It took a full hour for Yuan Chenhao to introduce the grass power of the Zong Republic, but it was potassium... Condition. 【】

Because Pei Chengyi has been creating opportunities for Yuan Chenhao to perform, Liu Xiaobin has been doing intelligence work for several years, and the most indispensable thing for Liu Xiaobin is patience, and Yan Jingyu wants to understand the situation in as much detail as possible, so the audience is very impatient, except for Yan Jingyu who occasionally asks two simple military issues, Yuan Chenhao is basically talking alone in the preparation hours.

After returning to the General Staff to work for 7 years, he often dealt with government officials, and Yuan Chenhao also knew very well when to give the opportunity to others, so when summing up, Yuan Chenhao left the opportunity to Pei Chengyi. In fact, the final argument is only convincing when it comes out of Pei Chengyi's mouth. Because Pei Chengyi is the Minister of National Defense, Yuan Chenhao is only the chief of the Operations Division under the General Staff of the Ministry of National Defense. In terms of identity, Split Chengyi is a government official, and Yuan Chenhao is a military manager. Even if Yan Jingyu doesn't mind getting advice from the military, it should be Pei Chengyi's advice.

"In general, it's just that we're not ready for the tank."

As if expecting Pei Chengyi to say this, Yan Jingyu immediately laughed and motioned for Pei Chengyi to continue.

"Of course, the United States is not ready for war either." Pei Chengyi knew what Yan Jingyu wanted to listen to. Therefore, try to pick the important content as much as possible, and do not waste any more time. "After the Middle East war, both we and the United States launched a new round of military reform and formulated a more long-term defense design plan. In other words, the war in the Middle East has had a very great impact on us and the United States, and has changed the direction of military power. Any military reform will take ten years, if not longer. Back seven years ago. We have set a long-term strategy to complete the reform and adjustment of military forces in 15 years, and according to the information obtained by the Military Intelligence Agency, the United States also launched a similar plan to reform its national defense forces at that time. In general, by now, our military reform is only half complete, and the situation in the United States is not much better. Because our military reforms with the United States are both aimed at a larger, full-scale war. A complete overhaul of military power has been made! Therefore, before the completion of the reform, the military strength of both China and the United States was at a low ebb, and the effect of the reform had not yet been revealed, and the overall combat effectiveness of the armed forces had not been significantly improved. All in all, victory in a full-scale war with the United States is not guaranteed until the military reform is completed. As it stands. Even if we increase investment in national defense and speed up the degree of military reform, it will take six years to complete the reform work and bring the army's combat effectiveness to a new height.

"How much additional investment do I need?" Yan Jingyu asked very directly.

Pei Chengyi hesitated a little and said: "We will not increase investment, but increase national defense spending by an average of more than 50 percent per year in the next six years." In other words, by the next fiscal year, our national defense budget will account for 60 percent of the total budget of the central government and 1 5 percent of the gross national product. ”

Hearing Pei Chengyi say this, Yan Jingyu immediately frowned.

"Actual dagger, this is still a conservative estimate." Pei Chengyi did not evade, whether Yuan likes to listen or not, he has to fulfill the duty of a government official, that is, to make complete suggestions, rather than swaying Yuan's decision-making through incomplete information. "As we all know, defense spending is an important factor in measuring whether a country is in a state of war and whether it is preparing to enter a state of war. With Japan's current political system, defense spending is an open budget, and it is difficult for us to expand defense spending through covert means. Other words. As long as we increase defense spending, the United States will think that we are preparing for war, and it will soon be in a state of war. In this way, the US authorities will certainly increase their defense spending with the aim of preparing for war before we do. There is no doubt that we must not allow the United States to prepare for war first, after all, in a full-scale war of equal strength, whoever prepares first has a better chance of winning. In other words, as long as we increase defense spending, the pace towards war will be accelerated, and no one will be able to slow it down. ”

"In other words, we will have to continue to increase defense spending when the time comes?"

Pei Chengyi nodded and said: "When national defense expenditure accounts for sixty percent of the total budget of the central government. To continue to expand defense spending, it is necessary to increase tax revenues, and it is also necessary to put the country into a state of war, or enter a state of war in certain fields, which will have an irreversible impact on the country's economic construction and the production and livelihood of the people. Although we have reason to believe that the public will support the government's decision to go to war, after all, it is not a war decided unilaterally by us, and as long as we do not abandon our dream of becoming the world's number one power, an all-out war with the United States is inevitable. But we must consider the consequences of this. That is, whether our national economy can be adjusted in place before the war, and what the government still needs to prepare for. Because this is not a local war, but an all-out war that determines the survival of a nation and the rise or fall of a nation, even the slightest mistake will lead to unpredictable consequences. ”

Yan Jingyu let out a long breath and said that he understood what Pei Chengyi meant.

