Article 846 Peace Conference, Currency, Trade I

On the evening of April 29, 1936, the official residence of the Royal City in Berlin.

Chang Ruiqing, dressed in a silk nightgown, lay on a sofa in a luxuriously decorated small living room in the Wangcheng official residence, quietly looking at the reports sent by the Chinese delegation to Germany, all about the nuclear attack near Borisov this morning. Before the nuclear attack, the heads of the military delegations of China, the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy and other major belligerent countries in Germany were invited to the Minsk front, which can be regarded as witnessing the nuclear attack. There is a special movie screening room in Wangcheng's official residence to watch, but Chang Ruiqing had witnessed the nuclear explosion scene with his own eyes, so he didn't go to watch the movie copy with Wang Jingwei and Liao Zhongkai. Instead, in his bedroom, he casually flipped through the report of the military delegation, which, in addition to the content about the nuclear explosion, was the information that the German armored group was gathering around Minsk. It seems that the Germans are ready to replicate the Battle of Krasnoyarsk on some kind of chengdΓΉ, "blowing" a gap in the Soviet line with nuclear fission bombs, and then throwing into armored clusters for assault.

Since the lessons of the Battle of Krasnoyarsk were there, the generals of the Soviet Red Army should have seen through the intentions of the German army. But so what? In the face of absolute strength, no matter how clever the art of commanding, it is in vain! Even if Yegorov could mobilize several thousand Soviet Su-76 guns, he would not be able to withstand the German armored forces. According to the report of the Chinese delegation, the German armored forces are now equipped with a large number of Panther tanks (also known as D-type tanks) and Cheetah tank destroyers (also known as D-type tank destroyers), and the Luftwaffe also has thousands of HS.129 anti-tank attack aircraft. This attack aircraft is somewhat similar to the Qiang1 of the Chinese Air Force, but the armor protection and firepower are more powerful, but the combat radius is smaller, which is very suitable for the use of the Soviet Western Front, where the battlefield is not too extensive. Under the crushing of such overwhelming armor and air superiority, the Soviet tank group, which had lost a strong defensive line, had absolutely no possibility of winning, at most it arranged a decent curtain call for itself, and at the same time gave Hitler a turn for himself. There was also an opportunity for Roosevelt, Churchill, Mussolini and other leaders of various countries attending the peace conference in Berlin to demonstrate Germany's strong military strength.

At this time, footsteps sounded outside the door, and then the door was pushed open, and Chang Ruiqing's adjutant Chen Xinrui walked in with Liao Zhongkai and Wang Jingwei. The three of them were just watching the film "Borisov Nuclear Explosion" in the movie screening room of the Wangcheng official residence.

"Mr. Zhongkai, Brother Zhaoming, sit down." Chang Ruiqing sat up straight, raised his hand and pointed to the sofa opposite. Laughing: "How is it." The scene of the nuclear explosion is moving enough, right? Mr. Zhong Kai, now you know that the appropriations of the U Engineering Committee are all used on the cutting edge, right? ”

Liao Zhongkai nodded, and said with emotion: "It's terrible, it's terrible, it's terrible...... We humans would have invented such a terrible weapon to kill each other! ”

Wang Jingwei sat on the sofa with a long sigh and said, "Fortunately, we also have this weapon, otherwise, we would have worked hard for so many years." In the end, it must be a bamboo basket to draw water! ”

"Mr. Zhongkai, Brother Zhaoming. Although the nuclear fission bomb is a powerful killing weapon, it will also be a powerful guarantee for maintaining world peace! ”

Liao Zhongkai shook his head and said: "Prime Minister, you said that nuclear fission bombs will become a guarantee for maintaining world peace, I don't quite agree, weapons are always used to kill people, although it is better to be in the hands of good people than in the hands of bad people, but this Hitler ...... I'm afraid it's also an ambition to dominate the world, right? ”

"Hitler certainly had ambitions, but the nuclear fission bomb was not unique to Germany!" After Chang Ruiqing handed the report in his hand to Chen Xinrui, he smiled again: "You should know that the British have become active recently, right?" ”

