Li Song, An Yu, Meng Xiaohui, it's not easy, a family, you can cook together, watch TV and chat.

In this era, Li Song'an Yu and his wife are four years, and Meng Xiaohui is six years, constantly busy and constantly running.

Meng Xiaohui: Brother, your work is too messy, isn't it?

Li Song nodded: Remove the word bar! From Datang City to Dahan City, and from Dahan City to Shangbo City, and then to Dingzhou, and there was a big tunnel in South America, overnight, we did it to Colombia again, and Medellin City was taken by our Donghua, and then I could only run around, I, I, I'm a miscellaneous, or I'm an all-purpose glue!

An Yu: "Don't worry, things are much better now!" In 2021, it will be delivered to more than 3,000 elite soldiers who come here.

Look at the 052D missile destroyer, two frigates, more than 600 navies, more than 500 scientists, 500 senior management talents, more than 500 senior craftsmen, 200 battalion and regiment-level land and air commanders, more than 500 elites from all walks of life, and more than 200 talented teenagers aged 12-18 in colleges and universities (National Defense University of Science and Technology, China University of Science and Technology, Northwest Jiaotong University, Harbin Institute of Technology, Zhejiang University, Peking University, Shuimu, Nankai, Fudan).

They are very energetic than us, they are volunteers, they are ten years of volunteers, they can't wait to participate in the work, they are passionate, full of energy, full of freshness. ”

Meng Xiaohui: There are two views on the military parade.

One thinks that we are developing too slowly, and we have been going around in the north of South America for 6 years.

They thought that our 300 crossers brought the industrial capabilities of the Citi Nation and the military capabilities of Germany to 1880 as an overestimation of the adversary.

You must know that the most powerful Germany in 1940 is 60 years behind now, and the most powerful Citigroup is in 1960, which is also 80 years away.

Why are we so scared?

Do they have fighters? Do they have ∪ type submarines? Do they have helicopters? Do they have missile destroyers?

Do they have walkie-talkies?

Can their cars be electric?

No?

Another idea is to quietly lay out Western Australia, the Middle East, South Africa, the Brazilian River Valley, and rise completely before World War I. ”

Li Song: Fossil fuel pollution is one of the big problems in the future, so I think we should focus on developing hydropower, solar panels, wind energy, and tidal energy as soon as possible.

Avoid taking the Bay Road where the future generations pollute first and then clean up.

We now have a population of only 9.5 million, which is about the same as Hong Kong in later generations, but it is hundreds of times the size, and the direction of development is easy to change.

So I had to be careful to learn about the rise of the Germans after 1870.

The political art of the "iron-blooded general".

Today, it is necessary to travel back more than 150 years to see the tragedy of the German nation in the last round of its rise. Because today we are also on the rise.

This brings us to the time of the reunification of Germany in 1871, when it turned out that there was only a large number of German-speaking people in this land, and they had no homeland at all, and if there had to be a homeland, it was the Holy Roman Empire, in the words of the Frenchman Voltaire: "They were neither holy nor Roman, much less Empire, where even mosquitoes had kings." ”

So we look at Grimm's fairy tales, and there is a prince and a princess and so on at every turn, because there are so many kings, there are thousands of small states, there are thousands of kings.

When the consciousness of the nation-state was formed, the Germans naturally had a need for unity, so they fought three dynastic wars - the first defeat of Denmark, the second defeat of Austria, and the third defeat of France.

Wilhelm I ascended the throne as Emperor of the Second German Empire in the Hall of Mirrors in Versailles, France, and Germany was unified, and the story of the rise of a German nation as a great power began.

The man in power in Germany at this time was the famous General Bismarck. Liberal arts students should be very familiar with Bismarck, because history textbooks often mention a word called "iron-blooded prime minister", which refers to him.

He once gave a speech in which he said that the problems of Germany now had to be solved by iron and blood. So we have the impression that he is a war maniac.

But in fact, if you read Bismarck's biography and related history, you will find that Bismarck was not such a person at all, he was a cunning politician and a brilliant strategist. During his nearly 20 years as prime minister, from 1871 to 1890, he played all political relations in Europe.

Bismarck, he has a few famous quotes, the first one: "The state is a ship on the river of time." "What do you mean? That is, we have to go with the time, and as long as time allows, Germany will definitely rise.

Therefore, when navigating on the river of time, we should look at the general trend, see which side time is on, and in the process look for the cracks in the survival of the German Empire, rather than actively provoke wars, which is one of his ideas.

The second thought, what does he say is politics? Politics is the "art of the possible". In other words, we make a fuss about the possibilities, do not do everything to death, and leave enough room for the possibilities. This was a basic starting point for Bismarck's maneuvering German diplomatic tactics and strategic tactics.

Germany has some strategic dilemmas, it is in the middle part of the whole of Europe. Germany at that time was much larger than Germany is now.

But Bismarck recognized that Germany's strategic position was very difficult. To the west of it is the feud France, because in the Franco-German war in 1871 you defeated France, and then cut off the two territories of Alsace and Lorraine in France, and the French have always wanted revenge, so this is an enemy.