Seeing that Yuan had paid attention to it, Pei Chengyi gave Liu Xiaobin a look. The new address of this site has been changed to: Chat about the fetal o muscle mix, please read it!

"Relatively speaking, we should consider international factors more than domestic ones." Liu Xiaobin said as he lit a cigarette. "In the past 30 years or so, China's construction achievements have attracted worldwide attention, and the people have a very high degree of respect for the government. In particular, the political reforms promoted by Wang Lao. It not only gives the rights of the people to the citizens, but also ties the interests of the country to the interests of every citizen. After all these years of propaganda and the actual results achieved in the reform of the political system, we have enough reason to believe it. The vast majority of citizens will support the government's decision-making. Besides, whether or not we can increase defense spending and whether or not we want to speed up war readiness is not for us to decide, but for the delegates to the plenary congress

Liu Xiaobin's sentence got to the point, on.

Although in the political system of the republic. Yuan still has very large powers, such as the ability to veto bills that have already won the support of the plenary congress, and even to dissolve the plenary congress and re-elect deputies with the support of the premier, the president of the Supreme Court, the president of the Supreme Procuratorate, and the chairman of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference. However, after the completion of the first phase of political reform, the status of the plenary congress was markedly enhanced, and its power was greatly strengthened, and it not only had the power to comprehensively examine the government's budget and expenditure, but also had the power to veto administrative decrees, and if it was supported by the chairman of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, the premier of the State Council, the president of the Supreme Court, and the president of the Supreme People's Procuratorate, it could even impeach Yuan. And so it goes. Even if Yan Jingyu adopted Pei Chengyi's suggestion. To decide to increase the national defense budget, it is necessary to first get the delegates to the plenary congress and have the plenary congress to make the budget effective. Since two-thirds of the delegates to the Plenum are directly elected by the citizens and exercise their right to participate in and discuss politics on behalf of the citizens, as long as an increase in defense spending is supported by the Plenum, it is the citizens of the republic who support the war, not the leaders of the republic.

In reality, the power of the Plenum is far less powerful.

It is important to know that in the plenary congress, one-third of the delegates are still indirectly elected, half of which are representatives of the central government and the other half are representatives of local governments. In other words, these one-third of the delegates basically have to obey Yuan's arrangement and will unconditionally support any decision of Yuan. In this way, with only a simple majority of votes, only a quarter of the elected delegates can be persuaded to get the bill submitted by Yuan to pass in the plenary assembly. Because about one-third of the elected delegates come from all walks of life, most of them speak for major industrial groups, and these representatives have good relations with the central government and the Yuan government, and almost all of them can attend the Spring Festival party held in the Yuan government, so as long as they do not defect, the bills submitted by the Yuan will hardly be vetoed.

This kind of political system is biased towards "one system". Practically in all large countries exists.

In the case of the "presidential parliamentary system" in the United States, the real center of power is the White House, not Congress. Several other people have a population of more than 100 million. A country with a land area of more than 10,000 square kilometers. All practices are "one system." "For example, in Russia, which is the largest country in the world, the authority of the president is far higher than that of the Congress, and it plays a pivotal role in the political life of the country. Correspondingly, this kind of "one system" that focuses on the state element is actually the key to maintaining national stability. You know, for any person with a population of more than 100 million. For a country with a land area of more than 10,000 people, the greatest enemy is not an external threat, because such a country is difficult to occupy by an external enemy, at least not ruled by invaders for a long time, and its greatest enemy is internal unrest, especially caused by categorization. Taking Russia as an example, relying on the world's most extensive territory and the most abundant resources, coupled with its relatively superior geographical position, in the years after independence, Russia still has not been able to become a truly first-rate power, but hovers among second-rate or even third-rate countries, precisely because Russia's separatist forces are very large and the influence of the central government is very limited.

In any case, Liu Xiaobin has come up with a solution.

"Although we don't want to fight a world war with the United States, after the war breaks out, it's not what we think we can do." It wasn't until Yan Jingyu shifted his gaze that Liu Xiaobin continued, "If we only consider our national strength with the United States, we will be sure to defeat the United States in the next ten years." The question is. The war in the Middle East has proven that the United States will never fight us alone. In fact, since becoming a global power, the United States has fought against any country alone. Judging from the current situation, as long as we increase defense spending and start preparing for war with great fanfare, the United States will not only engage in an arms race with us-for-tat, but will also speed up the expansion of the Western bloc and win over more allies. That is, our war with the United States is destined to turn into a global war. In this case, we have no choice but to accelerate the expansion of the intensive group. Absorb more members. To this point. No one will ever again believe that we can live peacefully with the United States. ”

"That is, we are going to have a showdown with all the other countries?" Yan Jingyu said this sentence with a frown. The new address of this site has been changed to: Chat about the tire o Wai Shan please read Mitsuda!

Liu Xiaobin nodded and left the opportunity to speak to Pei Chengyi.

