549 The Crisis of Capitalism – Is There Still a Monthly Pass?
Berlin, Germany, inside the Chancellery, Hitler's face was gloomy. Kautsky's telegram was on his desk, and the leader of the German Socialist Party, whom Lenin hated most, had gone to Moscow to mourn in a "private name", and after attending the farewell of Comrade Lenin's body, he had a long conversation with Trotsky in the Kremlin for several hours, and then immediately sent a secret telegram to Berlin informing him of Trotsky's intentions in Soviet-German relations. However, at the end of the telegram, Kautsky added his personal opinion, as a theoretician of the Second International, he certainly did not believe in Lotsky's words, nor did he believe in Lenin's will, not a word!
But the problem is that Kautsky does not represent the German people, let alone the Wehrmacht, which is indistinguishable in Germany.
German Foreign Minister Rathenau and Wehrmacht Chief of the General Staff Ludendorff were urgently summoned, and before they could discuss the matter, the office door was pushed open again, and Hoffmann, Goering, and Hess walked in quickly.
Ludendorff knew in his heart that today's meeting would probably discuss the issue of war and peace with the Soviet Union. The Great Famine in the Soviet Union not only gave the Soviet Union and Germany a chance to détente, but also gave Germany a good opportunity to attack the Soviet Union, and if the German army could enter the Soviet Union in the name of restoring Tsarist Russia or supporting the Belarusian government, perhaps they would be able to march on Moscow amid the cheers of the Russian peasants.
"Admiral Hoffman, what is the combat readiness of the armored corps now? In the event of war, will the German panzers be able to defeat the Soviet tank forces?"
Without waiting for Hoffmann to answer, Hitler began to gush to himself: "The current Soviet Union is very weak, and she cannot even feed her own people. Millions of people are said to have died of starvation and 50 million are starved of food. But in this case, the Bolsheviks were still exporting grain changers in large quantities! This is unprecedented tyranny, it's unimaginable! unimaginable! The Russian people will not support such a regime, and perhaps with a single blow, we will be able to crush the most evil regime in the history of mankind, don't you think?"
After waiting for Hitler to finish speaking, Hoffmann looked at Ludendorff and saw the other party's disdain. He cautiously said: "Yes, Your Excellency, I also do not think that the Russian people will support the Bolshevik regime, but we must also see that the Bolsheviks have a great military force!" According to intelligence, the Soviet Red Army had more than 40 infantry armies, 3 cavalry armies and at least 8 tank armies, each of which had at least five infantry divisions and one cavalry division. The cavalry army group had four cavalry divisions, each with four tank brigades. The entire Soviet Red Army had at least 200 infantry divisions, 52 cavalry divisions and 32 tank brigades, and the total strength of the army exceeded 2.5 million in the case of technical disappointment! And it can be cold up to 4 million in one to two months! There is absolutely no way to defeat such a force with the current German Army alone. ”
Hitler frowned and set his eyes on Field Marshal Ludendorff. The German World War I hero is now the deputy leader of the Nazi Party in Germany and Hitler's backer in the Wehrmacht.
"Admiral Hoffman is quite right." Ludendorff, of course, saw that Hitler wanted to start a war to destroy the Soviet Union. But he didn't have much faith in such a war. "At the moment the Wehrmacht is not ready for the offensive, only 20 of the 100 infantry divisions of the Wehrmacht are fully manned, and most of the troops are only 60 full. Moreover, the Stalker 1 tank has just been finalized and put into production, and now the production of no more than 300 units per month is now, and it will take at least 20 months to complete the configuration of 100 divisional tank battalions. As for the armored forces. Although 7 armoured divisions had been formed, they were not equipped with suitable tanks. At present, the task of designing heavy tanks of 20 tons and 30 tons has just been issued, and it will not be finalized and put into production until 1932 at the earliest, and large-scale equipment of troops will not be until after 1934. In addition, the Wehrmacht Air Force was not ready. He turned his head to look at Goering, the new Minister of the Air Force, "Mr. Goering, the affairs of the Air Force are up to you." ”
"Mr. Prime Minister, the plan of the Air Force is also to launch an operation against the Soviet Union after 1934." Herman. Goering had a helpless expression on his face, this timetable was set by Hitler and Ludendorff after consultation, and all the preparations for war were also carried out around this timetable. So the Luftwaffe is still designing new aircraft and training pilots step by step, and is not prepared for a large-scale war at all.
