1042. Opportunities and Crises Coexist...... Let's do it!

Zhou Fangyuan wants to make electric bicycles, one of the main reasons is to accumulate technical experience for electric vehicles, and the other reason is because the prospects of electric vehicles are relatively good.

But at the same time, he is not ready to fully roll out the production and operation of electric bicycles like other manufacturers.

Because there is no point.

Before Zhou Fangyuan's rebirth, Beitong City had taken the lead in opening a new round of motorcycle restrictions, and even electric bicycles were not spared. And he had already heard that the new national standard for electric vehicles was expected to be officially implemented in 19 years, but unfortunately he did not wait for that day to be reborn, but as a person who only had an electric bicycle as a means of transportation at that time, he was still quite concerned about this aspect.

Not surprisingly, as soon as this new national standard is introduced, it will certainly cause all kinds of discontent in society.

The people who make the relevant rules may have a good starting point, after all, the existence of electric bicycles, fuel mopeds and even motorcycles is indeed a big hidden danger for urban transportation, which does not need to be refuted.

Running a red light, driving in the wrong direction, taking the motorized lane, fast speed, low sound...... These are the hidden parts.

But what is the reality?

Running red lights and driving in the wrong direction may also be related to the personal quality of car owners, but sometimes these car owners can't be blamed for taking the motorway.

Let's ask, in these large and small cities in China, just walk out and take a look, how many cities are unimpeded non-motorized lanes?

How many cities are the sidewalks clean and unobstructed?

Very little, very, very little.

In China, motor vehicle parking has always been a big problem, motor vehicles have nowhere to park, illegal parking will be fined, so you can only park on the sidewalk, park on both sides of the non-motorized lane. So what happens to pedestrians when the sidewalks are occupied? They can only walk on the non-motorized lanes. As a result, the non-motorized lanes are difficult to walk, and those electric bicycles and fuel mopeds, as well as motorcycles, can only be forced to walk on the motorized lanes.

Don't they understand the dangers? Cars are iron-clad and motorcycles are iron-clad, and if they touch them a little, they will be fine, and they may have to break their muscles and bones, and even their lives will be in danger.

In fact, everyone knows the danger, but the reality is that everyone has no choice.

Develop a new approach, good drop, this is no problem.

The problem is that this approach is a bit of a waste of the basics.

The new national standard stipulates various data requirements for electric bicycles, speed limits and so on. Without asking any questions here, let's just ask one question – could the problems of running red lights, driving in the wrong direction, and driving on motorways be avoided after the speed limit?

Could it be that with the new regulations, the problem of speed and sound of e-bikes can really be solved?

Even at a speed of 25 kilometers per hour, it is terrible to hit people, and one of the advantages of electric bicycles is that there is no such strong noise? Noise is also a kind of pollution.

At the end of the day, if you want to stop the problem, you need to have laws in place, rather than pushing all the problems on the means of transportation.

There is nothing wrong with the means of transportation, only people are wrong.

Speaking of which, we have to mention the ban on motorcycles.

How did electric bicycles come about? In the final analysis, it's a ban on motorcycles.

Why are there very few electric bicycles in Fuso, Baodao and Southeast Asian countries, but everyone is riding motorcycles?

It's very simple, because people don't have a ban on motorcycles.

In fact, the comparison is very clear.

between e-bikes and motorcycles.

The cruising range is strong for motorcycles, strong for motorcycles, strong for climbing, strong for motorcycles, strong for carrying people and goods, and strong for motorcycles. Anti-theft, motorcycles are stronger than electric vehicles, although there is no particularly huge gap, but a little stronger is also stronger, this needless to say. The value retention rate, the motorcycle is also full of electric vehicles...... What else is there to say about this?

In addition, there is a big problem, that is, if you really want to follow the requirements of the new national standard, then all electric bicycles and fuel mopeds that exceed the standard cannot be on the street. At that time, many industries that are closely related to all aspects of society will inevitably be affected.

The most direct, the courier, the takeaway brother, the master who delivers the water, what do they do?

According to the new standard, the carrying capacity and speed of electric vehicles are greatly constrained, so the question is, what about the cost of those occupations mentioned above?

Originally, the courier pulled a car of express delivery at a time, but now it needs to be transported back and forth several times, how to calculate the time cost?

Originally, forty or fifty orders a day are not a problem, and seventy or eighty, eighty, eighty or ninety are possible, but now once the speed is limited, twenty or thirty orders a day, is the food delivery brother going to starve to death?

If the shipping cost of ordering a meal costs twenty or thirty, or even thirty or forty, will anyone still order takeout?

The water delivery master is limited by the carrying capacity, and the original daily delivery volume needs to be turned into two or three days, can the white-collar managers in those high-rise buildings endure it?

The things bought on Double 11 may have to be shipped on Double 12, who can accept it?

When a certain means of transportation spreads to all corners of society and all walks of life, is it really right to do it all?

It's like the ban on motorcycles.

The reason why the motorcycle restriction order was implemented at the beginning, a large part of the reason is that the safety factor of the motorcycle is not high, which brings a lot of unstable factors to the traffic, although the safety factor of the car is higher, but for the average family, the cost of buying a car and the cost of maintaining the car are a lot of expenses, many families are still in a state of unsupport, and the car is larger than the motorcycle, which is easier to cause traffic congestion. According to relevant data, if the number of motorcycles on the road increases by 10%, the city will reduce traffic congestion by at least 40%.