Liao Zhongkai and Wang Jingwei nodded, and Wang Jingwei said: "Could it be that the British are not afraid of Germany because they have nuclear fission bombs?" And Hitler will not dare to touch them because Britain has a nuclear fission bomb? ”

"Hehe, a nuclear fission bomb dropped on Leningrad killed hundreds of thousands of people, if the target is Berlin and Hamburg, millions of casualties are possible, do you think Hitler dared to drive the British to a corner? If they really pushed the British, they didn't have to bombard Hamburg and Berlin with nuclear fission bombs, just spread that thing out! For example, to the USSR, to France. ”

Although Chang Ruiqing said so, he was not very sure in his heart. If the current German president is not Hitler, a madman, it can be said that the pattern of the world for the next hundred or even hundreds of years has already been set. But for Hitler...... Chang Ruiqing really doesn't have any certainty, who knows what kind of demon moth this master will make? Therefore, at the Berlin Peace Conference, my most important task is probably to find a way to reconcile the contradictions in all aspects, to avoid the situation of confrontation between several major powers immediately after the end of World War II, and to draw the British Empire as much as possible, so that Hitler can get all the Russians to Australia to block himself.

"Prime Minister, the British seem to have given the United States a nuclear fission bomb, right?" Wang Jingwei suddenly reminded: "Do you think Churchill will really give this bomb to the Soviet Union to France?" ”

"No, as long as Hitler didn't touch the British bottom line, they wouldn't have done that." Chang Ruiqing thought for a while and said: "The United States is one of the three giants, and they have been engaged in the Manhattan project in China for many years, so they are close to the door, and if the British don't give it, the Americans will be a few months late, and they may pay a lot of money to buy it from us." ”

"It's a pity that the British took the lead." Liao Zhongkai had a regretful expression: "Otherwise, our finances will look much better." ”

"It's okay!" Chang Ruiqing waved his hand and said with a smile: "I estimate that there will be two main topics at this Berlin Peace Conference, one is to carve up the territory. Our goal is to secure the South Seas, Japan, Central Asia, and Siberia except for the Urals industrial region, while also ensuring that the British Empire can maintain both Australia and Canada, and avoid allowing the Russians to revive in Australia; The second is the economic issue...... Mr. Zhong Kai. What is your opinion on this? ”

"It's some ideas," Liao Zhongkai pondered for a moment and said: "This world war has been fought, and from the perspective of military and neighboring territorial expansion, we and Germany will definitely be the biggest winners, but from an economic point of view, the United States, which has made a lot of war money, is the big winner." From two or three years before the war. We, the Soviet Union, and Japan imported a large amount of equipment from the United States, and after the war began, orders from Britain, Germany, Italy, and France continued to flow to the United States. A war down. The Soviet Union and Japan perished, and we still have the little foreign exchange reserves of Britain, Germany, Italy, and France almost all of them, and they all owe a lot of debts to the Yankees. According to the Treasury Department, we owe the United States about $5 billion. Britain owes more than six billion dollars. Germany owes more than $7 billion to the United States, Italy to $1.2 billion, and France to at least nearly $1 billion. In addition, the Arab Empire, the State of Palestine, the State of East India, and the State of Israel, which was founded by the Germans, also owed the United States a debt of $7.8 billion and $500 million. ”

"Hehe, after a war, the United States will be a global creditor, but he is not a creditor!" Chang Ruiqing said with a smile.

Liao Zhongkai also smiled and said: "Now it is more ruthless to be in debt than to ask for debt." Not only is it indebted and refuses to pay its debts, but it also wants the United States, a creditor, to help revive the economies of various debtor countries. Premier. It would be better for you to raise this issue in your talks with German President Adolf Hitler tomorrow, because if China and Germany can unify their views on this issue, the United States will have no choice but to give in. ”

"Isn't the debt issue already settled with the United States?" Wang Jingwei on the side said puzzledly: "The Americans have promised to support the internationalization of Huayuan, and they have also promised to use the funds of the Federal Reserve to buy our Huayuan bonds." ”

