PS: Eighth Update!!

Does the United States dare to fight Somalia?

Whether it is the Nationals and the Congress, it is impossible to go to war again, let alone in the sad place of the United States.

Xiaoda, then China and Russia will agree? The two have joined forces diplomatically in order to make the United States quiet.

Just like the Syrian issue, China and the United States stand firmly together at the United Nations to resist the use of force by the United States against Syria.

Now, although the consent of the United Nations is not required, it will not be easy for the United States to really use force against Somalia at all costs.

Even if the United States succeeds, the United States will once again be infamous for killing innocents indiscriminately, and will usher in strong opposition from China and Russia. But won't China support another person?

Therefore, after thinking about it, the solution to this matter is still on China and Russia.

At the same time, what is a big headache for the United States is that China already has great influence in Africa, especially in southern Africa. Now that China has extended its hand to the east, this has to make the United States think carefully about countermeasures.

On the military side, the two sides can contain each other, but in terms of non-military means, it is more necessary to deal with it.

Some people say that the biggest event of this century is not the series of wars launched by the United States around the world and the transplantation of American-style democracy everywhere, nor the steps of some countries such as North Korea and Iran entering the club of nuclear powers, but the rise of China and India.

However, last year, Shijie did not attract the most attention because of Iran's nuclear progress and the DPRK's return to the "Six-Party Talks," nor the impact of the results of the US midterm elections on the US global strategy, but about the China-Africa talks. Europe even commented: "Find African leaders to Beijing".

For a long time, Africa seems to have been forgotten by Shijie, and in the eyes of the Shijie people, Africa is unexpectedly poor, backward, and hungry. In particular, in the eyes of the developed countries, Africa has been surprised by the pitiful and small amount of gratuitous aid, which has never thought about the reasons for Africa's history and reality. The role of Africa's resources in the development of shijie.

The history of Africa is the history of those who are flooded with colonialism, and the colonialists only plunder and bully Africa, but this is not the case in China, in the early days of the founding of the new China, the imperialist blockade, the difficult conditions of the country have not forgotten the common destiny of the African people to help, the most famous "Tanzania-Zambia Railway" is still a witness of friendship, more than 7,000 people spent several years, many of them are forever buried on the African continent, many people are in tears when they mention the great man. To this day, many people can still sing "Dongfang Hong" and "On the Jingshan Mountain in Beijing", many people have read the "Great Anthology", and many leaders have even studied it. So when Africa mentions China, many people praise it rather than be encouraged by the West, because they think China is reliable.

Today, in the era of re-globalization, all regions are stepping up their development, but Africa still does not pay enough attention, China entered Africa more than ten years ago, and now it is the second largest country in Africa after the United States. France has already been overtaken. Shijie was shocked by the last Chinese government's trip to Africa, and Western politicians began to speculate about China's intentions to intervene in Africa.

A few years ago. A number of media in the United States have pointed out that China's intervention will crowd out the United States and France and become the largest foreign country in Africa. Some American commentators immediately pointed out that China's trip to Africa will lead to a further deterioration of the global resource situation, and that China is already the world's largest resource consumer, and that China's actions should be held responsible for the whole world.

Now. There are two choices before the United States: First, increase investment in Africa. Compete with China for resources in Africa. The second is to directly do nothing and keep doing it. Defeat Li Lan.

Both options have their pros and cons.

The first method, which is the simplest and least disadvantageous, has nothing but spending money.

And the second one is very likely to really touch China's red line. Over the years, the United States has been testing China's bottom line. In the direction of the South China Sea and the East China Sea, here the United States has almost understood China's psychological defense.

As a developing country, China rarely opens its mouth and utters such tough words. This can't help but make the United States hesitate, once the United States attacks Li Lan, will it cause China and the United States to completely tear their faces apart?

Of course, if it were to be said that the two countries would go to war, it would be absolutely impossible, and not only the United States would not want to, but China would also not want to.

And China's hand really caught the United States off guard. The strategy against China formulated by the United States in the past must be revised after this incident. This is also another meaning of China's open support for Li Lan.

The disputed issue over the islands surrounding China is an important chess piece for the United States to win over other Asian countries to confront China.

