Chapter 80: The Key to Success or Failure
February 25, 2023 is week 6, and the Yuansheng family went to Pengshi Star Park to play. Peng Market is one of the most developed cities in China, and there are many places for children to visit........... Yuansheng watched the child playing, and he wanted to take the stock market ..........
"Hurricane" is currently the hottest TV series in China.
After watching the TV series, some people concluded: what kind of person you are with will be what kind of person you will become; What kind of circle you enter, what kind of life you will have.
Lao Mo's life experience in "Hurricane" is very instructive: Lao Mo was helped by An Xin, and he had the opportunity to become a good person.
It's a pity that the first person he met after he was released from prison was not the good guy An Xin.
It's Gao Qiqiang and Tang Xiaohu.
Lao Mo actually wanted to live an birthday, he took a thick pile of awards that he had obtained from being in prison and had been reformed, and deliberately went to the Public Security Bureau to find An Xin.
But I didn't see it by mistake.
In the end, under the calculations of Tang Xiaohu and Gao Qiqiang, they embarked on the evil path of crime and became a pawn on the road of no return.
In the stock market, it's the same, you choose different stocks and decide different outcomes: for example, on June 22, 2018, you can buy CATL at around 70 yuan.
However, until the close of trading on November 21, 2019, it was still 77.15 yuan. In the past 17 months, CATL has been fluctuating between 61 yuan and 95 yuan, most of which has fluctuated between 61 and 75 yuan. It is medium luck to be able to choose CATL in this time period; The luckier should be to pick stocks that are constantly rising during this time period (of course, 99% of people can't pick such stocks); People with low luck should choose stocks that keep falling and hitting new lows.
Since November 22, 2019, CATL has embarked on its long bull road of big rise and small return! Starting from 77.15 yuan, it rose to 692 yuan on December 3, 2021, an increase of nearly 8 times, and it only took 2 years and 11 days. In a word: in the past 2 years, you have chosen to buy CATL correctly! It's all winners. This is the importance of stock selection, which is the first place.
Let's take a look at the situation of BYD in the same time period: the closing price on November 21, 2019 was 43.62 yuan, and by December 3, 2021, it was 309.80 yuan, an increase of 6.1 times.
It can rise 6.1 times in 2 years, and it is also a big bull stock. Being able to choose such a stock is also a correct stock selection.
Why have these two stocks risen 6-8 times in the past 2 years? Why didn't they rise much before? There has been no big rise in the future?
After a long period of research in economics, it has been found that it is very difficult for emerging industries to go from 0 to 1%, and it is impossible to make money. At this stage, there are very few businesses involved.
And the stage from 1% to 20% is the most profitable, and it is also a process that countless businesses have to participate in. CATL and BYD are both new energy concept stocks. To be honest, the initial stage of new energy vehicles is from 0 to 1, and no one cares.
Since 2019, the market share of new energy vehicles has begun to rise from 1% to 20%, which is the most exciting, and the stock market is the soaring stock price! Whoever buys makes money! And it's a quick money.
Knowing this, you also understand the reason why they have risen so much.
Looking at real estate, you can buy a house from a few hundred yuan in 1977, and in 2017, the most expensive house in Pengshi is 320,000 yuan per square meter, and a 320-square-meter sea view house needs nearly 100 million yuan. If you look at the 40 years since it went, real estate can be said to have risen 1,000 times. In the next 10 or 20 years, it will be difficult to increase by 1 or 2 times!
Looking at the courtyard houses in Beijing, someone sold them for 100,000 yuan in 1980, but in the early years, it had risen to more than 200 million yuan, an increase of 2,000 times. In the next 10 years, it will be difficult to double its price. Is there still 2,000 times hope? It's simply not possible.
Therefore, the same is true in the stock market, new energy concept stocks (especially lithium stocks), taking new energy vehicles from 1% to 20% of the East, in a few years up 10-30 times, in the future, they can fall a little less is lucky.
In the past few years, people with good luck have kept 2-3 years of new energy concept stocks, making a lot of money, and now they are going to be unlucky!
Looking at the inside of the amusement park, the children who are vying to rush to the heights........... Looking at the children's competition, Yuansheng thought: The stock market is a business war----- why can the most talented instructor in military affairs always win the battle? See what we can learn?
Many people wonder that the instructor has not really fought in a war before, and he has not read any military books seriously, so where did his extraordinary military skills come from?
The fundamental reason lies in the fact that he grasped the essence and laws of war and skillfully applied it with his super practical ability.
This is something that no matter how much is taught in military schools, it may not be able to learn, and this depends on understanding.
In the great man's "Theory of Contradiction", there is a sentence that makes people feel enlightened:
"The two armies are fighting, one wins and one loses, so victory or defeat is determined by internal factors."
Great men have a habit that no matter what problem they study, they must start from the very basics, such as the most classic sentence "Those who move their hearts should have the source of great roots".
That's the benefit of finding the "source", analyzing the problem, solving the problem, it becomes so simple.
This is true of revolutions, it is true of wars, and it is true of the stock market. In the stock market, the first thing to speculate on is novelty, and someone needs to listen to the stock market, which is a kind of play, which is the theme stock.
The other type is the low positioning, that is, the high growth of the low start, which is the hotbed of long-term bull stocks. Of course, many stocks have a rapid growth in net profit before listing, but after listing, the net profit continues to decline, and finally becomes a bear stock.
Therefore, it is also difficult to play the medium and long term, because it is difficult to predict in advance whether it will increase or decline in performance in 1 year, 2 years, 3 years.
If you want to keep the stock for 1-3 years, you are actually betting on the ....... of the next 1-3 years, at that time, is the stock market bullish or bearish? At that time, what industry was booming? At that time, the business situation was a big profit? Or a significant drop? Do we have the ability to see the end of 1-3 years in advance?
So, the longer it is, the harder it is to predict!
"Dad, I'm hungry......." The girl's cry brought Yuansheng back from his thoughts, and the family went home............