Li Kongrong's speech was not long, and although the things he said frightened the Chinese businessmen, Song Ziwen was greatly relieved - what he was most worried about was that Li Kongrong would take this opportunity to vigorously criticize the Chongqing authorities, which would cause overseas Chinese to have a bad feeling towards Chongqing. Pen @ fun @ pavilion wWw. ｂｉｑUｇE。 info Song Ziwen breathed a sigh of relief, but Chen Ce smiled at Ou Guowei who was sitting next to him: "What else do you say how to make a fortune, isn't this just to sell naval bonds to everyone?" In order to sell bonds, he also made up a pretense that the Japanese would go south, and there are so many tricks for the Fujian Yankees to cheat money. ”

Chen Ce has been in Guangdong for many years, and Cantonese people are famous for their love of cannons, and there are many similar rivers and lakes. Although he is wise, but the Chinese businessmen present are not wise, Zhou Junnian said that he can ask questions now, dozens of hands in the hall raised, Zhou Junnian ordered Chen Fuxiang nearby, he is a veteran of the Hong Kong business community, and his opinion represents the majority of Cantonese people.

"How did Colonel Lee learn that Japan has two established national policies: going south and going north? If it wanted to go south and north, why did Japan capture the government in Nanjing? Now that the war in the interior is raging, where does Japan have the strength to draw troops to the south or north? Chen Fuxiang's words were sharp, and as soon as he came up, he questioned the most basic setting in Li Kongrong's speech, and after he finished speaking, many people lowered their arms, and after asking this question, he said: "This is the first question, and I still want to ask ......."

"One question per person, that's the rule." Li Kongrong interrupted him. He sat down stupidly before replying: "Japan's national policy of going south and going north has a long history, of course, it may not be called 'going south' or 'going north' in Japan, but people who support these two attitudes are not uncommon in the military department. For example, Ishihara Wan'er, the planner of 918, was famous for his Beijin faction, and the 'Manchurian and Mongolian lifeline' he preached had been highly valued by the Japanese military department.

In essence, the two national policies of 'going south' and 'going north' are the development strategies of Japan or the entire Japanese nation, or the national grand strategy. Any mature nation-state will have such a grand strategy, which is related to the well-being of its nation for decades or even centuries. For example, the Tanaka memorabilia says: 'If you want to conquer China, you must first conquer Manchuria; If you want to conquer the world, you must first conquer China. This is Japan's grand strategy.

If France were to be defeated next year, and if Japan had wasted this rare opportunity again as it had done in the last war, I think the Japanese cabinet and the upper echelons of the military department would have been assassinated by all the angry junior officers and soldiers. Japan, which was already mired in the war in China, urgently needed new resources to fill its shortfall in the war. Japan's military spending this year is as high as $1.92 billion, and judging from all indications, this is the limit of Japan's national strength, and its military spending will certainly fall next year, and even more so the year after.

The national strength has passed its peak, the war is endless, and the materials are even more scarce, what should I do? For the Japanese, there are two options: one is to withdraw from China unconditionally, at least withdraw from the customs, which is called stop loss; The second is to take advantage of the once-in-a-lifetime opportunity of the European war to 'go north' or 'go south' to grab a hand, which can not only make up for the shortfall, but also lay a foundation for future generations. Japan's three islands are so narrow and earthquakes are constant, like the Great Kanto Earthquake in 1923, the damage is so terrible that they dream of having a new colony.

That's why I say that Japan definitely has its own grand strategy, and depending on the geography, it is definitely impossible to go west. Even the immigration of the Tohoku with an empty population is not going well, can the crowded Kannai immigrants? For example, the provinces of North China are already very involuted areas, and how can they feed Japanese immigrants if they can't survive on their own? For the Japanese nation, Kannai is a worthless dead place, its value lies in industry and commerce, but industry and commerce need decades of continuous investment like running Taiwan and investing in Northeast China to be profitable. Japan simply can't invest so many resources, and even if it does, the aborigines will have more children if they have food and work, and in the end, there is still no room for Japanese immigrants.

With the sea to the east and 40,000,000 people to the west, the only places suitable for immigration are the empty Siberia and the South Seas. Among them, Siberia is the most feasible, it is extremely empty, coal mines, timber, oil, non-ferrous metals are very abundant, although cold, but it is relatively easy to take - since the Soviet Union can sign the Brest Treaty with Germany and give up Poland, Lithuania, Courland, Livland and Estland, then after the defeat will definitely give up Siberia, at least East Siberia. It is likely to gain tacit approval and covert support from other countries, as it did in the Russo-Japanese War more than thirty years ago.

