Chapter 560: Slogans and Slogans

After listening to Wu Guangliang's explanation, Xiaobao finally understood that this family planning is not a restriction of births as mentioned in these materials, but a planned arrangement of the number of births this year according to the optimal population structure curve of a mature society.

He thought for a while and said, "Brother Wu, then you can help me take a look, how many are more appropriate for our Huaxia Kingdom to control the number of births recommended by each couple at this stage?" ”

Wu Guangliang did the math on the computer and said: "Family planning can only affect the fertility situation of the population in 20 years, and even if Huaxia unifies the three kingdoms of Wei, Shu, and Wu, the optimal number of people that this region can provide should not exceed 600 million."

This is because if the population density increases, the natural purification capacity will not be able to adapt to the waste generated by human life, and the environment will slowly deteriorate.

Based on this base, we don't have to think about the upper limit of the population for each age group for at least 40 years.

Judging from the population structure of Huaxia according to the statistics of the Ministry of State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, we have more than 220,000 women of childbearing age.

In other words, if the number of children we advocate is five, it will only take more than five years for Huaxia to add nearly one million new births, with an average of nearly 200,000 new births per year.

During this five-year period, the membership of the Huaxia Kingdom will still increase rapidly, absorbing more people from the surrounding areas.

At the current rate of population absorption in Huaxia, in five years, the number of people we will absorb from the outside will reach at least two million.

Therefore, more women will become women of childbearing age, and at least more than 400,000 women of childbearing age will be added in five years.

Under such circumstances, the new population of Huaxia can still maintain the size of 200,000 to 400,000 per year after five years.

Therefore, there is no problem at all with the combined effect of the new population and the foreign population, and the population growth rate of the total population triples every five years.

As long as the Huaxia Kingdom does not stop the pace of expansion, in ten years, the total population of the Huaxia Kingdom will be close to 10 million.

In 20 years, the total population of Huaxia will reach the level of 50 million.

If there are fewer than five, the total population will be just over 40 million in 20 years.

If it is higher than five, the total population will exceed 60 million in 20 years.

After the population size reaches 50 million, even if the number of people absorbed from outside decreases sharply, the total population of Huaxia will reach nearly 300 million within 50 years.

Such a large population size will bring huge challenges to the infrastructure construction and social management of our country.

According to the calculation results of this model, I suggest that before the total population of Huaxia reaches 50 million, the optimal recommended number of children per couple is five.

After reaching 50 million, the population policy of Huaxia should be revised in a timely manner, and the population growth rate should be gradually slowed down, so that the development of the population can coexist in harmony with nature and achieve a balance. ”

"What you mean is that we now have a total population of 50 million as the first stage of development goals, and before we reach this development goal, our birth policy can be 'universal four-child population, five-child control, and six-child punishment'.

When the total population reaches 50 million, the population and fertility policy should be adjusted to 'universal three-child policy.' Control four children, punish five children'? ”

"That's probably what it means, the adjustment of the birth policy depends on how much population our land in China can carry without causing environmental degradation.

When the population size reaches the upper limit, the birth policy can be adjusted to 'universal second child, control third child, and punish fourth child'.

If the social population tends to stabilize and the number of births plays a decisive role in the increase or decrease of the population size, as long as it is found that the number of newborns in that year is lower than the optimal age structure line, the birth policy can even be temporarily adjusted to 'popularize one child, reward two children, and control three children'.

In any case, no matter how the number of women of childbearing age changes, we only need to formulate the most appropriate birth policy according to this age structure line, and we will establish a perfect socio-demographic structure in 50 years. ”

"You mean, I don't have to think about the slogans and slogans that Master found for me?"

"Slogans and slogans are not suitable for us in Huaxia.

Because at the time of the founding of that country, the entire country was illiterate.

Moreover, due to the country's large territory, it takes five or six hours to fly non-stop from east to west by taking the fastest plane in China.

In addition, due to the extremely dispersed population due to the land policy, there was no information network platform covering all members at the beginning of the founding of the country.

Due to the lack of support from the information platform, it is difficult to grasp the specific living and working conditions of all individuals at the national level.

They can only obtain the information of the grassroots people through the way of reporting by management organizations at all levels, and the efficiency of such information dissemination is very low, and errors may occur due to human factors.

Because the accuracy and timeliness of information play a key role in decision-making, such inaccurate and untimely information can make decision-makers hesitate.

Because one wrong decision has the potential to bring disaster to such a huge country.

In addition, the communication of policies can only be through such inefficient channels, so people in that country will feel that the country's policies will always be a few beats slower and miss a lot of opportunities.

If this management system is not changed, even if it is a correct decision, the effect of the decision will be weakened due to the incorrect timing of implementation, and even the opposite effect will be brought about, and new problems will arise.

In that special environment, it is very difficult to implement the above policies, because those complicated terms and regulations are incomprehensible to most ordinary people.

As a result, those managers at the grassroots level can only compile complex terms and regulations into one or two simple, easy-to-talk and easy-to-remember slogans and slogans as a means of publicizing important state policies, and there is no way to do so.

But our Huaxia Kingdom is different, if you want to become a full member of Huaxia Kingdom, you must be able to understand the most basic words.

Such a policy meant that every official member of the family of the Huaxia Kingdom had at least one person with the ability to read simply.

In addition, the residence of our Huaxia country is very concentrated, and the information network completely covers the vast majority of the resident population, and even each registered member has a unique personal account.

Therefore, any decision of the Ministry of State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration can be easily and quickly communicated to every family and even every member.

The use of such simple slogans and slogans to publicize the policy may create ambiguity and affect the correct implementation of the policy. ”