The issue of the Zhen War. After introducing the general situation, Yuan Chenhao turned the topic to Central Asia and continued to advocate the necessity and importance of war against Russia.

Before becoming chief of the General Staff, Yuan Chenhao advocated taking Russia as a knife.

At the beginning of the 6th year, a military coup broke out in Kazakhstan, and Russia brazenly sent troops. After the military intelligence confirmed that the coup d'état was linked to Russian intelligence agencies. There were voices within the army to send troops to Kazakhstan to control the Greater Central Asian region, and at that time, Yuan Chenhao clearly supported the control of Central Asia with a strong hand.

The so-called "Greater Central Asia" includes six countries: Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. Because after the withdrawal of US troops, the Republic supported pro-Chinese regimes in Afghanistan through Pakistan and co-opted Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, so the Republic's influence in Central Asia surpassed that of Russia at the end of the era.

After the Middle East war, the Republic and Russia held formal consultations on Central Asian issues. Clarify the spheres of influence of the two countries. Consultations continued until the end of the year, just before the start of the second phase of the London Treaty reduction. The republic made a major concession by recognizing Russia's dominance in Uzbekistan and 10 Kurmenistan, while Russia recognized the republic's dominance in Afghanistan, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, because Saxekstan is the largest power in the region, not only the largest in terms of land area, the largest population, and the richest resources, but also a strategic buffer zone between Russia and the republic, so neither side has the dominance.

It can be seen from this that Russia, taking control of Kazakhstan through a military coup, has crossed the cordon

It is precisely in this way that the voice of "punishing" Russia has appeared within the republican ** team.

The problem is that the republic and Russia have not signed any international treaties of practical significance on the Central Asian issue. After all, the two great powers carved up the Central Asian region and arbitrarily interfered in the internal affairs of six countries. It doesn't make sense where to put it. What's more. The two countries were secretly agreed after the war in the Middle East, that is. At that time, the influence of the United States was increasing, and in order to prevent the United States from interfering in Central Asian affairs again, neither the Republic nor Russia made a big statement, and finally made a secret agreement to indeed delude the sphere of influence of the two countries in Central Asia.

And so it goes. If the republic wants to make a fuss about the military coup in Kazakhstan, there is the problem of a lack of fame.

For Yuan Chenhao, he was still the chief of the operations department of the General Staff at that time. Even if he is already the first person in the General Staff. His influence has passed that of the Chief of the General Staff, but his voice in major decisions is still very limited.

At the beginning of the 7th year, after officially assuming the post of chief of the General Staff, Yuan Chenhao began to trumpet the "theory of the Russian threat"

Putting aside personal factors, Yuan Chenhao's remarks on many occasions are enough to be regarded by the outside world as a signal that the republic is ready to make a move against Russia, and it will even be considered that the republic is making the final propaganda for the war, as the chief of the general staff of the republican team. The haste to remember the threat from the north is in itself a very clear signal. Of course, it is indeed impossible to rule out the profound intention of the authorities of the Republic in this matter, that is, to use Yuan Chenhao's remarks to make the war deeply rooted in the hearts of the people. A reminder for the people at home and abroad, so as not to make people feel too abrupt when the war breaks out. What's more, Yuan's remarks actually give the authorities of the republic more options. From another point of view, if the republic first uses Russia after the war, or directly uses troops to provoke the war against Russia, it will make people feel completely reasonable, because the chief of the general staff of the republican ** team has already "said hello", even if the actual situation is the opposite, that is, the republic did not take the initiative to attack Russia. And not even consider Russia an enemy. It will also make people feel that there is a certain amount of truth, after all, soldiers are not tired of deceit, and it is a simple military strategy to attack the east and west.

The problem is that in this matter, it is certainly impossible to rule out personal factors.

mentioned many times before, don't talk about Pei Chengyi. If you want to achieve military achievements like Pei Chengyi. Yuan Chenhao has to do more in the army.

Becoming the Chief of the General Staff is only the first step, and how to be the Chief of the General Staff is the key. What's more. Before Yuan Chenhao, in addition to the former chief of the General Staff. The rest of the chiefs of general staff are all outstanding in battle, and even Lin Xiaolei from the navy has commanded the republican ** team to fight a few beautiful battles. If you only look at the chief of general staff from the army, Peng Maobang and Xiang Linghui before Yuan Chenhao were even more military commanders who made brilliant achievements and went down in history. As we all know, starting with Lin Xiaolei, the term of office of the chief of the General Staff has been shortened to the old years, and it will only get shorter and shorter, not longer and longer. And so it goes. If Yuan Chenhao wants to become a military commander who will go down in history, he must seize every opportunity.

In the comments of some Western news media, it is not Pei Chengyi who wants to fight the most, but Yuan Chenhao.

Leaving aside whether this comment is too biased, it is certainly true in reality. For Pei Chengyi, the number of military achievements is no longer meaningful, at least after he became the national leader, what the people care about most is not the military achievements, but the ability to govern the country. For Yuan Chenhao. On the contrary, even if he is already the chief of the General Staff, in order to convince the officers and men of the whole army of his strength, he must establish new feats on the battlefield.

