Section 19 Countermeasures
The outbreak of the revolution in Russia and the seizure of power by the Cloth Party openly appealed for peace, giving the Entente a blow to the head. Britain and France never expected the Kerensky government to be so vulnerable. It was only at the end of August that they visited Russia and agreed on a framework plan for military and economic assistance to Russia, and as soon as the follow-up troops of the Chinese Expeditionary Force entered Russia's borders, the Central Committee of the Cloth Party issued a statement of peace that angered the Entente.
Russia really can't fight. If Kerensky had pursued a domestic policy similar to that of the Party, the October Incident would never have occurred.
Britain and France were the most stimulated. When he saw the dawn of victory, there was a scene that he did not want to see.
The most angry was Clemenceau, known to the French as the "Tiger", a capable man and a very destructive man, who, despite being 76 years old, was full of energy and spoke straight to the point. French politics have always rejected him, because he represents a special force in France, advocating freedom, hating behind-the-scenes dealings, running newspapers, but repeatedly banned by the government, President Poincaré has always been full of doubts about him, since the war in France has changed four governments, always excluding the "tiger". Now there is no choice but to let the "Tiger" come out and clean up the mess, in the words of Poincaré, 'everything has failed now, you can save everything alone'. Clemenceau took over the government and made drastic reforms to purge people and things he couldn't tolerate in order to win this damn war. Clemenceau understood the importance of Russia at the moment, better than anyone else, and did not hesitate to deign to go to China to ask for help, and did not hesitate to squeeze out the last of France's strength to transfuse blood for Russia. Right now. Russia retreated! In Clemenceau's eyes, this is the most shameless betrayal!
What to do? France and Great Britain, including the United States, which has already joined in, are beyond the reach of the Russian situation, and only China can intervene in the Russian situation! After confirming the attitude of the Cloth Party, Clemenceau's first feeling was to let China intervene in Russia by force, hang all the damned Cloth Party, whether it was to restore the Tsar or to bring the incompetent Kerensky to power again! As long as Russia continues to fight!
Immediately after gathering important government officials to determine the policy toward Russia, Clemenceau summoned the Chinese ambassador to France, he said to the Chinese ambassador. His government has already communicated with Britain and the United States about the situation in Russia. The three countries agreed that China, as an important member of the Entente, had come to play a key role. Whatever the means, Russia must not be allowed to withdraw from the war! As long as China achieves this goal. The French government will unconditionally support China. On the one qiē side! "Dear Mr. Ambassador. For God's sake, please show courage and act accordingly. "Clemenceau was a little hysterical.
Britain and the United States have expressed roughly the same demands through diplomatic channels. President Wilson telegraphed Long Qian and suggested that he quickly convene an international conference with the participation of all the Entente countries to study the situation in Russia. The sooner the better, and the location respects China's opinion.
Wilson came under tremendous pressure at home. Due to Russia's "perfidy", the bonds in the hands of the consortium and the people who bought the bonds of the Russian war became a piece of waste paper! The United States was the financier of the participating countries of the Entente and bought more than seventy percent of the war bonds of the Entente countries. Since February 1917, the most dramatic and money-making opportunity in the Wall Street bond market has been Russian bonds, which have made countless people windfalls overnight and caused more people to lose dearly. After the events of July in St. Petersburg, when Russian bond prices skyrocketed and became a hot commodity, who would have thought that the Kerensky government would collapse overnight? Although the new government has not yet formally annulled the old treaty, the party's peace statement has already shattered Wall Street's confidence.
The consortium, which had suffered heavy losses, of course, put pressure on the White House, hoping to do everything possible to turn the tide in Russia. Although Wilson is president, he cannot ignore the interests of the powerful conglomerates in American politics.
In fact, after the Central Committee of the Buenos Aires Party issued a statement requesting peace, the first to react was, of course, the Republic of China, which was "mired" in the war situation with Russia.
On 9 October, Long Qian presided over a special meeting to study the situation in Russia. One is the issue of politics, which assesses the control of the political power of the cloth party. The second is the military issue, the study of the countermeasures of the expeditionary force. The third is the economic issue, which is not important, and Huamei Company promptly got rid of most of its bonds according to the secret instructions of the country, and made a fortune relentlessly. China's investment in Russia is basically none, so the economy is not the focus.
Present at the meeting were the prime minister and vice premiers of the government, the speakers of the two houses of the National Assembly, the principal heads of the Ministry of National Defense, the General Staff Headquarters, and the Joint Logistics Headquarters, the commanders of the Navy and Air Force, the commanders of the Railway Corps, and the principal responsible persons of the National Defense Science and Technology Commission, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and the Ordnance Industry Administration. Prior to Long Qian's arrival, there was a discussion about the situation in Russia, and the dignitaries were once again shocked by the president's predictability. After the July incident, both the government and the military believed that the party had failed, that Kerensky had consolidated power, and that Long Qian's warning was unheeded. Fortunately, the president made a series of arrangements and carried them out, otherwise it would have been really troublesome.
