Volume 2 The Wind and the Grass Chapter 14 A Legend Meets a Legend
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The old man stopped the staff from preparing to report to the leader's intentions, smiled rarely, signaled that the staff should do their own thing, sat down near the venue, and listened to the speeches outside.
"The use of the State Grid and the Southern Power Grid two networks, in fact, can not introduce competition at all, because the Southern Power Joint Venture is too weak, since it is impossible to introduce direct competition, why do you have two networks? This is mainly to consider the problem of supervision, two networks, although does not produce a great competitive effect, but "when a network, the cost is difficult to figure out, and it is beneficial for the government to implement effective supervision, which is called ruler supervision in economics......"
The old man was not very attentive before, it seemed that he was listening to the speech outside, and he was thinking about the problem at the same time, but when he heard this, his expression became focused, not only listened attentively, but also thought quietly, and when the last speaker appeared on the stage, the old man seemed to be interested in listening for a while, and said softly: .
"Two networks, ruler supervision, power generation completely off the grid, the establishment of several major power generation groups, optimize the allocation of resources, well, a little interesting."
Although this plan still seems a bit conservative, young people have a deep and far-reaching view of the deep-seated things of electricity reform, and it must be said that his views are still somewhat unique. And there is still some unfinished meaning in the words, obviously it should not be a scholar or expert, but a government official.
"Chief, the previous speaker was Lu Zhengdong, director of the Economic Operation and Reform Bureau of the System Reform Commission."
When the entourage on one side saw that the old man was listening attentively, they had already inquired about the identity of the speaker from the conference staff on the side.
The old man bowed slightly:
"No wonder that's the case."
The old man tugged at the corners of his mouth slightly, he was a little demanding.
After all, as an official responsible for putting forward reform opinions, we should not only consider it theoretically, but also consider it from the perspective of operability, national conditions, and political ecology, as an official responsible for putting forward reform opinions. After the Commission's initial plan was met with strong opposition, his status limited his freedom of speech. In fact, this is such a plan, in the eyes of some people, I am afraid that it is too risky, in their opinion, the power system to change the fact that it can be tinkered, there is no need to go to great lengths. In the face of such resistance and pressure, it actually took a lot of courage for this young man to be able to come up with this.
In fact, this assumption is even a bit conservative. However, in the main direction, the power system scheme has been completely rejected, and it is necessary to separate the plant and the grid. Moreover, the operation of the two grids, the establishment of several major power generation groups, the construction of the relationship between the national grid and the regional network through the guΓ² joint-stock system, and the establishment of a professional and specialized power regulatory agency, are very sharp, completely grasp the weakness of the initial plan proposed by the power system, and go straight to its key points, and there are a number of jΓΉ to support, there are theories as a guarantee, even if the power system finally has someone to make a speech, but it has not been able to scoop out and persuade more people to feel that its plan is better than the previous plan of the Reform Commission.
The TongguΓ² market approach breaks down and coordinates inter-provincial barriers. This is even more of a pot of wages, the power system wants to stick to their plan of confidence, one is some people to seek stability, the second is the support of the system up and down, and third, the strong support of local governments is also an important factor, but its plan does not solve the current situation of resource imbalance.
And this young man's proposal to use the market to solve inter-provincial barriers proposed local transformation and digestion. In addition, relying on regional networks to adjust the contradiction between abundant power and insufficient supply, to achieve the most economical and efficient operation of power transmission within 500 kilometers, to speed up the construction of electricity in places with abundant power resources, and to achieve local digestion of electricity as much as possible. To put it bluntly, the first is to speed up the transmission of electricity from the west to the east to solve the problem of power shortage in the east, and the second is to speed up the development and development of the western region, because energy resources are mainly concentrated in these places. Obviously, this is more attractive to local governments with abundant electricity resources or not.
And the plan looks at the issue not only from the perspective of electricity, but also from the perspective of the coordination of the national economy.
As the soon-to-be-national steward, after the Asian financial crisis, he has been thinking about how to achieve steady and rapid economic growth during his tenure.
