Chapter XXVI: The Threat of War

※ Chuan explained this situation. It is not difficult to understand why it is such a headache to ask Liguyu in the Middle East.

What makes Yan Jingyu even more troublesome is that he can't ignore the Middle East issue.

As the successor personally promoted by Wang Yuanqing, Yan Jingyu's eloquence has long been recognized. During Wang Yuanqing's return to the central authorities and his tenure as vice president of the state, Yan Jingyu, chairman of the Guangxi Autonomous Region, carried out many local reform measures, and even implemented political reforms in advance in accordance with the "four bills" adopted by the plenary congress before Ji Youguo left office, thus providing a theoretical basis for Wang Yuanqing to carry out political reforms throughout the country. After returning to the Central Committee, Yan Jingyu presided over the administrative work of the year in his capacity as premier of the State Council, and his administrative ability was fully affirmed. Although he did not get many opportunities to perform during Gu Weimin's administration, the long-term vision shown in the Middle East war and the close relationship established with many powerful figures such as Pei Chengyi and Liu Xiaobin once again proved Yan Jingyu's ability.

There is no doubt that Yan Jingyu is definitely a very ambitious politician.

At that time, Yan Jingyu was able to get Wang Yuanqing's attention and became the number one official promoted by Wang Yuanqing during his tenure in Guangxi, as well as Wang Yuanqing's official successor, which had a lot to do with his performance in the construction of the Beihai Economic Development Zone. You know, Wang Yuanqing in Guangxi to carry out reforms, Beihai is the top priority, and later became the world's number one arms enterprise Zhongzhong Group settled in Beihai at this time, Sanjian Group also built the world's largest power equipment industrial park in Beihai at this time, only these two enterprises have created about 3o million catties for Beihai, jobs and trillions of yuan of industrial output value, making Beihai the most important industrial center city in the southern region of the Republic. The problem is that at that time there were already several catties in the southern part of the republic, industrial center cities, and several economic development zones.

Although Wang Yuanqing is Ji Youguo's assistant and has received the support of many central leaders, he still encounters great resistance on the issue of building the Beihai Economic Development Zone. At that time, Yan Jingyu was the leader of Beihai City. According to rumors, it is precisely because of many decisive measures taken by Yan Jingyu, such as the location of the industrial park, that he directly bypassed this very troublesome link and used government trust loans to fill in a piece of land of about 2 acres on the sea, so in the year of the couple, Zhao Rundong approved the construction of the Beihai Economic Development Zone, and authorized Wang Yuanqing to be fully responsible.

As an ambitious politician. Yan Jingyu's performance in the central government is much better than that in the local area.

During his tenure as Premier of the State Council, Yan Jingyu supported Wang Yuanqing to fight the Indian War and successfully resolved various problems caused by the Indian War. Not to mention anything else, just settling the war expenses is enough to make Yan Jingyu comparable to the greatest premier of the State Council in the history of the Republic. You must know that the Indian War was the largest regional war experienced by the Republic after its founding, and it was also the war with the greatest casualties and losses in the war. Although the absolute expenditure was lower than that of the Middle East War in the Year of the Secret Warrior, the relative expenditure of the Indian War surpassed that of the Middle East War, taking into account factors such as inflation and the economic development level of the Republic, and was the most expensive war after the establishment of the Republic. In the words of former Premier Pang Xinglong, being able to solve the problem of tens of trillions of war funds in just a few years and ensure the normal development of the republic's economy is enough to prove Yan Jingyu's ability to govern the country.

It can be said that letting Yan Jingyu serve as the premier of the State Council can be regarded as Wang Yuanqing's test for him.

Anyway, no one doubts Yan Jingyu's ability.

It is precisely because of this that Yan Jingyu knows that at this time, he should not give up the Middle East region, but should also pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East.

In a certain sense, whether or not we can resolve peripheral issues before this year has a direct bearing on whether or not we can contain the United States in the Middle East. Therefore, when Pei Chengyi mentioned Syria and Iraq, Yan Jingbei was very embarrassed. A dilemma, to be exact. The new address of this site has been changed to: Gangkou Yang... 8。 Lion, please land the valve messenger!

The reality is that the republic must make a difference in the Middle East.

Reason told Yan Jingyu that he should never easily intervene in the Middle East dispute.

After pondering for a while, Yan Jingyu said to Pei Chengyi when he opened another pack of cigarettes: "According to what you said, the situation in the Middle East is about to get out of control, Syria wants to regain lost territory, and Iraq wants to annex Kuwait. ”

Poison Chengyi nodded and did not answer.

"These are indeed two big troubles, and as you know, with our current situation, the consequences of getting involved in the Middle East disputes are very serious, and even beyond our reach."

"What's more, any conflict has the potential to lead to a world war."

Yan Jingyu's brows jumped a few times, and his gaze stopped on Pei Chengyi's body.