"Yes, the problem of debt can be said to be temporarily solved, but the problem of trade imbalance has not been solved, and it is always a temporary means to let Americans buy our bonds to balance the current account balance, and it will not work for a long time, after all, we have no overwhelming advantage over the United States militarily. In order to achieve a long-term balance between recurrent projects, after discussing with Mr. Junmai, I believe that there are two key points: one is to formulate a favorable international trade and investment rules for me, because the current international trade and investment rules are very chaotic, there is both barter trade for the Germans and free trade for Britain and the United States, and the two rules are intertwined and tangled together in a certain process, making international trade and investment full of unnecessary institutional costs, and all parties feel very inconvenient. It is hoped that trade and investment rules can be developed that are simple and universal.

The second is the need to develop a favorable international monetary system, although we have reached an agreement with the United States on the internationalization of the Chinese dollar, but only with the reluctant support of the United States there is no way to make the Chinese dollar truly an international reserve currency. After all, the Chinese dollar is a paper money, and it is a different gold linked banknote, and now the real support for the value of the Chinese dollar is our strong military strength, but once the world war is over, peace is restored, our military strength will gradually fade out of people's sight, and if the people of the world do not recognize our Chinese dollar, we can't force people to admit it with knives and guns? ”

Liao Zhongkai is worthy of being an expert in managing the economy and finance for a long time, and a simple analysis made Chang Ruiqing understand that even if he used his military strength to force the United States to buy a large number of Huayuan bonds in the post-war years, it would still not be enough to establish Huayuan's international status, so China could not rely entirely on Huayuan banknotes to make up for the dilemma of insufficient domestic capital.

In other words, the concessions made by the United States to China and Germany on economic issues are far from enough, and at this Berlin Peace Conference, China and Germany must join hands to put pressure on the United States and make the United States assume more obligations for the recovery of the world economy after the war!

"Mr. Zhongkai, what kind of trade and investment rules and international monetary system should we propose?" Chang Ruiqing asked with a frown. Although he was a person from later generations, the international trade, investment, and monetary systems of that time and space in later generations were really not very reasonable. There is no reference value for the current Chang Ruiqing at all, so he wants to hear Liao Zhongkai's Jianyì.

"Let's talk about the national monetary system first, the United States and the United Kingdom have recently proposed two solutions in this regard, one is called the 'White Plan', which was proposed by U.S. Assistant Treasury Secretary White, and the core content is to establish an international monetary system centered on the U.S. dollar, proposing that the U.S. dollar is pegged to gold, and the currencies of other countries are pegged to the U.S. dollar and the implementation of a fixed exchange rate system." Liao Zhongkai said eloquently. What he is talking about now is the Bretton Woods system, which established the hegemony of the dollar in later generations, but although the United States in this time and space has a huge economic advantage, it does not have a strong military strength as a backing, and Germany and China will definitely not bird them, and it is purely a fool's dream to establish the Bretton Woods system.

"What do the British say?" Chang Ruiqing interjected.

"Britain put forward a Keynesian plan, which was developed by the famous British economist John Brown. Maynard. Keynes proposed. The core content is the establishment of the International Clearing Union to issue a unified world currency ......"

"World ...... The currency of the world? Chang Ruiqing has already remembered who Keynes is, isn't it the British economist Keynes who put forward the "Keynesianism" that advocates state intervention in the economy? Historically, he proposed a Keynesian plan to try to preserve the position of the pound and resist the hegemony of the dollar, but it was defeated by the Americans in the Bretton Woods system.

Professor Keynes advocated the establishment of an international clearing union, in which the central banks of various countries would open current accounts, and the official foreign claims and debts of each country would be cleared by transfer. The surplus country deposits the surplus into the account, and the deficit country can apply for an overdraft or withdrawal from the Union in accordance with the prescribed share. The unit of account of the alliance is Banke, which is denominated in gold. Member States may exchange gold for Banko, but not Banko for gold. The currencies of each country are denominated in Banko and may not be changed without the approval of the Council of the Alliance. The power of each country in the alliance and the number of basic bankos are calculated at 75% of the average value of import and export trade in the three years before the war. (To be continued......)