In the face, the topic of "world war" is numerous. 【Full text reading】Yan Jingyu is not silent much,

"What are the chances that we will win if a world war breaks out?"

"That's going to see when it explodes."

Yan Jingyu asked directly, and Pei Chengyi answered simply.

Glancing at Pei Chengyi, Yan Jingyu shook his head with a smile. Pei Chengyi also smiled and picked up the coffee cup. Wiped out the third cup of coffee after coming to Yuanfu. It is clear that the topic of "world wars". The two had discussed it more than once, and each time it didn't come to any avail

For the common people, the "world war" is just an after-dinner topic of discussion.

At the top of the republic, the "world war" was a topic that had been discussed for many years.

Long before Yan Jing came to power, there was a serious dispute within the top echelons of the republic over whether or not a "world war" would break out. Although no news media has reported on this, and the authorities of the republic have not revealed any information, in the three years from the year of the year to the year of Limo, the Military Committee of the Plenary Congress of the Republic proposed three consecutive additional appropriations for the "national strategic defense system", but the result was rejected by Gu Weimin three times in a row, until the second fiscal year, as a new round of general elections approached, Gu Weimin approved additional appropriations of up to 100 yuan. From this, it can be seen that the differences at the top of the republican on the issue of "world war" are very serious.

In fact, the widening disagreement is not whether or not to break out a "world war", but whether to prepare for it.

Before the Year of the Worm, its dominant role was "skepticism." That is, many high-ranking leaders of the republic, led by Gu Weimin, did not deny the inevitability of a "world war," but insisted that it would not explode before the end of the year, because the "Treaty of London," which was a precondition, would not fully enter into force until the end of the year. In the view of Gu Weimin and others, although a strong strategic defense system can bring a high enough security factor to the country, and even protect some allies, the strategic defense system is also a military system. There is no 100% guarantee of local security. The Republics and the United States have almost zero capacity to withstand a blow to their homeland. In this way, as long as nuclear weapons have not been completely destroyed, and as long as the nuclear threat exists, both the Republic and the United States authorities must give full consideration to the strategic threat. It will also be in the "world war" and there is some convergence. Influenced by this viewpoint, Gu Weimin and others believed that it was not necessary for the republic to prepare for war before the end of the year, but should vigorously develop the national economy, promote technological progress, and lay a solid foundation before then.

Strictly speaking, there is nothing wrong with this view in itself, but it is only problematic in the prediction of war.

On the other hand, there is "realism." And the main supporters of this argument are Yan Jingyu, as well as the main generals of the republican team. In the view of Yan Jingyu and others, the Middle East war in the year of the secret thug has brought the contradictions between the Republic and the United States to the surface, and the competition between the two major powers will gradually change from an indirect mode to a direct mode; On any international hotspot issue, the Republic may meet the United States in arms, and any regional war may become the fuse of a world war. If the republic fails to prepare for war in time, it will not only make the United States more unscrupulous in international disputes, but will also make the US authorities take the initiative to lead a "world war" under special circumstances. Whether it is to win the war or to contain it, the republic should prepare for the war as soon as possible. Exactly. In the second year of the Otter to the year of the Force, the Military Council, which has a close relationship with the armed forces, will successively propose additional appropriations for the strategic defense system, and use the general election to put pressure on Gu Weimin in the smart fiscal year, and win additional appropriations for the strategic defense system as high as Zhaozhou B Yuan The relative amount of this special budget is not high, the GDP of the Republic that year is as high as one trillion yuan, the central fiscal revenue is trillions of yuan, and the fiscal budget is one trillion yuan, of which the national defense budget is one trillion yuan. The additional appropriation is only 6 percent of the central budget's chamber or national defense budget.

The problem is that four years ago, the "world war" was basically a tool for the political struggle between Gu Weimin and Yan Jingyu. The address of this site has been changed to: just a mouthful of milk... ８。 Please log in to the valve!

In a certain sense, Gu Weimin's support for "skepticism" does not mean that he is not aware of the huge threat posed by the "world war" to the republic, nor is he opposed to preparing for a "world war", but that he is afraid that it will affect the "green mountains and clear water projects" that he personally promoted. From another perspective, Yan Jingyu supports "realism." "Nor did it mean that the" world war "would definitely explode during his tenure. Nor is it against Gu Weimin's national strategic plan. I just want to pass an argument diametrically opposed to Gu Weimin. Get the support of the army and some representatives. It can be said that the "Green Mountains and Green Water Project" was not fully implemented during Gu Weimin's term of office, and it needs to be completed by Yan Jingyu, which has a lot to do with the additional military expenditure between the four years of the force, because the 3-year military additional allocation should have been used in the plan, and it can even be said that Gu Weimin's active support for Shuai Yongkang and his cooperation with Ye Zhisheng are directly related to the fact that the "Green Mountains and Green Water Project" cannot be implemented during his tenure, because Gu Weimin does not believe it. As Wang Yuanqing's designated successor, Yan Jingyu will complete his national strategic plan. Although the actual situation was not what Gu Weimin expected, it was before the Year of the Worm. Yan Jingyu is indeed contradicting Gu Weimin.