And Nanyang involves the interests of Britain, the United States, France and the Netherlands, and France's defeat can be ignored, but going south will definitely start a war with Britain and the United States, can Japan win? It can only be seen in Germany. If Germany can defeat Britain and France in Europe and conquer the Soviet Union, the United States is likely to compromise with Germany, Japan, and Italy in the face of the threat of the two oceans, but if the Americans do not give in, Japan, which chooses to go south, will inevitably die without a place to be buried.

As for Japan's military strength, Japan is a country that has been completely militarized, and the army can mobilize at least five million troops, but at present there are less than one million troops fighting in China, and the total number of mobilized troops does not exceed two million. If Japan really wants to mobilize with all its strength, the army will definitely exceed 7 million, and it will not be a problem for these troops to move south or north. I'm talking only about the Army, not the Navy. ”

"May I ask Colonel Lee, how do you think Japan will choose?" That's the second question, it's a young man.

"Personally, I hope that Japan will move north, so that the Soviet Union will provide more aid to the country, and there will be a few more times like the winter counteroffensive that is currently underway. According to the statistics of the German Army, the number of soldiers killed and wounded by artillery shells is generally about 70 percent in a battle, and the remaining 30 percent are killed or injured by heavy machine guns, as well as bruises, burns, and so on, and only about 10 percent of the soldiers killed and injured by rifle bullets in a real battle.

How can you fight without artillery? For example, in the Battle of Nanchang held at the beginning of this year, our side only fired more than 70 shells in the whole battle, and the Japanese army fired at least a few hundred shells per gun in a single battle, and more than 1,000 shells per gun in a general battle like Songhu. A division has fifty-four 75mm field or mountain guns, and you can calculate how many shells the Japanese fired.

If Japan chooses to go south, even if Britain and the United States provide us with a large amount of aid, it will not be able to bring in after the Yunnan-Burma road is cut off. It is difficult for the southwestern provinces and the military factories in Chongqing alone to support the war, let alone carry out a counteroffensive. When Li Kongrong said this, his eyes inadvertently swept over Song Ziwen, and found that he was listening to it. But in fact, I feel that Japan has a tendency to move southward, and if you look at Sanya, Hainan, the Japanese have an attempt to build a military port in Sanya on a large scale. Why did they build a port in Sanya? The purpose is to prepare for the south. ”

"Colonel Li, let's ......" is still the same young man just now, he asked again despite Zhou Junnian's objections. Wouldn't the Japanese be alert when we discussed going north and south like this? ”

"......" Li Kongrong smiled and did not answer, he looked at the third questioner, he asked about the issuance of naval bonds.

"The issuance of naval bonds has been postponed, and we don't want to issue bonds too much, after all, we are not very short of money." Li Kongrong said with a smile, "This matter has been proposed for two years, and the plan has changed several times, and I can't help it if everyone is not in a hurry." My suggestion is that it is better to issue in 41 and 42, not earlier than 41 at the earliest, but the two 30,000-ton aircraft carriers under construction are in urgent need of money, so they are ready to advance to 40 years, that is, in the second half of next year.

The interest rate, the duration of the term, and the discount have not yet been determined, but the general principle of bonds is for everyone to invest in hedging value, so the denomination will be relatively large, and the sales object is to families, businessmen, and industrialists. Most of the money from the sale of bonds will be used for the military expenses of the Navy, and a small part of them will also be used for loans, such as the munitions factories that supply the Navy's operations as I just mentioned......

"May I ask Colonel Lee: If the Japanese really go south, where can we set up factories? The UK may not agree to move to India. A chubby businessman interjected impolitely, but his question was representative of many people's hearts - since the Dutch East Indies and Burma were not safe, where could they withdraw if they wanted to?

