※ Returning to the Tu of the port of Guajar. 【Full text reading】Pei Chengyi had a good talk with Li Cunxun※

"Actually, I should have talked to you a long time ago, but I haven't found the time and opportunity, you know. The situation at home is much more complicated than imagined. Li Cunxun said as he put a paper document in front of Pei Chengyi, "This is a long-term plan for the republic formulated behind Wang Yuanqing's second election as the state minister about nine years ago, you look carefully."

Pei Chengyi hesitated for a moment, but still picked up the document.

"I believe it. Any Chinese knows a saying. ”

"What?" Pei Chengyi glanced at Li Cunxun, and his gaze returned to the document again.

"If you fall behind, you will be beaten."

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, and looked at Li Cunxun again.

"For two hundred years. All the ups and downs that the Chinese nation has experienced have verified the correctness of this sentence, but the vast majority of people have misunderstood this sentence. Li Cunxun paused a little and said, "In the eyes of ordinary people," backwardness is backwardness in strength, not backwardness in concept. In fact. The most terrible thing is not the backwardness in strength, but the backwardness in concept. As a soldier, you should know that as early as a hundred years ago, when everyone was still doubting the role of tanks, Germany established the world's first armored unit without a single tank, and it was this unit that nailed wooden planks to motorcycles and used as armored combat vehicles for daily training. In the future, he swept almost the entire European continent on the battlefield. ”

Hearing Li Cunxun say this, Pei Chengyi suddenly understood.

"We have been able to get to where we are now, and the conceptual progress has contributed the most." Li Cunxun motioned to Pei Chengyi to hurry up and read the documents, and he continued, "Although in the eyes of the vast majority of people, we can cross the United States. The key is that we have mastered the key technology of the electric revolution and surpassed the United States in terms of science and technology. As a result, the productivity will be increased in an all-round way, and eventually the United States will surpass the United States in terms of overall national strength. However, from another angle, if there is no industrial restructuring by Ji Laoqi and political reform by Wang Laoqi, even if we have the most advanced science and technology in the world, it will not be possible to surpass the United States. Speaking from facts, the structural adjustment and political reform of the strict industry are the products of conceptual progress. The former has liberated the social productive forces of our country, especially those of private enterprises that have been suppressed and discriminated against for a long time, while the latter has liberated the minds of all citizens, especially those who have not been deprived of their due power for a long time. Imagine that if there were no national enterprises that have sprung up like mushrooms after a rain, and if there were no motivated citizens, would it be possible for us to transform advanced technologies that can change the fate of human civilization into productive forces for the benefit of all mankind? ”

Pei Chengyi listened to Li Cunxun's explanation while looking at the information.

"It is no exaggeration to say that conceptual progress is real progress." Li Cunxun paused slightly. He said, "It is undeniable that in the past 30 years, we have made achievements that have attracted worldwide attention, not only entering the ranks of major countries, but also basically solving peripheral problems, and establishing an alliance system with our country as the core. In contrast, we have completed in just 30 years the evolution that other countries would have taken half a century, or even a hundred years, to complete. The problem is that anyone with a cool head can see that our progress is too fast and too smooth. In thirty years, we have not tasted defeat, not even the smallest setback. ”

Pei Chengyi let out a long breath and looked at Li Cunxun.

"That's the biggest problem, and it's also a perception problem." Li Cunxun smiled bitterly and said, "Because the journey was smooth, almost all the people couldn't accept defeat." Even the smallest failure, Mother Excuse Me, is definitely not a good thing.

As the old saying goes. If you have been together for a long time, you will be separated for a long time. There is a similar view in the West that the exhibition of countries is cyclical. Where there is strength, there is decay. Looking back on history, it can also be seen that there are countless empires drowning in the torrent of history, and no empire can last forever, and even no nation can survive and reproduce in its original form. After 30 glorious years, sooner or later we will have to face a recession, and it is very likely that it will be a great recession that will change the fate of the entire Chinese nation. ”

Pei Chengyi immediately frowned.

As early as around the concave years, that is, before and after the Japanese War, some people put forward the "theory of China's recession", believing that after decades of high development, the republic will inevitably usher in a great recession, although this prophecy has not yet come true, but the influence of the "recession theory" is getting bigger and bigger. Especially in the past few years after Wang Yuanqing left office, because Gu Weimin has not put forward a domestic reform plan comparable to political reform, many people believe that the period when Gu Weimin was in power was the period of decline of the republic.

The question is. No one believed that the Republic would collapse from now on, and no one believed that the Chinese nation would be completely decayed.

Anyway. The Chinese nation in the modern sense is a relatively young nation, and it is still full of vitality. Even in the great rotation of civilizations, the Chinese nation is much more active than the Western civilization, which has ruled human civilization for hundreds of years. Pei Chengyi has always believed that at least for the foreseeable future, Chinese civilization is still in a cycle of expansion and will not enter a cycle of decline so quickly.