At the request of Long Qian, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs first informed them of the information on the major belligerents that they had gathered.
The reporter is Gu Weijun, and the materials have obviously been processed, which looks literary and flavorful.
"At the request of the President and with the cooperation of the relevant departments of the Government Council and the military, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has compiled the main economic and military figures of the participating countries and briefed you on the situation in accordance with the President's request. Here, I will only do qualitative analysis. The fourth winter of the Great War is approaching, and European civilization is dying. Russia was called the most promising of the European countries before the Great War, but at the moment it was close to collapse. Nicholas II ran to Siberia, but none of his wife and children escaped and missed the best opportunity. According to reliable information, His Majesty the Tsar's wife and children have been imprisoned by the Cloth Party. Now that the Russians are short of something, and the main factories in Moscow and Petersburg are running poorly, it is hard to imagine how they will survive this winter if external aid is cut off. The situation between France and England was much better than that of Russia, and England was better off than France. Because Britain is a global colonial empire with ample overseas resources, although they lost more than 1 million people in the war, they can continue to fight. France is worse, although prices in Paris have not risen much, and the supply of goods is relatively abundant, but after the loss of a large part of the northern territory, the mineral resources have been lost by 60%, but after the United States entered the war, the problem of arms no longer exists. The main thing is that the personnel is close to depletion. More than three years of war. They lost at least 2 million men, the morale of the French army was not good, it was being reorganized, and the ability to launch a large-scale offensive campaign was basically gone. But it was possible to resist the German offensive. Not yet to collapse. The situation in Italy is not good either. Their performance in the war was poor, and the confrontation with weakened Austria did not have any upper hand, and did not help the Entente decisively. Britain and France don't pay much attention to this ally. On the chessboard of the Entente, they are definitely not as important as ours. The problem between Germany and Austria is very serious, Austria is almost finished, they can't hold out for even three months without German support, Germany has fewer losses in soldiers than its opponents, but more in absolute terms than its opponents, because they have been single-handedly fighting three countries, and later we were added. Information on the situation in Germany is vague, but it is certain that the Germans began to slaughter livestock in large numbers due to lack of food, and it is said that all the pigs were almost slaughtered. The situation of the German army was stronger than that of the French army, there was no shortage of munitions, and the Germans, relying on an excellent chemical industry, met the army's massive munitions needs, which was very admirable. However, according to unreliable sources, there was a serious disagreement between the German military leaders and the political leaders, and Hindenburg and Ludendorff had submitted their resignations to Kaiser Wilhelm II two months earlier, which was of course a threat. The Kaiser had to adopt Ludendorff's proposal to carry out a general war in Germany, with the aim of squeezing the last forces into the war. After the United States entered the war, the Entente would no longer seek an armistice with Germany, and Germany had no choice but to surrender, but there was no sign of Germany's collapse at present. The United States was the decisive factor, and now we can see that the president's decision is smart, we are on the right side, and the victory is definitely on the side of the Entente. Finally, let's talk about us," Gu Weijun glanced at Long Qian, "I don't understand military issues, but according to the statistics of the relevant departments of the Government Council, since the European War, China's export volume has quadrupled, and the industrial output value has increased by 55% in two years. According to the current figures, the indicators of major industrial products such as steel, coal, and electricity have already overwhelmed Japan. In general, the war in Europe is extremely beneficial to us, and the Foreign Ministry analyzes the situation and believes that the longer the war goes on, the greater our gains will be......"
"Very good," Long Qian nodded to Gu Weijun, "This is the main situation. Everyone has heard that we are not afraid of war, and if it were not for the European war, we would not have won foreign aid on such a scale. What Xiao Gu said is the basis for our study of the situation in Russia. The study of Russia must be based on an accurate grasp of the global situation. Now let's get down to business. ”
Next, the political situation in Russia was studied. Although most of the decisions made since the founding of the People's Republic of China have followed the path drawn up by Long Qian, this time there is no longer any doubt about Long Qian's statement that the Cloth Party will control the situation, and on the premise that Ulyanov and his gang can control the situation, the political question has become simple -- go with the flow or intervene militarily according to the demands of Britain, France, and the United States?
"The president said that we are not afraid of war. There is no problem at all with the mobilization of a million more troops. Let's talk about Russia, judging by the expeditionary force, if Germany does not act, they can take Moscow and Petersburg within a month. As long as Wu Nian's 3rd Army is transported up, it will be foolproof. In this case, we have two choices, to restore Kerensky's rule or to return Nicholas II to his palace! Which one to choose depends on which of them has the highest price. "Defense Minister Marshal Feng Guozhu spoke first.
