Chapter 675: Don't make things too simple

[Player 1, please speak]

"I don't believe that Player 3 is a witch, in my opinion, he should be a self-swordsman, trying to defile Player 4 before leaving."

"I have to admit that player No. 3 is really calculating, he jumped witch and said that he didn't kill poison by eating knife poison 4 last night, there are two benefits."

"One is that you can force the double drug witch to jump out, as long as the witch wants to fish the No. 4 player, she must jump out to report the information, the key is that the witch jumped, and the good people may not believe it, and there is a good chance that they will still hang the ticket on the 4."

"The second is to mislead the sight of good people, based on the logic that 4 is a wolf, and 2 is a good person, and I am a titan, so that you can drill the wolf team."

Player 1 is definitely reluctant to believe that Player 3 is a witch.

If he is a witch on plate 3, 4 has to be a wolf concubine in the eclipse, and player 2 on the police is following the trend to play 4, from this behavior analysis, 2 and 4 are not very wolf teammates who meet.

To say that 2 or 4 wolves step on wolves is a bit far-fetched.

Because 2 is playing player 4 with the trend, not directly playing 4, and that's the problem.

Generally speaking, wolves directly step on wolf teammates, which can pull up obvious opposites, and it is rare for indirect wolves to step on wolves, especially on the first day, and such a thing is less likely to happen.

Therefore, player 1 is reluctant to play 3 is a witch, once plate 3 is a witch, he has to play 2 and 4 double wolves, but can a good person believe in the logic of 2 and 4 double wolves?

Obviously, he can't recognize it, so he has to play player 3 is a wolf, 4 is a good person, and player 2 is a wolf, which is logical and common sense.

"The witch in the back of my conversation, don't hide it, just jump out of the front angle, in your eyes, player 3 must be a wolf, right? He couldn't be a good guy in clothes and a knife. ”

"Because a good person wearing clothes and blocking a knife will not report false information, let alone mislead the sight of a good person, and will not lead the rhythm out of player 4, he can only be a wolf."

"In this case, there are only three wolves on the field, 2 is still a kill, 6 is a fierce jump, and there is only one wolf in the external position, I will go to check the No. 5 player at night, if 5 is a kill, this wolf pit will be found."

"If 5 is gold water, the last wolf is most likely the No. 12 player, the police 12 is on the side of 6, although 9 and 11 are fighting each other, they are all standing on the side of me, and they can't be turned for the time being."

"The No. 10 player under the police is on the bandit ticket, he has a bandit face, but compared to 5 and 12, his rounds are leaning back."

"Anyway, the wolf pit is already very crowded, as long as you witch can come out and have a positive perspective, we will put player 2 out, which is equivalent to killing two wolves on the first day, and the good guys are already victorious."

Player No. 1 especially hopes that the witch can jump out, what's there to be afraid of, not to mention that there are guards who can guard him, even if there are no guards, in the case of the good guy's round lead, as long as he can come out of the positive perspective and tell the good guy that player No. 3 is a wolf, then 4 doesn't have to eat anti-push.

The most important thing is that the real witch jumped out, and the logic of player 3 was self-defeating, and 3 was to help 6 to incite votes, and 3 and 6 wolves didn't have to run.

That's why Player 1 keeps talking to the Witch and jumping out, but he, like Player 4, thinks the problem too simply.

Player 3 is a wolf, does that prove that 4 must be a good guy?

Player 3 is a wolf, and if he brings rhythm to player 6, can it explain that 3 and 6 are wolves?

Is it possible that 3 is making an identity for 4? It's possible.

The 3 jumping witch wants to pull the back of player 4 is an appearance, he may be playing with the witch, so he bets that the witch will jump out to catch 4, so that the identity of 4 is sat down.

At that time, who would have thought that player number 4 was a wolf? After all, judging by his behavior, 3 and 4 definitely don't meet.

Similarly, if the 3rd gang of player 6 is inciting, will it be deliberately dirty with the identity of 6, making people mistakenly think that 3 and 6 are on the same side?

