Chapter 146: The Skin of the Truth

The detective explained the essence of the explosion in one word, but did not rush to tell the whole picture of the case immediately.

Because for Sheriff Junsha who was present, from the moment Hugo said the word "kidnapping", this part of the puzzle belonging to the Liyong Police Station in the case no longer exists.

At this moment, the information and positions of the two have been basically equal, Hugo no longer needs to extract information from Junsha's mouth, and Junsha is also silently looking forward to what kind of reaction Hugo will make from the position of a private detective.

This is not a confrontation between the mystery solver and the real murderer, but a conversation between the police and the detective.

However, to the surprise of the sheriff, Hugo, who was sitting in a chair and rocking arrogantly, chose the most brazen move at this time.

He started bragging.

- at least in Junsha's opinion.

"The police officers who investigate cases often regard their leg and foot skills as their strength, and they are like three bees collecting pollen everywhere, diligently repeating mechanical tasks. It seems that as long as you have visited enough stakeholders, you can get to the heart of the matter; It was as if as long as sufficient evidence was gathered, the whole picture of the case would appear before their eyes......"

"But what is enough?"

The detective began to talk eloquently to the bigwigs of the police station in the posture of an educator-

"Compared with the denominator of infinity, even a number in trillions is only a drop in the ocean; Compared with the absolute truth, no matter how perfect the chain of evidence is, it is impossible to be without omissions. Witnesses may lie, evidence may be forged, fingerprints are not irreplaceable, surveillance can be manipulated, corpses and crime scenes can be spotted, and the scientific investigations that you are proud of are also limited by science. The so-called 'after all possibilities are ruled out, what remains is the truth' is even more nonsense. In this vast world, possibilities are like weeds growing everywhere in the field, pulling out one and several popping up at the same time, how can it be easily eliminated? ”

Hugo opened his arms wide and lamented the worldwide tragedy -

"On top of the reality on which we stand, there are all kinds of strange Pokémon, dragons and legends, illusions and demons, superpowers and ghosts waiting for opportunities, miracles and accidents everywhere, secret rooms leaking on all sides, timetables are fragmented, the laws of reasoning exist in name only, murderous tricks are innumerable, and criminal motives are not taboo......"

Jun Sha frowned deeply and asked rhetorically: "If you suspect everything and don't believe anything, then how can you solve the case?" Also, you've belittled the police so badly, but what are the cases we've solved in the past? ”

"At least the metaphor of the three bees collecting honey is not derogatory, but your work is a great achievement. Faced with an infinite number of puzzles, endless search is a middle-of-the-road solution, and in my opinion, you are comparable to the mathematicians who used the circumcision method to calculate pi before the invention of computers. ”

The detective began to sway from side to side again, and like a clock that had restarted the time, he announced the following words—

"There is not much left of the reasoning romance of classical times today. Speculating on the course of events, re-screening them according to their probabilities, then eliminating the impossibilities, and then treating the remaining conclusions as the so-called truth—this is a time-consuming and laborious practice, but the accuracy is still not guaranteed, and the correct reasoning of your past cases is nothing but a succession of wonderful miracles, and who can guarantee that miracles will still come tomorrow? ”

Hugo continued his speech without knowing whether to praise or disapproval, and then answered the previous question raised by Junsha—

"How to solve a case based on suspicion of everything, ha, that's a good question!"

The white-coated detective snapped his fingers, a crisp sound echoing through the sheriff's office.

"Inferences based on existing evidence are in fact very fragile and, whether true or false, can be refuted by new clues or new properties of the evidence. This phenomenon has been discussed by many famous mystery writers, but it is not uncommon in reality, and those of us who feed on mysteries should often encounter it - such as the reasoning that has been constructed with great difficulty is easily overturned by some negligent details, or we completely step into the trap laid by the perpetrator and accept the deceptive evidence provided by the enemy - my right-hand man often makes this mistake, Sergeant Junsha, do you dare to say that this kind of thing has never happened in the course of police investigations? ”

Jun Sha was silent, such things naturally happened from time to time in the process of investigating cases, but ...... Is this something that can be helped?