"There is no need to worry about this, the Navy will definitely solve this problem properly and ensure that everyone has an absolutely safe place to live and do business." Li Kongrong said with a smile, "If you really want to do business with the Navy, please pay attention to the tender announcement of the New York Navy Preparation Office. ”

Li Kongrong answered the question without revealing his hole cards, and soon the interest of the businessmen turned to industry. At this time, there was not much industry in Hong Kong, and the profits were mainly based on entrepot trade, but it did not mean that they were not interested in merchants. After a few questions, Chen Ce, who was sitting next to Song Ziwen, stood up and said, "Colonel Li plans to fight a decisive battle with the Japanese Navy with five aircraft carriers in 42, isn't this really whimsical?" Several decisive battles at sea in history have relied on capital ships to decide the victory, and today's capital ships are battleships, Japan has ten battleships, how many battleships does Colonel Lee have? ”

Chen Ce led the 4th Fleet in a naval encounter with the Japanese Navy last year, and his prestige in Hong Kong was very high. As soon as he started to fight, he sat down and the Chinese merchants sat down, intending to watch the two admirals fight with each other. Li Kongrong didn't care about his question, what he cared about was whether his words would prompt the Japanese Navy to build a few more aircraft carriers, but building more aircraft carriers would not change the fate of the Japanese Navy, what they lacked was pilots.

"Before answering this question, I would like to ask General Chen, since the plane is not important? Then why were you forced to go into the wilderness back then? Li Kongrong didn't answer the rhetorical question, Chen Ce was very embarrassed as soon as the words came out, he was subdued by Chen Jitang's air force seven years ago.

"I went to the field because I was ......" Chen Ce felt that following Li Kongrong's train of thought would only be passive, he immediately changed his words: "A light cruiser of two thousand tons has almost no armor, let alone a gunboat of only a few hundred tons. Do you think your plane can sink the Japanese Navy's battleship Nagato, which is more than 30,000 tons? ”

"Bombs may not sink, torpedoes may not." Li Kongrong said. "In addition, the ten Japanese battleships were the fastest of the Kongo-class, the smallest tonnage, but they were still several knots slower than the aircraft carriers. The Pacific Ocean is very large, and these battleships with only more than 20 knots will never be able to catch up with the aircraft carrier fleet with more than 30 knots, and they will only be beaten. We should not forget this: aircraft are progressing much faster than warships, and the battleships built in the last great war are not too obsolete to this day, but the aircraft built in the last great war have long since become obsolete. I believe that it will not be long before the situation in which battleships dominate the seas will be reversed, and once it is reversed, the vast majority of the Japanese Navy's more than one million ton warships will be scrapped or sunk by aircraft. ”

"Colonel Lee thinks the navy alone can defeat Japan?" Ou Weiguo also stood up and asked, I don't know if it is favored by Song Ziwen.

"Of course." Li Kongrong nodded. "Industry and arms production in the southwest are not enough to support the country. In the army's counteroffensive, Chongqing's military expenditure will be about more than $100 million in '41, while the navy's military expenditure will exceed $100 million in '41 and reach $200 million or even 300 million in '42. This is military spending, and strategically speaking, after the annihilation of the Japanese Combined Fleet, the marines can land directly in Tokyo. What about the Japanese with seven million troops, I only attack one point, how many tens of thousands of troops can he pile up in Tokyo Bay?

Here is a digression: why can world hegemony only belong to a naval power and not an army power? The reason is that the Navy is cheaper than the Army. For the same amount of money to build a navy and an army, it is certain that the navy controls a larger area than the army. The navy can also concentrate on attacking one point in a short time, but the army cannot concentrate on defending a point in the same amount of time.

Japan is an island country without any depth, and once the Combined Fleet is annihilated, what can he do if he occupies China? The navy does not need to land, but only relies on blockades -- every spring when rice is planted, planes are sent to strafe the fields with machine guns day and night, and bombers are sent to drop incendiary bombs to burn the rice fields when the autumn harvest is about to be harvested, and within three years, half of Japan's 70 million people will starve to death, and in five years, there will be no living people in all of Japan except for the mountainous areas, and there should be no living people in other places.

At that time, it was not Japan that immigrated to the mainland, but we immigrated to Japan. In the future, there will no longer be such a title as Japan and Yamato, because the purebred Japanese are basically dead, and in the future, there will only be Koreans, Shandong people, Slavs, and Zhejiang people. ”

Li Kongrong's very simple description made everyone present creepy, and the venue was even more eerily quiet. Song Ziwen, who had been silent for a long time, finally couldn't help but want to stretch out his hand to ask a question, but at this time, the reporters who were waiting outside the door happened to enter - they were not suitable to listen to the previous speech, so they arranged to enter the venue after the speech. Under the flickering spotlight, the topic was reversed to another direction by these reporters who rushed in - Ta Kung Pao reporter Xu Junyuan was the first to ask: "May I ask Colonel Li, what is your evaluation of the behavior of the military commanders in Qinzhou?" Does your killing of military commanders without trial mean that the Navy will not accept Chongqing's command in the future? ”