He has long regarded the development of the western region as a key breakthrough during his tenure.
Judging from the pattern of national development, the development gap between the eastern and western regions has historically existed and widened, and the country has become an overall problem that has long plagued the country's healthy economic and social development. Therefore, as early as the early stage of reform, opening up, and development, the strategic thinking of two overall situations was put forward: One of the overall situation was to speed up the opening up of the eastern coastal areas to the outside world in the early stage, so that they could develop relatively quickly, and the central and western regions should take into account this overall situation; Another overall situation is that when development reaches a certain period, it is necessary to scoop out more forces to help the central and western regions speed up their development, and the eastern region must also be subordinated to this overall situation. This is a historical necessity.
Judging from the grim situation in reality, expanding domestic demand and promoting sustained growth of the national economy is an inevitable choice after the Asian financial crisis.
The inevitability of history and the needs of reality have become a matter of course. Of course, in order to become a national strategy, it must also win the support of the whole party and the people of all ethnic groups in the country, and it also needs to have an appropriate time.
And he has only just begun to bring this matter into his own vision in the true sense, and this young man is also able to keenly detect this, and can skillfully combine it to serve his own views.
This young man is really eye-catching, the old man groaned, as if he felt that the name Lu Zhengdong was a little familiar, thought for a while, and smiled slightly:
"Oh, I said, it's him?"
The entourage is a little strange, the chief has always been relatively strict, and recently he has been very angry by the Asian financial crisis, and he is not in a good mood, and it is rare to smile, but today he laughed a few times in a row, and couldn't help asking:
"Oh. It turns out that the chief knows? β
"I have heard of his name for a long time, but I don't see him, he is the young man who predicted the financial crisis in Southeast Asia and advocated for the SAR government to enter the rescue of the market at the symposium."
The old man smiled slightly, no wonder the old man Yun, who has always been more conservative, dared to put him in the capital, it was a piece of jade......
At this moment, the person in charge of the conference in charge of the research room hurriedly walked in.
"Prime Minister Rong, you ......"
It turned out that this clear-looking and cold-looking old man was Rong Zhenghai, vice premier of the Standing Committee!
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At the venue, the director of the Policy Division was still there to give his speech, but everyone in the room was a little absent-minded. Even the ministers sitting on the stage seem to be a little unable to lift their spirits, and it is no wonder that there are pearls in front of them, no matter how the language is decorated, it cannot change the lackluster content and the old opinions.
Lu Zhengdong sat there calmly. Even if he didn't look back, he could feel Zeng Huaide's gaze not far away all the time watching him.
Zeng Huaide should have been surprised by his cousin. Maybe Zeng Huaide thought that he had only entered Beijing for a short time, and his buttocks had not yet been hot, and many things had not yet been touched by the temple door, so it was impossible to scoop out anything decent. The result was much beyond Zeng Huaide's expectations, Zeng Huaide's things were completely dwarfed, and they were somewhat self-defeating.
But Lu Zhengdong also knows very well that this is not a victory, this is the beginning, Zeng Huaide is behind the high-sounding appearance. It is extremely bad, if Zeng Huaide is still tempted in the previous battle in the clouds, then after this time, Zeng Huaide must regard him as a fierce rival, which is unacceptable for Zeng Huaide, who is extremely ambitious. For such a great threat to his future development, he must want to strangle him by any means, and all kinds of overt and secret tricks will be used, and then step on his corpse and climb up.
From now on. The real fight between the two has just begun, Lu Zhengdong couldn't help but smile coldly in his heart, it's a pity, things are not people, and he Lu Zhengdong is no longer the Wuxia Ameng of the past, in his last life, he was made by this guy to be a ghost and not a ghost, and in this life, Zeng Huaide must also taste that taste! β¦β¦
Just when Lu Zhengdong was distracted, the people who spoke above had already ended, but the people sitting on the stage looked at the side in surprise, and then they all stood up with a smile and applauded, attracting the eyes of the audience to look to the side.
