Chapter 676: Don't Guess What the Wolf Is Thinking
[Player 9, please speak]
"Yes, player 10 has recognized it, no matter who is the prophet 1 or 6, he can't be a wolf."
"First, I can accept the logic and reason why 10 votes for 6, although I tend to be a prophet on 1, but I think 10 is not a charge wolf, he should be a good person on the wrong side."
"Second, if the 10 hole cards are wolves, he should follow the trend to beat us 9, 11 double wolves, but he didn't, compared to others, he is much more normal in logic, just say that we 9, 11 in the open wolf, this is no problem."
"Thirdly, the identity definition of 8 by player 10 is the most pertinent among so many people in the audience, unlike some players, who either beat 8 as a wolf and went to make up the wolf pit, or directly recognized 8, which is not right."
"Whether player No. 8 is a good guy or a wolf, you must listen to what his police are saying and see where he stands."
"Based on the above three points, I think 10% of 99% is a good person, and I can't beat him as a wolf in this game."
Player 9 recognized Player 10 as soon as he opened his mouth, and then talked about three reasons to tell the good guy why he felt that 10 was not a wolf.
Overall, it's still acceptable.
In fact, there is no objection to the fact that the plate 10 is a good person.
Like Gu Feng, he recognized 10 in the police, let's just say it, as long as 10 is not particularly explosive, no matter if he is on the right ticket or on the wrong ticket, he basically can't be judged that he is a wolf.
So, when the wolf pit was pointed, no one clicked player 10.
9 talked so much about a lot of so-called logic to tell good people 10 is not a wolf, more or less a bit of putting the cart before the horse.
You must know that this round is to distinguish the prophets, to show their own sides and positions, and to point out the wolf pit, and to spend so much time and energy to figure out why 10 are good people, it is not necessary.
"Regarding the question of whether player 3 is a witch, I think he is most likely a witch who eats the first knife, because it has come to me, and no one has danced the witch yet, which means that 3 is the witch."
"It can't be just in time, witches are in the middle of 7 and 8, if that's the case, I won't say anything, but before they dance witches, I'll be 3 witches."
"Player No. 4 did not fold the cards after eating poison, there is no doubt that he is the wolf concubine of the eclipse, today you can go out of the No. 4 player, even if you make a mistake, he is also a civilian, the witch is poisoned at night, and the next day you get up to see the double death, don't we know that 3 is a wolf, 4 is a good person."
"And for a civilian to a wolf, we don't lose, but we earn blood."
Player 9 listened to it for a while, and no one followed 3 pairs of jumping witches to catch player 4, which means that there is a high probability that 3 is a witch out.
Unless the witch is in 7 and 8, but in terms of the police's speech, 7 and 8 don't seem to have an identity, so 9 has subconsciously recognized 3 as a witch.
Of course.
If player 7 or player 8 jumps, he will definitely have to think carefully about who is a witch, but for now he can only treat 3 as a witch first.
And if you recognize 3 as a witch, you will inevitably kill player 4, but interestingly, in the case of disc 4 is a wolf, 9 still has to stand on the side of 1, which is a bit intriguing.
"I know, many people may think that if 4 is a wolf, then 2 has to be a good person, 1 to 2 to lose the kill, he can only be a fierce jump."
"But I don't think it's like this, 2 and 4 don't rule out that the wolf is stepping on the wolf as an identity."
"If 2 is a wolf, and he knows that the prophet is in the back position, then he can naturally think that 1 is the prophet, and 1 is the prophet who may have tested him last night."
"In this case, 2 deliberately followed the trend to beat the wolf teammates, thinking that in case he was found and killed, he could help 4 to do his identity, and this possibility also exists."
"Just imagine, if it's really 2 or 4 double wolves, and we use this as a logical base point to stand on the side, wouldn't it be the opposite?"
"To reason and discern the prophets, we still have to listen to the speeches of 1 and 6 themselves, and other factors can only be used as reference and aid."
"Many people say that 1's badge flow is not good, and even that his badge flow exploded, but I don't think you all understand what 1 is trying to say."
