As a well-known scholar who has studied the history of world civilization in depth, Professor Alan Johnson has unique insights into the policy trends of countries around the world today.

Taking history as a mirror, this is the case.

After Professor Alan Johnson left, Li Fushou still sat alone in the meditation pavilion and repeatedly recalled his words, and the next plan gradually became clear, and he felt a lot more determined in his heart.

Today, we have talked about a lot of topics, ranging from the current world pattern to the great powers of Europe and the United States, except for the large deviation in the fact that the British Empire dominates the world, and the others are even different from the future historical trend.

Perhaps a source of pride for the English, Professor Alan Johnson believes that no country will be able to shake the supremacy of the British Empire for the next 200 years, and that the sun never sets on the Empire will continue to be Victorian in its glory.

When it comes to the aggressive Tsarist Empire, Professor Alan Johnson's point of view is very interesting, and it basically fits the original historical trajectory.

His views are very convincing, and his nature is difficult to change.

There were only three directions of expansion in the Tsarist Empire; To the west, to the south and to the east.

The first was westward expansion, and Tsarist Russia had been hoping to control the Bosphorus, the choke point from the Mediterranean to the Black Sea, by controlling the Balkans, in order to open up the only outlet to the southwest that it had sought for a century.

In the 10th Russo-Turkish War that had just ended in 1878, due to the strong intervention of Britain, Tsarist Russia was forced to spit out most of its benefits, and was still forbidden to pass through the Bosphorus, a choke point, with the warm Mediterranean Sea in the distance.

The British Empire sent a very clear signal and occupied Cyprus under the Treaty of Berlin, completely closing the door to the Russians' advance into the Mediterranean.

With no hope of advancing westward, Tsarist Russia tried to choose the second way to "go south", but after the British Imperial Army took the lead in occupying Afghanistan, it completely blocked this road, keeping Tsarist Russia out of this lofty mountain and unable to threaten India.

As a result, the only direction of expansion for Tsarist Russia was the East, and this time the Russians targeted the weak Manchu government, and repeatedly succeeded.

In 1858, when the British and French forces captured the Dagu Fort in Tianjin, Tsarist Russia took advantage of the air defense in the northeast to force the Qing government to sign the unequal treaty "Sino-Russian Aihui Treaty". The territory north of Heilongjiang and south of the Outer Xing'an Mountains was cut off, totaling about 600,000 square kilometers!

Two years later, in 1860, Russia took advantage of the occupation of Beijing by the British and French forces under the pretext of "mediation". As a result of the mediation, the Qing government was forced to sign the humiliating Sino-Russian Treaty of Beijing, which cut off more than 400,000 square kilometers east of the Ussuri River and Sakhalin Island.

Seeing that the Manchus were so easy to bully and ceded one million square kilometers of land without a single shot, this greatly stimulated the appetite of Tsarist Russia.

In October 1864, Tsarist Russia forced the Qing government to sign the Sino-Russian Treaty on the Survey and Demarcation of the Northwest Boundary, which ceded more than 440,000 square kilometers of territory east and south of Lake Balkhash in the west.

Lake Balkhash was called Yibohai in ancient times, this lake is very magical, half saltwater lake, half freshwater lake, very distinctive. The more than 440,000 square kilometers that were cut off in later generations belonged to Kazakhstan.

In 1881, Tsarist Russia forced the Qing government to sign the Sino-Russian Ili Treaty, which ceded more than 70,000 square kilometers of western Xinjiang.

Professor Alan Johnson's view is very clear: the aggressive Tsarist Russia will not be satisfied with the existing situation, and Xinjiang and the three northeastern provinces will become the prey of this greedy woolly bear.

He predicted a large-scale and fierce war between Tsarist Russia and the late Qing Dynasty, in which the Manchu government would fight back in the face of humiliation and pay a heavy price, and might cede some of the territory or sovereign rights and interests of the three northeastern provinces.

This view is generally not wrong, but it was not the Manchus who fought a fierce war with Tsarist Russia, but the equally aggressive Fuso State, and in the end, Tsarist Russia was defeated, but still occupied part of the territory and rights and interests of the three eastern provinces.

The two robbers shared the fertile eastern provinces, with only the Manchu government being the only big loser, which further stimulated their appetites, and the invaders were always insatiable......

in Indochina

The colonial war launched by the French completely conquered the Kingdom of Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos, and advanced to the northern border, which had already had many frictions with the Manchu Green Battalion army, and it was likely to lead to a war.

Professor Alan Johnson judged;

The success of Tsarist Russia in the north stimulated the appetite of the French colonizers, who wanted to divide a large area in the south, of course, from the Manchu government, and this war was inevitable, and it was inevitable that it would break out in three months or six months.

Spurred on by the Earl of Queensland's invasion of Shangri-La Island, the Sino-French War may have been staged a year earlier than in the original history, which was a direct consequence of the butterfly's wings.

Li Fushou did not know whether the Sino-French war could be won, and even if he did, it would be useless, and the Manchu Qing government, which suffered from "foreign-phobia", still lost everything at the negotiating table, and he was beyond his control.