When it comes to practical issues, Yuan Chen cannot be ignored

Although no one denies the dominant position of the army in the world war, in any case, the larger the war, the more important the army, but when faced with specific problems, the generals of the Republic Army represented by Yuan Chenhao definitely hope to fight a good battle with their backs to their homeland, rather than fighting thousands of kilometers away from their homeland like the Middle East war. This does not mean that Yuan Chenhao is afraid of fighting outside the country, nor does it mean that there is a problem with the combat strength of the Republic Army, but as the commander of the army, he must consider the impact of a full-scale war.

To put it bluntly, the use of troops in the north is related to the security of the homeland.

In fact, this is also the fundamental reason why Yuan Chenhao has always emphasized that priority should be given to the use of troops in Central Asia.

At the beginning of the decade, the "China-South Asia Community Market" was expanded to "China-Central Asia-South Asia Free Economic Cooperation Zone". "A number of countries, including the six countries of Central Asia, have integrated into this large economy dominated by the republic, and according to the plan, the final formation of the six countries of Central Asia, eight countries of South Asia, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Sikkim, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and the Maldives, Southeast Asian countries Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Shupuzhai, Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia, two East Asian countries Korea and the Ryukyus, Japan announced the re-establishment of the country in the past years, and the Republic recognized the Ryukyus as an independent sovereign state in the same year. and a global economy centered on the republics, including Iran, Iraq, Syria, Sudan and other countries. In this vast strategic framework, Central Asia is not only a strategic buffer zone between the republic and Russia, but also a springboard for the republic to West Asia and North Africa, and its importance is self-evident.

Some might argue that this has nothing to do with homeland security.

In fact, "homeland security" is by no means a simple security issue. From the position of a world power. Homeland security includes not only security issues in the sense of entertainment, but also security issues in the economic, trade, diplomatic and other fields. In developing the strategic framework, the authorities of the Republic also took into account the impact of the war on the security of the homeland. Not to mention anything else, before the outbreak of the war in India. The republic cost a lot of money. The railway from Lösh to Islamabad was built. At the time, many people believed that this was a republic's attempt to strategically encircle India. The problem is that after the war in India, the authorities of the Republic not only did not abandon the railway, but also expanded it. The annual passage capacity will be by the blade. 10,000 tons was increased to 10,000 tons, and after the completion of the second phase of the project, it was increased to 10,000 tons. If the third phase of the project is successfully completed, it will be able to reach the knife by the beginning of the year. 10,000 tons The Republic spent a lot of money to build a railway line from the Arabian Sea through the Pamirs to Xinjiang, with the fundamental purpose of improving the security of the trade routes for essential goods. To put it bluntly, supplies from the Gulf, the Middle East, and East Africa only need to reach the ports of Gwadar or Karachi in Pakistan to be sent to the Republic by rail, without going to the eastern Indian Ocean, let alone through the Strait of Malacca. Considering the U.S. military presence in Diego Garcia and the Northwest Territories of Australia. This transport route can greatly improve the safety of the transportation of important strategic goods. No one can deny that this transport route is inextricably linked to the Central Asian region. Imagine that if Russia were to take control of Central Asia, even if it controlled only a few of the former Soviet republics and did not advance into Afghanistan, the Russian troops deployed in Tajikistan could pose a mortal threat to this transport line. At the very least, it will force the republic to deploy heavy troops in Central Asia.

On the issue of strategic security, there is simply no room for negotiation.

As early as the beginning of the year, at a high-level military meeting, Yuan Chenhao emphasized the importance of the strategic transportation routes in Central Asia. According to his point of view, although the transportation capacity of this transportation line in wartime was only about 100 million tons, which was only about one-tenth of the total amount of materials imported into the Republic through the Indian Ocean, this one-tenth of the transportation capacity could determine the victory or defeat of the war, because among the important strategic resources that the Republic needed to import, there were ugly varieties from West Asia and East Africa, and the main production areas of seven of them were in West Asia and East Africa. More importantly, as the most important strategic resource, the world's main production areas of rare metal ore have "one is Laos in Southeast Asia, the second is Sudan in East Africa, the third is Nigeria in West Africa, the fourth is Peru, Chile and Bolivia in South America, and the fifth is the actual origin of Australia in Oceania, as well as the Republic, the United States and Russia, but these three countries have either sealed all the rare metal ores or do not export them, and the close relationship with the Republic has Laos, Sudan and Nigeria. Laos is close at hand and will not be affected too much, Nigeria is far away in West Africa, and there is not much availability in wartime, and the key is Sudan in East Africa. By the end of the year, imports of rare metal ores and primary products of rare metals from Sudan accounted for about 40% of the total consumption of the Republic. It can be seen that ensuring the smooth entry of Sudan's rare metal mines into the republic is absolutely the key to ensuring the normal operation of the republic's war machine. Although sea transport is much more efficient than land transport and is usually predominant, in times of war, sea transport is much riskier than land transport, so it is crucial to secure a rail line from Pakistan to the north-western part of the Republic.

Based on this purpose, Yuan Chenhao has always insisted on making Central Asia the main theater of operations.