"This is not Commander Wang's opinion!" Situ Jun immediately objected, "This is completely the babbling of some generals of the expeditionary force, and it is a typical military adventure." Not to mention that the consequences brought about by politics are unpredictable, only talking about the military, I will never agree to military intervention in Russia! The troops were faced with a German heavy group, and who guaranteed that the Germans would not move? In addition, once the expeditionary force moves against the Russian army, the consequences are unpredictable, and who said that the Russians will collapse at the touch of a button like they fought against Germany? The Western and Northwest Front armies alone have a full 2.2 million troops, and even if Wu Nian's group army is added, the expeditionary force is still less than 700,000 people! ”
"I agree with Situ Jun." Long Qian did not let the military generals debate this issue, "Wang Mingyuan gave me a report that clearly opposed interference in Russia, but his assistants believed that the Russian army was vulnerable and was in a state of collapse. In fact, it is not necessary to talk about the plan of military intervention and the probability of success, but the consequences that matter. "The leaders of the party have accurately grasped the psychology of the Russian people, which is the fundamental reason for their success. Acknowledging this, in fact, it is simple, our military intervention will not succeed. There is a high risk of getting stuck in a quagmire from which you will not be able to extricate yourself. Don't believe the nonsense of the Western powers. They don't really put themselves in our shoes. We are in a sea of blood with Russia, and our strength has been greatly damaged, and they will inevitably benefit. ”
However, if the British, French, and American demands were refused. Will it bring consequences of being strict? Hong Yuecheng asked.
"Don't worry too much. This issue will not be discussed today. We will never pursue a policy of interference in Russia. Long Qian said. But other aspects of the work can be done quickly, Kerensky and Nikolai are the two cards we have prepared in advance, in the current situation. Kerensky is of little value, he is considered a spokesman in the eyes of the West, but he is useless to me. If Nicholas II is established in the Far East, we can support it, financially the West will be responsible, militarily we can help. Now it is certain that there are some generals in the Russian army who are royalists, so it is more interesting, this issue will not be studied in detail today, let's do another day, please prepare it for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and intelligence departments, and we will study it on a special topic. Now we will focus on the expeditionary force, and I will ask the General Staff to talk about it. ”
Situ Jun stood up and walked to the large wall chart on the wall, picked up the shiny steel baton, "First report on the deployment of the expeditionary force." The two armies deployed in Poland had already made adjustments in their layout in accordance with the President's instructions, and the front-line forces had been retrenched as necessary, some minor positions had been abandoned, and several lines of communication had been strengthened. The first line of strength is 5 armies and two independent heavy artillery divisions, the southern flank is the 7th, 15th and 16th armies under the command of General Shi Dashou, the northern flank is the 3rd and 1st armies under the command of General Xiong Xun, and the commander of Wang Mingyuan Jian yì merged it into a group army to facilitate the command, I think it is correct, Jian yì These five armies are under the command of General Xiong Xun, undertake the defense of the existing front, do not take the initiative to attack the German army, the task is to defend and cover, and at the same time secretly prepare for the echelon withdrawal from Poland. Situ Jun's baton shrank eastward, "In the rear of the front-line troops, Lublin is the main support point, and between Lublin and the front line, two armies are currently assembled, the 9th and 21st armies, ready to reinforce the front line at any time, and are the reserves of Commander Wang. The 5th Army had withdrawn eastward, taking control of the main line of communication from Lublin to Vinnitsa, plus the 11th Army stationed in Vinnitsa, which was under the command of General Shi Dashou to form the new 2nd Army. The main task of this group army is not to fight, and at present it is necessary to conscientiously strengthen the control of roads, bridges, and warehouses to ensure the safety of the Xiong Xun group army's rear roads. The 19th Army, consisting of the 3rd Expeditionary Army, composed of the 3rd, 8th, and 4th armies, has been formed in Changchun, and its forward 4th Army has gone abroad and is heading to the railway line in Ukraine. The General Staff did not have to go west, at most to the Omsk-Irkutsk line, and its task was to ensure the safety of the transportation of the expeditionary force back home, and the Russian army loyal to Nicholas II had already begun to be assembled in this area, which had to be taken precaution. In addition, the construction of the railway branch line from Irkutsk to Kulen should be stepped up in order to shorten the supply distance to the front line, and the headquarters of Lieutenant General Wu Nian could go to Irkutsk and effectively control this point. ”
Situ Jun walked back to his seat and drank a few sips of water, "There are two options, first, maintain the existing front to contain the German army and keep the situation unchanged." The second is to retreat, the first step is to withdraw the Xiong Xun Army Group from Poland to Ukraine, and the second step is to withdraw to the Far East. This should be what the Russians want to see, it is estimated that the German army will not fight with us, they will follow the pace of our army's retreat to occupy Ukraine to the Don River valley, they are desperate to get Ukrainian grain and livestock. ”
"Hmm, how are the Germans doing?" Long Qian set his sights on Tian Shubang.
