Chapter 45 The outside is strong and the middle is dry

In the world situation in the middle of the seventh century, Ou Yu was in the most embarrassing situation

As early as the end of the old century, the European Union became the world's largest economy in terms of population and economic aggregate. 【】

This is because in the midst of the global financial crisis that erupted every year and the Great Depression that followed, the EU adopted a relatively rational trade policy, not only did not regard the republic as its main trade enemy, but also made full use of the advantages of the trade war between the republic and the United States, resulting in economic losses far lower than those of the United States. Therefore, by the beginning of the era, the per capita GDP of the European Union had reached the old 10,000 euros, about the old dollar, and the United States became the richest major economy in the world, and the per capita GDP of the republic in the same period was 2o million yuan, equivalent to 70,000 US dollars.

By the end of the decade, the EU's per capita GDP was over 10,000 euros and about 10,000 US dollars, or 40,000 yuan, plus 700 million people, the EU was still the world's second largest economy and the richest major economy, the per capita GDP of the Republic was 80,000 yuan, the total economic output was trillions, the per capita GDP of the United States was 10,000 US dollars, and the total economic output was trillions of dollars.

Although these huge figures are mainly due to the hyperinflation during the Great Depression and the high growth after the Great Depression, after deducting inflation and other factors, the thugs still rank ahead of the United States as the second largest economy after the Republic.

It can be seen from this that economically, the EU is definitely a "giant".

It can be said that if the economic strength is comprehensively measured, that is, the gross national product, per capita output value, and the real income of the people, the European Union and even the world's largest economy, the United States, are lower than the European Union in terms of economic aggregate, while the Republic has to invest a lot of resources in infrastructure construction, so the real income of the people is about half of the per capita output value, far lower than that of the European Union and the United States.

is such an economic giant, but in other respects it is an out-and-out "sister Confucian." ”

In terms of political influence, the EU is even more than and not with Russia.

At the beginning of the century, after the color revolution in Ukraine, it has been working hard to join the NATO bloc, hoping to get rid of Russia's influence. Because nearly half of Ukraine's citizens have close contacts with Russia, the Russian authorities absolutely cannot tolerate Ukraine becoming a member of NATO. In order to prevent Ukraine from going to the Western world with the United States as the head, Russia brazenly sent troops to plot the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, and taught Georgia, which also wants to join NATO and gradually distance itself from Russia, so as to kill chickens and make Ukraine much more honest. In order to "subdue" Ukraine, Russia has also adopted many other methods, such as raising gas prices, pushing up prices in Ukraine, bringing down Ukraine's economy, and making pro-Western governments lose support. It was like this, 2 years later, in the year of the planing, the pro-Russian party won the general election, and Ukraine's accession to the NATO bloc came to an end.

The problem is that a country with a population of more than 10,000 people will never be at the mercy of other countries.

Judging from the land area, population size, and resources of the country, Ukraine is a big country in Europe, and it is an influential power. That is, Ukraine will not easily submit to any country. More importantly, the Great Depression at the end of the old years completely disrupted the pace of Russia's expansion, and allowed Ukraine to once again move towards "independence." "Because the NATO bloc led by the United States is weakening, and Russia has always regarded NATO as its number one enemy, the Ukrainian authorities have chosen to join the European Union.

At the beginning of the gravitational era, Ukraine became an "observer state" of the European Union.

In order to join the European Union, the Ukrainian authorities have made a lot of efforts, such as promising not to cut off gas in transit to the EU at any time, and to apply EU standards for national defense and security. To this end, the Ukrainian army began to receive weapons and equipment provided by France, Germany, Italy and other major EU member states from four, and gradually phased out Russian-made weapons, as well as weapons and equipment provided by the United States that year. The address of this site has been changed to: just a mouthful of milk... 8。 Please log in to the valve!

For the EU, Ukraine's accession is definitely a good thing.

From the standpoint of the European Union, even if Ukraine is poor, white and backward, its 10,000 square kilometers of land and 40,000 people are a big temptation. You must know that the EU suffers in terms of overall strength, population and land area, and some people even believe that this is the fundamental reason why it is difficult for the EU to become a major country.

Although in the middle of the century, the impact of land area on national strength has been minimal, but the population is definitely the key factor to measure a country's overall strength, and even the most important factor, because there is no catty. A sparsely populated country is capable of becoming a world power. It can be said that Russia's long-term malaise is due to its sparse population. Based on Russia's land area, as well as natural resources, a more reasonable number of people is used as a guide, not a thug billion.

The biggest problem for the EU is not its sparse population, which is second only to India and the Republic and larger than the United States. The key point is that the aging problem of the European Union, especially the aging of several major economic member states such as France, Germany and Italy, is very serious.