"Actually. No one wants to admit it. To tell you the truth, when we came to this conclusion, Wang Lao and I were unwilling to admit it. Li Cunxun smiled bitterly and said, "The question is. We cannot deny the facts. About seven years ago, that is, when we officially started planning for the war in India, the address of Wang Lao's site has been changed to: Except for Gu, please log in to read! No, it is handled by the Military Intelligence Bureau and the General Staff participates. Dozens of computers were used in several countries to compute. A strategic exercise was made about the international situation in half a century, and the result was that the probability that we would face a great recession in half a century was close to 90%. Although the reliability of computer-based deductions is still up for debate, after all, all such deductions have been done by humans until then. But this is exactly in line with Wang Lao's judgment. ”

That is to say. At that time, it was in the Middle East War that Zego fought? ”

"I mentioned to you that we were indeed planning a war in the Middle East before the war in India." Li Cunxun paused slightly and said, "If you think about it carefully, you should know that it was this deduction that made Wang Lao change his views and fundamentally changed the course of the war in India. ”

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, and then understood.

"Mother is in doubt. We must not lose the war in India, so we must not allow the Great Recession to come at this time. Li Cunxun let out a long breath and said, "Just as Caesar couldn't save the ancient Roman Empire and Yuan Chonghuan couldn't support the crumbling Ming Empire, no one could change the natural scale of the social exhibition." ”

"But it can affect social exhibitions."

Li Cunxun nodded and said with a smile: "This is the key." Just like the industrial restructuring and political reform we are engaged in at home, we can also find ways to delay the arrival of the Great Recession and reduce the impact of the Great Recession. If we do nothing, the Great Recession will definitely come in an explosive way, causing immeasurable losses, and the Chinese nation will definitely be in a state of collapse from now on. If we do something, the Great Recession will become more modest, minimize losses, and preserve the hope of the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. In fact, all empires in history have done just that. Far from it, let's take the United States as an example. According to the objective law, the Great Depression is actually a sign of the Great Recession in the United States. The reality is that a world war that almost destroyed all of Europe and made Britain obediently hand over the throne of the number one hegemon allowed the United States to survive and finally defuse the crisis. Of course. History is written by the victors. Believe it or not" Before the swallowing year, many of the policies of the United States were not about preventing a world war. Rather, it is agitating for a world war. If nothing else, Britain, France, and other countries were actually related to the United States in terms of their policy of appeasement before the outbreak of World War II, as well as their policy of inaction in the early days of World War II. Generally. The interest groups that control the United States have defused a great recession that would have brought the United States to a complete end in the most direct way. ”

Pei Chengyi did not argue with Li Cunxun about World War II because the Military Intelligence Agency had a lot of top-secret information.

"How long is it from the end of the old century to the year of the thug? Thirty years only. Li Cunxun smiled faintly and said, "Thirty years is a hurdle, for any world-class power, if it wants to dominate the world, it must survive thirty years." Another negative example, the former Soviet Union. After World War II. The former Soviet Union reached its heyday, becoming a great power on an equal footing with the United States and making the entire Western world tremble. Among the many reasons for the collapse of the Soviet Union, the war in Afghanistan, which cost enormous national strength, was definitely one of the most important reasons, only 33 years after the end of World War II and less than 30 years after the Soviet Union successfully detonated its first atomic bomb. Looking further back, the Russian son, who inherited the mantle of the Soviet Union, has not been able to improve so far, and it has a lot to do with the exhibition of the first 30 years, or with the global Great Depression that exploded in the first 30 years. And four or seven years is only thirty-seven years away. ”

That is to say. We are also facing the same problem. ”

"That's basically what you can say." Li Cunxun nodded and said, "Counting from the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War. It's only been thirty years since the year of Lishi, and now it's less than four years away from the year of Liyan. Wang Lao's failure to let the more enterprising Yan Vice Yuan come to power has a lot to do with that deduction and his judgment. As far as the republic is concerned, it would be good if it could overcome this hurdle while solving its internal problems and developing itself.

The question is. We are not the only ones who know the rules of this exhibition. ”

Pei Chengyi immediately tightened his brows, Li Cunxun's last sentence was the key.

"An idiom would describe our post-war situation in India."

"The end of the crossbow."

Li Cunxun nodded and said: "Facts have proved that the US authorities are also very aware of our situation. After the end of the war in India, our political reform was in a situation where we could only move forward, not backward, or even stand still. As a result of the perennial war, our internal contradictions have accumulated to the point where they must be resolved, and they cannot be resolved by relying solely on political reform. In other words, we must invest more strength and energy in domestic construction. In terms of peripheral issues, India's post-war reconstruction and occupation of the Indian market will be enough to keep us busy for 20 to 30 years. Thus. For a long period of time, we have focused on solving internal problems, which is often referred to as strategic defense, and it is impossible to continue to expand. ”

Pei Chengyi smiled bitterly, knowing very well the meaning of Li Cunxun's words. The address of this site has been changed to: Bigu, please read the law!