Theoretically, these may all exist, and it is not even ruled out that this is the routine of player 3 to fool the good guys.

And 1, as a prophet, didn't consider these at all, and said with great certainty that player 4 must be a good person, in Gu Feng's opinion, this was too early to say.

The logic and speech of the prophet must be rigorous, and 4 is a good person is only a matter of high probability, not a certain thing.

Werewolves can play all routines, and if the logical level of a good person is not enough, they will definitely be taken into the ditch.

"The wolf pit I am pointing now is 2, 3, 5, 6, and the error tolerance rate is at the 12th player, if I fold, you will treat it as 5 is to check and kill."

"But there's one thing, if, I mean, if 3 is really a witch, then pick 5 out, fill 4 into the wolf pit, 2, 3 are double wolves, and 2 police officers fight wolf teammates as identities."

"Although this possibility exists, I really don't want to go to this steering wheel, after all, this possibility is too low, and I, as a prophet, must correct the logic and take the high probability of events."

"Okay, I'll talk so much about the police, stand on my side, believe I'm a prophet, I'll hang the ticket on player No. 2 today, and at night the witch will poison player No. 6, and I'll check player No. 5, so be it, it's over."

[Player 12, please speak]

"Player No. 1, I think there is a problem with your statement from the police, and the problem exposed by the police is even greater."

"Player 4 can see his hole cards clearly, and he says that it is normal for 3 to be a self-knife wolf, but why do you think that 3 must be a self-knife wolf?"

"Isn't there a witch face in your eyes? Didn't you say that he might be a good person? ”

"Take 10,000 steps back, even if 3 is a wolf, can it prove that player 4 is a good person? Have you ever thought about 3 or 4 wolves stepping on wolves? 2, 3 two people guess 4 to do identity? ”

"Player No. 3 is a self-sword wolf, do you think he can think of his identity as a witch dirty 4, and the real witch will come out with a positive perspective? He should be able to think of it, right? ”

"And once the witch does that, isn't player 4 mistaken for a good guy? You haven't even thought about this possibility, you are a prophet, how can you think so little? ”

Player 12 doesn't want to stand on the side of 1, and after listening to 1's second round of speeches, he doesn't want to stand on his side.

Leaving aside the question of whether player 3 is a witch or not, how can a prophet say that 3 is not a witch and 4 must be a good person?

Thinking a little more, I can also think that 3 may give 4 an identity, not to mention that 4's speech is not very good, it is completely because 2 police officers followed the trend and hit player 4, and 1 recognized 4.

Putting this aside and listening only to 4's speech, does 1 dare to say that 4 must be a good person?

On the surface, 2 and 3 don't meet player 4, but the logic of 2, 3, and 4 can't be ruled out, so the logic of 1 is obviously flawed, even if 3 is not a witch, 4 can't be fully recognized.

"Player 1, you've been talking to the witch and letting the witch jump out of the front angle, the problem is that there is a witch jumping in the back position, will our good people believe it?"

"To put it mildly, what if this witch is your wolf? You have to say Christmas Eve to prove your identity, think too much, the wolf can be empty-handed. ”

"And what Player 2 said makes sense, you wolf jump a witch, forcibly protect Player 4, push 2 out of the game, and then use the Prophet knife at night."

"When I woke up the next day, the four wolves were present, and the only good people were the Prince of Order and the guards, you guys took a little sip of their identities and lined up a row of pits, I don't think they could hide it."

"It is even possible for you to jump the guards directly and force the guards out."

"Should we good people guard against this situation? Before the double death, can we believe that the witch is still present? ”

"You have to know that from the perspective of a good person, 3 died by eating a knife, and he is most likely a good person, and a person who did not eat a knife jumped out and said that he was a witch, why should a good person believe him?"

Player No. 12 didn't say anything wrong at all, he talked about some of the situations that Gu Feng thought of.

For example, 2, 3, and 4 may be three wolves, and two wolves 2 and 3 step on their teammates as identities.

