Chapter 2 Probability Theory and Psychological Game
I felt my head, which had been so hard to wrap up the bandage, start to ache again, and I couldn't help but say:
"Stop, let's consider my feelings as a bystander. What you said seems to make a lot of sense, but if it were me, guess where would I think so much? If I throw a punch, I'm going to do it randomly. ”
"Random? Zhen, do you really think you're going to be random? Xu Fenghe looked at me with a friendly smile, "Ah Zhen, if I told you not to think about elephants now, what would come to your mind?" ”
"This ...... Elephants, of course, but does it have anything to do with guessing boxing? ”
Xu Feng hugged his chest, nodded, and said:
"Of course it matters. Man is a kind of person who is very susceptible to psychological suggestion, and as long as he is exposed to the slightest hint of wind and hint, he will instinctively and automatically present an image in his mind. Just like I just told Ah Zhen that you don't think about elephants, Ah Zhen will automatically think about elephants, when I guess boxing, I have a minute to think when I say to Hu Zixin, in fact, this deepens Hu Zixin's attention to the game and makes her cautious. ”
"In addition, Ah Zhen, I will also tell you a more important point, that is, the so-called random guessing boxing, only under the premise that the bets of both sides of the game are not large and do not harm their respective interests, but if the bets of guessing boxing are large, then it is absolutely impossible for both sides of the game to hand over the winning and losing to randomness, and they will observe the opponent as much as possible to find the flaws of the other party to increase their winning rate even one percent."
"For example, if you are now involved in a game of guessing boxing, the bet is on all your family's property and your family's life and your own life, that is, if you lose, not only will you lose your own and your family's property, but your life will end. In such a dangerous gamble, would you still leave the victory or defeat to sheer randomness? You will definitely try your best to observe your opponent's every move, behavior, guess the maximum probability of the opponent's gestures, consider many verbal details and psychological factors of the opponent, and you will do your best even if it only increases the odds of winning by one percent. ”
I frowned, as if I understood what Xu Feng meant.
"In the same way, Hu Zixin is the same, because if she loses the game, she will lose money, and may even go to the police station, and more importantly, she will delay tomorrow's business negotiations related to millions of investments. That's why I was able to deduce her psychology in reverse. ”
"So when Hu Zixin lost the first game, her psychological condition was like this: 'I have already lost one game, and if I lose this game again, there will be no next game, so it doesn't make a difference whether Xu Feng wins with his fists or scissors or cloth, so I can play casually.
But for Xu Feng, punching may cause him to lose his previous efforts and lose too much, so it stands to reason that he will definitely not punch, so he is most likely to make scissors or paper, but this is exactly what Xu Feng wants, he just wants me to think so, and then he gambles to win me with his fist,
The proof of this is that he still said it was a fist in this game, which was luring me out of the scissors, and then he punched. So I'm still the best to go out. Hu Zixin is an agent, she is a shrewd woman, good at careful calculations, it is because of the calculation of her psychological condition that is consumed by interests, I came out of the cloth. In the end, I won the guessing game. ”
Hey, please don't speak in the tone of this kind of economic analyst on the financial channel on TV.
I looked at Xu Feng with my eyebrows furrowed, trying to dig out something from his seemingly calm and easy-going expression, but in fact he secretly had a murderous intention.
Three seconds later, I gave up.
"I'm okay if I'm convinced, right? …… Hey, you're not going to learn game science, are you? ”
"Really...... Probably, maybe I used to. Hehe. But I can't think of anything now. In the face of my questioning, Xu Feng's answer was still the same.
"Also, what kind of medicine did you sell when you said in the hotel before that I was the only one you couldn't win?"
"What's this...... Xu Feng looked at me and smiled, "This sentence may be useful in the future." After all, so many people heard it at the time. ”
"Listen to you, what are your plans? Don't tell me you're spreading rumors. ”
"How could it be, every step of my way is for the sake of our team. Ah Zhen, Miyoko chose you, I don't think it's an accident. Moreover, I believe that A-Zhen will be able to find a way to deal with Miyoko, after all, she is our real enemy. Xu Feng whispered in my ear, "Ah Zhen, I believe that if there can only be one winner in this god game in the end, then that winner must be you." ”
"Hey, stop, you're exalting me too much, I'm just an ordinary person with ordinary personal strength, intelligence, and EQ." I stretched out my hand and swore to God.
"Ordinary?" Xu Feng carefully smashed the word, and then laughed out nasal, "Maybe." But...... Perhaps, the ordinary is the most terrible and precious thing in the world. At least, for me, a person who doesn't even have a memory, it's a luxury to want an ordinary life......"
After that, I didn't continue to talk to Xu Feng about philosophical topics such as the nature of ordinary, because when we got home, we faced a much more difficult accommodation problem than the so-called ordinary topic.
