Volume 1: Theory Chapter 1: Everyone is in the game

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When it comes to Chinese football, people are always puzzled: "Why, we have a population of 1.4 billion, but we can't find 11 people who can play football?" Why, in recent decades, our country's comprehensive strength and economic strength have made tremendous progress rarely seen in the universe, but at the same time, our country's football strength has suffered a huge regression rarely seen in the universe? ”

For this question, countless people have given countless answers, such as Chinese is not in good health, Chinese has no football IQ, Chinese society has no football background, and China's Football Association and other departments are irresponsible...... And so on and so forth, but these answers were all proven to be wrong.

In fact, the answer lies in the question: it is precisely because we are looking for 11 people who can play football from 1.4 billion people that we can't find 11 people who can play football; It is precisely because in recent decades that our country's comprehensive strength and economic strength have made tremendous progress that is rare in the universe, that our country's football strength has suffered a huge regression that is rare in the universe.

Doesn't it feel hard to understand?

So to put it another way: 14 people must be able to develop good football? 14 population must be the advantage of developing football? The country's comprehensive strength and economic strength have improved, and football must follow suit? Who can prove these three questions?

Many times, our unbreakable fixed thinking is precisely the opposite of the truth. If you want to develop a 'single professional football league', if you want to develop a football team, a population of 1.4 billion is not an advantage, but a disadvantage.

If you don't find the right route, then, 1.4 billion people develop football, maybe 140,000 people develop football better, for example, European countries with a population of more than 100,000, which country's national team can't beat the Chinese national team?

The so-called 'single professional football league' means that there is only one football league system in the whole country, as in England, Spain, Germany, and Argentina, rather than multiple football league systems as in Brazil. So, what is the most suitable population size for the development of a 'single football league'? Each province in China is the most suitable.

Football is well-deserved as the world's first sport, whether it is influence or industrial scale, football is the world's first sport that does not accept any doubts, in China, football is also the first sport that does not accept any doubts, and any other sports are not qualified to call themselves China's first sport, only football can.

Although the strength of football in China is still extremely poor in 2020, this does not prevent the football industry from still having the largest share of China's sports industry, let alone football that can attract the most attention in China.

Since football is the first sport in the world and China, and at the same time, football in the world and China is also the most important part of the sports industry, and the sports industry is also an economic behavior, so the development of football must comply with the economic law, so does China's football development comply with the economic law?

The answer must not be followed, otherwise, can Chinese football degenerate to such a point?

So, in the process of the development of Chinese football in recent decades, what economic laws have been violated?

First of all, and the most fatal thing is that the development of Chinese football in recent decades has seriously violated the law of market supply and demand.

Does the football industry also have a market supply and demand law?

The answer is definitely yes.

So, who is the supply side in the football market? Who is the demand side?

In modern countries, in order to develop football, almost without exception, it is necessary to establish a professional football league, so the supply and demand sides in the football market are mainly reflected in the relationship between the supply and demand sides of the football professional league.

The supply and demand sides of the professional football league do not refer to the two main bodies of 'people who play football' and 'people who watch football', because if the people who play professional leagues in a country do not play well, then the fans of this country can watch the leagues of other countries, isn't this the case in our country, people who watch domestic football leagues are embarrassed to talk in front of people who watch European football leagues.

Therefore, the 'people who play football' and the 'people who watch the football' do not constitute the supply and demand sides of the professional football league, and the supply and demand sides of the professional football league refer to the number of people who have the strength to play in the professional league, and the number of professional players needed by the professional league.

More specifically, taking China as an example, the supply and demand side of the Chinese Football Professional League, the supply side, is how many people suitable to play in the national football professional league can be found by the country's 1.4 billion people, and the demand side refers to how many professional players are needed for China's football professional league system.

The demand side of the Chinese Football Professional League, how many professional players are needed, this answer is certain, China has two professional leagues and a semi-professional league, and there are dozens of professional football clubs, so the Chinese Football Professional League as the demand side, it only needs about 1,400 professional players.

So how many of China's 1.4 billion people can be found to be suitable to play in professional football leagues? In other words, excluding the too young and too old, how many people in the entire population of school age have the ability to play professional football?

Before I get into that, I need to introduce the concept of 'football game theory'. The game of football is not only the game of football players on the field, nor is it just the game of football coaches about football tactics, and it is not just the game of multiple national teams or clubs in a certain cup and a certain league...... And so on and so forth.

As we all know, football is the world's first sport, the football industry is the most important part of the sports industry, football can generate huge wealth, football can also make people involved in it famous and profitable, football can also bring infinite happiness to people, in 2019, the scale of the global 'generalized football industry' is about 800 billion US dollars, and the scale of China's 'generalized football industry' has reached 100 billion US dollars.

In addition, there are rumors on the Internet that Deloitte claimed a few years ago that the global 'broad football industry' has reached an astonishing 800 billion euros, the euro, which is more valuable than the dollar, and at that time the United Kingdom had not yet left the European Union, and the euro was worth more than it is now. Of course, regardless of whether Deloitte's statistics are exaggerated or not, one thing is certain, that is, the football industry can generate a lot of money, a lot of fame and fortune, and a lot of happiness to mankind.

In the face of wealth, fame and happiness, an industry of great scale, a sport that attracts the attention of almost half of the world's population, all those who want to get involved in it, face the problem of game theory in economics.

For example, if you are a junior high school student with good football skills, do you want to follow the path of professional football in the future? Maybe this thought has flashed in your mind, but even if this thought only exists in your mind for less than a nanosecond, and then you desperately tell yourself - 'you can't think about being a professional player in China, it will have no future than robbing a bank', even if you think about it for less than a second, then you have already had a game of thinking about whether to get involved in the football industry, and of course, the result of your thinking is 'giving up'.

For example, if you are the parent of a child (male or female, rich or poor), the child is twelve or thirteen years old, and he plays football very well, then do you want him to follow the path of professional football in the future? Maybe this thought flashed in your mind - even if it was only a short nanosecond, and finally you resolutely gave up this idea, as if you never thought about it, but in fact, you have also had a game of thinking about whether to get involved in the football industry, and of course, the result of your thinking is also 'giving up'.

For example, if you are the mayor of a city, or you are the governor of a province, will you vigorously develop the football career of your city or province? For example, if you are a billionaire with a net worth of tens of billions or even hundreds of billions, would you buy a professional football team in China to play?

For different people, these questions have different thinking, different choices and different answers, and these thinking, choices and answers are all game thinking, which can be regarded as game behavior in economic life, and they are also the categories that need to be discussed in this article "Football Game Theory".

In the football industry, which covers a very wide range of huge industries, all the people who like football and care about football are actually participating in the game. All the participants in the football industry, they are thinking about their own positioning, setting their own roles, paying their own inputs, and calculating their gains, only when most people see that the investment must be rewarded, people will devote themselves wholeheartedly to the huge market of the football industry.

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