Chapter 540: Guessing and Extrapolating 1

However, the huge risk also portends a huge benefit, and the Kaiser's promise that Bavaria can expand its army by one more army is relatively stable, first of all, this is what the German emperor meant. Pen × fun × Pavilion www. biquge。 info It is impossible for him not to lie to a state. Secondly, Moltke's ascension is a foregone conclusion, and Moltke Jr. must hope that Bavaria can play a greater role in the future war, and neither the German government nor the German military will hinder the force, so this matter is still very stable!

One army at a time, directly expand the scale of more than 40,000 people! And I didn't say what kind of army was built, and the Prussian government was willing to bear half of the military expenses, which is a good thing that is difficult to find with a lantern! In fact, Prussia is not at a loss, because on the eastern front against Russia, it is impossible to only let Bavaria send troops, Prussia must also invest a considerable part of the distance, and if there are more Bavarians, then Prussia will invest less. As for talking about submarines? The prince wanted to give the British a better taste of the power of this epoch-making weapon!

What the prince meant was that before the war, Germany should have at least 100 submarines, of which more than 60 should be suitable for movement in the Atlantic Ocean with a displacement of about 700 tons! Putting enormous pressure on the UK's sea lines of communication at the very beginning! For his own sake and for the sake of Germany, the prince had to think carefully about how the Japanese would start this war!

Needless to say, the Japanese will definitely start the game by sneak attack, and look at the history of Japan's foreign wars. When did Japan declare war first and then move? How could Japan, which had tasted the sweetness of a sneak attack and had no morals to speak of, abandon this method? The only problem now is that Japan will not be able to contain Russia by preemptively blockading Arthur as it has done historically. The reason is simple, the situation has changed, and the attack on Arthur will not serve the purpose of sealing off most of the Russian fleet.

But one thing is certain, the first step for the Japanese will still be at sea! Because Japan is an island country, if they can't control or severely damage the opponent's navy in the first place, then let alone transport troops to the mainland, they can't even solve their own security problems! So, the Japanese will definitely still do it at sea.

Why did the Japanese attack Lushun in history? The fundamental reason is that there are 7 Russian battleships in Port Arthur, which is the essence of the Russian First Pacific Fleet! Locking them in the harbor was equivalent to controlling more than 70% of the combat strength of the Russian Navy, and the three armored cruisers in Vladivostok did cause some trouble for the Japanese, but it was only trouble. Although the Japanese suffered heavy losses, they destroyed more than a dozen transport ships, killed more than 3,000 troops and lost several 280mm heavy guns. However, the impact on the overall situation was limited, and Uemura still seized the opportunity to directly inflict heavy damage on Essen's cruiser fleet, thus solving the security problem of Japan's sea lines of communication. Then the Japanese Navy could continue to blockade the main forces of the Russian fleet in Arthur.

But now the situation is different, the four most elite battleships of the Russians Rurik 2 are deployed in Vladivostok, this is a strong mobile force, if the two sides meet, it is doubtful whether the Japanese armored cruiser formation can beat the four Rurik 2 when all sorties. And even more fatally, the Baltic Fleet advanced eastward, and they would enter the Far East before the war began in history, which shows that the Russians prepared for war much faster than in history, and in this regard, American financial and industrial support contributed .......

If the Japanese Navy had waited until the 6 battleships and 2 armored cruisers led by Makanov were in place, the situation would have been terrible! 8 capital ships plus 4 in Port Arthur are 12, the Japanese Combined Fleet is 14 together, and there are 4 formidable Rurik 2-tier battleships waiting for an opportunity to stab in the back. The Americans may have to temporarily strengthen the Russians before the start of the war. If everything in the war develops in the direction planned by the United States and Russia, then the Japanese have no chance of winning at sea! And if the naval battle is lost, then there is no need to fight the Russo-Japanese War .......

Even if the Americans did not give the Russian Navy an additional "meal" if the main Japanese fleet was attracted to Arthur and Vladivostok, then those attack ships cruising on the sea in advance would still cause considerable trouble for Japan's sea transportation, do not forget that in this plane, the Philippines is a Japanese colony, and the scope of sea transportation has been expanded several times! Therefore, the prince concluded that Japan would never give the Russian fleet time to concentrate!

And if they wanted to stop this from happening, the Japanese would have to eat some of it at the beginning of the war. So, which part to eat? Is it 4 battleships in Port Arthur, or 4 Rurik 2-class battleships in Vladivostok? Or a support fleet that traveled from Europe to the Far East? First of all, the four old battleships in Port Arthur are excluded first, because half of these four battleships are moving in the Yellow Sea and the northern part of the East China Sea, which is very close to Port Arthur, and they can quickly retract back to the port once the situation is not good, and these four battleships are relatively old, and the significance of annihilation is limited. It is not very likely that the Japanese will move them!

Then there are the four Rurik 2 battleships in Vladivostok, which are quite active in normal times, often forming groups to hang around the Sea of Japan and the eastern coast of Japan. In the first half of this year, I visited the DPRK, and from time to time I met with their predecessor ship, the Asama-class armored cruiser, and chatted about something. It can be said that before the Makanov fleet advanced eastward, these 4 Rurik-class battleships were definitely the battleships that the Japanese hated so much that they gritted their teeth and wanted to destroy the most! But the prince concluded that if the Japanese wanted to deal with this fleet, they would probably put it last!

The reason is simple, these 4 battleships are too difficult to deal with! Ship speed, these newly launched battleships can run at a limit speed of 22 knots, which can completely throw off all the capital ships of Japan, including the Asama-class armored cruisers (the Asama-class cruisers have been in service for many years after all), coupled with the large endurance, it completely adheres to the design concept that I can not beat you, but you will definitely not be able to grasp me. If you don't have an absolutely superior force to encircle, chase and intercept, you can't even think about it. If you just use the cruiser formation, you don't know who will fight whom......

Then the only possibility is the Russian Baltic Fleet led by Makanov! First of all, this fleet is strong enough, and once destroyed, it is equivalent to killing half of Russia's fighting forces! Secondly, the speed of this fleet is not very high, and after a long voyage they will be even more slow! The Japanese could choose any point on the long route from the South China Sea to Arthur to intercept it, and if the Japanese wanted to intercept the attack, then it would be impossible for the Makanov fleet to dodge! The British and Japanese camouflaged reconnaissance ships were enough to keep an eye on this fleet!

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