"Hess, how much time will it take us to move to wartime?" With a stern look, Hitler unceremoniously interrupted Goering and handed the question to Rudolph, who had just been promoted to Minister of Armaments. Hess.
"At least...... It will take at least a year, "Rudolph. Hess reluctantly persuaded: "Although China's industrial strength is far stronger than that of the Soviet Union, China's main heavy industry factories are controlled by private individuals, and it will take time to integrate them for large-scale arms production, and at present, Germany's rare metal and oil reserves are not much, and in a nitrogen war, we need to rely on China and Britain and other allies to provide important raw materials, otherwise it will be difficult to ensure the supply of armaments for a protracted war."
"Why not a large reserve?" Hitler roared with a grim face.
"Mr. Prime Minister, the UK and France have been restricting our sufficient reserves of oil and non-ferrous metals for the past few years." Rudolph. Hess said. In fact, Germany's lack of large reserves of oil and non-ferrous metals is also a strategy to win the trust of Britain and France, and it is precisely because of this strategy that the revival of Germany's national industry in recent years has not been hindered too much by Britain and France. However, the detriment of such an approach was that Britain and France controlled Germany's war potential.
"No, the lifeblood of Germany cannot be controlled by Britain and France!" Hitler shouted, waving his fists and making a gesture of indignation: "It is time to start stockpiling strategic resources, but to keep them as secret as possible, we can secretly import them from China."
Hearing this, several people in the conference room breathed a sigh of relief in their hearts at the same time, because they had already analyzed from Hitler's tone that the German chancellor had temporarily given up his intention to attack the Soviet Union.
"The Ministry of Armaments has long had a plan to secretly increase its reserves, and it has been carrying it out. By the end of 1934, it was expected that there would be enough rare metals and oil to support five years of all-out war. Hess whispered.
"By the end of 1932 the entire reserve plan had to be completed. No, increase the reserve by 30 more! Hitler commanded loudly.
"I understand." Hess replied.
"Is it really impossible for us, Mr. Rathenau, to persuade Britain and China to fight side by side with us?" Hitler still did not seem to give up, he looked at the Jewish Foreign Minister, whom he hated from the bottom of his heart, and said in the gentlest tone possible: "The Chinese Premier is not a fool, and Trotsky's tricks cannot hide from him."
Ratnau pondered for a moment and asked in a low voice: "Mr. Prime Minister, if we defeat the Soviet Union." How do you plan to arrange the post-war situation?"
Hitler sighed, he understood perfectly well what Rathenau meant. It was not the most difficult thing to defeat the USSR, the most difficult thing was how to eat the fruits of victory in your mouth! Of course, Germany and China would not fight the Bolsheviks in order to "liberate" the Russian people, and even if the Bolsheviks starved all the Russians to death, what would it matter to China and Germany? The purpose of the Sino-German attack on the Soviet Union was, of course, to expand its territory. Germany was to take at least Poland, Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, Belarus, Ukraine, and the lower Neva. And China may want the entire Soviet Far Eastern Republic and Russian Mongolia, which is still the lowest asking price. But can Britain, France, and the United States agree? Can they tolerate Germany turning into the most powerful country in Europe? Will they be able to allow China to defeat the Soviet Union and regain its position as the hegemon of Asia?
"Mr. Rathenau," said Hitler, "what kind of intrigue do you think Trotsky is playing?" He would never be naïve enough to think that Germany and China would let their guard down. Let his Red Army succeed in a sneak attack in one fell swoop, right?"