I saw Vice Premier Rong Zhenghai walking in with a slight smile and waving to everyone. The participants were very happy that the Vice Prime Minister was able to visit the participants at the closing of the meeting, which was an important part of the meeting, and also made the standard of the meeting suddenly improve a lot.
"Mr. Deputy Prime Minister, could you please give us a speech......
Representatives of the World Bank extended the invitation, taking advantage of the meeting with the Deputy Prime Minister.
In fact, this is also the same sentiment of the participants, including several ministers, how to reform the electricity reform, the deputy prime minister's opinion is very important, everyone wants to explore the tone, but it is difficult to say.
"I am very concerned about the situation of the seminar, and I also understand some of the situation, and I have just heard the speeches of some of the deputies, but I have not grasped it comprehensively enough, so it is not easy to talk about the specific opinions, but I feel that this seminar is a good one, and reform is to explore the way, as long as it can put forward beneficial views and explorations for reform, we should have the mind of embracing all rivers, so that various viewpoints converge, collide, compare, and discuss, so that the ideas will be closer and closer to the right path......
The deputy premier's answer was leaky, in fact, it was impossible for the deputy prime minister to reveal any tone at this time, and the prime minister smiled and signaled.
"It also contains the wisdom of international friends, if you have not finished speaking at the meeting, we might as well talk about it......"
Although the situation of this seminar will not be reported, it is diplomatic etiquette to meet with international friends attending the meeting.
Lu Zhengdong watched the ministers huddle around the vice premier and walk to the meeting hall on the side, and felt that he had nothing to do, so he was ready to leave, but the conference organizer led him to the side hall and told him that someone was waiting to see him, but as for who and what he was doing, he didn't explain, and Lu Zhengdong couldn't ask more, so he had to sit there.
In the meeting hall not far away, after the vice premier met with foreign guests, he left Lin Junsheng behind.
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"Prime Minister Rong......"
Seeing Lin Junsheng's expression, Rong Zhenghai waved his hand and said:
"I'm taking advantage of this gap to hear some of his thoughts on the financial crisis."
Lin Junsheng was stunned, the vice premier's surprise was completely unexpected, and he couldn't figure out what medicine the vice premier was selling in the gourd, so he had to smile......
Lu Zhengdong didn't wait long in the side hall before being led to the meeting hall. Seeing Premier Rong sitting on the sofa, he was also slightly stunned, Lu Zhengdong was the first time he had close contact with this legendary figure.
If he is a representative of fame at a young age, and Rong Zhenghai is a legend of a late bloomer, nearly fifty years old or a department-level cadre, in the tide of younger cadres after the reform and opening up, there are forty not to mention the department, fifty not to mention the hall, according to the normal situation, the old man in front of him can retire in the deputy hall is already good. But the one in front of him is a miracle of a great contract, not only in the hall. And in a very short period of time, from the main department, deputy department, main hall, deputy department, main department, members of the political bureau, standing committee, until the position of Zaifu, such a legend, not to say that there is no one before, but I am afraid that there is no one to come.
Lu Zhengdong was a little excited, but the vice premier simply waved his hand and motioned for him to sit down next to Director Lin, and said almost without any politeness:
"The atmosphere of the return has not yet dissipated. Hong Kong is full of wind and rain, and the dark tide is turbulent, and it seems that a storm is inevitable, and you are very interested in this, I want to hear your thoughts......"