"Ah Zhen's parents are not at home, if there are three bedrooms and a hall, although it is a little reluctant, but it is enough to sleep......" Qiu Chaoyue said a little embarrassed. Qiu Chaoyue is a native of Beijing, and he can't go back for the time being, so he can only stay and stay.
"No, none of us live at Ah Zhen's house today." Unexpectedly, Xu Feng said something that shocked me again.
"Don't live here?" I looked at Xu Feng in surprise, "What are your plans?" ”
"Miyoko has given us only one month to conquer the world, which is too short." "We have to race against time, and even a minute of time is extremely precious to us. My suggestion is that tonight, we will drive to Hu Zixin's agency overnight and start the next step of the plan. ”
"Hey, what the hell are you trying to do? What do you do at my agency? Hu Zixin caught the uneasiness in Xu Feng's words, and immediately became angry.
"Playing games, of course." Xu Feng said solemnly, "Hu Zixin, your agency has contractual relationships with many celebrities, right?" And since it is a brokerage company, there must be a lot of celebrity insiders and ulterior secrets, I want to use your company's circle to obtain as much information as possible about celebrities, so as to break into the upper class, this is a step we must do if we want to complete the strategy plan, Hu Zixin, this step is inseparable from your connections and your company. ”
Hearing Xu Feng's words, Hu Zixin's face suddenly turned pale:
"You're crazy! Do you want to bring my company down? Keeping the secret of the star is the most basic principle of our company! Do you know what kind of impact it would have if you just released the inside story of a celebrity? ”
"Do you think the rise and fall of a company is more important than the destruction of the world?" Xu Feng couldn't help but laugh, he looked at me and said, "Ah Zhen, is it okay to let her obey my orders for the time being?" ”
"I can." I raised my hand and looked at Hu Zixin and said, "Hu Zixin, you should do what Xu Feng said, although I don't know him, but his character is obvious to everyone, I don't think he will embarrass you." ”
"Fuck off, who wants to listen to this liar......" Hu Zixin glared at me angrily, but Xu Feng had already spoken:
"Hu Zixin, shut up."
As soon as the words came out, Hu Zixin's mouth seemed to be sewn with a thread and could not be opened again, no matter how Hu Zixin struggled, but she just couldn't say a word, she could only whine in her throat.
"Hu Zixin, just like Ah Zhen said, I want you to start obeying my orders now." Xu Feng said solemnly, "You have to pay attention, your right to freedom and life are now in my hands, and you will have no right to freedom until this game of God is over." ”
Hu Zixin was about to cry, she choked her throat, but no matter how she struggled, she just couldn't make a sound.
"Ah Zhen, Gao Hai, Meng Dan, and Qiu Chaoyue...... Fei Sky, everyone prepare, we will leave for Hu Zixin's company now, as for the cost, let Hu Zixin bear it. Xu Feng said lightly. It seems that he also realizes that his fate is tragic, hearing Xu Feng's words, Hu Zixin's legs suddenly weakened, and he knelt weakly on the ground in the posture of a duck, looking at me pitifully, but now I can only touch the back of my head, and make a helpless gesture to her with a wry smile.
So Xu Feng's plan began. In fact, if there is anything to prepare, there is really nothing to prepare, except for the charger, cash, bank cards and the book of Game World, there are no other belongings for anyone else. Because we didn't have ID cards, we couldn't get on the train, so we had to take a long-distance bus overnight to Beijing, where Hu Zixin was located.
The more than ten hours of driving is not covered, but Xu Feng has already asked Hu Zixin to contact the company to prepare a room, and he is not worried about the problem of landing at that time. But seeing Xu Feng's errand to Hu Zixin, I still feel sorry for Hu Zixin in my heart, although Hu Zixin's personality is extremely bad, but after all, she was also an outsider who was innocently involved, and I still understand my current mood.
Originally, the train to Beijing was only available the next morning, but Xu Feng calculated that although there was only one train directly to Beijing, we could take the bus to Anhui first, and then transfer to Beijing, so that the way of taking two trains could save almost five hours.
It was not a comfortable choice to sleep in a hard seat one night, and the bumps along the way made my shoulders sore, and I was about to meet Zhou Gong after midnight, but I was awakened by the crisp sound of a coin landing.
I rubbed my eyes and woke up, only to see Xu Feng sitting next to me, picking up a coin from the ground.
"I don't sleep in the middle of the night, playing coin toss?" I looked at Xu Feng, who was holding a coin between my fingertips, and said with resentment.
Xu Feng turned his face and said apologetically:
"Sorry to wake you up. But like you said, I'm playing with coins. Because I found something amazing. It's about me. ”
"What's the matter?" It can't be that it's a fake coin, right?
"Ah Zhen, have you noticed that the seven people in our team are all ordinary people without any superpowers, and they are not high-ranking celebrities and politicians, so seemingly ordinary us, do we really have the possibility of raiding the world in a month?" Xu Feng asked me softly.