Rathenau shook his head and said, "Mr. Prime Minister, I would like to remind you that the peak repayment period of the 'Dawes Plan' is coming soon. Starting this year, we will spend more on loan repayments and indemnities than we have from common law! And we'll have to pay back more and more in the coming years! ”
Hitler's face was so gloomy that it was about to drip water. The recovery of the German economy in the past few years has benefited from Germany's arms expansion war on the one hand, and the "Dawes Plan" on the other hand, which has provided Germany with a large amount of money. However, the dollar loans obtained through the "Dawes Plan" had to be repaid, and the German reparations for the First World War had to be repaid.
If now the USSR was still aggressive. Every day he shouts for the liberation of all mankind. Then Germany's debts and reparations are all negotiable, and no one dares to slaughter and eat Germany, the watchdog of capitalism! But now there is a great famine in the Soviet Union. Trotsky again assumed a posture of being ready for reconciliation with capitalism. Regardless of the conspiracy, before the Soviet Union solves the food crisis, it will be peaceful for a few years, right? No matter how crazy the Bolsheviks were, they would not have been able to start a world war in the face of a great famine at home, and the Bolsheviks would have slowed down their preparations for war as a result, so why would the outbreak of the world revolution be delayed by more than five years? In this way, the value of the German watchdog will be greatly reduced......
Hitler stood up in silence, walked to the window, looked at the Brandenburg Gate in the distance, and after a long time turned around and said: "Well, it seems that Trotsky has made another good move!" Mr. Rathenau, please make a trip to London, Paris, and Washington, and seek the advice of Prime Minister MacDonald and Foreign Minister Briand, and then explain our difficulties to the Americans. ”
Rathenau nodded, and he asked again, "Mr. Chancellor, how do we respond to Thälmann?"
"The traitor, you say?" Hitler's eyes were almost on fire, he snorted heavily, suppressed his anger, turned back to Rathenau, and said: "Sue the traitor, I will wait for him in Berlin, and I will guarantee his safety on this trip."
……
Washington News: President Hoover said that the signing of the "General Treaty on the Abolition of War as a National Policy Instrument" by 11 countries, including the United States, Britain, France, Germany, the Soviet Union, China, Japan, Poland, Italy, the Netherlands, and Belgium, means that peace and prosperity will become a hallmark of this era. Perhaps from now until the end of the century, the American people will live in abundance and away from war......"
“…… Spurred by the signing of the Eleven-Power Non-War Pact and the Soviet Union's massive wheat purchases, Wall Street stocks rose sharply, with the Dow Jones breaking through the 400-point mark to close at 422. Insurance, banking, agricultural products, chemicals, non-ferrous metals and other industries led the stock market. National Mellon Bank, National Bank of Pittsburgh, General Reinsurance Company and Alcoa announced good news after hours that they will jointly buy a stake in China Power Group 30. The price is 250 million US dollars, and Alcoa will be a joint venture with the Ministry of Reserve. Invest US$200 million to develop a large-scale bauxite mine in Guangxi, China, and build an electrolytic aluminium plant with an annual production capacity of more than 100,000 tons......"
"The Indian National Congress Party, the Indian Self-Government Party, and the All India Muslim League recently jointly announced that they will cease the armed conflict with the British and Indian authorities indefinitely. A historic breakthrough has finally been made in India's peace talks. Stimulated by the good news, the London stock market rose sharply for several days, and the pound exchange rate recovered sharply......"
“…… Affected by the news that the Berlin government in Germany and the Königsberg authorities had launched talks on peaceful reunification, the Frankfurt stock market hit new highs for several days, and land prices in western Germany rebounded sharply. The French and Italian stock markets were also affected by the news. There has been a large increase in ......"
As the clouds of world revolution and world war drift over the capitalist world, it seems that all capitalist countries have entered an era of super-prosperity with money flying all over the sky, stock markets have skyrocketed, economic prosperity seems to be never-ending, and newspapers are full of all kinds of optimistic forecasts and analyses.