Lu Zhengdong, like Lin Junsheng, thought that the vice premier was going to ask about the power reform, but he didn't expect to ask about this. Fortunately, he has studied this in depth, and these things are suddenly asked, so it doesn't matter, he thought for a while and said:
"The financial crisis in Southeast Asia just passed. Hong Kong is like a bystander, still keeping its distance and admiring its strong economic base, and by the time it recovers, the crisis has rushed to its feet. There are no eggs under the nest, for example, it is like a war, a certain general said one day, this line of defense cannot be defended, and the next line of defense is estimated to be unable to resist, everyone withdraw, this kind of panic spreads, and the army is in turmoil, and at this time Soros and his speculators have long been waiting on the sidelines. β
"The reason why they chose Hong Kong over Japan is because Japan has fallen into a recession, and even if it succeeds, it will not make much profit, and Japan has the world's largest foreign exchange reserves, and the second is that the Hong Kong property market is overheated, and the bubble is strict, and if the Hong Kong stock market is overheated, the Hang Seng Index must come down; If the currencies of other Southeast Asian countries depreciate, Hong Kong's economy depends on exports, and the Hong Kong dollar will have to depreciate to remain competitive. Based on these two simple truths, shorting should be profitable, which should be the basic judgment of Soros and others. This means that Hong Kong is destined to be their inevitable choice. β
"The Hong Kong government is aware of this, but it is not clear whether the other side is attacking the foreign exchange market or the stock market."
"As for the method, hedge funds must be hidden in the arbitrage industry, and the first thing is to have a large amount of Hong Kong dollars on hand. Although the Hong Kong dollar is free to exchange huΓ n, but not to expose the target is the key, it is estimated that they should use s as the main way to carry out, which is both simple and hidden, only need a paper contract to pass over, and it will come quietly, without disturbing anyone, and there will be a steady stream of Hong Kong dollar cash in hand......"
S is a financial derivative invented by the Yankees, and S is not complicated, for example, A says that he bought a 1 million US dollar 10-year treasury bond and pays 5% interest, B buys 1 million euros of 10-year treasury bond and pays 6% interest, B later needs US dollars, and A needs euros. So the two exchanged the interest income for each other, and they did not lose money and met their respective needs.
The Yankees tried their best in this regard, but in the end they themselves shot themselves in the foot, creating a subprime mortgage crisis that was no less than the Asian financial crisis......
Lu Zhengdong paused and continued:
"At the same time, they bought a large number of Hang Seng Index short contracts, which is just the tip of the iceberg, because of their influence and the rumors that have been revealed, the amount of money accumulated by other funds and retail investors behind the big investors is even greater, and when all the people start to sell, whoever sells cheaply can run away, which has become a self-fulfilling prophecy, which will further exacerbate the panic in the market, and the flight of a large number of funds, the blow can be imagined.
To make matters worse, they are selling Hong Kong dollars in both cash and forward currency markets. In order to maintain the exchange rate, the HKMA had to sell a large number of US dollars to buy Hong Kong dollars, which led to a rapid decrease in the total supply of Hong Kong dollars and a sharp rise in interest rates. The reason is simple, if you can buy short-term market funds with a high enough interest, no one will leave their money in the stock market. High interest rates mean that this large amount of money is withdrawn from the stock market and transferred to the bond market and short-term capital markets. At the same time, a long period of high interest rates will lead to a sharp increase in corporate costs, which will trigger an economic depression and stocks will fall anyway. In this way, at the same time, double overflow is realized...... If the stock market continues to crash, they can retreat by scooping up short-selling contracts for cash......
In short, the wishful thinking of international speculators is that if the Hong Kong government guards the foreign exchange market, it will definitely be a sharp rise in interest rates, and they can make money in the sharply falling stock market with short-selling Hang Seng Index contracts. If the Hong Kong government abandons the foreign exchange market to protect the stock market, and the Hong Kong dollar falls sharply, they can make money steadily by shorting the forward Hong Kong dollar contracts. Even if the Hong Kong government wants to save it, it is difficult to take care of it. β
After hearing this, the vice premier frowned tightly and remained silent for a long time, obviously thinking that such an outcome would be no less than a catastrophe for Hong Kong, which had just returned to the motherland, and the negative impact on the central government could be imagined......
The secretary of the deputy prime minister on one side saw that the vice prime minister did not speak again, looked at his watch, and said cautiously:
"Chief, it's time to go back, it's already time to eat......"
Lu Zhengdong and Lin Junsheng were also busy looking at their watches, and half an hour had passed since the originally scheduled ten-minute report, so they wanted to get up, Rong Zhenghai waved his hand:
"Just eat here
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