"I've already discovered this problem, isn't it obvious?" Please, do you need to say this kind of obvious fact?
"From the time we met, I have roughly summarized the identities of several people in our team. Ah Zhen you are just an ordinary college student, Gao Hai and you are in the same class, Zhou Mengdan is still a female high school student, the family background is also very ordinary, is the middle class, Qiu Beyond is an athlete, Fei Tian's identity is more special, he is not Chinese, but according to Zhou Mengdan and his communication, I know that Fei Sky seems to be a European vagabond, powerless, a little powerful is Hu Zixin, but even with her ability, let alone looking at the world, even if it is looking at China, looking at a province, it is not strong. Xu Feng slowly explained, "In comparison, among the seven of us, except for me, the six of you are too ordinary and ordinary, so ordinary that it is impossible for me to conquer the world, so I have been thinking about whether I have lost my memory and what is different from you." For example, before I lost my memory, would I have been a member of a large family or a large group? Or maybe I have any special abilities? ”
"Did you find anything?" I asked, confused.
"I found out." Xu Feng smiled faintly, "I did discover two unusual abilities on my body. ”
As he spoke, Xu Feng tossed the coin in his hand high, then let it fall on the back of his right hand, and then he covered it with his left hand.
"Don't gamble, just relax, guess what, Ah Zhen, is it heads up, or tails?"
"Front...... Uh, no, the other way around? I looked at Xu Feng's covered hand like an idiot.
"Wrong, it's positive." Xu Feng laughed before he could lift his hand, and then he removed his hand, and sure enough, the coin on the back of this guy's hand was positive.
"You cheated?"
"There's no cheating, it's dynamic vision." Xu Feng said word by word, "Ah Zhen, can you believe it, as long as I concentrate, I can clearly see how many times the flies in the air flap their wings in a second." ”
"......" is actually tempted to spit out a few slots at times like this, but I find that my thesaurus is a bit short of words.
"That's just the first point, but there's a second point." Xu Feng smiled and said, "Ah Zhen, I found that I was able to modify the probability. ”
"Aha?"
"Modify Probability." Xu Feng repeated, "I had been trying to flip a coin just now, and then I found an interesting thing, I was able to increase the probability of one percent on one side of the coin according to my mood. For example, if I toss a coin 100 times with the idea of heads up, 51 times out of 100 times the coin is heads up. Then I tried two hundred more times...... 300 ...... Until a thousand times, I took turns changing the idea of tails and heads, and as a result, I found that whatever I wanted to achieve was one percent more likely to be achieved. For example, out of 200 times, one hundred and two coins are face up. Of the three hundred times, one hundred and fifty-three times the coin is face up...... Out of a thousand coins, five hundred and ten times face up...... Of the two thousand times, one thousand and twenty coins are face up...... Whatever the case may be, I'm able to increase the 1 percent chance of what I want to achieve......"
"Hey, you're sleepy...... If you really have the ability, then you go buy lottery tickets......"
"Yes, if my ability is real, then I go and buy a lottery ticket, as long as I buy it a hundred times, then, I will definitely win the first prize once." Xu Feng said with a smile, "That's what I thought, so I hope Ah Zhen you can help me do an experiment, I hope you can set a six-digit password in your mobile phone, if I can try out that password within a hundred times, then, I think, my ability is real." After all, the probability of guessing a six-digit password is 1 in 1 million, and it is impossible for the average person to guess it within 100 times. ”
How so...... If this were the plot of a science fiction novel, I would have thought it was relatively fresh. Humanoid self-propelled probabilistic weapons?
I looked at Xu Feng with the eyes of a layman looking at Van Gogh's "Starry Night", and after a while, I had the consciousness of "oh, this guy doesn't look like a joke".
"I don't believe it...... You wait. Practice speaks louder than words, I still took out my mobile phone, avoided Xu Feng's sight and set a six-digit password, Xu Feng took my phone with a silent smile, and then began to decrypt it tick-tock.
I saw Xu Feng casually pressing on the keyboard, obviously he was trying his luck irregularly, I clearly remember that the password I set was 708965, the reason why this password is nonsense, there is absolutely no reason to investigate.
Just imagine, a six-digit password, even if you can try one in a second, at least not in a day or two, right?
If Xu Feng can really try out my password, I will trust him.
"Unraveled." Twenty minutes, about a period of time, Xu Feng returned the phone to me, the phone has been successfully unlocked, and the programs on it are clearly listed.
"You really didn't peek at my password?" I looked at Xu Feng suspiciously.
"You can set another password to try, I think no matter what password you set, it will be unlocked in twenty minutes at most." Xu Feng said with a smile.
