Volume 1: Theory Chapter 30: To be is to be reasonable

In the previous chapters, the author has mentioned many times that the key reason for the degeneration of Chinese football is that the number of professional teams and the demand for professional players are too low; The fundamental reason for the degeneration of Chinese football is the inferiority of the nation and the lack of self-confidence, precisely because we do not realize the real potential strength of our country in football, precisely because we dare not believe that we have all the basic conditions to compete with the whole of Europe in football, and precisely because of a series of wrong football policies formulated on the basis of lack of self-confidence, therefore, the level of football in our country has fallen to the current level.

In the previous chapters, the author has also mentioned many times: after finding the 'cause', to solve the problem, it is necessary to treat the symptoms; we must remove the national inferiority mentality and establish national self-confidence, we must believe that there is no difference between a Chinese and a European or American in football, which is the basis for China's football to achieve real progress; and in terms of specific football policies, the best way to 'treat' the stubborn disease of Chinese football is undoubtedly to launch a game' 'and provide a sufficient number of jobs for all football-talented young people in society, i.e. about 70,000 professional players.

So, since when did our country have the strength to launch the 'copycat European football sport'? Since when did the provinces of our country have the strength to establish their own league systems? Since when did our country have the strength to gradually build a league system with 2,500 professional teams?

The author believes that since 1980, our country has the strength to try to carry out 'copycat European football', and when the time comes to 1995 or so, our country has the absolute strength to carry out 'copycat European football' in an all-round way, and when the time enters 2008, this time will not be opened' Copycat European football sport', that means that in the following time, the Chinese Football Association and all the groups involved in football, the harder they work, the worse Chinese football will become, and the facts after 2008 have also proved this.

In the mid-1990s, our country was determined to vigorously develop football and put forward the slogan 'Football starts from the baby'. Of course, there is no mistake. And was the slogan 'Football Starts with a Baby' a cold reception at the time? Of course, no, only in the mid-1990s, as many as 5,000 football schools were established across the country, and for a time, Chinese football entered a 'boom era', and the rise of Chinese football in the world seemed to be within reach.

However, what is unexpected is that in the mid-1990s, the boom of Chinese football cooled overnight, and everyone's interest in football also cooled overnight, with more than 5,000 football schools closing down one after another, and now, there are less than 100 football schools left to struggle. Today, there are less than 50,000 young players registered in China, more than 500,000 in Japan and South Korea, more than 200,000 in Thailand, and more than 1 million in European and South American football powers.

So, what caused the boom in Chinese football to fade in the mid-1990s? What is the reason why China's more than 5,000 football schools have closed down one after another?

Now, let's look at two data - more than 5,000 and less than 100: in the mid-1990s, when our country proposed' At that time, there were more than 5,000 football schools in the country; later, China's football boom faded instantly, and now, there are less than 100 football schools left; from more than 5,000 to less than 100, more than 5,000 and less than 100, these two data, is it random? No, the appearance of these two data is very scientific.

So, what does the data of more than 5,000 represent? It represents the most reasonable number of football schools and professional teams in Chinese society, generally speaking, one of the most mature football powers, a professional football team, needs two football schools to provide it with talents, that is to say, when China set off a football boom in the mid-1990s, every province and every county in China has a high demand for the development of football, and each province, each county and district has completely taken out its own enthusiasm.

At that time in 1995, China had a population of 1.2 billion, 200 million less than now - that is, one less Brazil, and 10,000 fewer people suitable for professional football, however, the development of plans are forward-looking, around 1995, in the subconscious of China's provinces and counties, the formulation of football development plans is also based on the national population of about 1.4 billion, so at that time, more than 5,000 football schools were established in the country, so many football schools, It can provide talent for more than 2,500 professional football teams.

Therefore, how many full-time schools appear in a certain industry in a certain period of time in a society are not arbitrary, they are all in line with scientific principles, and they are all in line with group statistics.

So, why did the more than 5,000 football schools across the country close one after another in the mid-1990s?

It depends on what happened in the mid-1990s. As we all know, China's football professional league, from 1994 began trial operation, and officially started in 1995, when it was still a league A, in fact, when the league was just held, it was still very sensational in China, the people of the whole country have invested great enthusiasm, but what everyone did not expect is (even now everyone still did not think), it is the emergence of the A league that led to the closure of more than 5,000 football schools in China, and caused the boom of Chinese football to fade instantly.

Why? Because the A-League and the Chinese Super League, which was later renamed, have only a dozen teams, plus the second-level league and the third-level league, China's professional football teams have not been able to exceed 50, no more than 50 professional teams, and the football schools that 'supply' these teams cannot exceed 100, because football schools also have to survive, and survival requires competition, and once they compete, a large number of football schools will fall.

Therefore, until now, there are less than 100 football schools left in China, and this data is not random, but closely related to the number of professional teams in China. The closure of a large number of football schools, the instant dissipation of the football craze, the stagnation of the number of professional teams in China, and the booming of China's comprehensive strength, especially its economic strength, have all caused Chinese football to decline to the end and be despised by the world, as the author has discussed many times in the previous text.

In the mid-1990s, China was able to establish more than 5,000 football schools, which shows that at that time, we were fully capable of fighting 'copycat European football', at that time, we were fully capable of allowing provinces to form their own league systems, and at that time, we were fully capable of forming more than 2,500 professional football teams and providing about 70,000 professional players.

Just imagine, in the mid-1990s, our country did not establish a league A with only a dozen teams, but a 'provincial football league', but allowed each province to establish 12-20 league teams, then, today, what kind of existence will our country's football strength be?