"Why did he hit the first police badge on 3? It's not because his No. 2 player followed the trend of player 3 to play 4, so he suspected that 2 and 3 might be two wolves leading the rhythm and wanted to use player 4 as an anti-push. ”
"In other words, the hostility of 1 to 3 was relatively large at that time, but he didn't dare to say that 3 was a wolf, after all, 3's speech still had a good face, and in the case of inaccuracy, 1 wanted to test 3 out."
"I guess he didn't realize that his badge flow and his speech were somewhat contradictory, but you can't just say that 1 is a titanic because of this, right? It's a bit too far-fetched. ”
Player No. 9 was trying his best to help 1 explain the problem of the police badge flow, which made Gu Feng frown.
A normal good person, knowing that the 1 police badge is not good, still goes to stand by him, why?
Couldn't this be 1 talk explosion? Do you have to think better? Say it's a mistake of 1?
Gu Feng felt that 9's behavior was very strange, like standing on the side with a purpose, and standing on the side with a purpose was either a barb or a charge.
"If there is no one with 3 pairs of jumping witches today, then play 4, which is more secure, if there is, I will most likely play player 2."
"Anyway, 2 is the people who jumped, out of him, there will be a double death tomorrow, indicating that 3 is a wolf, I am not on the wrong side, if there is no double death, it means that 3 is a witch walking, then the one who jumps the witch is a wolf, and player 4 is also a wolf."
"Okay, I'll talk so much about this round first, temporarily stand on the side of player 1, the wolf pit is 2, 4, 11, 12, if I find out that I am on the wrong side, I will turn back, that's it, it's over."
[Player 8, please speak]
"Oops, it's finally time for me to speak again, since the police, there have been people trying to push me into the wolf pit, such as player 5, player 7, they just want to beat me into a wolf with rhythm."
"In my eyes, 5 and 7 don't look like good people, I don't dare say that they are both wolves, but at least one wolf has to be played, and no matter which of them is a wolf, player 6 is not very good at holding the prophet card."
"If plate 7 is a wolf, 6 throws gold water to 7, can 6 still be a prophet? Plate 5 is a wolf, 5 is a side 6 in this round, saying that he is a barb, I don't believe it. ”
"And it can't be ruled out that 5 and 7 are wolves, after all, the two of them have the meaning of resisting me with rhythm."
Listening to the words of player 8, Gu Feng couldn't help but shake his head.
This person, he always remembers badly, he admits that the police are pointing 8 to speak and have a bandit face, and it is normal for 8 to be hostile to him, but player 6 recognizes 8 well.
The result? 8 didn't say a word about 6 recognizing him as a good person, and even beat 6 as a fierce jump, isn't this the farmer and the snake?
"Player 3 must be a witch, who else can afford to hold a witch card besides him? Player 7? If he dances witches, I'll play 6 or 7 wolves, unless he can show me to see both dead. ”
"If 7 really dances the witch, and there is a double death tomorrow, when the time comes, I kneel down and give 7 table water, he will not recognize me, I will vote for myself, the question is does 7 dare to jump the witch?"
Player 8's words were quite provocative, but this made Gu Feng feel that 8 didn't look like a wolf.
You know, in the wolf's point of view, 3 is definitely not a witch, that is their wolf teammate, and no one dances the witch in the front position, so 7 is very likely to be a witch.
In this case, if player 8 is a wolf, how dare he talk to 7 like this, unless he is crazy.
Based on this, 8 is very much like a good person who doesn't know whether to live or die.
"Anyway, I now think that 3 is a witch and player 4 is a wolf, but 4 is a wolf does not mean that 2 is a good person, and the so-called 2 and 4 do not meet, which is not tenable at all."
"I think the No. 9 player had a good chat just now, what if 2 predicts that he may receive the kill, so he takes the lead in beating the wolf teammate as an identity?"
"To be honest, if it were me, I would probably do this, there is no harm in alerting a little wolf teammate, and I don't really want to beat him to death, not to mention that I can still be an identity in this way, why not."