So I asked Xu Feng to try decryption again, this time, when I set the password, I specially asked Xu Feng to turn around, to make sure that he would never see the process of setting the password I set the password, but Xu Feng still unlocked my mobile phone password at the age of eighteen minutes, this time, I can't help it.
"How's that, believe it?"
"What's the point of not believing it, I've even experienced things like destroying the universe, and I've completely become 'no matter what strange things happen' to believe in attributes...... It's just that if you have this ability, you can directly buy lottery tickets, or steal the bank card password, and you can complete the task directly, right? Wrong...... It's better to go directly to venture capital, think about it a little, if there must be a 1% chance of investment, as long as the return rate of the project you invest in is more than 100 times, then wouldn't you be able to only make money and not lose money......
"That's a good calculation, Ah Zhen. You are very smart. Xu Feng praised.
"Thank you for the compliment, but why do you look at you with a little contempt?"
"How can it be, Ah Zhen, your idea is very good, if I really go to buy lottery tickets or venture capital, it is possible to make a lot of money. But I must emphasize two points, first, even if the world's lottery tickets add up to the figure of 1 trillion, it is still far from our goal. Second, investment requires a certain turnaround period, ranging from a few months a year to several years, and Miyoko only gives us a month, so such an idea is definitely unrealistic. ”
"So what are you going to do? As you said yourself, our task is to get a trillion in a month's time. A trillion eh, you wouldn't think that would be a month in that number, would you? I was discouraged.
"I think since Miyoko has proposed such a rule, at least it shows that she is as smart as she has thought of a way to do it, and what we can do is to chase Miyoko's wisdom, if Miyoko can think of a way that we can't think of, it can only mean that we are not as smart as Miyoko, let alone break free from Miyoko's control." Xu Feng told a cruel truth.
Staring at the meteor lights flying outside the window, Xu Feng fell into a long contemplation, and after a long time, Xu Feng said slowly:
"Ah Zhen, I've been thinking, what is it that I have the ability to change probability? Can I still be considered a human being in the ordinary sense? Relying on one's own ideas to modify probabilities is the ability to touch the essence of the universe, the origin of space-time and the rules of mathematics. ”
"You don't want to boast that you're a god, do you?" I teased.
Xu Feng turned his face to look at me with a smile:
Although I dare not be proud, but to tell the truth, this is indeed the power of God. Although I don't have many memories, I have been thinking that probability may be the essence of this universe, and probability is also something that can combine time and space, time and space are one in nature, and probability is the existence that can combine the two. ”
"Uh...... In fact, this kind of metaphysical cosmology stuff is already callousing to me in philosophy class. "I'm telling the truth.
"But it is undeniable that our lives are still full of probabilities, and even everything can be described by probability." Xu Feng smiled bitterly, "Ah Zhen, don't you think it's strange." Ideally, the probability of having 50 heads of a coin tossed 100 times is the same as the probability of 50 coins being tossed at once. Here, the length of time and the quantity of space can describe the results of the same action, and time and space are also combined by the magic of probability. Don't you think that in this universe, probability is something more essential than time and space, and it even blurs the boundaries of time and space? ”
"To be honest, I didn't think about it." I told the truth, Xu Feng patted me on the shoulder, smiled, and said, "Okay, let's get news early, friend, there are more challenges waiting for us tomorrow." ”
We arrived in Anhui two hours later and then transferred to Beijing again.
After going around and around for a few hours, we came to the star-rated hotel arranged by Hu Zixin in the name of the company to check in.
Hu Zixin, who couldn't resist our orders, could only obey Xu Feng's orders.
In the star-rated hotel, Xu Feng also began the next step of planning.
"Tonight Hu Zixin is going to meet and have dinner with a star who is quite influential in the entertainment industry, and I hope to use this star as an entry point to start our project with his identity and background."
"What are you going to do?" I asked.
"The specific plan is not complicated, but I want everyone to cooperate with me to act in a play," Xu Feng arranged in the hotel room, "The work arrangement for everyone is like this, Ah Zhen has always been by my side." Qiu Chaoyue tried not to show up in front of people for a while, and Fei Tian went to take a shower to change his image and temperament, making people mistakenly think that he was an international star, in fact, Fei Tian's temperament itself is also very good, as long as he dresses up and pretends to be a star, it is not difficult. Zhou Mengdan and Gao Hai have a lot of free time, and I hope that you can gather as much information as possible about the legal and political disputes in this world. As for Hu Zixin, I hope you can provide as much information as possible about the celebrities with whom your company has worked together, I need to find out the most influential celebrities, and then I can make a more thorough layout. What I can tell you is that all of you will be billionaires if my plan succeeds. If you want to live a rich life, try to cooperate with my plan. ”
To be honest, not everyone has absolute trust in Xu Feng, after all, we have only known each other for a day, but Xu Feng's performance and talent in the past day are enough to make us believe in him.