121 Chaos (1)

Engels once said, "Once there is a technical need in society, this need will push science forward more than ten universities." "The Great Depression was a time when the demand for economic technology was unprecedentedly strong, and many of the doctrines that continue to have great influence in the 21st century were completed during this period.

The Stalin model, the fascist model, the Roosevelt New Deal in the United States, and even the Chinese model. Four of the world's major countries have completed their own responses. Research into these models and corresponding economic explanations have emerged.

China's influence on the frontier of the world is relatively small, at least in the North Atlantic Economic Circle. But that's just for the average person. Limited by the current situation of the society and the information channels in which they live, the collection and understanding of intelligence information by ordinary people and even ordinary scholars are quite limited. But among first-class talent, the perception of the "China model" is quite different.

US President Franklin D. Roosevelt paid great attention to the Chinese model, although many people advised the leaders of the world's largest industrial power, including the famous economist John Maynard Keynes.

While both classical and neoclassical economists favored laissez-faire economic policies, Keynes opposed these and advocated direct state intervention in the economy. He argued for the need for direct state intervention in the economy, and put forward more specific goals; His idea of fiscal policy and monetary policy as the core later became the core of the entire macroeconomics, and it can even be said that the macroeconomics of Europe and the United States were all based on Keynes's "General Theory".

But the "China model" led by Chen Ke is still very different from Keynes. As one of the practitioners of Marxism, Chen Ke's China does not focus on "fiscal policy and monetary policy", but on the development of productive forces, the removal of trade barriers, and the realization of an industrial system of socialized transactions. For Roosevelt, the Chinese model was actually more to his liking.

Of course, Roosevelt was not a socialist, much less a communist. Roosevelt, of course, took a clear-cut stand against the complete abolition of the "private ownership of capital." If Roosevelt dared to support the opposition to private ownership of capital, I am afraid that he would have been shot by a "nervous patient" long ago. But Roosevelt drew much of the practice from the "China model."

What Roosevelt didn't know was that the "China model" promoted by Chen Ke also drew a lot of practical methods from the "Roosevelt's New Deal". It's just that the "China model" predates Roosevelt's New Deal, and Roosevelt will naturally fully borrow some of the effective content of the People's Party.

Because of this, Roosevelt was hesitant to go to war with China. Even after being ridiculed by China's "The Legend of the Demon of Maoshan", Roosevelt's distant cousin, President Roosevelt, was fiercely compared to the "alchemist lich", but Roosevelt himself really didn't care much about this. "The Legend of Maoshan Demon" looks like something written by the ruling class, and the powerful "evil" forces are not evil for the sake of evil, but follow their own path for the sake of profit. Knowing that the script of "The Legend of Maoshan Demon" was written by Chen Ke himself, Roosevelt didn't even feel angry, and he even admired Chen Ke's talent. Wolves eat meat, dogs eat, and being able to write a script based on interests should itself be the strength of a ruler.

In reality, a Chinese leader who understands where his interests lie is very difficult to deal with. Roosevelt had to take into account the danger of a war with China. From the point of view of interests, Germany is much more dangerous than China. The North Atlantic Economic Circle was the essence of the world economy in 1939, and Germany, which became the hegemon of Europe, posed a far greater threat to the United States than China. It doesn't take much effort to think about it. The question is, what about after Germany is settled?

China, which controls the entire western Pacific, will face off against the United States across the Pacific Ocean, even if the United States has the Philippines as a base in Asia. Surrounded by China's navy and air force, stationing the US Pacific Fleet in the Philippines is just a rhythm of delivering meat to the door. Roosevelt was a law school graduate and became Undersecretary of the Navy in 1913. Roosevelt, of course, was well aware of the difficulty of a naval battle of unprecedented scale in the Pacific and China. At the same time, Roosevelt was well aware of how difficult it would be for the United States to try to drive China back into Northeast Asia after China had occupied the entire western Pacific.

The most important thing is that the American people simply do not want an unprecedented war in the Far East, a war that has never been invested before, and the outcome is simply unpredictable. With a kind of egoistic rage, Roosevelt thought that it would be nice if China took the initiative to attack the US Pacific Fleet!

The problem is that China simply does not have such a move, and the American fleet is not without going to "play soy sauce". While the Chinese fleet was heading south, the U.S. Pacific Fleet also sent troops to the tail line. As a result, the Chinese Navy took a blind attitude towards the American fleet. Roosevelt never cared about making up lies, and as a politician, making up lies was one of the most basic abilities. The Philippines, where the United States and the West now have a foothold in the Western Pacific, won the Spanish-American War. The Spanish-American War was originally a war built on lies.

The brutal repression of the Cuban insurgents by the Spanish army endangered the economic interests of American capitalists in the region. On February 15, 1898, the USS Maine, a warship sent by the United States to Cuba to protect overseas Chinese, exploded in the port of Havana, and the United States used this incident as a pretext to take military action against Spain on April 25.

Roosevelt knew better than anyone how the "Maine" exploded, and they would not dare to do so if the Spaniards were given ten dares. The Americans cleverly let the "Maine" explode, and then this became an excuse.