"The wolf pit I am ordering now is 2, 4, 5, 6, 7 five into four, of which 2, 4, and 6 are three fixed wolves, and another wolf is opened in 5 and 7, and the external positions are not available."
"Unless 5 and 7 can prove their identities, then player 12 will have to be in the golden wolf pit, because he has been helping player 6 to instigate since the police, and the police are still standing on the side of 6, and the bandit face is no smaller than 5 and 7."
"But there's no way, I think I have to open a wolf in 5 and 7, so I can't get 12, otherwise, 12 will have to go into the wolf pit."
It can be heard that player No. 8 is very hostile to Gu Feng and player No. 7, and he even did not hesitate to let go of 12 or so wolves.
But to be honest, judging from the speech and behavior, the No. 1 player on the side of the 8 station should give priority to 12 is a wolf, after all, the 12 police officers are helping the No. 6 vote to instigate, he is too much like a charging wolf.
It is estimated that player No. 8 also knows this, but he just wants to open a wolf among Gu Feng and player No. 7, which is a bit brainy.
It can be seen that 8 is not a very rational person and is easily provoked, and when provoked, his emotions are greater than logic.
This is a common problem of many werewolves killing players, and personal subjective consciousness will suppress logic, and eventually lead to hitting the wrong person, standing on the wrong side, and losing the game.
"Who is coming out of today's round? It must be the No. 4 player first, I stand on the side of 1 and return to the side of the 1, but the order of the people is still particular, 4 must go ahead of 2, tomorrow is the round of 2. ”
"Well, that's it, after holding it for so long, I've finally finished talking about everything I want to talk about."
"Finally, I want to emphasize again, player 3 is the Iron Witch, and if he is a good person, he will hang the ticket on the head of 4, don't go out of 2, after all, no one can guarantee that 1 must be a prophet, right?"
Player 8 is quite interesting, and his tone is very firm to stand on the side of 1 to 6 is a fierce jump, and it turns out that 1 is not necessarily a prophet, which gives people a very contradictory feeling.
But in fact, such a contradiction is normal, a good person with closed eyes, even if he stands firmly, there will inevitably be a little doubt.
After all, if you are not afraid of 10,000, you are afraid of what if, and that's why 8 has to play player 4 first.
[Player 7, please speak]
"First of all, I'm not a witch, listen to this circle of speeches, no one dances the witch to catch the No. 4 player, the 3 should be the witch walking, otherwise, the witch may have jumped out of the positive perspective."
"Player 3 is a witch, 4 will inevitably not be able to hold the good guy card, no matter how he talks, even if he talks about a flower, it can't change the fact that the witch poison he didn't poison."
"And on the first night, the wolf concubine will only use skills for herself, and only the person who uses the skills of the wolf concubine at the time of eclipse will not be poisoned by the witch, so player No. 4 is not only a wolf, but also a wolf concubine at the time of eclipse."
"No matter who is the prophet 1 or 6, no one jumps the witch, player 4 can't run away from the wolf after all, so today must be the first 4, everyone has no disagreement about this, right?"
Although player 7 took 6's gold water, he didn't mean to play the instigation vote for 6, and it was not difficult to hear from the first sentence he said that his attention was on 3 and 4.
Originally, player No. 3 said that he was a witch who ate a knife, but 7 was still a little suspicious, and he even felt that 3 was a wolf with a knife, forcing the double drug witch to jump out.
As a result, after a circle of speeches, no one on the field danced the witch, then he could only believe that 3 was a witch, and he couldn't drive the double drug witch for fear of being stabbed, so he just didn't jump, right?
This possibility definitely exists, but as a good person, you can't drill this horn tip, since no one jumps, for the time being, let's just assume that 3 is a witch fight, then player 4 is an iron wolf, and is still a wolf concubine in the eclipse.
In this case, the question of who is the prophet of 1 and 6 can be put back a little, and the most important thing is to throw 4 out first.
"Player 4 is a wolf, 2 has to be a good person, it seems that I have no chance to fight back, I can only stand on the side of player 6."
