Chapter 21: Direction in the Crisis (II)

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Faced with Rockefeller's praise of "you should be president", Scrooge just smiled and did not take him to heart. Being president is certainly a good thing for many people, but Scrooge knows that the president is just a ruler on the table, and since the beginning of the industrial age, it has always been the corporations that have really ruled the world. Moreover, the president has a term of office, while the person at the helm of the big business has no term limit.

"My interest in politics is limited to how to use it, and the American people will regret it if they choose me." Scrooge smiled, "Besides, it will take many years before I can be president, and I can't wait." ”

Clark and Rockefeller laughed as well.

"Well, now that we have figured out the whole situation, we can think about how to get through the crisis and even use it to make money." Scrooge said, "There was a great man who said, 'Revolution...... The most important question in trading is who is our friend and who is our enemy. So we have to figure out what path we can take and who will be our friend and foe if we make that choice." ”

"At present, there are a lot of chaotic forces in the country, but I think in the final analysis, there are only two big systems." Rockefeller said, "According to Scrooge's previous analysis, there are two possible directions for the United States in the future: one is to export agricultural products to Europe and purchase industrial products under the leadership of the South, mainly in planting. So that sooner or later our industry will be finished, and the United States will go on the path of South America. The other is to defeat the south and make it our raw material source and sales market. For the sake of justice and the motherland, we should prepare for the defeat of the South. ”

Scrooge glanced at Rockefeller and watched him say "justice and the motherland" in a righteous and stern manner, and couldn't help but want to laugh a little, but he still immediately picked up Rockefeller's "justice and the motherland" and continued:

"Yes, the direction of the south is the direction of betrayal, it is unjust, and there is no doubt that with God's blessing, justice will prevail! Moreover, now the balance of forces is clear. Unlike when they were just independent, the southern states were more populous and wealthier. But now, the situation is completely different. Industry can provide far more jobs than farming, so the North can accommodate far more immigrants than the South. What's more, the South doesn't really need white immigrants, they need. As a result, in terms of population, now the North has a clear upper hand. Moreover, in modern warfare, the amount of material power will play an increasingly important role. Although the manufacturing industry in the North was suppressed by Europe, it was still much stronger than in the South. Now, with God's blessing, the North has an overwhelming advantage in both human and material resources, and I believe that the forces of justice will triumph. And we will definitely be on the side of the winners. ”

"The fact that the British are now using troops in India and China will inevitably make them less able to support the South. So there is no foreign aid in the south. The economy of the South is extremely dependent on Europe, and as long as the coast is blocked, the South is a dead end. Rockefeller interjected.

"Do you really think war is so imminent?" Clarke furrowed his eyebrows, looking hesitant, "If, I mean, if things don't come to this, are we going to ...... I don't think we should be too aggressive, and we should take a more modest approach. On the one hand, we have to be mentally prepared for war, but on the other hand, I don't think we can put all our treasures on war. ”

"Then it would be a good idea for us to direct our investments in the direction of dual-use use." Rockefeller said, "The company's current direction of operation -- grain is good, and if there is war, grain is an important strategic material." ”

"In addition, even if there is no war, the further opening of the West by the United States is unstoppable. The deal for westward expansion is also good. Scrooge added, "We need to care about these kinds of companies, and when their market value is at their lowest, we can take them down." I have drawn up a catalogue of expeditions. Scrooge said, pulling out a memo, "These are all companies that are in the same direction as our goals and are not in a good state at the moment. I propose that we should pay back the following goals, focus on these companies separately, and every once in a while, we will study them together to see if there are any goals worth doing. ”

"Okay, but Scrooge, I've invested more time in the company's operations, so I don't have as much energy to devote to this, and I can't be assigned too many tasks." Clark said with a frown.

"Okay, I agree." Scrooge said.

"I agree." Rockefeller said.

After making a lot of money, both Rockefeller and Clark made additional investments in the company, and now they are the largest shareholders in the company, and the equity is past Scrooge.

After the meeting adjourned, Scrooge left the room first, while Rockefeller and Clark stayed behind.

"John, I have something to say to you." Seeing Scrooge leave, Clark stopped Rockefeller.

"What's the matter?" Rockefeller asked.

"Ah, it's about Scrooge." Clark lowered his voice, "Don't you think he's a little carried away by the recent victory?" I suspect he's all about the idea of doing a vote like he did last time. You see, he made a lot of money last time, but he didn't invest even a penny in the company, and he must want to keep that money for another one. Scrooge is indeed very smart, I have never seen a child of his age think about problems so far, but there are still too many surprises in the business field, even if he is smart, it is impossible to predict opportunities anywhere. I think he's too aggressive. He may be able to make a lot of money at once, just like last time, but he can also lose all at once. I don't think that's a good way to do business. At least, my heart can't withstand such a shock. If he likes to take such risks, then it is better not to involve the company. Maybe you should try to persuade him that you are good friends with him, and that you speak better than I say. ”

Rockefeller did not answer immediately after hearing this, he thought for a while before replying: "I will convey your opinion to him, but I am not sure how effective it will be." Although Scrooge is young, he is a very assertive person, well, even a little stubborn at times. ”

……

As Clark said, Scrooge couldn't be right about everything. Although he can take advantage of the factor of foreknowledge of history, there is not everything in the history books. So, some things will still go out of Scrooge's expectations. For example, the "Stroul" shotgun factory that Scrooge took a fancy to.