This storm of drunkenness quickly spread from Wall Street to the world's financial markets, and of course to Shanghai, the financial center of China. For a time, the whole stock market was buying surging, and funds came from across the ocean, from London and Paris. From all over the South Seas, even from Chinese mainland, they poured into Shanghai at the fastest speed, and hit Shanghai's stock market and property market like a tide. In just six months from late May to late November 1929, the 80 stock indexes on the Shanghai Stock Exchange soared from 185 to 403 points, an increase of more than 100. A year ago, the index was hovering around a hundred! The price of land in Shanghai has also risen like a rocket, rising by 90% in 5 months, and in the downtown area, it has reached the point where every inch of land is valuable! Spurred by soaring asset prices. Consumption is also rising throughout the city, every night. The city center is full of lights, all the dining and entertainment venues are doing business, and the sound of laughter is wafting through the streets.
However, in the official residence of the prime minister of Tangshan in Nanjing, not far from Shanghai, there are people who are uneasy about such a good shape, and they are also a little depressed. This person is Chang Ruiqing, the prime minister. Chang Ruiqing, who has long seen the huge fluctuations in the financial market in the future generations and dealt a heavy blow to the economy, certainly knows that the current stock market and property market boom have long been out of any rational category. Stock prices and land prices in Shanghai have risen to mythical heights...... However, there has been a steady stream of buying in the market, and any sell-off seems to be wrong.
And Chang Ruiqing and the Chinese Federal Government have been repeating this happy mistake since the beginning of 1929!
"Haha......"
As soon as he returned to the official residence from the Prime Minister's Office, Chang Ruiqing heard cheerful laughter in the living room, and after walking in, he saw Pan Yucheng and Wang Guangfu (Wang Ruonan's father) actually coming together, and there was no coke, and they couldn't stop laughing. Chang Ruiqing asked in surprise: "What good thing do you two have to be like this?" Is it that the little wife of the Japanese clan in the family has a big belly?"
In recent years, China's upper class society has become popular to accept Japanese girls as concubines, and many dignitaries and dignitaries are not exempt from vulgarity, but Pan Yucheng and Wang Guangfu's Japanese concubines are not what they want to accept, but Chang Ruiqing gave them, that is, the two Japanese girls that Yasuo Yasuda gave him.
After listening to Chang Ruiqing's joke, the cheeks of the two old men were slightly red, Pan Yucheng reacted first, waved his hand indifferently, and said with a smile: "What's so happy about the little wife's big belly?" Raising a son will divide the family property in the future, and giving birth to a daughter will also have to accompany the dowry. The prince and I are so happy, of course, not a money-losing business, but a money-making thing! ”
"Oh, is the stock going up again?" Chang Ruiqing took off his coat and handed it to Sun Yuexun, who had just given birth to a daughter to Chang Ruiqing, so his face was a little melancholy, Chang Ruiqing patted her on the shoulder and asked her to prepare refreshments for Pan Yucheng and Wang Guangfu. Then he found a sofa and sat down, frowned and said, "Isn't this stock market crazy?" How did it go up like this? From May to now, the official shares have been reduced ten times in a row, and the Iron and Blood Comrades Association has also sold a large number of shares, and the two have cashed out a total of 5 billion Chinese yuan, so why can't they hold it back?"
"Of course, it's because there's too much money!" Old man Pan said triumphantly: "Yaoru, I told you that this stock has risen well." How much money has come in from the South Sea Stream over the years? How much money does Europe and the United States flow in? How much more money will we have for our domestic economic growth? Now the Chinese dollar on the market, the issuance alone has already exceeded 65 billion, considering the multiplier effect of the currency, there is now at least 200 billion in circulation, of which more than 30 are concentrated in Shanghai to fry this and that, you have spent a lot of effort to extract 50 billion, what use can you do?"
Chang Ruiqing's eyebrows tightened, he was a history teacher in his previous life, he knew a lot about the financial crisis, but his financial knowledge was very limited, so he couldn't understand why he sold so many stocks, but the stock market still kept rising, and he couldn't think of where so much money came from?