To the east is the vast Russia, a country that, although underdeveloped, has an almost limitless war potential due to its population, land, and size. Both Napoleon and later Hitler suffered the losses of the Russians, and Bismarck was very clear about this.

The "magician" who plays with the world pattern

This is the pattern that Bismarck faces, so the starting point of all his strategic policies is to play this "art of possibility". Of course, Bismarck's lifelong diplomatic strategy is an extremely complex logic, but we can briefly say how he played it.

First of all, the French must be the enemy, then I must avoid fighting on two fronts, so I must not let the Russians become enemies.

It is imperative not to form an alliance with Russia in a simple way, because Russia's global interests are too great, and to form an alliance with the Russians is tantamount to offending the people of the whole world, and then you will be tied to the chariot of the Russians. So what to do? Then I will first form an alliance with Austria-Hungary, although Austria-Hungary is very weak, it is also an imperialist country, at that time it was called "ragdoll imperialism", that is, it was very big, pretending to be a strong country, but in fact it had no strength.

Austria-Hungary and Russia are at odds again, and then because I have an alliance with Austria-Hungary, the Russians are looking for me.

In this way, Bismarck formed the "Three Emperors Alliance" between Russia, Germany and Austria-Hungary, and all three of them were ruled by emperors, so it was called the "Three Emperors Alliance". Then he used the "Three Emperors Alliance" to flatter the British at the same time, saying that you see that I have a good relationship with the Russians, and you have so many conflicts with the Russians, do we also have to negotiate?

Use the Russians to pin down the British. On the other hand, for the French, Bismarck still came to this set. During his time in power, he almost fought and pulled the French, you French don't keep talking about revenge, as long as you do it right, the Germans will still help you.

During the 20 years that Bismarck was in power, no matter what kind of crises occurred, the first Moroccan crisis, the second Moroccan crisis, the first Balkan war, the second Balkan war......

In the midst of all these crises, you will find that Bismarck is a magician who plays five balls at the same time, and all the countries have a little friction with him, but a little bit of common interests, so he plays very well, so to speak, and he plays with the great powers.

Bismarck's strategic thinking was to ensure that Germany maintained an advantageous position in a very vague strategic state.

When you go to the German archives and look through the original documents, you can find that the level of German diplomatic documents at the time of Bismarck's administration is really amazing. Every instruction and letter of Bismarck's diplomatic instructions is a very good strategic article, and his clarity in his thinking on grand strategy and his flexibility and diversity in the process of practice are breathtaking.

Enemies and friends

In 1890, after 20 years of Bismarck's rule, King Wilhelm I, whom he had served all his life, died, and his son died a few days after he ascended the throne, and then Wilhelm I's grandson, Wilhelm II, came to power.

This young man can't tolerate this old man in his eyes, and he thinks that this old man is sneaking around some intrigues and tricks among the great European powers every day. How strong Germany is, I don't want to engage in any continental policy according to your ideas, we want to pursue a world policy other than the so-called European policy, we Germany want to dominate, we also need territory under the sun, why are the colonies of the world divided between Britain and France, we also want to have a little ah.

As a result, Bismarck became more and more obtrusive in his eyes, and finally had to step down in 1890, and finally spent eight very lonely years on his estate. As soon as Bismarck left, the fate of Germany was in the hands of Wilhelm II. After he came to power, German policy abruptly shifted from vague to clear.

Germany's entire diplomatic strategy is full of loopholes, and the kind of difficult language and rigid approach have reached the point of "breathtaking". So when Bismarck left office in 1890, the British drew a cartoon, which probably means that Bismarck the navigator left the ship, and the triumphant captain Wilhelm II stood on the ship and watched him. Later, many Germans commented that Bismarck made himself great, but he made the German nation small.

The first thing Wilhelm II did when he came to power was to make clear what Bismarck had vaguely become, who were our enemies and who were our friends? I've got to figure this out.

Do you say that you are friends or enemies with Russia? He was constantly engaged in friction with our little brother Austria-Hungary, and with France, was he an enemy or a friend? So later, the Germans decided not to renew the "Three Emperors Alliance", which led to two results.

The first consequence was that Russia suddenly became very isolated, so it had to form an alliance with someone else. With whom? It is France, another isolated power on the European continent. As a result, Germany completely fell into a strategic environment of fighting on two fronts. The second result is: because Austria-Hungary is a friend of Germany, so from then on, Austria-Hungary did anything bad, and you, the master, were tied to the warship. To put it mildly, your dog goes out to bite someone, and you are the one who pays for it.

So, the tragedy of a small country kidnapping a large country happened in this way. In the process of diplomatic strategy and the rise of a country, there is an eternal proposition, that is, do we really have to make our strategy, including who is our enemy and who is our friend, so clear? Bismarck and his successors give us a clear answer.

An Yu and Meng Xiaohui agreed with Li Song.

Learning about German history can help you walk the Bay Road less.