On the surface, the dispute between China and neighboring countries over islands seems to be a contradiction with neighboring countries, but in the final analysis, it is a game between China and the United States!! The fact that China does not dare to cross the thunder pond by half a step on this issue is not only related to China's national strategy, but also because it is worried that the United States will intervene militarily, because China will not be able to compete with the United States at all, whether in attack and defense, or in information and electronic warfare in the sky, and once China rashly conflicts with the United States, the consequences will be unimaginable, and even China will repeat the mistakes of the Soviet Union.

If there is no US intervention in the island dispute, the situation around China will not be so complicated, and other countries will not dare to provoke China easily. If the United States insists on intervening in the East Asian island dispute, I am afraid that China will face a lot of pressure, and with the instigation and support of the United States, neighboring countries will join forces on the island dispute to further provoke and isolate China and safeguard their own vested interests.

Judging from the current domestic and international situation, the "Xisha model" of the 70s and 80s is no longer very suitable for Nansha and Yudao, and there is no need for China to devote itself to settling the island disputes by force, but it cannot just advocate the so-called "shelving disputes and joint development".

China has begun to adopt a flexible strategy of combining diplomacy and military affairs, and on the premise of neither tearing its face nor going to war with the other side, it has sent law enforcement vessels into the disputed waters to wage a war of attrition with the other side, turning passive into active, and gradually weakening the other side's actual control over the disputed islands. At present, China is fully implementing the "Scarborough Shoal" model in Yudao.

As a matter of fact, China's top leadership also understands that in order to thoroughly resolve the island dispute, it should take a long-term view and not rush forward, and at the present stage it is not realistic for China to rely solely on military means to resolve the island dispute, and if China wants to be able to surrender without a fight, it can only insist that it should focus on economic construction and focus on military investment while developing the economy; when military and economic development reaches a certain stage, when China can occupy an advantage in the confrontation with the United States, I am afraid that all other problems will be easily solved. Therefore, the key to China's settlement of the island dispute lies in strength, not whether it is strong-willed or not, and it is not too late for a gentleman to take revenge for ten years, and the same solution to the island dispute is not an overnight matter, but requires a long-term consideration.

The African strategy is China's way of finding a new way in the game with the United States, directly and fundamentally disrupting the overall strategy of the United States, so that the United States has to make a rest. At the same time, it has also increased China's influence in Shijie, and since the leader of China No. 1 came to power last year, he has visited Russia and Africa, basically for this purpose.

Therefore, on the issue of settling the Somali issue, none of the top leaders of the United States dare to be careless.

Obama also ordered two theater commands to strengthen military vigilance, and only to woo the local Somali shili.

"Mr. President, the current situation around Somalia and the possible development scale of Chinese Li Lan in Somalia in the next three years have been simulated." Hagel said to Obama in thought.

"Read."

"Judging from the current development trend of the important figure Li Lan in Somalia, it is difficult for him to make a difference in three years. In order to resettle the nearly 500,000 victims, the Chinese government has wanted to export a large amount of reinforced concrete and a lot of industrial equipment to Somalia these days. It can also be seen from this that the Chinese Government is strongly supporting Li Lan's development in Somalia.

However, it will take a long time for these 500,000 victims to be resettled and they can feed themselves, so according to the analysis, within three years, China will not want to make great achievements in Somalia.

However, in three years, China will have half a million loyal supporters in Somalia. And, this number changes over time. According to satellite images, the city that the Chinese are building covers an area of 800 square meters and can accommodate at least two million people, and there is much room for expansion in the future. ”

"Be cautious in this matter, and immediately have a report drawn up, and in support of the Bossaso government army, it must be within three years, nay, a year, to form a military advantage over that territory." Obama weighed in his heart and said.

"Yes, but it is not for us to come forward, and if we did, it would be tantamount to recognizing Puntland's statehood. This is a great contradiction for the formal Somali Government that we support in Mogadishu. Hagel said.

"Then we will pay for Ethiopia to come forward, and we must form a comprehensive advantage over China. We belong to the home field there, and China wants to make wind and rain, but it is not so simple. At this point, Obama paused for a moment and continued: "Let the Fifth Fleet find a time to conduct a military exercise in the Gulf of Aden, on the grounds of anti-piracy." (To be continued......)