Chapter 127: Sensitive and Grumpy Girl
"Lu, how's the data?"
"Lu Lu, what's the situation?"
In the supercomputer room, Lu Yi looked at the data on the screen and fell into a stupor, Rupert, who realized that the situation seemed to be bad, asked in a hurry, and Zhang Qing, who followed behind, also looked anxious.
They want to know the answers themselves from the data from the simulations, but unfortunately they are not experts in atmospheric and environmental science, and they don't understand what the data represents.
"Let him calm down."
Li Yashan saw that Lu Yi's mood was wrong, and stopped Rupert and Zhang Qing who wanted to inquire about the situation, and Professor Lin walked to Lu Yi's side for the first time and took his hand and looked at him worriedly.
"It's fine."
Shaking his head slightly at Professor Lin, Lu Yi shouted to Wei Hong, who came in behind, "Wei Hong, give me a cigarette." ”
Cigarettes and alcohol will stimulate the nerves, and among this group of people, only Wei Hong, who has sold insurance for a period of time, smokes, but after returning to the laboratory for more than two months, he is slowly quitting.
Da!
cough cough cough cough ......
The lighter was lit, and Lu Yi couldn't suppress his cough as soon as he took the first puff, but the stimulation of the cigarette still calmed him down a little, and said:
"If the total power of human society is increased by 20 times, the energy that accumulates into the environment will collapse in 23 years."
Hiss!
"Impossible! It can't be so fast! ”
Everyone in the computer room was stunned by the news, and only Rupert was the first to react and retorted: "Lu, it shouldn't be so fast, could it be that there is something wrong with your model?" ”
"My model is fine."
Lu Yi shook his head and said: "Ecological collapse here refers to the ecological standards required for our human beings, and after ecological collapse, it does not mean that all life on the earth will be extinct, which is impossible."
Those insects that evolve faster, those animals and plants that have better tolerance, they will all live well after the ecological collapse, the only difference is that those animals and plants with poor tolerance will not survive, including us humans.
Don't look at our technology is very powerful, but in the face of such a natural-level ecological disaster, we are no different from the ants that we can pinch to death on weekdays, and we have no ability to resist at all. ”
"It can't be so fast! 23 years, you say that 23 years will be the end of the world, do you think anyone will believe it? ”
Rupert didn't believe that even if he was the first to realize that heat pollution might cause ecological collapse, and he reminded Lu Yi, he didn't dare to believe it in the face of the 23-year time limit.
23 years, 23 years later, it is no surprise that he is still alive, his son is only 39 years old, which is the peak of his life, perhaps at that time his grandson is still in elementary school......
"I don't believe it either, but math doesn't lie."
Lu Yi turned to look at Wei Hong and the others, who were also shocked, and was silent for a while and said: "The heat dissipation of the earth relies on two points, self-digestion and radiation to the black body in space.
For example, similar to the transformation of biomass materials into coal and oil with higher calorific value, this belongs to a self-digestion process of the earth, and blackbody radiation is the energy consumed by various waves radiating from the surface of the earth to outer space at all times.
The earth's heat energy sources are mainly sunlight, geothermal, and the earth's biological activities, which were in a delicate balance with the earth's heat dissipation before the industrial revolution.
After the start of the industrial revolution, the energy released by human activities has been rising, and this balance has been slowly tilting, which is the main reason why the overall temperature of the earth has risen by almost 0.5 degrees Celsius in the past century. ”
"Boss, if that's the case, the balance is already tilting, then even if the power of our human activities does not increase by this 0.5 degrees Celsius, it will gradually expand, after all, energy is accumulating."
Wei Hong asked with some confusion after listening.
"You're ignoring the volatility of solar activity."
Lu Yi shook his head and said: "If the solar activity is strong, the earth receives more solar energy, and if the solar activity is weak, the earth receives weak solar power, and it just so happens that the sun has been very calm over the years, and it is even called the Xiaoice period."
This part of the energy gap vacated by the sun over the years just hides the impact of our human activities on the energy released by the environment.
But not anymore, the application of controlled nuclear fusion will allow human activities to release more power than this upper limit of the gap, the balance will tilt faster, and the increasing accumulation of energy in the environment will lead to rapid environmental degradation.
Even if solar activity suddenly intensifies, the deterioration will be even faster, and perhaps the ecology will collapse in less than 23 years.
According to the simulation analysis of the model, the average temperature of the earth will increase by 2.36 degrees Celsius in 23 years, and the ecological environment of the earth will deteriorate to the point that it is no longer suitable for us human beings. ”
"2.56 degrees Celsius ......"