Because Yuan Chenhao has always been responsible for formulating war plans. Therefore, in the previous proposals submitted for consideration, Central Asia was regarded as the main battlefield, and all of them were actively offensive to defuse the crisis.

If necessary, the country should lead the well to the Russian Rokai 16

For this reason, at the beginning of the year, Yuan Chenhao clearly mentioned in the war plan numbered "Jiayuezhou" that in the case of active offensive, the republican ** team would only need 6 months at most to sweep the entire Central Asian region, annihilate the Russian troops entrenched in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, and advance the front to the east bank of the Volga River. Even if not to march on Russia proper. It can also ensure a strategic advantage in the Central Asian region. Of course. throughout the program. The most important thing is not the time and scope of the operation, but the operational input. According to Yuan Chenhao's estimate, as long as the attack is decisive and swift. At most, it is only necessary to use one main combat unit and one standard combat unit, that is, to invest tens of thousands of ground troops, plus aircraft to support the air force, transport planes, and an independent artillery unit, in order to strengthen the army's independent combat capability, an independent artillery unit has been added over the years, and its establishment scale is comparable to that of the artillery brigade of the combat unit, and the consumption of ammunition and other combat materials is between 10,000 tons and 10,000 tons per day, and the total consumption in six months is about 100 million tons. Although the total amount of material input is very staggering. Far more than the wars in the Middle East, but given the scope of the theater and the belligerent opponents, as well as the nature of the basic belligerents, this consumption is not surprising. More importantly, if only 10,000,000 ground troops need to be invested, it will not have much impact on the republic's combat operations in other directions.

It can be said that Yuan Chenhao's plan is not very attractive.

According to unconfirmed information, Yan Jingyu, who was the state minister at the time, was very interested in this plan, and even talked to Yuan Chenhao alone a few times.

The problem is that in this small calculation, Yuan Chenhao has a very critical problem.

That is, it is easy to start a war, but it is difficult to end a war.

As the saying goes, it's easier to ride a tiger than to get off a tiger.

Taking the initiative to attack in Central Asia is tantamount to declaring war on Russia. Although with the national strength of the republic, it will not be difficult to defeat Russia. In the words of some generals, let alone drive Russia out of Central Asia, as long as the republic can withstand enough war casualties and losses, it can even drive Russia out of Asia. But the war with Russia is definitely not a local war of limited scale. The Military Intelligence Agency has long confirmed that Russia has signed a secret military alliance treaty with the United States. As soon as the republican ** team crosses the border and enters the territory of Russia, the United States will declare war on the republic. After the outbreak of war. Russia will definitely bite the bullet, and no one can guarantee that the republican ** team will not cross the national border at that time. In fact, Yuan Chenhao's plan has been clearly mentioned. If necessary, the Republican ** team will fight across the border. Other words. War with Russia. In fact, it was the opening ceremony of the world war. Judging from the actual situation, the United States will certainly not wait until Russia is beaten to the point of dying to enter the war, and will certainly take the initiative to respond to the challenge of the republic. All in all, the republic must be prepared for a world war, and not expect a local war to defeat Russia. As long as it is a world war, the Army of the Republic will not stay in Central Asia. It will definitely be chasing while it is winning. When the time comes, even if the republican ** team does not fight, the Russian army will come. Neither politicians nor military strategists will risk giving up the initiative. In other words, the republic will definitely have to invest heavy troops in the direction of Central Asia, to be precise, in the direction of Russia, and tens of thousands of ground forces will not be able to solve the problem. Tens of thousands of ground troops may not be able to defeat Russia, and 40,000 or even millions of ground troops may be invested at that time. No doubt. Such a huge investment will inevitably have an impact on the combat operations of the republic in other directions.

Looking at it from another angle, isn't this the fundamental purpose of the United States to actively woo Russia and encourage Russia to create incidents in Central Asia? It is precisely because of this that Yan Jingyu left this difficult question to Pei Chengyi.

Some people may think that Pei Chengyi, who was born in the military, is more proactive in war strategy. The problem is that on the issue of Russia, Pei Chengyi must be cautious.

say

To put it bluntly, it is whether the republic should take the lead in fighting Russia.

Objectively speaking, if Russia can be assured, the republic has been working towards this goal. Otherwise, they will not make concessions on some key issues, or even turn a blind eye to the secret alliance between the United States and Russia. In any case, as long as Russia does not enter the war, and the army does not reach the continental United States, Hawaii, and Alaska is also considered the continental United States, Russia has no obligation to enter the war. The result is clear that Russia definitely wants to enter the war at the most favorable time. If Russia strictly follows the secret alliance treaty, that is, the republican ** team only enters the war after hitting the continental United States, it will not have much impact on the war. Because by this time, the defeat of the United States was assured. Russia's participation in the war or not in the war will not change the outcome of the war. Thus. The US-Russia secret alliance treaty is actually a treaty that is only beneficial to Russia, and it is an alliance treaty of the United States in order to win over Russia.

The question is, will Russia wait until the last moment to enter the war?

The leaders of the republics can repeatedly tolerate Russia, but they cannot fail to think about this issue.

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