It is a pity that due to our collective national inferiority complex, due to our collective lack of self-confidence, in the mid-1990s: no one dared to think that in football, China could compete with the whole of Europe and the United States; No one dared to think that China could build a football league system comparable to that of the whole of Europe; I didn't even dare to think that in football, a Chinese and a European and American were completely equal, at that time, we thought the same - in football, a Brazilian or an Italian, at least equivalent to 1,000 Chinese.

Since football can attract the attention of all walks of life in the whole society, the football strategy implemented by all football powers is 'overall war', and the strength or weakness of a country's football is closely related to everyone, which shows that the good and bad of a country's football development, its credit and responsibility, does not lie in a certain person or a certain department, but in the country's people and all departments, Chinese football is degenerate, the Football Association must be the first responsibility, but all of us in the country are also responsible.

In the mid-1990s, we were still living under the deep influence of the humiliation of the modern century, in 1994, Japan's per capita GDP was $39,300, China's was $473, and that year, Japan's per capita GDP was 83 times that of China. In 1996, there was only one modern main warship of our Navy, the -052 destroyer, and the Air Force relied on 48 Su-27s purchased from Russia to support the façade, and at that time, a wing of the US Air Force could have 72 advanced fighters. In the mid-1990s, the broad masses of the people were still looking forward to the Chinese New Year, because they could only eat a good meal during the Chinese New Year.

This is a true portrayal of the strength of our country in the 1990s, so in the mid-1990s, when our country first started to establish a professional football league, it was very easy to understand the mentality of thinking of the weak, and even now, there are still many people in our country who morbidly adhere to this mentality of thinking of themselves as weak.

The great German philosopher Hegel once said that 'existence is reason', and there have been countless interpretations of Hegel's famous sentence in the philosophical and 'folk philosophical circles', and here the author adopts the most common interpretation. If 'Chinese football is degenerate' as a kind of 'existence', then is this 'existence' reasonable?

From the perspective of China's geographical strength, population, comprehensive national strength and development prospects, this 'existence' is very unreasonable, but from the perspective of China's 400-year history and current situation, the 'existence' of Chinese football is 'reasonable'.

Since the fall of the Ming Dynasty, China has begun to enter a state of weakness, after the Yapian War, China has entered the weakest and most humble era, although before the Yapian War, China has also been weakened and fallen many times, but Chinese history has never been like modern history, in terms of culture and national wisdom by the world questioned and despised, and even the Chinese themselves, have a deep lack of confidence in their own national culture and national wisdom.

However, we Chinese and Chinese culture will never succumb to difficulties and setbacks, and every time we encounter a national crisis, there are always countless people with lofty ideals who bravely stand up and shed their blood to help the country and the nation solve the crisis. After the founding of the People's Republic of China, we finally braked the historical wheel of the century-old decline of Chinese civilization and began to stride forward on the journey of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

The word inertia, I believe everyone understands what it means, when you drive on the road, the speed reaches 100 kilometers per hour, when you are ready to brake and reverse the car, you brake the car, but your car still has to continue on the road for a long distance. The same is true of the weakness of a country or nation, although the founding of the People's Republic of China braked the historical wheel of the century-old decline of Chinese civilization, the inertia of a century-old decline is still profoundly affecting the development of Chinese society in the past few decades.

After the founding of the People's Republic of China, the Chinese nation began a difficult great cause of rejuvenation under the condition that the inertia of weakness continued to exist: first, through a bloody and fiery War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea, we swept away the humiliating situation of repeated defeats and bullying in the modern century; Then, we carried out the construction of the industrial base and the continuous innovation of the state system; Then, we succeeded in developing nuclear weapons and completely guaranteed our national security; After the reform and opening up, especially in the 21 st century, we have made tremendous progress in economic strength and scientific and technological strength, which is rare in the universe.

Due to the inertia of a hundred years of weakness, as well as the huge threat of many times of national extinction and near-extinction, so after the founding of New China, our development focus has always been to build a strong country that will not be invaded and slaughtered by others, in this case, sports and football have become secondary or even secondary things, whether sports and football can develop well, in the final analysis, is just the icing on the cake, not the most important thing.

It is precisely because of historical and practical reasons that it has led to the situation of Chinese football being weakened, so the 'existence' of Chinese football being weak is 'reasonable' compared to history and reality. There are a lot of people who often complain - 'Our country's strength has improved so much, why is our country's football still so weak?' ’

In fact, in the final analysis, in football, the strength of our country has not been strong, although we have a strong comprehensive strength and superhuman progress speed, but even if the history progresses to 2020, in many ways, our country is still far inferior to Europe, the United States and Japan, and the weakness is inertia, the revival is step-by-step, the revival needs an industry step by step, our strength can not reach a certain level, the development of some industries can not come to the 'critical point' of transshipment.

In 2020, Chinese football is still degenerate, and the author's point of view is that in football, even if we have taken a lot of wrong paths, or there are many flaws, these are just regrets, and it is a pity that we do not have enough prescient people in football. But regret is regret, we should not criticize anything, because existence is reasonable, and the 'existence' of Chinese football's degeneration is reasonable compared to the humiliating history of China's modern century, the inertia of China's long-term weakness, and the complicated steps on the road to China's rejuvenation.

In order to solve the dilemma of Chinese football, in the final analysis, there is only one way, that is, to continuously enhance our country's comprehensive national strength, according to the truth of 'quantitative change leads to qualitative change', as long as it can be accumulated to a certain extent in quantity, then, one day, qualitative change will eventually come, the author now believes more and more that for Chinese football, 2020 can be called the general turning point of Chinese football.