It is influenced by national ideology, traditional culture, and values. It is impossible for Ou Wei to solve the problem of weathering by accepting immigrants as the United States does. As early as the beginning of the century, the European Union launched the "blue card" system, compared with the "green card" of the United States, gradually relaxed the immigration system, hoping to absorb more talents to solve the problem of aging. The problem is that the EU does not have the favorable conditions to absorb immigrants, and there is no way to use immigrants to solve social problems.

It can be said that in terms of attracting immigrants, the situation of the EU is very similar to that of the republic, that is, the policy can only play an auxiliary role, and due to cultural and ideological factors, the EU and the republic are mostly not the countries chosen by immigrants.

Ukraine is a very "young" country compared to the European Union. The new address of this site has been changed to: Gangkou Yang... 8。 Please log in to the valve!

What's more. At the beginning of the decade, controlled fusion nuclear power plants had not yet been officially rolled out, coal, oil and gas were still the main energy sources, and 80% of the natural gas needed by the EU came from Russia, and 80% of it was transported by pipelines through Ukraine. In other words, about one of the gas required by the EU needs to transit from Ukraine. From the point of view of energy security, the EU should also absorb Ukraine.

All in all, Ukraine is both an important and a necessary potential member state for the EU.

The problem is that the EU's political influence is too weak in the face of Russia. During the global Great Depression, Ukraine did not throw itself into the arms of the European Union, but fell to Russia. In the final analysis, in addition to the series of operations planned by Russian intelligence agencies in Ukraine, as well as the firm stance of the Russian authorities on the Ukrainian issue, Russia has also threatened to send troops to Ukraine, the main thing is Russian political influence.

With Ukraine's return to the CIS, the pace of the EU's eastward expansion has come to an abrupt halt.

It can even be said that Ukraine became the terminator of the eastward expansion of the European Union. You must know that it is precisely because Ukraine finally chose to form an alliance with Russia that several countries that have tried to join the European Union, such as Moldova and Serbia and Montenegro, have "changed their minds" and finally thrown themselves into the arms of Russia.

In fact, political influence is not the EU's biggest shortcoming.

Although the pace of eastward expansion has stopped in front of Russia's impregnable walls, the EU's political influence is still relatively prominent in the southward strategy. If it were not for Tunisia, which was opposed by several Eastern European member states to the assimilation of Islamic civilization, it is quite possible that the EU would have stepped out of Europe and become a transcontinental group of states. Of course, the EU has not abandoned Tunisia, but has only asked Tunisia to promote democratic politics and reduce the influence of religion in national politics. In the southeast, with Greece officially announcing the launch of the NATO bloc, France is actively lobbying the Greek authorities in the hope that this member state will be able to make concessions on the issue of Turkey's accession. Germany and Italy are actively lobbying Turkey to withdraw its troops from Cyprus. All in all, Turkey has not given up on joining the European Union, and several of the EU's leading member states also hope to gain a voice in the Middle East through Turkey. In fact, several of the EU's leading member states have been helping Turkey in its post-war reconstruction since the beginning of the electric year, hoping to take the opportunity to change Turkey.

At the same time, the EU's biggest problem is military strength.

Although at the beginning of the century, France and Germany established the symbolic "European Yuan Army". And in that capacity, he has repeatedly carried out international peacekeeping missions and even participated in military operations in the region of the former Yugoslavia. But compared to any other international organization, the EU is not the same as the "military alliance." is the farthest away, or rather, least like an alliance for security purposes. It is precisely because of this that the military integration of the EU is not smooth.

There are two main factors preventing the EU from achieving military integration, one is the NATO bloc thug and the other is the London Treaty.

Before the old year, NATO was the main obstacle to the EU's military integration. Because the vast majority of EU member states are members of the NATO bloc and do not need another security agency, these countries believe that there is no need for military integration in the EU. The more essential reason is not just that there is no need for two almost identical security agencies, but that within the EU, no single country can provide all-encompassing security guarantees for other member states like the United States. That is, the EU lacks a core state with a leading position. In fact, this problem has not been resolved. France, Germany and Italy have forged a closer alliance precisely because the EU has a centripetal force only when these three countries are united. It is precisely because of this that France and Germany were the first to establish the European Legion, and France, Germany and Italy also established the "Joint Council of Ministers" in Belgium. "The most solid step towards political integration has been taken.

After the gradual decline of the NATO bloc, the "London Treaty" has become the main obstacle to the EU's military integration, because within the framework of the treaty, the strategic threat to the EU will be greatly reduced, and it can even be said that there is no serious strategic threat, and there is no need to maintain a sufficiently strong military force, and there is naturally no need to achieve military integration. It was in this way that during the negotiations of the Treaty of London, France sided with Russia and became its staunchest opponent. The problem was that there was no unity of opinion within the EU, and France eventually signed the Treaty of London because both Germany and Italy supported the treaty and put pressure on France, and the main reason why Germany and Italy supported the treaty was that it could be used as an opportunity to weaken France and thus improve the position of both countries in the EU.

