulate a population policy at this rate before we reach the upper limit of the population.

In other words, if the number of newborns this year is 10,000, next year's plan can be set at 11,000, and then gradually increase according to this ratio every year until the number of births per year reaches the level of 700,000.

By that time, our total population should have reached 50 million, and then the next stage of fertility policy will be formulated according to the population base and the land area under our rule at that time. ”