Continuing with the question from the previous chapter - how many people in China are suitable for professional football?

Before discussing this issue, readers must admit a point of view - 'On our earth, people are equal, and nations are equal, at least different people, different nationalities, are equal in terms of football talent, and the proportion of football geniuses in each nation is actually roughly the same, that is, if you can find a football genius in any 100,000 people in the Netherlands and Argentina, then you can also find a football genius in any 100,000 people in China. ’

If you don't admit this, then you don't need to read the following content anymore, because all the expositions in this book are based on the premise that "all nations are completely equal in front of football", why football can become the world's number one sport, the most critical point is because football is completely equal to all nations, as long as you do it well in this country or nation, you will definitely be able to do football well, if you don't do it well, it is your own problem, not football's problem.

As for why some nations can develop football so well - such as Germany, France, Britain, Italy, West Hobbia, Argentina, and Portugal, while others develop football so poorly - such as the "football wasteland" of the United States, the "football desert" China, and the "football vacuum" of India, which is not even as good as the football desert? These questions will be discussed in this book one by one.

Next, how many people in China are suitable for professional football.

Since this question is very important, extremely important, crucial, extremely important, it is necessary to talk about something else before giving my answer.

Modern football originated in England, which is well known, football originated from the United Kingdom, quickly spread to the world, and soon became one of the most eye-catching sports in the world, the first sport in the United States - rugby, can also be considered a variant of football, after all, in the context of American English, football is called 'football'.

The route of developing football in each country is basically the same - the establishment of a football league system, taking England, the origin of football, as an example, this book only discusses men's football, women's football is not to mention for the time being, England men's football now has more than 15 football leagues, all football clubs combined, and even reached a staggering 40,000, although the England national team has been criticized in terms of record, but to say that football heritage and football infrastructure construction, no country in the world can compare with England, Brazil and Germany.

Many small towns in England have adhered to football leagues for more than 120 years, 120 years ago, not to mention that few people in China knew that football was a miracle thing, even the football kingdom of Brazil, few people knew football, the English established a professional football league in 1888 - that is, the predecessor of the Premier League, and Brazilians, until 1933 established the first professional football team. This also shows a problem, the earliest development, not necessarily the strongest, Britain has contributed a lot of sports inventions to the world, but these sports, Britain is not the strongest.

As mentioned earlier, on our planet, all ethnic groups are equal in front of football, and the proportion of football geniuses of each nation is actually roughly the same, for example: 100,000 Chinese boys, 100,000 Indian boys, 100,000 American boys, 100,000 Japanese boys, 100,000 North Korean boys, 100,000 Argentine boys, 100,000 Brazilian boys, 100,000 German boys, 100,000 Spanish boys, 100,000 South Sudanese boys.

In each of these ten countries, 100,000 baby boys under the age of 1 will be sampled, and if a person can accurately judge the football potential of a baby boy - just like a scout with the ability to judge the potential in the football manager game, then this person will find that China, India, the United States, Japan, North Korea, Argentina, Brazil, Germany, Spain, South Sudan, these ten countries, regardless of their strength and weakness and wealth, tranquility and turmoil, among the 100,000 boys randomly selected in these countries, The proportion of football geniuses is the same.

In other words, although China's football strength is weak now, from a group point of view, the proportion of young football talents that China can find is no different from that of Spain, Argentina, England, the Netherlands, Germany, Italy, France and Brazil.

This is what the author calls 'all nations are completely equal in front of football', which is what the world often says: there are at least 10 children in China who can become Ronaldo and at least 10 children who can become Messi, but they are all buried.

So, how many people in China are suitable to play in professional football leagues?

The 'number of people' here is not to say how many people of all ages in a country or region are suitable to play in professional football, but to say that when football in a country or region is developed to the extreme, when the number of professional players in a country or region is perfectly in line with the group statistics, at any given moment, how many of the male population aged 16-40 in a country or region are suitable to play professional football.

When the football of a country or region develops to the extreme, the football professional league system of the country or region must be extremely developed and perfect, and the talent training and talent replacement mechanism of the country or region must also be extremely perfect and mature. and become a real pro.

The extremely developed, extremely perfect, and extremely mature professional league system, the entry and exit of talents, and the replacement of talents, are all dynamically balanced, and the total number of professional players in this country or region at any time is also stable at a value, of course, the premise is that the population of the country or region is basically stable. Therefore, how many people in a country or region are suitable to play in the professional football league that the author is talking about, that is, how many people are in the theoretical situation, in the case of football development to the extreme.

After years of research, I believe that judging from the development process and current situation of football in Western Europe and South America, for any country or region, as long as the comprehensive strength and social development level of this country or region reach a certain level, then for all countries and all nations of mankind, one out of every 20,000 people is suitable to play in professional football leagues.

As for how this '1 in 20,000' is calculated, I would like to say that it is mainly my feeling after studying football for many years, and of course I have done a lot of calculations, but I think that there are many times when the final result of the calculation is actually exactly the same as the initial result that I felt.

We often say that people are not the same as each other, some people are suitable for this job, some people are suitable for that job, and a talented person is engaged in a certain job, so that he can do the best in the job, although there are 'scientific giants' who have said - 'success is 1% talent and 99% effort', but in reality, even if a genius only spends 1% of his time training, he can achieve more success than ordinary people who work 100 times harder.

God actually distributes all abilities equally to everyone in the world, for any group or country with a large enough population, within a huge number of people, every talent, has its distribution probability, but the current scientific and technological ability of human beings, whether it is mathematics or medicine, can not study the distribution law of talent in the population, and we can only speculate based on reality and feelings, I think one out of every 20,000 people is suitable for professional football, for people of all countries and ethnic groups around the world, These are all reasonable speculative data.

In this way, China has a population of about 1.4 billion, so there are about 70,000 people in China who are suitable for playing in professional football leagues, that is to say, the number of people in China who are suitable for playing professional football leagues can even be comparable to the whole of Europe and America, and the number of talented teenagers in China who carry the 'top football genes' can even be comparable to the whole of Europe and America.

70,000 people? 70,000 people! 70,000 people? ……

You may say: don't scare me, there are so many people in China who are suitable for football? Since there are so many people who are suitable to play in the professional football league, why have they not been able to play, and why is the strength of Chinese football getting worse and worse?

This does not come back to the original topic, because China only needs about 1,400 professional players.