Chapter 231: On Paper
Genius remembers in a second [Aishang Novel Network biquge.info] to provide you with wonderful novels to read.
With such a heavy secret, it has just been contemplated, and few people know it, and Li Fengyun, who is thousands of miles away, actually made an accurate prediction a few months ago, which is too unbelievable, and it has already come out of Cui Hongsheng's cognition of the strange people in Middle-earth.
A stranger who can infer the future, at most, is to predict the good and evil, the good and evil of the Eastern Crusade, and the rise and fall of the dynasty, but there is no specific time, no specific process, everything is invisible in the chaos, however, Li Fengyun can see it, and see it clearly, this ability is too terrifying. Of course, the destiny of heaven is irreversible, and the future can be predicted but never changed. This is evidenced by history, there have been countless prophecies in history, and many of them have accurately predicted the outcome of heavy historical events, but before the result appears, there is no power to change the result against the sky, including the predictors themselves, because they cannot see the trajectory of history and die. Li Fengyun is clearly an outlier, and he seems to be able to glimpse the trajectory of history, which gives himself and his stakeholders the opportunity to change their fate.
The importance of Cui Shi and Cui Hongsheng to Li Fengyun can be imagined, so Li Fengyun will not be stingy with his abilities, since he has seen the catastrophe of Cui Shi and Cui Hongsheng from the fog of the future, of course he must do his best to save it.
The Twelve Ladies gave Cui Hongsheng a positive answer, and all the secrets she knew about the Eastern Crusade came from Li Fengyun's prediction a few months ago. She was also skeptical before, but since the central core ministers fell one after another on the way to the Eastern Expedition, and the expeditionary force was blocked from advancing under Liaodong City after crossing the Liaoshui, she had to believe Li Fengyun's prediction, so she solemnly told Cui Hongsheng that Li Fengyun's prediction of the outcome of the Eastern Expedition was a big defeat.
What does the big defeat mean? It means that the political situation in the eastern capital will undergo irreversible changes, which will not be conducive to the emperor, the establishment, and the reform, and the conservative forces in Middle-earth will launch round after round of "attacks" on the reformers, and the explosion of contradictions in the court will intensify the conflict between the central and local governments, and the domestic situation will take a sharp turn and become worse and worse. Once the domestic crisis is severe, it will inevitably affect Sino-foreign relations, especially the relations between the north and the south will suddenly become tense, and the northern captives with Turks and Tiele people who are eyeing China are very likely to invade the south. If the Civil War breaks out, Middle-earth suffers internal and external troubles, and suffers from the enemy, then the emperor and the center with the reformers as the core will inevitably fall into a political crisis, and the consequences will be unimaginable, and the country will be shaken or even overturned.
What does the defeat mean for Choi's? It means heavy dà risk. As one of the commanders of the expeditionary force, Cui Hongsheng must bear the responsibility for the defeat, and he will be removed from the list of the people at the least and his head will be cut off at the worst, and there is absolutely no possibility of sparing. Therefore, the Twelve Ladies and Cui Jiu rushed to the battlefield of the Eastern Expedition day and night, and in front of Cui Hongsheng, they told him about his self-saving strategy. The stakes are serious, the letter is not clear at all, and there is a possibility that the leak will be framed, and only by presenting it in person can we ensure safety and do everything possible to persuade Cui Hongsheng.
The Crusade is going to be defeated? Choi Hongsheng was nervous.
It is not terrible for the expeditionary force to be blocked under the city of Liaodong, and it is okay to adhere to the strategy of fighting steadily and steadily, although the course of the war will be prolonged because of this, but it can be fully supported by the national strength of Middle-earth. Compared with the lack of national strength of Goguryeo, the prolongation of the war process will directly drag Goguryeo into the abyss of defeat, and it is foreseeable that by tomorrow spring, Pyongyang itself will collapse before the expeditionary force reaches Pyongyang. The lethality of the war was too great, countless Goguryeo people fled their homes, they had to eat, drink and live, and the war destroyed the Goguryeo economy, and the war completely lost the balance between Goguryeo's output and consumption, and Pyongyang could not hold on at all.
However, the emperor and the central government were forced by the deep crisis brought about by the political situation in the Eastern Capital and the double turmoil of the domestic situation, the great political pressure from the domestic conservative forces who had long opposed and obstructed the reform, the allies of the Goguryeo people, the threat to the security of Middle-earth from the northern captives in the desert, and the arrogant and invincible world king mentality that could not be blasphemed or insulted, forced them to be unwilling and afraid to prolong the war, and they wanted to end the war as much as possible. In order to firmly control the political and military initiative, they have gone from one extreme to the other, from a conservative and prudent strategy of intending to win the maximum benefit at the minimum cost and deterring and coercing the enemy to surrender by force, to a radical risk strategy of destroying the enemy at any cost.
Duan Wenzhen's legacy itself contains great risks, and this risk is an important reason why the emperor and the center refused to adopt it at the beginning, but now the attitude of the emperor and the center has undergone subversive changes, they want to implement Duan Wenzhen's will, but this is not the best time to implement Duan Wenzhen's will, if it is forcibly implemented, the risks contained in the will will be expanded to the extreme.