Pei Chengyi did not avoid Yuan's gaze, and said bluntly: "Everyone knows that with the formation of a comprehensive combat capability around the end of the year with China's "national strategic defense system and the United States' national missile defense system, and the second phase of the reduction of the "London Treaty" will be completed at the end of the year, at the end of the year at the earliest, and at the latest at the beginning of the calendar year, the conditions for a world war will be ripe, and the key is how to detonate this war. Although there are many hot spots around the world, such as the border dispute between Argentina and Brazil in northern Mesopotamia, the war in Nigeria, the border dispute between Ethiopia and Eritrea, the territorial water dispute between the Philippines and Indonesia, and the border war between Morocco and Mauritania in Western Sahara, etc., these disputes are either not enough to cause war, or they are not worth our attention or the United States. The only thing that really threatens to lead to a world war is the strife in the Middle East. ”

Although Pei Chengyi said it so seriously, Yan Jingyu did not look a little surprised.

No doubt. Pei Chengyi did not exaggerate the facts.

Back at the end of the Force 4 beater. That is, shortly after the armistice negotiations for the Middle East war began, many news media declared that the "armistice agreement" of the Middle East war was just another "truce of the year." Later, in the evaluation of the "armistice." Al Jazeera cites and contrasts the Franco-Prussian War, the German-British naval arms race, and the strife in overseas colonies before World War I. According to Al Jazeera, the Middle East War was the first head-to-head confrontation between the Republic and the United States for world hegemony, as the two sides figured out the details of each other. And if they have mastered the basic foreign policy of the other side, if they do not make any efforts, a second war will break out, and it is very likely that this will lead to a third world war led by the Republic and the United States. In order to improve the credibility of the news, Al Jazeera also made a very bold prediction about the "third world war", believing that this war that could change the fate of all mankind is likely to explode around the years. Because of Al Jazeera's special relationship with the Republic, and especially with the Republic's intelligence services, many people believe that Al Jazeera's reports are from the Republican authorities, both to warn the United States and to create the atmosphere for World War III.

All in all, at the end of the century, no one thought that a world war was unexplosive.

The key remains technology, because the devastating threat to human civilization from nuclear weapons cannot be overcome without a major technological breakthrough. It will not be able to explode into a world war.

This round of technological breakthroughs was born in the era of the leading century.

As everyone knows. Since the beginning of the century, the United States has gone all out to build a "national missile defense system," and even forced Russia, the Republic, and other major opponents into a strategic blind spot for a time. After the occupation year, the Republic followed the steps of the United States and began to build a "national strategic defense system." Soon after, Russia began to build a similar strategic defense system. It was not until the Year of the Craftsman, that is, after the Peninsular War, that France, Germany and Italy proposed the "European Strategic Security and Defense System" on the basis of EU military integration. All four major strategic defense systems in the world have been launched. It was from this time on. The shadow of world war has once again fallen on humanity.

It is precisely for this reason that many countries oppose the issue of the "complete elimination of nuclear weapons". The new address of this site has been changed to: just a mouth... 8。 Lion, please land the valve messenger!

You must know that after the Second World War, the world situation was able to stabilize for a hundred years, and there was no global war. One of the main reasons is the deterrent effect of nuclear weapons on world wars. Although nuclear weapons have the ability to destroy human civilization, under the threat of mutual destruction, no nuclear power has the courage to provoke a world war, and it is even more difficult for a country without nuclear weapons to shake the international territory of a nuclear power.

With the retirement of nuclear weapons from the stage of history, there is no longer a weapon of destruction capable of containing a world war.

Of course, it is the more advanced technology that has led to the retirement of nuclear weapons from the stage of history.

The epitome of these advanced technologies is the "strategic defense system." The most representative ones are the Republic's "National Strategic Defense System" and the United States' "National Missile Defense System." "Stimulated by the war in the Middle East, the Republic and the United States have accelerated the pace of building the strategic defense system since the beginning of the year, and both have set the goal of completing the final round of construction work in the field year and making the strategic defense system a real combat capability.

Why should you choose Tian Nian?

According to the economic development between the Republic and the United States, Tian Nian was able to digest the problems arising from the war in the Middle East and began to prepare for the next war. Because the strategic defence system will need to be tested and tested after it is completed, and the second phase of the reduction of the London Treaty will not be completed until the end of the year, by the beginning of the calendar year, the two major powers have completed real preparations.

The key is whether the strategic defense system of the Republic and the United States can provide effective protection.

According to the National Defense Blue Book published by the authorities of the Republic of China at the beginning of the year, by the end of the year, with the full implementation of the third phase of the "National Strategic Defense System," a comprehensive defense capability will be formed to intercept several targets in outer space at the same time, or to intercept targets in the atmosphere in batches. Because after the completion of the first phase of the London Treaty of Treaty. The number of nuclear warheads that can be used in a strike operation will not be too powerful even if the Republic and the United States are both less than 10,000 nuclear warheads, so the Republic's strategic defense system is sufficient to withstand a strategic attack by the United States. Since it is unlikely that other nuclear-armed states will strike at the same time, the republic's strategic defense system is sufficient to intercept all the dropped nuclear warheads in batches.