Another example is that player No. 3 is ostensibly pulling 4 pads, but in fact, he is betting that the witch will jump out to catch player 4.

There are also good people who are worried that the wolves will fight hard, so they jump directly to the witch to forcibly protect 4 out of 2, knife off the prophet at night, and then blow up 1, and then run to the guard to knife with their identity.

All of the above are possible, but Player 1 didn't talk about any of them, and to be honest, if he was a prophet, he was really a bit of a stretch.

It's like a demon stunned.,I always think that player No. 4 is a good person.,I don't want to think about 3 and take risks to make an identity for 4.,I don't want to think about the possibility of 2.,3.4 Three wolves.,I recognized 2.,4 Don't meet.,This logical level is really low.。

To be reasonable, if he hadn't known that player 3 was a wolf, he really wouldn't have wanted to stand on the side1.

Although he said to stand on the side 6 this round, it wasn't to confuse the werewolves' eyes so that they couldn't find out that they were witches.

If you can jump out generously, Gu Feng still tends to stand on the side 1, after all, the possibility of 2, 3, and 4 wolves is very low, but no matter how small it is, you have to fight, and you don't even talk about it, this is the problem of 1.

"I said so much, just to tell the good people, whether 3 is a real witch or not, since 4 filmed a civilian, then I will fight him out of the game today."

"Even if something goes wrong, it's a people for a wolf, a good person is definitely not a loss, the witch prescribes a poison at night, and a double death comes out, don't we know that 3 is a wolf?"

"But before I see the double death, for the sake of safety, I still believe that 3 is a witch, 4 is a wolf concubine in the eclipse time, and 2 is a good person, I want to stand on the side of player 6, and 7 doesn't need to plate him as a fake gold water."

"The wolf pit is 1, 4, 9, 11, and the error tolerance rate is at player 8."

"If I see the double death tomorrow, I will give the No. 1 player, the good people in the audience, I shoot the identity, you can recognize me or, if you don't recognize me, resist me, I have nothing to say."

"But today, even if there is a witch jump in the back position, I hope that the good people can hang the ticket on the 4, in case the wolves really forcibly jump the witch to protect the wolf concubine."

"Well, that's all I want to talk about, out of 4, it's over."

[Player 11, please speak]

"No, isn't it like that, the No. 6 player on your side? 9, 11 twin wolves, seriously? ”

"On the police, I said that player 9 might be a wolf, and when 9 spoke, he beat me again, and the two of us have already fought each other, even if we are wolves, we will open at most one, right?"

"You can take out 9 and 11 wolves, and then say that we are stepping on each other as identities, cow, cow, for the sake of the wolf pit, we don't care about anything, right?"

"If you are according to this, is it possible that 4 and 5 are wolves stepping on wolves? 5. 8 Is it possible that the wolf stepped on the wolf? It's all possible. ”

"Then why didn't I hear you point out that they were wolves stepping on wolves, but beating us 9 or 11 was wolves stepping on wolves, what's the matter, do you see that we are easy to bully?"

Player 11 was very speechless, not to mention who was the prophet 1 and 6, and he and player 9 were in a mess, pointing each other into the wolf pit.

As a result, the person standing on the side of player 6 actually ordered 9 and 11 wolves, which was a big deviation.

He admits that from the perspective of the good guys in the outside position, it is possible for them to make two wolves at 9 and 11, but what is the probability?

If they 9 and 11 can be coiled as wolves stepping on wolves as identities, then why can't 4 and 5? 5. 8 Why can't it, it's possible.

The question is, if they are all like this, how can they recognize good people according to the common relationship?

Therefore, the person with the double wolf of plate 9 and 11 is very funny, he and the player No. 9 will definitely not be a double wolf, and he can't guarantee whether 9 is a wolf or not, but he must be a good person.

Whoever orders 9 and 11 double wolves, in the eyes of player 11, he is a wolf, even if he is not a wolf, he is also a fool of his brain.