"Reporting to the president, the Military Intelligence Bureau has compiled intelligence from all sides, especially the daily report of the enemy situation of the Expeditionary Force Intelligence Service, and there is no sign of the movement of the German troops in front of our army." Tian Shubang stood up and replied.
"Very well, how about the implementation of the Ukrainian strategy?" Long Qian turned his gaze back to the Chief of the General Staff.
"General Wang Mingyuan is the ultimate person designated by the president, according to his last report to the General Staff, the work preparations are basically completed, the A plan has been implemented, and now there are two weaknesses, the first is the extreme lack of transportation, and there are not enough skilled workers, and the second is that the Ukrainian independence forces are too weak. Do you want to report in detail? ”
"There's no need, you can immediately send enough technicians to wear military uniforms." Long Qian glanced at Fang Shengyuan, and Fang Shengyuan nodded.
"Plan B should be grasped quickly, and it is not a big problem if it is not successful. The focus is on the Far East, sending a telegram to Van der Ping, and making official contact with our Russian upstarts, and I know that there is only one result, but it is just a salute before the soldiers. Then the liaison office could be withdrawn as planned, the main personnel went to Ukraine to report to the headquarters of the expeditionary force, and Van der Ping himself immediately went to Omsk to meet with Nicholas II, to whom I had already given specific instructions. ”
"Yes!" Situ Jun stood up to receive the order.
"The Foreign Office drafted for me a telegram to Wilson, Clemenceau and George Lloyd's, and the content was exactly the same. It was agreed to convene a consultative meeting, but because of the tense situation in Russia, I could not leave, and if it was held in China, I was afraid that time would be tight, so it would be held in England, and I would send plenipotentiaries to the meeting. ”
"Yes!" Tang Shaoyi stood up to receive the order.
"The intelligence departments are closely monitoring Japan's movements, the Ministry of National Defense and the General Staff Department continue to transfer additional troops to the Northern Military Region, the Sixth Army of the Central Military Region has been transferred to the Northern Military Region, and the three newly formed armies of the Army must step up their training. If Japan sends troops to Vladivostok, our army should immediately attack it. The Air Force stopped sending troops to Russia and should turn the main forces to the Northern Military District. The Navy should strengthen the forces of the submarine forces of the North. ”
Feng Guozhu, Situ Jun, Fang Shijun, and Shang Fengchun stood up to receive the order.
Long Qian stood up, "Gentlemen, if my estimate is correct, the new Russian government will sign an armistice agreement with Germany next spring. The mission of the expeditionary force was basically accomplished. Therefore, I agree with General Situ's opinion on the adjustment of the establishment of the expeditionary force, and I can give Wang Mingyuan an order that the expeditionary force should make preparations for withdrawing from the Polish front, and then gradually retreat to the east. But not yet, at least until the meeting of the Four. If the Germans attacked, they were resolutely crushed. The four-nation meeting will not have any greater novelty, but it is only to force us to interfere in Russia, and General Secretary Situ's analysis is correct, and this must not be done. Before we withdraw from Ukraine, we should bring back all its industrial equipment and not leave it to the Germans. What's next? Long Qian took a sip of tea, "Russia will fall into a civil war, and the army loyal to the Tsar will fight the army of the Buddy with the help of the Entente, and we can only side with the great Tsar, although I am not optimistic about them." If done well, the Tsar could establish a state in the Far East, and in order to confront the Bha, they had to rely on our support, and we sought long-term interests in Eastern and Central Siberia, such as the administration of Irkutsk to cover the Tsar's new state...... How to do it must be done step by step, and it is also necessary to obtain the tacit approval and even support of the Entente. In this four-nation meeting, we will bring back all the things that we did not get from the Beijing and Petersburg meetings, and who will attend will wait until Mr. Wilson's call back arrives. Today's meeting is classified as top secret, so let's act immediately in accordance with the decision of the meeting. ”
After the people in the conference room dispersed, Ye Yanbing stayed, "President, are you considering letting me go back to the army for the time being?" Even if he goes to the Northern Military Region to be a deputy to Erhu. ”
"Japan may not have the guts to do it." Long Qian smiled, "Besides, how dare Cheng Erhu let you be your deputy?" If Japan makes a move, I promise to let you go to the front. Again, don't underestimate the significance of your committee, the world is in turmoil, but it's just the beginning. With our national strength, we have now reached the limit, and we can play it again. When your committee comes up with what I want, we will not have the same weight. (To be continued......)