Although the US "National Missile Defense System" will not form a corresponding interception capability until the end of the year, the gap between the two levels of major powers will not have much impact on the strategic balance between the two levels of powers, and in any case, it is impossible for the Republic to prepare for war before the end of the year.

It can be seen from this that the interception capability of the strategic defense system is of paramount importance.

The problem is that the command system itself is also a military system. It is also the angle of the opponent's strike to the strategic strike, and the strategic defense system is even the number one target. Among other things, all the operational plans drawn up by the General Staff of the Republic related to the world war put the attack on the US NMD system on a case-by-case basis, and all of them called for paralyzing the US NMD system at the beginning of the war, at least partially, and then considering a strategic strike on the US mainland under appropriate circumstances, so as to force the US authorities to declare defeat before they mobilized for war.

As a result, the leaders of both sides would have to leave a way out for themselves.

Let's be direct. It is to raise the threshold of strategic defense.

It is precisely for this reason that in the fiscal year of the year of Daoshi, the authorities of the Republic of China added an additional appropriation of yuan for the national strategic defense system, requiring that on the basis of the objectives of the third phase of construction, the strategic defense system should be strengthened to resist attacks, and that in the event that the space-based defense system was completely paralyzed by a sudden attack, the ground-based, sea-based, and air-based defense systems should comprehensively intercept incoming strategic ballistic missiles and nuclear warheads, so as to ensure the security of the homeland. There is no doubt that the yuan is certainly not enough, and in the following years, the Republic allocated nearly one trillion yuan for this purpose every year, and the allocation in the yo fiscal year exceeded the beating yuan and the gong 100 million yuan. If all goes well, by the beginning of the calendar year, the strategic defense system of the republic will have a "re-defense capability".

The mother is undoubtedly acting more aggressively with the US authorities.

Because the progress of the construction of the US NMD system has always been slower than that of the Republic's national strategic defense system, the US authorities have made an additional special allocation of about 400 million yuan for the NMD system in the fiscal year of Liwa, and in the following years, they have added a special allocation of hundreds of billions of yuan each year, calling for the formation of a "re-defense capability" by the end of the year and the end of March at the latest.

It can be seen from this that "re-defense capability" has become an important indicator of the combat capability of the strategic defense system. The new address of this site has been changed to: Gangkou Yang... 8。 Lion, please land the valve messenger!

Of course, there must be reasons why both the Republic and the United States chose to make the strategic defense system a real combat capability at the beginning of the calendar year.

The most immediate reason for this is the London Treaty's requirement for a phase II reduction plan. If all goes well, by the end of February, when the second phase of the reductions provided for in the Treaty of London is completed, the number of nuclear warheads in the Republic's possession will be strong, and the number of nuclear warheads capable of being used in a round assault will not be exceeded. It can be seen from this that even if the "re-defense capability" of the strategic defense systems of the two sides is only one-third of that of normal circumstances, they can intercept all the nuclear warheads fired by the other side in a full-scale war. In fact, both the Republic and the United States have a minimum requirement of two-thirds of the "re-defense capability" of the strategic defense system. In this way, even if half of the interception system that constitutes the "re-defense capability" is paralyzed, the interception task can be completed.

There is no doubt that this is already a very high insurance factor for a country.

Although everyone knows that even if the strategic defense system plays a role in ensuring the absolute security of the homeland of the two major powers, and even some important allies, it will also pose a major blow to human civilization, for example, most of the man-made facilities in outer space will become the target of war or be destroyed by those nuclear warheads detonated in outer space, but from the perspective of the security of the major powers themselves. As long as the homeland is not hit, and the main allies in the surrounding area are not hit, then sacrificing some of the interests to defeat the opponent is definitely an option, if conditions permit.

What's more, as long as the shield is strong enough, it can make the opponent hesitate to use a spear or not.

In other words, if the opponent can be made to realize that not only will the use of the spear not win, but will also be subject to more brutal retaliatory strikes, and thus suffer more serious losses, both the Republic and the United States will have to be concerned in actual combat.

From the perspective of the struggle between the great powers, as long as one side refrains from using nuclear weapons, it can have an impact on the other side, so that both sides have concerns.

In the words of some Western international strategy experts: During the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, world peace was maintained by relying on the huge nuclear arsenals of both sides that were enough to destroy the earth hundreds of times, but during the Cold War between China and the United States, it was no longer nuclear terror that maintained world peace, but the strategic defense system.

Because the strategic defense system is the direct embodiment of a country's scientific and technological strength, industrial productivity, comprehensive economic strength, national will, and other important factors related to the country's comprehensive strength, the competition between the Republic and the United States in the field of strategic defense system is the ultimate struggle between the two levels of great powers.

It is precisely in this way that the time of the outbreak of the world war can be guessed according to the progress of the construction of the strategic defense systems of the two sides.

It is precisely because of the decisive significance of the strategic defense system that a world war is inevitable.

In any case, the earth cannot accommodate two levels of power. When the struggle between countries reaches a certain stage, only war can resolve the contradictions between countries.