Roosevelt would have liked to have been able to "replicate" the Maine incident if it had been possible. If it weren't for the Republican Party's obstruction, Roosevelt would have implemented this plan long ago. In the upcoming U.S. election, the Republican Party hated Roosevelt's New Deal, which vigorously expanded the power of the federal government, suppressed the power of states and states, and allowed the establishment of labor unions and the implementation of pension insurance. So the Republican Party in the United States will never allow Roosevelt to drag the United States into a world war. Once in a wartime system, Roosevelt was bound to gain more power, and the Republican Party was very close to any possibility that could trigger a foreign war in the United States.

The fact that the US Pacific Fleet followed the Chinese fleet to the south has set off a great storm in the United States under the propaganda of the Republican Party. The Republican Party accused Roosevelt of deliberately triggering a war and dragging the United States into a war in Asia. Even though the Republicans are extremely reluctant to see China, they still question in Congress, "If the U.S. fleet appears in the waters where China is at war with Britain and the Netherlands, and then God knows who fires a cannonball at the U.S. fleet, will President Roosevelt immediately declare war on China?" ”

Everyone is a politician, who doesn't know how this trick is played? The Republican Party preemptively nipt in the bud Roosevelt's possible tricks. After the Republicans raised the issue, the US Congress, after several discussions, simply put forward a bill demanding that the US Pacific Fleet not intervene in the war between China and Britain in any situation. Even if there is an attack, Congress needs to investigate it.

The Chinese ambassador to the United States soon received the news that all units in the United States in China should work hard to hold back the United States and prevent the United States from participating in the war in the Western Pacific. In intelligence work, there is a lot of use for these things.

In some tabloids trying to attract attention for a living, some "stories" soon appeared. Stories of the German-American War, including the British Navy disguised as the German Navy and the Chinese Navy attacking the American fleet in an attempt to provoke the Sino-American War, quickly became popular. The American people, isolated from the upper echelons, love "rumors" far more than they desire the truth. Even if these short stories are written in the eyes of experts, they are not what the people want to know or understand, as long as they can make the American people feel that they are in line with their own understanding thinking, then the American people would rather believe these stories.

"The whole point of writing a story is to enjoy it! Be sure to hear it! And let the people feel that they have the ability to discern and be able to see through all kinds of lies from above! "The Chinese intelligence agencies in the United States have made a very correct judgment on this.

So the first version of the story started with a flat and straightforward narrative, pointing to some simple conspiracy. As the appetite and attention of the American people began to focus on these aspects, the story began to escalate, and various layers of nested conspiracies began to appear, including espionage, negative agent, spy and other conspiracy stories began to appear more in the American cultural market.

China's intelligence warfare apparatus does not have the kind of department that directly pies on foreign classified intelligence, and Chen Ke has always believed that such methods are of little use in industrialized societies. In particular, a powerful industrial country like China can solve the enemy by force alone, as long as it does not make mistakes on its own. Spies have no human rights, and it is the norm to be executed immediately after being caught. However, a person who collects various economic information and cultural and social trends can be said to be a spy, but it cannot be classified as a spy. For example, China collects all kinds of economic data published by the United States or other countries, and also collects and investigates some of the economic data of the United States or other countries. At best, it is the treatment of deportation.

As long as it does not involve the danger of life, you can trust the loyalty of your comrades. What's more, China can openly ask the United States or other countries for these personnel. There are many rescue methods and rescue channels. Conspiracy will always prevail over conspiracy.

Therefore, the writing of articles by Chinese intelligence agencies is one of the abilities of eating, and third-rate and even fourth-rate tabloids have a great demand for these articles. Seeing such articles selling well, newspapers and magazines in the United States followed suit. Various views that "the war between China and the United States was a British conspiracy" and "the German-American war was a British conspiracy" soon became popular in the United States.

The Republican Party has "public opinion" from the people, and its attitude of questioning Roosevelt has become more intense. Roosevelt, a white-haired old fox, naturally knew how to advance and retreat, and he understood that it was unrealistic to drag the United States into war with small frictions in the short term.

Of course, the British side noticed this kind of thing, and Roosevelt did not say anything about it officially, but in fact he had many private communications with the British on many occasions. The president, who was in a wheelchair, said several times that the United States would not lean towards Germany if Britain went to war with Germany. Of course, the British side also noticed that the United States never spat out one thing, that is, the United States did not join the Axis alliance formed by Germany and Italy. Just because China does not engage in secret espionage work in the United States does not mean that Britain does not engage in secret espionage work in the United States.

British intelligence agencies have obtained relatively reliable information, and the United States has drawn up various military plans to annex Canada. In history, the United States once attacked Canada, but it was reversed by the United Kingdom, and even burned down the office of the president of the United States. It's just that at this time and that time, if the United States joins forces with Germany, Britain will definitely have no good fruit to eat.