Everyone looked at each other and couldn't believe that a 2.56 degree Celsius increase in the average temperature of the earth would lead to the extinction of humanity, which is too dreamy.
"She is a very sensitive and irritable girl on our earth, and when the average temperature rises by 0.1 degrees Celsius, she will adjust her state."
Lu Yi stretched out his finger and pointed to his feet and said: "Now the average temperature on the earth's surface is about 15 degrees Celsius, not that the average temperature is less than 18 degrees Celsius, and we humans can't stand it.
According to the current technology, we can find a suitable living area on a stable planet with an average temperature of 30 degrees Celsius, and this 2.56 degrees Celsius is slowly increased in a time span of more than 600 years, and it is okay.
What we can't bear is that when the little girl at our feet perceives the rapid rise in temperature, she naturally adjusts to the changes in the environment.
The faster the temperature rises, the more intense she naturally adjusts, and the more extreme the environmental changes will be.
Melting poles, football-sized hailstones, 18-degree hurricanes, months of torrential rain and drought, heavy snow and freezing thunderstorms, volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, earthquakes, and other extreme weather imaginable, can happen before she adjusts and stabilizes.
How can human beings, who have not yet been able to leave the planet, survive these years or even decades of adjustment?
It is quite possible that in a week, a month or two, 99 percent of our human population will die in the catastrophe caused by such a global regulation.
When decades pass and the earth calms down, we humans will only be left with cities in ruins, bones in the wind and sand......"
"Everyone!"
Lu Yi shook his head with a wry smile, and continued: "Before we can break free from the shackles of the planet and go to the starry sky to become an interstellar civilization, we are not bacteria on the surface of the earth, but bacteria on her clothes.
When she felt hot or cold, she would change our clothes with us, just like the countless populations of organisms that have gone extinct naturally throughout the history of the earth. ”
"Lu Lu, don't we just use controlled nuclear fusion?" At this time, Professor Lin, who had been standing next to Lu Yi, asked.
"I'd love not to use it now."
Lu Yi rubbed Professor Lin's hair and said with a wry smile: "But this matter is not up to me, I can't stop it." ”
yes, it can't be stopped.
In the hope that controlled nuclear fusion will bring them a better life, and in the case that all countries are constantly increasing their energy and power for development, it is good that controlled nuclear fusion is not born, and it will not be able to prevent its application if it is born.
Even if he is Lu Yi, he is the chief engineer of the controllable nuclear fusion project, single-handedly promoting the rolling of the giant wheel of this era.
But when this giant wheel really rolled, he couldn't let it stop, and he would only be crushed by this huge wheel.
Talking to the public about mathematical models and calling on everyone to control the use of energy, otherwise in 23 years it will be the end of the ecological collapse and mankind, do you think anyone will believe it?
The slogan of environmental protection, energy conservation and emission reduction has been shouted for decades, and how many people have really done it?
People will only believe what they see, they will only agree with the knowledge within the scope of their knowledge, and I don't understand what you scientists are talking about.
They will only see that the sun is good today, the smog is a little less, where is the mall on sale, my friend asked me to play a game again, this Douyin video is so funny, the neighbor's bear child is too noisy and wants to slap him twice......
The end of humanity? It's too far away from them.
"Lu Lu, how many times should we limit the total power so that it will not cause the environmental regulation speed to exceed our tolerance?"
Everyone was silent for a while, and then Li Yashan asked Lu Yi.
If you can't stop the wheel of the times from rolling, you can just let it roll slower and buy more time.
"The ambient heat is already out of balance, but it's a slow imbalance and the planet isn't that big of a reaction, so it's still within our reach."
Lu Yi quickly entered a few atmospheric formula algorithms on the keyboard, and said according to the calculation results: "If it is kept within 7.6 times the current power, although the environment will also get worse, it is a relatively slow process, and we humans can still withstand it."
Of course, counting the fluctuation of the sun and the redundancy of environmental fluctuations, 6.5 times is better.
If large-scale afforestation could be carried out around the world, it would be safe to absorb and store a part of the energy of sunlight into biomass through the photosynthesis of forests, and the power would be increased to 6.8 times......
Speaking of this, Lu Yi seemed to think of something, and suddenly turned his head to Rupert and said, "Rupert, how many engineers and researchers have mastered the core technology of the controllable nuclear fusion demonstration reactor in Max Planck Laboratories before?" ”
"My former assistant, Eddie, and then 3 researchers and 2 engineers."
Rupert asked a little strangely, "Lu, what's wrong with them?" ”
"Let them leave Western Europe as soon as possible."
Lu Yi said with a serious expression: "It's okay to come to China or go to Russia, otherwise they may be in danger." ”