"It was also in this context that the US authorities began to plot a war in the Middle East." Li Cunxun smiled coldly and said, "Fortunately, Elder Wang has already taken this into account, and stopped calling and took action, if it weren't for Elder Hu to prepare before the war in India, I'm afraid our current situation would be very passive." The most important thing Wang Lao did was to threaten him with withdrawal from the Treaty on the Limitation of Arms in Space, so as to force the US authorities to cooperate with us on the issue of the complete destruction of nuclear weapons, so that the "London Treaty" could be implemented. ”

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, and then understood.

The treaty on the limitation of space armaments mentioned by Li Cunxun is actually the "Treaty on the Demilitarization of Outer Space." This treaty is not only a basic treaty for the Republic to maintain a strategic balance and consolidate its strategic position with the United States, but also a fundamental treaty to limit the all-out arms race between the two countries. To put it simply, if the republic engages in an all-out arms race with the United States, outer space will inevitably be the commanding heights of contention. For the two classes of powers, an arms race in outer space of any nature would lead to the collapse of one of the two classes of powers, provided that the technology is not yet fully mature. What's more, no one knows who will hold out until the end until one side falls. Wang Yuanqing took advantage of this. To be precise, it took advantage of the Republic's superiority in outer space technology, especially space-launching technology, to intimidate the United States to make concessions. In other words, over the years or so, the United States authorities certainly have no reason to believe that they will be able to outperform the Republic in the arms race in outer space, and that they will have no choice but to cooperate fully with the Republic on the issue of the complete elimination of nuclear weapons.

Everybody knows. The biggest winners of the total elimination of nuclear weapons are the Republic and the United States. Among the many benefits that the Treaty of London brought to the Republic and the United States, the reduction of the threat of regional war was undoubtedly the greatest. It is precisely because of this that the Republic has a more flexible and pragmatic policy in regional wars, and does not have to worry too much about the impact of regional wars, so that it can make full use of regional wars.

Thinking of this, Pei Chengyi suddenly had a question.

In fact, there are good and bad things to do. The biggest disadvantage is to let the United States know that we need to focus on consolidating the gains we made. Li Cunxun said the question that Pei Chengyi thought of and said, "Of course." It was impossible for the U.S. authorities to deduce our basic strategy through speculation, and this led to the later Beggars War. According to the information we have, Blandino reached a secret agreement with American interests after the Falklands War, including the Democrats losing the election next year and the Republicans coming to power to start a war in the Middle East. In other words, after the two presidents Westwood and Blandino, the Democratic Party has become a major force in American politics. According to the information we have, Landes's influence is very limited, and Mrs. Loebling, who holds real power in the United States, has very close ties with interest groups. In other words, the Republican Party will be in power for a maximum of four years, and the Democrats will come back to power, and Mrs. Loeblin is likely to become the first female president in U.S. history in the cylinder year. If all goes well, by the time the four are reached, a Democratic president will lead the United States into World War III, and that person is likely to be Dodge

Pei Chengyi immediately showed a look of disbelief.

"This is our judgment based on the information we already have. Whether it is correct or not, history will naturally give the answer. Li Cunxun paused slightly and said. In any case, the United States was our greatest enemy before it became a second-rate country, so we must find ways to sabotage the interests of the United States and never allow the United States to seize the initiative. The war in the Middle East is such an opportunity, and if we can make the outcome of this war different from what the US authorities expected, we will have achieved our goal. ”

"You mean,"

Li Cunxun glanced at the document in Pei Chengyi's hand, and said with a smile: "Anyway, you are still alive, the only senior general who has defeated the US army in a head-on battle." In fact, the U.S. military thinks very highly of you. Having you as a co-commander is a message to be delivered.

That is to say. I want to make the American authorities think that we will definitely not lose this war.

Li Cunxun nodded and said, "You haven't suffered defeat. So it will make the opponent think that you will never lose the battle. Of course, this is secondary. More importantly, your appearance will inevitably increase US war spending, which will have an impact on the domestic political situation in the United States. In other words, if Landers can be allowed to stay in the White House until the sea year, then there will be problems with the strategic planning of American interest groups. In order to do that, we naturally need to do something, such as giving Landes some kind of unexpected victory, and giving Dudgway the prestige and prestige to challenge the president. On the other hand, this is exactly the same as our rules. Let's be direct. A limited defeat is unlikely to change the situation in which our country has been prosperous for nearly 30 years. It can also let the people taste the taste of failure, improve the people's psychological endurance, and not be unacceptable when they encounter greater failures

"It seems. There is nothing to count on in this war

"It's a whole pound for you to command this war. Ji Ge has only arrived at Gwadar Port when he is a hitter, and you can hurry up and read this asset

Pei Chengyi knew that the answer he wanted was in the document in his hand, and he also knew it. It is absolutely impossible for this top-secret document to reach the port of Gwadar, otherwise Li Cunxun would not have spent hours sending him back to the joint command.