Chapter 470: The General Trend

"Just yesterday, an Iranian intelligence officer who traveled to Russia as a diplomat had a secret meeting with a U.S. intelligence officer in St. Petersburg. It is not known what they discussed, but it was the highest-level secret meeting between the two intelligence agencies to date after the two countries severed diplomatic relations. A few hours earlier, Iran had announced that it was complying with United Nations resolutions and imposing an oil embargo on North Korea with immediate effect. ”

"Are these two things related?"

Yunlong nodded and said, "The price offered by the United States must be more than that, so it can be seen as a gesture of goodwill by Iran." According to our judgment, the United States will definitely want Iran to stop supporting anti-Israel organizations, and will even ask Iran to provide the whereabouts of some key figures. ”

"Iran will agree?"

"Iran has no choice but to gain the acquiescence of the United States. Of course, no, we will find out in a few days. ”

"If this is the case, there will be no suspense for Iran to send troops."

"The basic conditions are in place, but there is still a lack of an east wind."

"What?"

"A good reason."

Wang Dong was slightly stunned, and then nodded, indicating that he understood what Yunlong meant.

Russia's support and the acquiescence of the United States are all necessary conditions for Iran to send troops to the war, and the last necessary condition is the casus belli.

"To be honest, the Iraqi civil war has developed to this point beyond all of our expectations."

When Yunlong said this, Wang Dong couldn't help but talk.

"We have been working hard and working towards peace. As far as I know, the old man has met with Iranian intelligence officials at least five times, and has offered attractive enough prices, such as helping Iran with infrastructure, offering tens of billions of dollars in subsidized loans, and even hinting that he will not sell Saudi Arabia better fighter jets than J-10Cs within a decade, but with little effect. ”

"In any case, Iran is more focused on relations with Russia."

"Actually, this also reflects our problem in diplomacy, that is, when it comes to major international events, we have too few diplomatic means at our disposal." Yun Long smiled bitterly and sighed, and then said, "Of course, this series of events means that our efforts for peace are about to come to naught. ”

Wang Dong's brows jumped a few times, and he heard another meaning of Yunlong's words.

"Right now, we don't see any possibility that the Iraqi civil war will end as soon as possible. Believe it or not, this civil war will last for a long time. ”

"Perhaps, it's just that our efforts are not enough."

"What do you think?"

Wang Dong didn't say anything, this was just his good expectation.

"If the civil war in Iraq continues, how can we safeguard our interests?"

Wang Dong didn't answer because Yunlong didn't ask for his opinion.

"It's clear that there are now two distinct camps. The United States, European countries led by the United Kingdom, Russia and Iran all want the civil war in Iraq to continue, because it will bring them more benefits, even if only in the immediate future. We, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the Arab League countries with close ties to Saudi Arabia are on the other side, at least on the way to victory. ”

When Yunlong said this, Wang Dong knew it in his heart.

If this civil war cannot be ended peacefully, then one of the sides can only win as soon as possible.

The question is, is it easy?

"Obviously, you must have thought of it."

Wang Dong was slightly stunned, and then found that Yunlong had guessed his thoughts.

"Yes, if it really can, then helping the Razak regime defeat the Karim regime can indeed bring an end to the Iraqi civil war. It is a pity that with the current situation, especially when Iran is already preparing for war, this is almost an impossible task. ”

"Not necessarily."

"Do you think it can be done?"

Wang Dong hesitated for a moment before he said: "If Saudi Arabia and other countries are willing to invest, they may be able to eliminate the Karim regime before Iran is ready for war." ”

"Iran has prepared its war gear."

"What?"

"Let's not forget that the Revolutionary Guards have entered Iraq to fight as rebels, and Iran has also provided some assistance to the Karim regime, such as the anti-aircraft search radar used to guide the FD2000. According to the intelligence we have, Iran has begun to supply the rebels with main battle equipment. Although Iran has not officially entered the war, it does not mean that it is not prepared, and it does not mean that it needs to spend more time to prepare. In fact, as long as the tide of war turns against Karim, Iran can send 100,000 troops into Iraq at any time. When the time comes, even if there is not enough air cover, the rebels will be able to withstand the government forces and the coalition forces with the full support of Iran. ”

Yunlong shook his head with a wry smile and lit a cigarette.

"As for the Saudi Arabia and other countries you are counting on, even if you go all out, you may not be able to change anything. Let's not forget that the armies of these countries can't even defeat the Houthis in Yemen. To put it mildly, if it weren't for you, I'm afraid the Arab coalition would have been driven out of Iraq by the rebels. ”

"So what to do?"

"yes, what should I do?"

Wang Dong rolled his eyes, he hated Yunlong selling Guan Zi the most.

"First of all, our goal is to end the civil war in Iraq as soon as possible, right?"

"Fourth Brother ......"

"There is no way to make peace, it is not realistic to help Lazak take out Karim, and it is even more impossible to abandon Lazak, so what should be done?" Yunlong smiled faintly and said, "From this fixed point of view, we really don't have much to do, and we can even say that we are helpless. Only, what about our opponents? Could it be that they can go on forever? Don't forget, those countries are at odds with each other. ”

"What?"

"Will the United States reconcile with Russia? Let's not forget that the situation in Ukraine is not improving at all, and the United States has no reason to relax its suppression of Russia. This is especially true of the relationship between the United States and Iran, which can indulge Iran for the sake of immediate interests, but will never let Iran sit on the throne. If Iran helps the Karim regime win the civil war, and Karim thus rules Iraq, Iran will undoubtedly become the hegemon of the Middle East. ”

"You mean ......"

"It may be many years from now, but as soon as Iran's hegemony is recognized, the circle of Middle East allies that the United States has painstakingly managed will fall apart." The first is Syria, where the Assad regime has a good chance of unifying the country. In the future, Turkey is likely to reconcile with Iran, because with Iran's cooperation, it can more effectively fight against Kurdish separatist groups. Then, it was Israel's turn. ”

"Therefore, the United States will change its position in due course?"

"Clever, you've finally figured it out. So, when is it 'appropriate'? ”