"It's a reality that we have to face. As long as the world war comes to the surface, even if we don't have a showdown, the United States will have a showdown with the whole world, and then all countries will have to choose their sides. Pei Chengyi let out a long breath and said, "Because the scale of the Western Group and the Intensive Group is not small, and the scope is relatively prescribed, we don't need to pay attention to most of the small and medium-sized countries, for the vast majority of countries, there are only three choices, one is to support us, the second is to take refuge in the United States, and the third is to maintain neutrality." In fact, because the scope of this war will certainly be greater than that of the Second World War, there are few countries that can guarantee absolute neutrality, except for some traditional permanent neutrals. Through the competition and elimination in previous years, the influence of most small and medium-sized countries is very limited, and even countries with regional influence such as Pakistan, Iran, Zhengentine, Brazil, and South Africa are difficult to influence the pattern of the war. What we need to pay attention to is only a few influential powers, or groups of great powers, one is Russia, the other is the European Union, and a few countries in the Western Pacific. ”

Yan Jingyu sighed and fell silent again.

"The key is Russia and the EU." Pei Chengyi knew that Yuan was still hesitating. So he continued, "In my judgment, it is very likely that Russia will remain neutral, but it will not be absolutely neutral, but it will be focused. Whether Russia will help us or support the United States will depend on our strategy, that is, whether we will use this opportunity to seize Russia's Far East. ”

"Is it necessary for us to seize the Russian Far East?"

Obviously, this is not a problem, or rather a problem that does not need to be explained.

As early as after the war in India, the Russian authorities were "worried" that the republics, which had already solved other peripheral problems, would take the opportunity to go north to recover the territories occupied by Russia in those years, and even to capture the Russian Far East and Siberia. Although the war in the Middle East that broke out in the year of the secret thugs proved that the republic had no intention of going north, and the authorities of the republic had not approved the bill of merger with Mongolia, in fact, the authorities of the republic did not have the idea of going north, because in the second half of the century, the key to national competition was the level of science and technology, not the size of the country and the amount of resources.

More importantly, the population of the republic is still decreasing, and the resource network has already been established on a global scale, and the demand for resources has decreased a lot, even if in a few decades, the population of the republic will swell again, and there will definitely be a way to solve the resource problem at that time, so in the foreseeable future, the recovery of the territory occupied by Russia more than a hundred years ago will not be of much help to the strength of the republic, especially the production and life of the citizens of the republic. As for the capture of the Far East, the occupation of Siberia, it is even more nonsense. You know, Russia is in order to gain access to the sea in the Pacific Ocean. Only then did the Far East attach great importance to it, and the Republic was a Pacific Rim country, so there was no need to play more with access to the sea. As for the access to the sea in the Arctic Ocean. That's even less realistic. However, in Russia's view, these practical factors do not exist, after all, Russia is the country with the largest territorial area in the world, and the republic is the country with the strongest comprehensive national strength in the world. As the power of the republic grows, one day the republic will invade Russia for one reason or another.

Looking at it from another angle, this can also be understood as Russia's lack of intentions.

In any case, Russia's ability to become the largest country in the world is inseparable from the foreign expansion that has lasted for hundreds of years, as well as the bandit logic in the Russian national mind

Rob.

"No matter what, we have to pay attention to Russia."

Yan Meiyu nodded and motioned for Pei Chengyi to continue.

"In addition to Russia, there is also the European Union." Pei Chengyi paused slightly, "Because Russia's domestic problems are very serious, and its comprehensive national strength is relatively limited, as long as we exercise restraint in our strategic deployment, we can stabilize Russia." In this case, the only one who has the real potential to influence the course of the war is the European Union. According to my estimates, as soon as we begin to prepare for war with great fanfare, the EU will accelerate the process of reunification and strive to achieve reunification before the war breaks out. The reason is simple, only a united Europe can become the hegemon of the dominant side. What's more, no matter who the EU ends up towards, if it fails to achieve reunification, it is likely to be divided into dozens of countries again after the war, undoing decades of hard work. Undoubtedly, this is an unacceptable result for several major EU member states. According to my judgment, as long as a world war becomes inevitable, even if other member states still do not support unification under one government, several major EU member states such as France, Germany, and Italy will take the lead in setting up a central government with authoritative influence, and on this basis, absorb other member states, so as to concentrate the main forces of the EU as quickly as possible to meet the upcoming challenges. ”

"Do you mean that we should prevent the EU from achieving unity?"

Pei Chengyi hesitated for a moment and said: "My opinion is just the opposite, not only can we not prevent the EU from achieving reunification, but we must also try our best to help the EU achieve reunification, at least to help France, Germany and Italy and other major EU member states to establish a coalition government." ”

Yan Jingyu immediately frowned, as if he didn't understand what Pei Chengyi meant.

Pei Chengyi didn't rush to continue, but gave Liu Xiaobin a look, signaling Liu Xiaobin to hand over the things he brought to Yuan.