Of course, Germany and Italy are not opposed to military integration.

In the long run, it is rumored that the rumors of the river and the restoration of Italy will become the subject of military integration, and it is precisely because of this that Italy will actively integrate militarily and promote military integration together with France.

The problem is that, due to various factors, the military strength of the several alliances is still far inferior to that of the Republic and the United States.

In the following year, a military coup d'état broke out in Algeria, and Islamic student organizations overthrew the pro-European democratically elected government and announced the implementation of the Islamic law code in Algeria. Faced with this abrupt change, the EU's first reaction was to withdraw its diplomatic staff and diaspora and make diplomatic protests before discussing military intervention. If the same thing had happened in Pakistan or Saudi Arabia, the first reaction of the Republic and the United States would certainly not have been to protest, but to send an aircraft carrier battle group over and then order the troops stationed there to exterminate the rebel group.

What's more, bringing military intervention to the European Commission would be a disaster even greater than a military coup. You know, according to the EU system, troops can only be sent in the name of the EU if all member states agree. If only one member state disagrees, such as Luxembourg, which has only a few tens of thousands of people, believes that sending troops will ruin the image of the European Union, then France, with its tens of millions of people, can only stare dryly.

It was for this reason that the French government decided to go it alone when the European Commission was hesitant to send troops. The reason is simple, Algeria was once a French colony, and it was the largest colony of France, and France was the main destination country for Algeria, and the Algerians living in France were very happy, so France felt obligated to send troops to help the democratically elected government of Algeria tide over the difficulties.

With France's decision to send troops, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Poland and the Czech Republic, which are not far behind, have also expressed their willingness to send troops, and have officially sent a note to France through the European Commission, hoping to launch a military operation in Algeria in the form of a multinational force. The reason for the positive performance of these countries is also very simple: they do not want France to dominate and make the security of the alliance a matter for the EU, not France.

Ironically, by the time these EU member states were ready to send troops, the Islamic student organizations in Algeria themselves came to Taiwan, and the military coup suddenly broke out and ended abruptly. The reason for the sudden collapse of the Islamic Student Organization is also simple: political turmoil in Iran, which has secretly supported it, and the "pragmatists" in power will no longer support any extremist groups, in accordance with a secret agreement with the republic.

That is, it was not the EU army that changed the fate of Algeria, but the secret agreement between the republic and Iran.

On the other hand, this incident is not entirely bad.

Although the authorities of the Republic did not admit that they had anything to do with the coup d'état in Algeria, and did not take this opportunity to take advantage of it, after all, the Republic signed a secret agreement with Iran, not an open treaty, but the EU member states knew that if it were not for the influence of the Republic, I am afraid that thousands of European soldiers would have fallen victim to the serious lag in the EU's military integration process in the deserts of North Africa and cities on the southern shores of the Mediterranean.

It was in this year that France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Poland and the Czech Republic established informal "Defence Ministers' Meetings" and "Joint Chiefs of Staff" within the EU. At the end of that year, the plan for unifying military forces was proposed, requiring the seven countries to first unify the main battle equipment and logistics standards, and then unify the military command structure on the basis of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. In other words, from this time on, the EU's military integration will enter the fast lane, and all member states will no longer be required to join the military integration process. The new address of this site has been changed to: Gangkou Yang... 8。 Please log in to the valve!

Since then, the EU's military integration has begun to bear fruit.

According to the estimation of "Jane's Defense Weekly," the military strength of the "European Military Alliance," composed of seven countries, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, and the Czech Republic, is second only to the Republic and the United States, and has surpassed Russia, ranking third in the world. Of course, this "third" is not something to be proud of, because it is only half of the United States and forty percent of the republic. Even if measured in the EU as a whole, the EU's military strength is only 70% of that of the United States, and the republic's strength is far worse than the previous two.

Affected by political and military strength, the EU's strength in other areas is also not satisfactory.

Diplomatically, for example, the EU's influence is not strong enough. In the Middle East war of the young thugs, the EU did not wield any influence commensurate with the size of its economy. You know, the EU is Turkey's largest trading partner, Israel's second largest trading partner, Syria's second largest trading partner, and Iran's second largest trading partner.

Of course, the worst thing about the EU is its technological strength.

Because it is dispersed into several countries, it is difficult for the EU to concentrate its forces in certain cutting-edge fields like the Republic and the United States, and its total investment in science and technology is not as good as that of the Republic and the United States.

All in all, the EU comes across as being far less powerful than it seems.

As the saying goes, it is "strong outside and dry in the middle" with a huge body.

The problem is that no one dares to doubt the potential of the European Union. As long as the EU can solve the main problems that hinder its progress, it can quickly grow into the third pole of the world and completely change the world pattern!