"Player No. 3 was the first to enter the wolf pit at the same time as 9 and 11, but he finally added a player No. 8, saying that 1, 4, 8, 9, and 11 were five into four, and he didn't say anything to death."

"But when it comes to player 2, it directly becomes 9, 11 wolves step on wolves as identities, 8 becomes a fault tolerance rate, on 2 this speech, he can afford to take the good guy card, I don't believe it."

"I still have to stand on the side of player 1, if 1 is really a witch, I can only say that 2 and 4 police officers are stepping on each other as identities, 2 doesn't like to step on wolves? Now I'm doing the same. ”

"If 3 is not a witch, then he is a self-sword wolf, he jumped witch and said that poison 4 was not poisoned, just to fool the good people to resist pushing 4, and at the same time force 4 to hand over his identity, or force the double medicine witch to jump out."

"As for what player 12 gets 3 and 4 double wolves, 3 is making an identity for 4, I think it's a bit ridiculous, I have to admit that there is such a possibility, but I don't think player 3 can think of that step."

"You know,He started playing player No. 4 from the police.,And he's hostile to 4.,When he said his last words,What he said was obviously to put 4 to death.,Say 3、4 double wolves as identities,I don't believe it.。

"In case the witch is afraid of being stabbed, so she doesn't jump out of the front angle, then Player 4 will be completely cool?"

Player 11 doesn't think that 3 and 4 can be double wolves, he prefers to believe that 3 is a self-sword wolf, and wants to resist player 4, or wants to use this method to force the witch out.

Either player No. 3 is a real witch, and he was poisoned last night and 4 was not poisoned, 4 is the wolf concubine who used his skills on the first night, and player No. 4 is to step on his teammates to make an identity.

Even if he is predicting that 1 may be killed by the prophet, then he can help 4 to make his identity, which can explain why 2 and 4 can be made into two wolves.

"Finally, let's click on the wolf pit, 2, 4, 6, 12 are likely to be four wolves, and the error tolerance rate is in player 7, provided that the 3 hole cards are witches."

"If 3 is a self-sword wolf, the wolf pit is 2, 3, 6, 12, and the fault tolerance rate is still at player 9."

"Why did I let go of player 7 who took 6 gold? There are two reasons for this. ”

"First of all, 7's own speech doesn't look like a wolf, at least I think he is a good person, so I don't want to point him into the wolf pit for the time being."

"Secondly, if the No. 3 player is a wolf, it is impossible to talk about the format they discussed last night, I estimate that the 3rd wolf throws gold water to the wolf and does the double gold water Wolverine routine, just to increase the good people's doubts about the gold water."

"In this way, they will be able to seize the opportunity to resist the push of Jinshui."

"Based on these two reasons, I think that 6 and 7 can't be double wolves, and player 7 is likely to be a good person who is canvassed, if 1 is not less than 7, you can go to check him at night."

"Who's out today? I think it's best to play player 2, after all, 2 is a wolf, but if no one dances the witch in the back position, player 4 is fine. ”

"Anyway, whether 3 is a witch or not in this game, we can still play, and as long as the guards and the Prince of Order are not stabbed one by one, then our chances of winning are very good."

Player 11 points out two wolf pits, which are the case of 3 being a witch and 3 being a self-swordsman.

But in fact, the height of these two wolf pits coincides, that is, the difference between 3 and 4 who is a wolf.

However, judging from 11's statement, he should not know 2 and 4.

If he is a wolf charging, he will definitely go crazy with a rhythm and want the good guy to play player 2, instead of saying in an indifferent tone that it is better to play 2, but it is okay to play 4.

When he talked like this, it showed that 11 should not meet with 2 and 4, and he was a good person who was independent.

[Player 10, please speak]

"Let me first talk about why I voted for player 6 with the badge for two main reasons."

"First of all, the dialogue between the 6 police officers and me made me particularly favorable, he said that even if I got the wrong ticket, he would not be able to point me into the wolf pit, and this mentality made me very comfortable."