Scrooge thought that when the crisis came, the company would definitely have a decline in sales and a difficult situation. Unexpectedly, at least for now, the business is doing quite well. Thanks to the recent economic downturn and the chaos of law and order, more people are buying guns for self-defense.

The double-barreled shotguns produced by this factory now seem to be particularly suitable for today's needs. Although the accuracy of a rifled rifle with Minnes is almost impossible to hit anything at a slightly lower distance, in the city you have no chance to shoot at such a distant target, and even the long range is not an advantage but a disadvantage, because it means that if you shoot, you can easily injure an innocent person by mistake. It is said that a certain country in the city of Houshi once equipped a large number of powerful military-type pistols in the police department, but then it was found that the effective range of this gun was too long, the penetration was too strong, and it was very easy to accidentally injure innocents. In the end, this high-power pistol was replaced with a much less powerful "small smashing cannon" that claimed that even a single magazine could not necessarily kill a rhubarb.

In addition, firearms at that time were generally slow to reload, and double-barreled shotguns using deer bullets were not only powerful at close range, but also had a much higher hit rate than any other firearm. As a result, this gun has become one of the best choices for self-defense in the city. As a result, the company is in even slightly better shape than it was before the crisis began.

This state of affairs was entirely expected by Scrooge. Obviously, in this case, the original plan to buy the factory at the bottom price is simply impossible to complete under normal circumstances. And buying this company at a normal price, although it is not impossible for Scrooge, but it is too painful for him.

"What should I do?" Scrooge thought, "How can we make the market value of this company plummet?" ”

Generally speaking, it is not easy for a company like this to plummet its market value, and to do this, it is generally necessary to find a way to make its business situation worse. In other words, if you want to make something that can't be sold, or if you sell it, you won't make money.

"Quality accidents are perhaps the most effective means of cracking down on such companies. It would be nice if we could create some quality accidents related to this company. For example, if you blow up a bore or something, as long as you give birth to a few cases, it is enough to have a lethal effect. Well, if they are allowed to invest their money in expanding production first, and then make some quality accidents, at that time, they will not be able to turn around, and they will have only one way to go out of business. The question is how quality accidents are created. ”

Scrooge couldn't help but think of one of the most classic manufacturing quality accidents in later generations - Toyota brake doors.

In 2oo9, the financial crisis is still burdening the U.S. economy, and international crude oil prices are moving towards the $15o target. In response to high gas prices, stimulating the auto market, and reducing air pollution, Obama introduced a trade-in program that allows older cars or cars with a mileage of less than 18 miles (1.6 kilometers) per gallon of gasoline (about 3.8 liters) to be exchanged for a new car for up to $45oo.

Car dealers get the old car trade-in quota (funds) allocated by the government, and the car exchanger can buy a new car at a discount of $45oo as long as he trades the old car to the seller. American cars were not expensive in the first place, coupled with the economic crisis at that time, the price of cars was not high, and a discount of 45oo was already considered the price of cabbage.

The U.S. government hoped to use this method to increase car sales in the United States, but things did not happen to them. After the implementation of the plan, the sales of American cars did not rise, but the sales of Japanese cars rose sharply -- the American people took the money from government subsidies to buy cheap and fuel-efficient Japanese cars. As a result, Obama's plan turned into the U.S. government subsidizing Japanese automakers.

However, soon after, there were reports in the American news media that Toyota's brakes failed and automatic adding, first the Camry, and then almost all the models on sale were implicated. Various brake failures and accidents with automatic addition are constantly reported. The guys at Toyota were dumbfounded, and they couldn't find out the problem if they tried their best. As a result, compensation, fines, apologies, and the closure of North American factories made Toyota disgraced, its image and sales plummeted, while the Americans' Ford and GM saw a sharp increase in sales. The U.S. auto manufacturing industry has managed to recover at the most dangerous time.

Two years later, the U.S. Department of Transportation finally completed its final investigation and came to the final conclusion: Toyota was fine, and the accidents were either operational errors or simply believed that the accidents were fraudulent insurance. And the newspapers reported on it in a very inconspicuous position. But the critical time has passed, and Toyota has been miserable.

"It's definitely a good idea to create an accident and use the media to fuel the fire!" Scrooge thought.