He had thought about secretly transporting a batch of weapons and ammunition, but then he finally gave up this immature idea.

Because this can't change anything, even if the anti-French hero Feng Zicai led the army to fight bloodily and won a great victory, it can't cure the soft bones of the Manchu court, and the so-called "prefer to foreign countries to domestic slaves" is nothing like this.

Rash action will reveal their own political leanings, which is undoubtedly extremely dangerous, the French are not the Dutch at sunset, as one of the world's top naval powers, the French Far East Fleet stationed in Hanoi has 8,600-ton steam-ironclad battleships, which is far from being able to fight against itself.

What's more, Queensland's continental European trade market is in the hands of the French and Germans, of which the French market accounts for more than 1/3 of the market, and the interests are high.

The most terrible thing is that Li Fushou is now in trouble, in case of a falling out with the southern states, he urgently needs the support of the European continental powers, which is related to the fundamental interests of the Red River Valley.

It's not that I don't want to care, but I don't have enough ability!

For today's plan, we can only farm and develop.

Regarding the current war in the north, after some in-depth discussions, Li Fushou already had a clear strategy in his heart, abandoned the original way of looking ahead and looking backwards, and was ready to open and close his fists to give the Dutch some powerful looks.

Shangri-La Island in the north has now entered a phase of standoff, and the direct personnel of the Third Garrison Regiment have swelled to more than 6,500 people, plus 6,000 well-trained militiamen, with a total strength of about 12,500 people.

At present, the troops are in the midst of intense training, and there was no urgent operational plan, and the counteroffensive has not yet been put on the agenda.

Not anymore

Li Fushou is ready to continue to reinforce 3,000 key militia members on Shangri-La Island, support them to launch a counterattack as soon as possible, and uproot the existence of the Dutch landing force in one fell swoop, even if it is worth the sacrifice.

The integrity of Shangri-La's territorial sovereignty is non-negotiable, this is the bottom line.

meanwhile

After consolidating the occupation of Samarinda, the capital of Borneo, the commander-in-chief of the landing force, Wei Chi Shouzhuo, was ordered to immediately send troops to sweep the surrounding towns, quickly occupy more territory and put pressure on the Dutch, and at the same time send reinforcements to the Samarinda area, mainly militia forces.

In the Dutch-occupied part of Borneo, the Dutch army did not exceed 1,700 men, scattered in several large towns, plus the servant army did not exceed 8,000 men.

According to the forward report;

These Dutch defenders' fighting will and skills were obviously inferior to those of the landing force on Shangri-La Island, and they belonged to the second-line garrison of the Dutch East Indies.

Professor Alan Johnson's words woke up the dreamer;

Praying for peace does not bring peace, saying a thousand things and ten thousand, victory on the battlefield is the most important thing, and only victory can win the respect of the strong.

What international influence and perception of the European upper class is a floating cloud, which cannot be obtained on the battlefield, nor at the negotiating table (except for the Ottoman Empire and the Manchu Empire).

According to Professor Alan Johnson's analysis, the majority of the upper-class people in London are waiting to see the jokes of the Earl of Queensland, and spending money cannot buy sympathy, cannot buy support, and in the face of the necessary interests, the British Empire can abandon the allies, let alone a small Earl of Queensland.

The only way is to ~ break the game with force.

Li Fushou yesterday received an urgent telegram from the Combined Fleet of Sammarinda Queensland, and the commander-in-chief of the fleet, He Fang, led the main force to attack, targeting a small Dutch fleet that might reinforce Lucky Bay.

Li Fushou will not interfere in these specific battles, let alone overstep his command, and all of them will be judged by the front-line commanders according to the situation, whether they are fighting or defending, and they have great autonomy.

From the point of view of the superiors, a small naval battle could not affect the overall situation, and after the annihilation of the European reinforcement fleet, the Queensland Combined Fleet undoubtedly dominated the situation in the East Indies maritime theater, and the advantages have become increasingly clear.

Now it's time to turn the advantage into victory and hit the Dutch hard.

The siege of Shangri-La Island is on the agenda as soon as possible, and the Borneo strategy is implemented as soon as possible, these two heavy blows will surely make the Dutch feel painful, and the blockade of the port of Surabaya by the Queensland Combined Fleet should make these Dutch merchants realize the reality.

The situation in the north is closely related to the country, and the longer the time drags on, the worse the situation in the southern states becomes, and Li Fushou does not want to fight an internal war, what he is doing now is to show an extremely tough attitude and actively prepare for war, and urge the other side to recognize the reality and return to the negotiating table as soon as possible.

The protracted delay in the war in the north is generally not conducive to the current delicate situation in Australia.

After thinking about it, Li Fushou finally made up his mind to carry out the army's plan of encirclement and annihilation and occupation of territory as soon as possible, and after controlling the absolute control of the sea, he immediately started the plan of resettlement from the mainland to Borneo, and filled the occupied towns and plantations with immigrant populations, creating an established fact.

As for the local indigenous population of Borneo, of course, all of them were sent back to Java, and the Dutch plantations needed labor anyway.

Well, just do it, the place that Lao Tzu occupies is mine, and no one wants to take it again.