"There are some people in the front position who play 2 or 4 double wolves, I can't say it's completely impossible, but this possibility is very small, is 2 so powerful? can predict that he will receive the kill, and call the No. 4 player in advance to make his identity, such a game is outrageous. ”
"I still think that 2 and 4 are likely not to meet, the two of them can't be double wolves, now player 4 is a wolf, 2 has to be a good person, then 1 is undoubtedly a titan."
"Player 8, player 9 and player 11 are all forcibly playing 2 and 4 double wolves, and the logic that the most likely 2 and 4 do not meet, they consciously ignore it, which is obviously not a good person mentality."
"Therefore, there must be at least one wolf among the three of them, pay attention, at least, maybe two wolves, three wolves must not be, because 1 and 4 are fixed wolves, and there are only two wolves at most in the external position."
Player 7 actually didn't tell who 1 and 6 were the prophets, and judging from their speeches, they both had prophetic faces.
Even though 7 prefers to side with 6, he also doesn't kill player 1.
But this was what he thought before 3 didn't fold, and when 3 Jump Witch said that 4 wasn't poisoned, he knew that 6 was supposed to be a prophet.
Because the 4 police officers are hostile to 6, it means that 4 and 6 are not very able to meet, and combined with the behavior of 2 police officers who hit 4, 2 and 4 also do not meet, and 2 must be good people.
1 If a good man is thrown away, can he still afford to be a prophet? A proper jumping wolf.
After a pause, player 7 said: "The wolf pit I have now is 1, 4, 8, 9, and 11, which is exactly the same as the last words of player 3." ”
"It can be seen that the logic of the 3 disks, the wolf pits pointed out are all right, I suspect that he is a self-stabbing wolf, I think we think we think too much."
"If the 3 hole card is a wolf, how can it be the same as the perspective of a good person like me? Only if he's a witch will he make a wolf pit like me. ”
"Of course, if I wake up tomorrow and see the double deaths, then I don't say anything, but if that's the case, I'll have to rearrange the side and the wolf pit."
"After all, I used player 4 as a wolf as a logical basis to conclude that 6 is a prophet, and if 3 is not a witch, 4 is a good person."
"In this way, I have to think carefully about the problem that 1 is a prophet, and 3 Jumping Witch frantically gave 6 incitement votes, then 3 and 6 may be two wolves."
After listening to the speech of player No. 7, Gu Feng couldn't help but smile, thinking that this idea of 7 was too simple.
Player 3 is a wolf, and he frantically gives 6 incitement votes, are 3 and 6 double wolves? Not necessarily.
In fact, from the moment Player 3 jumped the witch, he knew that sooner or later his identity would be exposed.
In this case, he may choose to be a dirty prophet and mislead the witch's sight.
For example, 3 will give the prophet a ticket, so that the witch mistakenly thinks that 3 and 6 are double wolves, so that if the witch doesn't think much, there is a high probability that she will go to the side of player 1.
But in the same way, it is not excluded that player 3 will give you an anti-mentality, and he will bet that your witch will play his identity as a dirty prophet, so he directly helps his teammates to instigate and let the witch jump into the wolf pit by herself, which is also entirely possible.
Therefore, you can't use player 3 to deduce who is the prophet and who is the jumper, and you still have to listen to the two prophets to be reliable, and any other factors can only be used as a reference and auxiliary.
After all, you don't know what the wolf is thinking.
You think he's giving a ticket to his teammates? In fact, he was helping the soothsayer to vote.
Do you think he's a dirty prophet? In fact, he was a dirty teammate.
True and false, false and real, who can guarantee that they can guess what the wolf is doing every time?
Since you can't guess accurately, then the wolf's words and wolf's behavior cannot be the logical basis of a good person.
Remember this one, jump out of the misunderstandings and logical obstacles given by the wolf, and there will be many fewer cases of standing on the wrong side and clicking on the wrong wolf pit.
[Player 6, please speak]
"Laughing to death, aren't these 3 Iron Witches? If you doubt his identity, jump a witch out, and don't dare to jump, and you want to play 3 with rhythm is self-knife, isn't this a wolf? ”
"I don't think any good person with a good logic will doubt the identity of 3 at this time, because no one on the field is dancing witch with him, in this case, why are you fighting 3 as a self-sword wolf?"
