"In reasoning in pursuit of serendicity, the solution often falters and collapses as the information is updated, which is very different from the logical speculation that perfectionists are seeking. But I want to prove that there is no perfect reasoning in the world, but there can be perfect reasoning. ”

This is how the detective opens.

"It's also possible for a blind man's elephant-like quest to guess the truth by chance, but by 'perfect' I don't just mean the ubiquitous cheap concept of 'right', but a more rigorous, elegant, and even eternally accurate methodology."

Hugo spoke unashamedly, his outstretched palm waving in the air like a whip, drawing Junsha's gaze.

"Those difficult cases in front of me are like locked treasure chests, when you are all busy in the room to rummage through the waste to find the key, I only need to take out an ordinary wire, in the lock hole in order to flip the lock teeth, the box will obediently open automatically, the truth inside is nowhere to hide."

"Then let's unravel this box for the bombing, Mr. Detective."

Junsha impatiently urged—

"In addition to your investigations, I will provide you with all the details known to the police, but all this is premised on the fact that the master key in your mouth is real, not a liar who can only talk big."

Part of the reason why this lady, a police bigwig, sat patiently like a student and listened to Hugo's nonsense was partly because she was convinced by the detectives' exploits in denunciating the water fleet, but more importantly because she was also helpless against the truth behind the explosion at the Bang Power Plant.

Why did the electric Pokémon launch a demonstration? As far as the treatment of the elves is concerned, William's factory is completely above the average standard of the city, and there is no reason for the electric elves to target the Liyong power plant so much, is there some kind of conspiracy behind this?

What happened to the electric Pokémon and Director William during the negotiations? Why did the former finally choose to blow himself up, while the latter has remained silent so far? If the ordinary negotiation fails, William should report it to the police normally.

From the past comments of the factory director, as well as his initiative to contact the police at the beginning of the "kidnapping", it can be seen that William is an honest and rational factory operator, what makes this normal person make such a strange behavior?

What did that phone call with Arno mean? No one knew what the conversation was about, but the phone call, which lasted more than a minute, was literally shown on the call log of William's phone.

Junsha knows far more clues than the nine listed by the detective. In addition to her intimate knowledge of the local area, she even has social information and whereabouts of all the employees who escaped from the factory, a roster of energy companies hostile to the power plant, and surveillance footage of several key intersections near the site.

However, all kinds of complicated clues are intertwined, and the strange sense of intersection does not give rise to a decisive idea, and the accident that occurs by accident is still the most reasonable explanation at the moment.

As Hugo said earlier, the truth did not emerge with the increase of clues, but was buried deeper.

"That's why you made a mistake from the beginning of the investigation."

This time, Hugo was impatient.

"The first step in reasoning a case is to identify the victim. Junsha, you have deviated from even such basic steps, let alone the following investigation. ”

Under the stunned gaze of the sheriff's lady, the detective continued to speak—

"You have made a fundamental mistake by mistaking Director William and his power plant for the victims of the incident. It was the seventy-one electric Pokémon that turned into corpses in the explosion, not the big capitalist boss who is still alive today. ”

"It's just a different perspective, right?" Junsha couldn't help but argue, "In the trial of the case, as long as the party who suffers losses in the case, it can be regarded as a victim of the case." From this point of view, there is nothing wrong with the police's thinking. ”

Hugo shook his finger: "Is William's factory really the damaged party?" From the moment you acquiesce to this, your reasoning goes wrong, and after that, no matter how much you suspect the actions of the factory director, you cannot escape the premise that his factory was completely ruined and suffered serious losses. ”

"The first rule to solve the problem of late detectives: only death is irreversible."

"I'm not saying that there is no room for a corpse to be faked, but that death cannot be repeated once it has occurred." In this contemporary society where miracles are hidden, it is impossible to reproduce the miracle of the Pokémon under the scorched tower of the Phoenix King hundreds of years ago. Therefore, even a detective who doubts everything can only treat the death of the victim as a reality that cannot be faked. ”

"Is it necessary to be rigorous to this extent?" Junsha was still puzzled, "Death itself is the basis of reasoning......

"It is possible for those who are not dead to lie." Hugo said coldly, "After all, does the information that William reported to the police have to be true?" Not long ago, I heard someone mention that William and other power companies in Lichong City joined forces to exploit the elves, use clean energy policy fraud, and use explosions to destroy corpses. ”

"It can't be." The sheriff's lady groaned for a while, and immediately figured out what kind of trick this might be, and smiled bitterly—

"Let's not talk about those factory owners who are eager to devour William alive who cut off their financial routes, let's just say that the clean energy subsidies allocated by the alliance are not even a fraction of the real turnover of the factory, how can those factory owners mobilize people for such a small amount of money."

"The way to rule out the possibility is still wrong. You are still reasoning on the basis of evidence that you have learned by chance, and such reasoning is not stable from the real logical point of view, the factory owners may just be trying to deceive the police, and the subsidies may also be played by the black-hearted capitalists. ”

The detective critically accused: "If you want to sort out the logical source of the case, you can't focus on the branches and leaves, but you still have to start from the death of the victim - what kind of Pokémon corpse was found by the police at the scene of the explosion, and how many types are there?" What is the condition of the corpse? ”

"It's the two races of Thunderbolt and Little Magneto, the corpses are charred and black, and there are no signs of life." Junsha said without hesitation.

"And photos from the scene......"

Just as Junsha was about to click on her police tablet, the detective stopped her-

"There is no need to provide further proof, since we are reasoning the case together, there is no need to doubt each other, although I will continue to conduct a rigorous analysis of the evidence you have listed to see if it is possible that they have been falsified, but I will not question the evidence you have presented."

This is the second rule that solves the problem of late detectives - the evidence that has interacted with the detective is real. Just as death cannot be reversed, the fact of the existence of the object itself cannot be easily shaken, and even if it is deliberately destroyed, it will still leave traces of its existence. ”

"Does it exist after death......

Junsha seems to be desperately digesting these inscrutable concepts, and the two of them are more like studying philosophical problems than solving crimes.

Hugo slapped his palm: "In this way, according to the existence of the corpse evidence that Junsha has confirmed with your own eyes, we have verified the fact that the victim is indeed dead." ”

"Your reasoning method is really not easy to ......"

But the logic on which it is established is unshakable. No matter what kind of clues emerge from the new one, it is impossible to make a mistake and the reasoning is wasted. Neither the inferences nor the solutions we come up with on this chain of logic can be overturned. Moreover, if you go to the end of this path of reasoning, you will be able to find that if you move forward step by step in such a down-to-earth manner, you can reach the truth earlier and faster. ”

"Now I would like to introduce you to the third and final detective rule, which ties evidence to clues like gravity pulls stars, chemical bonds connect atoms, and finally form the standard answer we commonly call the answer."

"Isn't it possible that you want to say that laws that are scientifically unbreakable like equations and laws of physics are worth believing? While some Pokémon's abilities can temporarily bend the rules, those eternal laws of nature can't be falsified in the long run. ”

Hearing Hugo mention stars and atoms, Sheriff Junsha also opened his mind and asked uncertainly.

The crisp snap of his fingers suddenly resounded in the office-

"Congratulations on how to answer!"