In the eyes of the commanders in the army, the expeditionary force used Duan Wenzhen's last strategy to attack Pyongyang, defeat was inevitable, and victory was great luck, but none of the commanders dared to pin the lives of the soldiers on illusory luck, so everyone was more unanimous that under normal circumstances, the expeditionary force would definitely return in vain. Since they have such thoughts, the commanders also know how this battle should be fought, and the main purpose is not to seek merit, but to seek no fault, as long as the officers and soldiers of the expeditionary force are brought home safely, it is equivalent to overcoming the biggest risk in Duan Wenzhen's strategy with the greatest efforts, that is, victory.
Cui Hongsheng was ready to kill Pyongyang directly with such an idea, but the twelve ladies gave him a blow to the head, and the fear hidden in his heart was completely aroused.
"A prophecy is a prophecy." Cui Hongsheng forced himself to remain calm, and his tone was very flat, "The prophecy is not reliable, and the prediction of the failure of the Eastern Crusade is even more ridiculous. Goguryeo is nothing more than a jackal, and in the face of a strong tiger, it will always be a prey, a vulnerable prey. ”
The Twelve Ladies glanced at him, turned around and pulled Cui Jiu up from the ground, "You came to sue Lord Sù, you sued him, why did the Eastern Crusade fail?" Why did Duan Wenzhen's last strategy send all the soldiers of the expeditionary force to hell? ”
The Twelve Ladies of Military Affairs are just a glimpse of the door, and it is okay to talk about them in generalities, but if you really want to "talk about the troops on paper", when it comes to the specific offensive and defensive deployment, she is powerless. When Li Fengyun made the prediction of the failure of the Eastern Crusade, he conducted a sand table deduction in front of her and Cui Jiu, and said it very specifically, but with the military common sense of the twelve ladies, it was okay to watch the excitement, but not to watch the doorway, so at this moment she could only push Cui Jiu in front of her father and let Cui Jiu repeat Li Fengyun's prediction of the course of the war.
After asking Cui Hongsheng's permission, Cui Jiu walked to the map hanging in the tent and talked endlessly.
Li Fengyun deduced that the defeat in the first battle of Pyongyang was lost in two places, one was that the naval division attacked in advance in order to compete for the merits, so that the strategy of the water 6 attack failed, and the second was that the Goguryeo counterattack was underestimated and failed to ensure the safety of the retreat road, and as a result, in the process of retreat, the rear route was cut off, resulting in the annihilation of the entire army.
Cui Jiu's words were shocking, and Cui Hongsheng's face immediately changed, "The sailor attacked in advance? Both Lai Hu'er and Zhou Fashang are loyal to the Holy Lord, and there is no way to go against the will of the Holy Lord. ”
As soon as he finished saying this, a thought welled up in his heart, and he should veto his judgment. If it was the will of the Holy Lord for the sailor to attack in advance, how could Lai Hu'er and Zhou Fashang dare to go against it?
The sailors will cross the sea according to the weather conditions, so it is impossible to specify the day, but if nothing else, at the end of June and the beginning of July, that is, during the rainy season in the Far East, the sailors will definitely cross the sea to fight, because at that time the 6th Route Army should also advance to the vicinity of Pyongyang. The Goguryeo people were forced to fight on two fronts, and the main force must be used to resist the attack of the 6th Army of Middle-earth, while the army holding Pyongyang was bound to be limited, which gave the naval division an opportunity to "attack the enemy unprepared".
If the sailors captured Pyongyang, the credit of Laihu'er and Zhou Fashang would be great, and Laihu'er and Zhou Fashang were both famous generals of Jiangzuo, and they were both the emperor's cronies in the military, and their credit was also the emperor's credit, and the emperor's authority was greatly increased. Once the form shì was extended, the emperor could not only further concentrate military power, but also quickly stabilize the political situation in the eastern capital, which was extremely beneficial to speeding up the reform process.
However, will the sailors be able to capture Pyongyang? If the sailors want to capture Pyongyang, they first need the cooperation of the 6th Route Army, and the 6th Route Army needs to launch a ferocious attack to contain the main force of the Goguryeo people, but the 6th Route Army is first limited by the unfavorable conditions of the river water surging in the rainy season, and the march must be slow, and secondly, the commanders of the 6th Route Army are forced to lack food and grass, and the attack time is limited, and they have lost the determination to end the war before the winter comes, so it is foreseeable that the "passive" attack of the 6th Route Army will inevitably give the Goguryeo people an opportunity to break through their opponents on the northern and southern fronts. Once the Goguryeo people concentrated their main forces under the city of Pyongyang, gave the Middle-earth Naval Division a head-on attack, and destroyed the Middle-earth Army's strategy of attacking the Middle-earth Army's Water 6, then the Goguryeo people could concentrate all their forces on dealing with the Middle-earth 6 Army. As a result, the attack of the 6th Route Army has greatly increased, and it is difficult to continue until the grain and grass are unsustainable, and it will inevitably retreat.
"There are two obstacles in the retreat of our army, Sashui and Yalu." Cui Jiu pointed to the Sashui on the map, and his expression was extremely solemn, "If the Goguryeo people build a dam to intercept the water in the upper reaches of the Sashui River, and when our army retreats, dig a dam and release the water, then the retreat of our army will inevitably be cut off. If this is not possible, then the soldiers of our expedition will surely be annihilated. ”
Cui Hongsheng suddenly felt suffocated, he took a deep breath, stood up, walked to the map, and said to Cui Jiu, "You deduce it again, and I want to listen to it again." ”