It can be seen that even Yan Jingyu does not want to talk lightly about the topic of "world war".

In other words, it is not politicians who are afraid of the world, but soldiers. and the military that hopes for war money

To know. As early as the year of satin, that is, before the Ministry of Defense dominated the overall situation, "world war" was the number one topic within the Republican ** team. According to some information released during the reorganization of the General Staff Headquarters in Yenian and some rumors that spread among the people, in the years after the flawed year, the Operations Department of the General Staff Headquarters drew up a total of more than 1,000 operational plans related to the "world war." This circumstance, in addition to showing that after the year of the mouth, there really were not many external threats to the republic, and those staff officers of the General Staff were idle, it also proved the values of the republican people, that is, the soldier can find a sense of belonging only in war.

After the year of Likou, that is, after being "co-opted" by the Ministry of National Defense. Although the General Staff no longer actively develops war plans. However, under the leadership of Yuan Chenhao, the Operations Department began to integrate the thousands of operational plans formulated before, and drew up more than 10 complete operational plans for these plans, which were uniformly submitted to the Ministry of National Defense at the end of the year, and Pei Chengyi submitted several of them to Yuan according to actual needs.

There is no doubt that the army is the main driver of the war.

The question is. Military men are definitely not real war maniacs.

Standing behind the republican ** team are the arms dealers of the republic.

It is important to know that the first reason put forward in the bill for additional appropriations for the strategic defense system in the fiscal year is to preserve the military industrial system that serves the strategic defense system. Because according to the construction progress of the "National Strategic Defense System", after the completion of the third project, only the construction participants will need to maintain the normal operation of the system, and the other participants will lose their jobs. More importantly, these participants are all high-level technicians or scientists, and it is difficult to replenish them quickly after the brain drain, so the authorities of the Republic have sufficient reasons to allow the arms enterprises involved in the construction of the strategic defense system to retain some technical personnel, especially key technical personnel, by means of additional appropriations. That is, the main driver of the expansion of the strategic defense system is not the army, but the arms dealers.

In other military areas, the role of arms dealers remains not to be underestimated.

For example, the Ethiopian-Eritrean border conflict that broke out in the past few years, and Ethiopia's emergence as an observer state of the intensive group, were the largest behind-the-scenes drivers of several arms dealers in the Republic. It can be seen from this that the arms dealers of the Republic can not only have an impact on national defense construction. It can also have an impact on foreign policy.

For arms dealers. The greatest benefit is a world war.

As a matter of fact. On the issue of the "world war", the arms dealers are only representatives of numerous interest groups in the republic. Or just a very general term.

To know. The arms industry is not a single industry, but a marginal industry.

According to the accepted narrative of the international community, the arms industry is at least related to finance, energy and resources. In other words, there are also financial, energy, and resource interests that are actively promoting the war in the republic.

Compared to these three sets of interests, the influence of arms dealers is much smaller.

It can be said that the financial, energy and resources conglomerates control almost the economic lifeblood of the republic. Not to mention the military. Even Yan Jingyu has to fully consider the interests of these three major interest groups. Among these three major interest groups, the one who most hopes to fight a "world war" with the United States must be the financial group.

In a sense, after the Republic became involved in the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War, a "world war" with the United States was inevitable.

From the old year of the force to the yo year, the economic exhibition of the Republic has hardly stopped. Even during the Great Depression, the Republic's economic growth exceeded the global average, and it continued to grow, never experiencing a recession like the United States and other Western countries. Exactly. The Republic has the potential to become the largest and most powerful economy in the world. The problem is that the authorities of the republic have not been able to resolve a crucial issue, namely, how to resolve the problems posed by the war spending.

You must know that during the period from the year of the year to the year of Yo, the Republic was involved in dozens of wars, large and small, including 8 large-scale regional wars in which more than 10,000 troops were invested, calculated in the currency value of Yo Year. The total expenditure on the war was 100 million yuan, equivalent to the gross national product of that year.

With so much war expenditure, we have to find a way to solve it.

If it is all borne by the government, that is, by taxes, it is certainly unrealistic. In fact, before Yo Nian, the total expenditure of the Republican Central Treasury on the war was less than 400 million yuan.

It follows that most of the war began to have to be obtained from other sources.

The only direct way is to raise funds in the financial sector. In fact, before the murderous years, the war loans and war national debts issued by the authorities of the republic amounted to trillions of yuan. In the end, these debts are digested by the financial group through various means, and the real repayment by the central government of the republic is less than a trillion yuan.

There is a very serious problem here, which is that the financial groups have to find a way to compensate for the financing of the war.

In fact. This is also the fundamental reason why the Republic insists on external expansion. Because only by expanding abroad can the war expenses be compensated by obtaining overseas resources and overseas mayors, and expanding the international influence of the renminbi. Not to mention anything else, by pushing the renminbi to the international market and becoming the currency of trade settlement, the salary address of this station has been changed to: Gangxun Kou Yang Sun Zhaobi... Please Lu Xian Pass! "The dams account for the manipulation of the renminbi exchange rate, and their financial groups in the international market are linked to fight tens of trillions.

