Although he already had a general understanding, Yunlong's question really stumped Wang Dong.

When is "appropriate"?

Karim defeated, or Lazak defeated?

Obviously, neither!

In order for Karim to be defeated, the United States must make its position clear as soon as possible, otherwise Karim may exist for a long time with the support of Iran.

Let Razak be defeated, that would be even more impossible, because that would mean making Iran the hegemon of the Middle East.

Could it be......

The sudden thought startled Wang Dong.

"Looks like you've thought of it."

"You mean ......"

"Yes, you did. Regardless of the fact that the United States has always regarded us as the number one enemy and tried every means to bring us down, even at the expense of making temporary peace with Russia, and even indulging Iran, as far as the future situation in Iraq is concerned, the United States and our position are the same, that is, we must keep Iraq's legal securities no matter what, and not legitimize Karim, who came to power through a coup d'état. ”

"It's just that we have a different starting point from the United States."

"What does it matter? You're not wrong when you say that we are in economic interests, and the United States is primarily in political and diplomatic interests. Although the ends are different, the means to achieve the ends are the same. It can be said that keeping the Razak regime and ensuring the legitimacy of the Razak regime is the bottom line of the United States. As long as we understand this issue, we can find a way to bring the civil war in Iraq to an end as soon as possible. ”

Wang Dong frowned, pondered for a while, and then said: "Through our efforts, we can achieve the goal as soon as possible, or let this means play its value?" ”

"That's right."

It was only then that Wang Dong fully understood.

Obviously, at this juncture, China is working in this direction by providing advanced weapons and equipment to Saudi Arabia through Pakistan.

To put it bluntly, it is to let the Razak regime regain its strength as soon as possible and gain the strength to compete with the Karim regime.

It's just that there is obviously a little bit of unreasonableness in this.

Will the civil war end after the balance of power between the two sides?

If a stalemate is formed, the civil war will continue!

Thinking of this, Wang Dong looked at Yunlong.

"Looks like you still haven't figured it out."

"Can you tell me?"

Yunlong smiled faintly and said: "That's right, with the support of Saudi Arabia, the Razak regime will gain strength enough to compete with the Karim regime, and the civil war will enter a stalemate stage." Only, what are the implications? You know, before that, the war in Iraq had been going on for more than a decade. Even after the global financial crisis, international oil prices did not skyrocket because of the war in Iraq. In fact, it was during the war in Iraq that international oil prices fell to the bottom. Why? It's very simple, because everyone is used to it. Oil prices have skyrocketed because of the Iraqi civil war, and there are many unseen factors, including speculation. If everyone finds out that this is the case, can oil prices still rise? ”

Wang Dong was slightly stunned and couldn't help but smile bitterly.

Listen to it, it's really like that.

In addition to speculation, international oil prices are also led to panic about the situation getting out of control, that is, the fear that the civil war in Iraq will hit the oil production of Saudi Arabia, Iran and other countries hard, and if the result is not like that, then the resulting panic will disappear.

"There's another factor that has to be taken into account."

"What?"

"Kurds."

Wang Dong's brows jumped a few times, but he didn't speak, waiting for Yunlong to continue.

"Although the Kurds are still on the battlefield to this day, they will inevitably send troops to fight at some point for their own benefit. Let's not forget, the Kurds have been seeking to create their own state, and it involves the four surrounding countries. After the civil war entered a stalemate, the Kurds inevitably took the opportunity to attack. When the time comes, whoever promises the Kurds to establish a state will be able to gain the support of the Kurds. ”

"You mean ......"

"Obviously, the Kurds are a force to be reckoned with. Even if it is not comparable to Iran, Saudi Arabia and other countries, it will definitely be able to break the deadlock. ”

Wang Dong nodded and said: "Such a situation is obviously not what Iran wants to see, so the Karim regime will definitely not compromise with the Kurds." ”

"The Razak regime may not, at least Saudi Arabia and other Arab League countries are more gentle on the Kurds."

"The problem is that even with the support of the Kurds, Razak may not be able to achieve the final victory."

"Do you need it?"

"This ......"

"Don't forget, Turkey is also haunted by the Kurds."

"What?"

"If you really want to get to this point, Turkey will jump out first. You know, the main enemy of the Kurdish nation-building movement is Turkey. The problem is that the United States will never allow the Iranian-backed Karim regime to dominate Iraq, and it will inevitably defend the Razak regime. In the end, that is, after entering the stalemate phase, the United States will realize that there is no better option than to end the civil war immediately. ”

Now, Wang Dong understood.

This is true, and mediation cannot wait for an impasse to arise, but must be done before that so that the situation does not spiral out of control.

After the change of position of the United States, the Iraqi civil war could not be fought.

Moreover, in order to curb the Kurdish ambitions, Iran will inevitably put pressure on the Karim regime to reconcile with Razak.

At that time, the key will be the position of Razak, or Saudi Arabia and other Arab League countries.

Obviously, the Saudis must be made to see the bigger picture.

With the main supporters of both sides withdrawing, Karim and Razak will have to sit down and negotiate.

From this perspective, the Iraqi civil war is likely to end with peace talks, and Razak and Karim will form a new coalition government.

In order to prevent the Kurds from making trouble, the Kurds will be invited anyway.

As a result, after a big circle, the country was beaten to pieces, and in the end it had to return to the era of Said, forming a three-legged situation.

It's just that Iraq at that time, or Iraq at the time of Said?

Definitely not!

Thinking of this, Wang Dong couldn't help but sigh, and he also felt extremely lucky, because such a disaster happened in Iraq, not China.

Of course, it's too early to say the end.

"I have contacted Xie Chuyue and he will send the trainees back in the next few days. If there is nothing important, you stay in Riyadh. ”

Wang Dong nodded and agreed, because everyone else was in Iraq, so he could only serve as an instructor.

Actually, it's just organizing training.

"Of course, if you have time, contact the crown prince more. Truth be told, from the perspective of the moment, Saudi Arabia will be the biggest uncertaintie. ”

"Four, didn't you push me into the fire pit?"

Yunlong smiled and said, "Don't worry, in that matter, your attitude is the most important, if you don't agree, the crown prince will not be reluctant." ”

"Isn't it?"

"You think I'm going to lie to you?"

Wang Dong looked at Yunlong carefully, he really felt that Yunlong was lying to him.