"On the other hand, player No. 1 will talk to me and ask me to vote for him, and the rest will be gone, so my heart will naturally be biased towards 6."

"But the bias is biased, I still talk about logic on the sidelines, and the police badge flow of player 1 makes me feel that he has exploded."

"In fact, about the problems existing in the 1 police badge flow, the police 12 talked very clearly, and it can be summed up that the logic of 1 disc and the police badge flow set aside do not match at all."

He said that 6 and 7 may be double wolves, but he is unwilling to hit the police badge on 7, he has to look at the side of 7, what is there to see on his side? If he stands on the side of 6, will you be able to play 6 or 7 wolves? ”

"Definitely not, as a good person, he took the golden water, and you let him turn the water on the first day, and the requirements are a bit excessive, so it is normal for 7 to stand on the side of 6."

"You can't just say 6 or 7 wolves just because he is on the side of player 6."

In the same way,7 if he really turned against the water, would he be able to recognize him as a good man? I'm afraid I have to put a question mark, what if 7 is a barbed wolf with gold water and barbs? ”

"To put it bluntly, player 7's standing doesn't tell us if he's a good guy or a wolf."

"As a prophet, 1 should be very aware of this, since this is the case, then hit the first police badge on 7, what is the 3rd player doing? If you have to wear 3, it will be outrageous. ”

Player 10 comes up and talks about why he voted for player 6, which is very important.

If you talk well, others won't dismiss him as a barb, even if 6 is a fierce jump, they can't dismiss him as a charge, just as he is a good person who stands on the wrong side.

On the contrary, if he doesn't talk well, even if he is on the right side, good people will suspect that he is a hook, and if he stands on the wrong side, then he will directly charge him.

Player No. 10 knows the twists and turns in this, so he got up and talked about his reasons and logic for voting for 6 first, and if he talked about this point clearly, he would not be pointed into the wolf pit by others.

To be honest, compared with the speeches of 1 and 6, he really thinks that 1 is not as good as player 6, the police badge flow is really a bit explosive, and the wolf pit of the point also makes him dissatisfied.

There is a way that the prophet in the front position looks at the state, and the prophet in the back position listens to the logic, 1 A prophet who jumps in the back position is not as good as player 6, so what reason does he have to stand on the side of 1 to give him a ticket.

"In this round, I still tend to stand on the side of player 6, 3 is likely to be a witch, 4 is a wolf concubine in the eclipse, 2 and 4 don't meet, player 2 should be a good person, so isn't 1 a fierce jump?"

"The police on 4 is point 5 into the wolf pit, he has a lot of hostility to 5, player 4 is a wolf, 5 can be released, 4, 5 wolves step on the wolf, temporarily can't disk."

"6 is a prophet, 7 is gold water, and there is no need to plate 7 is a fake gold water, because 4 has already used his skills on himself."

"What does player No. 8 say, his statement on the police is a bandit, but you can't beat him as a wolf just based on his police statement, right? That's a bit too much, listen to 8's speech again this round, and see where he stands. ”

"Player 9 and player 11 are opposites, there is a wolf among the two of them, as for who it is, it's hard to say, you can go to one of them at 6 night."

"I can go out 4 today, anyway, I'll hang this vote on him."

"Player 6, I hope you can put the ticket on 4 in the last position, after all, he is the person who is going to be named today before the witch leaves."

"As for 1, don't worry, we'll get up tomorrow and we'll get out of him."

Although player 10 is on the side of 6, he doesn't want to play 1 today, he wants to throw player 4 out first, after all, 4 is the wolf concubine of the eclipse.

And the witch's last words are to talk to good people first4, he can't be a deaf ear, right?

To put it mildly, in case player 3 misjudges, 2 and 4 are double wolves, don't good guys be led down the wrong path?

So, to be on the safe side, it's wisest to play the wolf first, and player 1 can save it until tomorrow to listen to another round of speeches.

(End of chapter)