Just as you have to put your feet on the ground when you go out and walk, you have to keep breathing to survive.

Finally, she couldn't help but ask: "Isn't this the only way to solve the case?" Collecting, reasoning, summarizing, and discriminating. What else can be done? ”

"Air-to-air preaching is meaningless. Officer Junsha, why don't I use this power plant explosion as an example to show you the reasoning from a professional detective. ”

The detective's face was full of confidence, and he sat cross-legged in the wooden chair of the police station, and continued to Junsha with a smile.

"But before I begin, I want to make a statement. We live in a realistic, open, and not entirely rational world. The bombing didn't take place on a closed stage, and the characters could be everyone in the world, not just the few lines of characters on the title page. ”

Under the service of Miss Goethe, Hugo continued to expose the difference between the world setting and the book-

"Superpowers, ghosts, and mind control do exist in this world, and examples of time travel and fantasy have happened in the past, and there are at least half a dozen large-scale crime syndicates, each of which can jump out at any moment to perform a show. Similarly, in a case, everyone may lie in their testimony, all the evidence may be false, people's hearts can only be speculated but cannot be confirmed, and the reasons for the crime may be absurd and unreasonable. It is impossible for an all-knowing and all-powerful god to assure us that the conditions under which the truth can be deduced are all listed, and I wish you a happy hunt. ”

"It's really a prerequisite that will make a mystery writer vomit blood on the spot."

Junsha folded her arms and commented sharply.

The white-coated detective in front of him was noncommittal, but said in a low voice-

"So, the puzzle begins."

"First of all, I would like to share with you, Miss Officer, the progress of my current investigation. I think most of it is information that the police know, but there is also some information in it that you can't investigate anyway, so you should use that part as the capital of my life as a private detective. ”

Hugo crossed his fingers and counted the following facts to Junsha—

1. According to major newspapers in Hezhong, a large-scale explosion occurred at the Lichong Power Plant on November 4, and the scale of the explosion was far from comparable to that of ordinary production accidents.

2. According to what the detectives and assistants saw at the scene of the crime: there was a huge explosion crater in the biopower generation area of the factory, and there was no trace of the body. But according to the detective's client, the body was taken away by men in police uniforms.

3. According to information obtained from the police department: William, the director of the power plant, knew about the explosion crisis in advance and went to warn everyone in the plant. After the explosion, he had a phone call with Arnault, the factory's electrical engineer, and remained silent about the explosion.

4. According to the investigation of Miss Junsha of Feiyun City: The above-mentioned Arnault was on vacation at the time of the incident, and was an hour's drive away from the factory at the time of the explosion, with the editor of the publishing house as a witness, and a group photo on a social networking site as evidence.

5. According to the testimony of rocker Lu, there is a competition between Director William's factory and the old local power plant, with the former focusing on the development of new energy sources that can be sustained.

6. The same testimony from Lu: Arnault's situation in the factory was quite embarrassing, and he was suspected of pushing and shoving his colleagues and causing an accident, but he was unexpectedly tolerated by the factory director William.

7. Testimony from the extremists of the plasma group: The theoretical production capacity of the Liyong Power Plant does not meet the standards it reported to the Elf Alliance. Before the explosion, coalition officials visited the plant. In addition to this, the extremist is convinced that the Pokémon in all the factories in Lichong City have been treated harshly.

8. According to the testimony of Talter, the cultivation consultant of the Lichong Power Plant: He saw with his own eyes that all the Pokémon of the power plant's biopower generation module died in the explosion, and when he died, those naughty bombs and the small magneto-monster group were arranged in a neat formation, and they were scorched and burned to death.

"And the ninth point, which is just a corollary to me, is that after the explosion, the police cars and fire trucks arrived at the scene in a very timely manner, but no one at the scene heard the rapid sirens – which is illogical, because if the police and fire vehicles were driving at high speed on the road, the driver would have sounded the siren, but no one at the scene had any impression of the sound that should have resounded through the city."