Even if the United States does not join forces with Germany, but does what China is doing now, it will attack Britain alone. Britain's simultaneous confrontation with the United States and China is beyond Britain's ability to bear. In this case, Britain can only be anxious. In order to be able to deter the United States, Britain can only adopt a method that can only be implemented by a boss, and in order to save the face that has been lost, the boss must personally go into battle and use his strength to prove that the boss has enough power to deter the field.

In June 1939, British Admiral Winston Churchill, who was in India, commanded a fleet of eight battleships and eight heavy cruisers, and began to approach the Chinese-controlled Kra region.

Zhu Yao, the former commander of the Kra Military Region, has now returned to his profession and has become the commander of the Indian Ocean Fleet of the People's Navy, and the Kra Military Region has become a part of the Malayan Military Region, with Pu Guanshui as the commander of the Military Region and Comrade Li Runshi, vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, as the political commissar of the Military Region.

Zhu Yao's attitude is very "conservative", given China's poor hydrological data in the Indian Ocean, and the relatively strong wind and waves in the Indian Ocean, which is not very suitable for aircraft carrier operations. At Zhu Yao's suggestion, the Indian Ocean Fleet is a combat cluster with "air-submarine fast" as the core. After Zhu Yao obtained a large number of new combat ships, his first battle plan was to seize the Andaman Islands in India and then march into Ceylon, that is, Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka was called "Lanka" in ancient times (Chinese transliteration of Ranga), and ancient Chinese books called it the country of Shizi and the country of Sinhala. In the new China, Sri Lanka is mostly called Ceylon or Sinhala. Although Sri Lanka was already a British colony, China clearly did not see it that way.

If Ceylon can be liberated, China will be able to gain a strong support point in the Indian Ocean. India's idea of the army is not to be feared at all, and in terms of air force, China has the upper hand in all aspects. The Ceylon-based navy could strike the British navy in the Indian Ocean at any time, and if the British fleet in the Indian Ocean was eliminated, China could even directly resume oil trade with the oil-producing regions of the Middle East. After the Sino-British war, oil supplies from the Middle East were cut off.

Obviously, Churchill also recognized the situation, and China's canal excavation in the Kra Isthmus region was not stopped at all, not only did it not stop, but China also hired more than 100,000 Japanese laborers from Japan to participate in the construction of the Kra Canal. There are now more than 280,000 workers working on the entire site. According to the calculation of one cubic meter of earth and stone per person a day, including the excavation of the mountain, it will take at most a year to dig the last section of the canal. At that time, the Chinese fleet was able to rush into the Indian Ocean through the Strait of Malacca, the Kra Canal, and the Sunda Strait, and the British simply did not have enough forces to monitor and blockade all three shipping lanes at the same time. In order to reverse this situation, the first step is to seize the Kra region, and threaten China's Lao Province and the newly seized Malaya region from the Thai region.

Churchill was not a fool, and as a British hardliner against Germany, he knew very well that Germany was now going to attack Poland. After the signing of the Soviet-German non-aggression pact, Germany was given a pass to Poland. The reason why Germany has not yet made a move, is just waiting for Britain to transport troops to India. Churchill was well aware that at the same time as Britain suffered a defeat in the Indian Ocean, Germany would act against Poland.

But the country of Poland was more strange than Churchill could have imagined, as far as he could have gotten. Ever since Poland joined Britain's "Allied Powers" camp against China, the Poles felt that Britain, which had the backing of the country, had adopted an extremely tough strategy in the face of Germany, which was eyeing Germany. Not only did Poland deploy hundreds of thousands of troops on the Polish-German border, but Poland also drew up a military plan to attack Germany on its own initiative. Its goal was the annexation of "East Prussia".

The propaganda machine in Poland was in full swing, shouting "The glory of 1410 is restored." "In 1410, a major battle broke out between the Knightly States and the Polish-Lithuanian alliance near Tannenburg. The Teutonic Knights were defeated in this battle, and since then they have lost a series of lands in Poland, and finally only Prussia has been retained. Since then, the United Kingdom of Poland and Lithuania has embarked on the road of "Pingduzhenlu" to dominate Central Europe. At one time, a vast state between the Baltic and the Black Sea was created.

Churchill had read a lot of news about China, and after Poland declared war on China, China wrote a lot about Poland, and there was a joking article in which he once introduced Poland in detail, and called Poland "Pingduzhen Lu Dabobo".

Since he was not from southern China, Churchill certainly did not understand what the big wave meant. Moreover, Churchill did not want to become an expert in Chinese Chinese linguistics, he cared about where Poland got the courage to challenge Germany and the Soviet Union at the same time after the signing of the Soviet-German non-aggression pact. Was it because after joining the British Allied camp, Poland was ready to drag Britain into the water?

Churchill's desire to strike at Germany did not mean that Churchill was ready to go to war with China and Germany at the same time. Even as a hardliner, Churchill himself did not have the courage to make such a second-hand decision.

However, things took a turn for the worst, and on June 16, 1939, a piece of news from Europe shocked Churchill. Polish troops crossed the Polish-German border and launched an offensive against the German troops. The battle soon entered a fierce and even white-hot phase.