"Player No. 3 may have no problem stabbing himself, at least someone must have someone to dance with him, right?"
"If not, then 3 is a witch, 4 is a wolf, don't say he jumps civilians, he jumps guards, jumps the prince of order, and my vote will be hung on him."
Player 6's tone was a little angry, he really couldn't figure out what kind of mess was going on in the minds of good people.
There are still people who play player No. 3 is a self-sword wolf, although it is theoretically possible, but before you want to play this logic, someone must be with 3 pairs of jumping witches, right?
No one danced witches, and inexplicably suspected that 1 was a wolf, isn't that?
There is one thing to say, don't say that no one is with 3 pairs of jumping witches, there is, as long as there is no double death when you get up tomorrow, then this jumping witch is a wolf.
As for Christmas Eve, this one definitely won't work, the wolf can make a Christmas Eve with an empty knife, but the double dead wolf can't get it.
Therefore, only the double death can prove that the witch must have been present, not on Christmas Eve.
"I originally thought that player No. 3 was a witch, and after he reported his poison information, good people could make 4 is an eclipse wolf concubine, and then recognize player No. 2."
"It turns out that I'm still too young, and there are a lot of people who play 2 or 4 double wolves, and what 2 can predict that they will receive and kill, so they will fight wolf teammates in advance as an identity."
"Good guy, it's so logical, it's not 2 in the atmosphere, it's you in the atmosphere."
"Sometimes, it's not a good thing for good people to think a lot, it's obviously very simple logic, but the result is complicated."
"It's like the relationship between 2 and 4, it's clear that the two of them don't meet each other when they speak on the police, but someone has to go to 2 and 4 wolves as the steering wheel, isn't this just nothing to do?"
"In my opinion, there are only two kinds of people who can be so logical."
"One is a self-righteous good person, who always feels that his logic level is relatively high, but in fact, he thinks too much."
"The second type is the wolf, crazy with rhythm, wanting to beat 2 and 4 into double wolves, only in this way can he rush up, otherwise, he can only stand on my side, but he doesn't want to barb, so he has to fight 2 and 4 double wolves."
Player number 6 feels like he's underestimating the stupidity of the good guys.
Not only are there people who are self-swordsmans, but there are also so many people who are 2 or 4 wolves.
This is obviously not logical.
As a good person, he must think that 2 and 4 don't meet, because the behavior of player 4 at 2 o'clock shows that he doesn't know 4.
Saying that 2:4 is a prediction that he is going to take over the investigation and kill, and he will make an identity for his teammates in advance, which is purely conjecture, and it is artificially raising the level of player 2.
Werewolves are doing this to charge, and good people can still go to this aspect, which is more or less stupid.
"Player 8, I recognized you as a police officer, although my police badge was hit on you, but I said it very clearly, I will change it under the police, I hope you don't have hostility towards me."
"The result? You also follow the 2nd and 4th wolves, standing on the side of player 1, it seems that I should have mistaken you, players 5 and 7 are right, you are probably a wolf. ”
"9 and 11 are all on the side of 1, and they both have 2 or 4 pairs of wolves, but they have the behavior of fighting each other, so there is a high probability that there is only one wolf in 9 and 11."
"I'll test player No. 11 at night, if he is gold water, 9 is a wolf, if he kills, 9 can be put back."
"The wolf pit I am ordering now is 1, 4, and 8 wolves, and there is another wolf in 9 and 11, and the external positions are not available."
"Like player No. 5, he obviously doesn't meet with 4, because the 4 police want to put 5 points into the wolf pit as an anti-push position."
"Player 10 was voted for me, and if he can't be a barb, if he is a wolf, 1 must have taken a police badge."
"Player 12 is a player who plays 1 and is a fierce jumper standing on the side, I can't say he's a hook on the first day, right?"
"So, the wolf pit I can order is 1, 4, 8, 9, 11, today must be the first player 4, tomorrow 1, so be it, it's over."