Hugo clasped his knuckles on the table and continued.

"Combined with the strange behavior of Director William in the third point above, the whereabouts of the Pokémon's body in the second point, and the ambiguous attitude of Sheriff Junsha before, I think I have found the answer."

"That's right. It's the kidnapping you call it. ”

Junsha nodded dryly, and added the statement in a clear voice without hesitation.

"9. According to Sheriff Junsha of Liyong City: Before the explosion on November 4, the police station received a call from the director of the factory, William, who claimed that he had suffered a serious kidnapping accident, and the hostage in the other party's hand was the entire Lichong power plant, and the kidnappers were the electric Pokémon in the power generation module. The Pokémon demanded the liberation of all the Pokémon in the factory, or else they would blow up the entire factory en masse. After receiving the news, our police and local fire brigade immediately dispatched and ambushed the area around the Lai Chung Power Plant before the explosion. ”

N's premeditated action was not the first parade set off by Pokémon in Lichong City, long before him, there were already Pokémon rebelling against the flag. They put their lives on the scales, ready to explode at the strongest volume of singing freedom.

It was precisely because of this "kidnapping incident" that there were negotiations, negotiations and demands that the director of the factory William learned of the impending explosion in advance and informed all employees in time.

Similarly, at such a critical moment, the factory director, who had a good reputation as a guitarist, naturally notified the police. This explains why there were no sirens near the scene of the crime - the police and fire brigade were waiting at the scene long before the incident, and in order to prevent their presence from provoking the kidnappers to destroy the factory, they did not sound the siren, but secretly lurked nearby, until the explosion occurred and the matter became irreparable, and then showed up to preside over the chaos.

- This is the outermost skin of the bombing. The part that can be seen through with easy reasoning. It's like a side dish before a meal. The so-called foundation within the foundation.

But this foundation is also only based on thin testimony and speculation, and those who have a heart have a lot of means to mix lies into it, and there is still a possibility that it will be reversed again.

In front of Hugo, Junsha, who had a heavy tone, continued to narrate-

Later, the negotiations between the director of the factory and the kidnappers broke down for unknown reasons, and the explosion occurred as it is known. Then, William began to refuse to provide information about the circumstances of the negotiations, and remained silent. In order to appease the mood of the city residents, the local alliance and the police department decided to temporarily characterize the case on the grounds of a production accident until the truth of the case is thoroughly investigated, so as to prevent organizations such as the plasma group from taking the opportunity to cause chaos in Lichong City. ”

"So you're still investigating?" Hugo was slightly taken aback, "From the information I know, the police are quite completely free." ”

"That's because after the implementation of the confidentiality policy, the results were quite good. As a result, the police department was divided into two opinions, with one group believing that it was better to maintain the status quo and others believing that the investigation should continue. While the two groups were arguing, officials from the coalition expressed their opinion that the city of Liyong was in a critical period of energy supply, and it would be better to put the case on hold for a while. ”

"It's really the usual tactics of politicians...... He probably wanted to drag out the case until the end of his term of office, right? ”

"I, who was hesitant due to disagreements within the police department, was also not qualified to comment on the opinions of the Beak Alliance officials. And purely from the perspective of public security, I don't want news like the Pokémon Riot to appear in the eyes of the citizens, which would seriously tear the trust relationship between humans and elves. ”

"Hasn't that trust been torn apart since those electric elves decided to blow themselves up?"

The detective said sarcastically, seemingly dissatisfied with Junsha's passive attitude towards the alliance officials.

"That's an area I can't do anything about." Sergeant Junsha shook his head helplessly, but turned to glare at Hugo dissatisfied-

"So, Mr. Detective, since you have raised the difficulty of reasoning on your own initiative, claiming to doubt everything, but are unwilling to continue to collect more evidence with great fanfare, what kind of answer can you give under these two inexplicable constraints?"