No doubt, do so! It is tantamount to transferring to the whole world the problems that should have been borne by the republic.

In the same way, the United States is also trying to divert the pressure of war.

In this way, it is tantamount to the republic and the financial conglomerates of the United States working together to preside over the next economic crisis, and possibly even the next Great Depression.

In fact, by the year or so, the global economy was already overheated. Although the global trade environment is very favourable, and the situation of the major economies is relatively ideal, some economists have warned that if the major economies that play a leading role in international trade are not restricted, especially the financial markets are managed more probably, the financial crisis will lead to a new economic crisis within a few years.

The best way to avoid a global economic crisis is a war.

To be precise, it is a global war to change the world pattern, so as to completely change the global financial system and buy and sell old accounts.

Look at it from this point of view. The financial conglomerates of the republic had enough reason to give impetus to the "World Tower".

In fact, the same is true of the financial conglomerates in the United States.

As the renminbi and the euro have become international trade settlement currencies, the Republic of China has made the renminbi a "hard currency" through the Jixing Group and various economic communities with the republic as the core. "The international position of the US dollar has been significantly affected, it is no longer the only international currency, and it no longer has a decisive influence on international finance, so the US financial bloc also hopes to change this situation through a war, so that the dollar will once again become the only "hard currency" in the world. ”

The situation is similar for the other two interest groups.

Because controlled fusion nuclear power plants have become the world's main energy source and the only cheap energy source, energy companies are not only strategic enterprises of the country, but also the main helpers of the major powers to control their allies. In the case of the Republic, the energy markets of almost all the member countries of the Intensive Group are represented and controlled by the Republican Energy Group. As the markets of the member countries of the intensive bloc gradually become saturated, the energy conglomerate of the republic naturally needs more markets, which in turn requires the state to show some performance in its expansionary actions. Of course, the ideal outcome would be to take control of the entire world through a world war, allowing the republic's energy conglomerate to control global energy.

Not to mention the resource group, the demand for resources in any society is never-ending.

Thus, arms dealers are nothing more than spokesmen for a few major interest groups.

Affected by these factors, after Yan Jing came to power, he had to pay attention to the important issue of "world war."

As the deputy prime minister for security, who is also the defense minister, Bae Chengyi has the obligation to solve problems for Yuan. It can be said that as long as issues related to national security are sent to Yan Jingyu, they have to pass through Pei Chengyi's hands. It is precisely because of this that Pei Chengyi has repeatedly raised the topic of "world war" to Yan Jingyu. It is hoped that Yuan can raise it at the high-level meeting of the Central Committee and give a clear answer.

The problem is that Yan Jingyu is not so direct.

Pei Chengyi is very clear about Yan Jingyu's thoughts and situation. Although Yan Jingyu also knows that a "world war" is inevitable, and whoever prepares first will have a greater hope of winning the victory, but as the head of the country, it is impossible for Yan Jingyu to bow his head to any interest group, let alone listen to the demands of only a few interest groups. In other words, the more the arms dealers make trouble on the issue of "world war," the tougher Yan Jingyu's attitude will be. In fact, the same was true of Wang Yuanqing back then. Before the outbreak of the war in India, the republic had been preparing for war, and major interest groups were also actively creating an atmosphere of war, but it was not until two years before he left office that Wang Yuanqing started the war. In fact, Yan Jingyu had already listened to Pei Chengyi's warning and began to prepare for the war, but he was not in a hurry to take a stand. Not to mention anything else, Yan Jingyu's implementation of the relevant projects of the "Green Mountains and Green Water Project" after taking office has a great deal to do with war preparations.

Again the mention of "world war." When this question was asked, Pei Chengyi also found it difficult to speak, but as the vice premier and defense minister, he had to fulfill his duty and make Yuan clearly realize that the threat of war was imminent, and it was not something that could be avoided if he wanted to. As long as the authorities of the republic adhere to the interests of the country and follow the path of national rejuvenation, they will certainly be divided from the enemy on the battlefield. The new address of this site has been changed to: just a mouth... ８。 Please log in to the valve!

It is precisely because of this that every time this topic is mentioned, Pei Chengyi will bring out the main topic at the first time, that is, when Yuan intends to make the issue of war clear, rather than preparing in secret. It's not that Pei Chengyi is trying to find a way to shirk responsibility, no matter what, if the name is not right, it will not be good, if there is no support from the national yuan. And what can the Minister of Defense do? Arguably. Only with meta-support can preparations for war be put on the right track.

From Yan Jingyu's standpoint, this is definitely not a simple matter of nodding or shaking his head.

It can be said that on the issue of whether or not to actively prepare for the war, that is, to actively promote the war, Yan Jingyu is facing no less difficult decision-making than Gu Weimin back then. You must know that this is an all-out war with another level of power, if you win, everything is easy to say, if you lose, it will not only ruin the future of a country's leader, but also the future of the entire Chinese nation!