Many people buy cars with the original intention of convenient travel, but with the increase in the number of cars in our country, followed by huge traffic pressure, traffic jams have become commonplace, environmental pollution is becoming more and more serious, compared with cars, motorcycles are more advantageous in these aspects, emission pollution is small, parking is convenient, you can do it with you go and stop. But there are two sides to everything, it is precisely because of the small size of the motorcycle and the high traffic rate, once the owner does not comply with the relevant traffic rules and walks through at will, it will also increase the traffic pressure, and even bring a lot of safety hazards.

Therefore, if you want to promote the development of the entire motorcycle market, you must have a reasonable policy to make the motorcycle market more standardized, otherwise it will be too much.

Zhou Fangyuan's new regulations before his rebirth, in fact, if you think about it carefully, it is also like this.

Originally, it was also because of traffic safety issues that such a regulation appeared.

But such a regulation, in addition to causing great trouble to those who have professional requirements, there is another big trouble.

That's the majority of parents.

In our country, most parents have to complete one task every morning, which is to drop their children off at school and pick them up on time in the afternoon. Ten years of cold windows, except for holidays, can not be the slightest slack. However, with the promulgation of "motorcycle bans" and "power rationing orders" in many cities, it has become a big problem for parents to pick up and drop off their babies. The "ban on motorcycles" is to prohibit motorcycles from appearing in the main urban areas of large cities, and only in the suburbs can be used. The "power rationing order" refers to the implementation of traffic control on electric vehicles in some cities, and electric vehicles are not allowed to enter certain road sections.

The original intention of promulgating the ban on motorcycles and the power rationing order is that these two-wheeled vehicles are too flexible and highly mobile, and many car owners ignore traffic rules and run rampant on the road, and there are no licensing restrictions, which are more unscrupulous, causing hidden dangers and threats to other motor vehicles and pedestrians, and have to be managed.

However, the emergence of the "ban on motorcycles" and "power rationing order" directly caused dissatisfaction among parents.

Originally, this was also out of normal considerations, which is understandable, but some experts said: the introduction of the restriction is mainly aimed at the phenomenon of parents picking up and dropping off their children during the morning and evening rush hours. It is recommended that parents let their children go to and from school by themselves, which can not only reduce environmental pollution, change road conditions, but also exercise children's independent self-care ability, why not?

Originally, the introduction of the regulations made many parents dissatisfied, and with the consideration of experts, parents did not buy it.

After all, these two means of transportation are the most practical models in ordinary families, small, light and fast, the fastest speed, the highest efficiency, and low quality in the morning rush hour crowded traffic. Driving children to and from school causes greater congestion, not to mention, the environmental pollution problem is quite serious, and children's health will definitely be affected when they enter and leave the campus in such air. And there are often no parking spaces, and they are ticketed, and parents are afraid to avoid it. Besides, not every family can have a car, and it is necessary to buy a car.

With the rapid development of urbanization, the nearest way for children to go to school is 1 kilometer, and the road conditions are quite complicated, even in a small county, all kinds of dangers on the way to school are unpredictable. Older children are okay to say, what about younger children, what about kindergarten children? Using public transportation is not only inconvenient, inflexible, but also extremely uncomfortable. Many of the children who pick up and drop off their children to and from school are the elderly at home, the elderly themselves are weak, the children are small, squeezing the bus and subway is too laborious, and it is easy to cause geriatric diseases, once the disease occurs in public, the children are simply unable to cope.

In foreign countries, many countries have school buses in towns and villages, but China's national conditions are different, and the basic supporting facilities are not perfect. The environment is not safe, and children do not have good discernment when they are young, and no one wants to see danger when there is danger. Parents are the only protective barrier for their children, so picking up and dropping off in person is the unanimous choice of parents.

Parents should indeed consciously cultivate their children's ability to be independent and self-reliant, but they should be divided into different things, and at different times, exercising children's abilities and shaping their character is a process of slow cultivation of comprehensive ability, and it is not necessary to exercise on the issue of safety, right?

Therefore, because of the earliest ban on motorcycles, electric bicycles and fuel mopeds developed.

But in the future, sooner or later, the country will have to restrict it in this regard, Zhou Fangyuan has already seen the signs before he was reborn, could it be fake?

Therefore, electric bicycles can not be involved too deeply, so as not to be able to extricate themselves when they get it, but they will be involved, but they cannot but develop, on the one hand, it is the accumulation of technology, and on the other hand, it is the problem of the market.

In the life before Zhou Fangyuan's rebirth, China was undoubtedly the world's largest country in the production and sales of electric bicycles, at that time, the whole society had about 200 million vehicles, and the annual output was about 30 million.

From the perspective of production, China's electric bicycle output in 17 years was 31.1314 million, a year-on-year increase of 2.34%, and from January to April 2018, China's electric bicycle output was 7.9932 million, a year-on-year increase of 8.62%.

From the sales point of view, the domestic sales of electric bicycles in 2013 were about 3.5 million units, in 2014 about 4 million units, in 2015 about 5.5 million units, in 2016 about 6 million units, and in 2017 sales reached 7 million units, which shows that the market for electric bicycles is very considerable. In 2017, the price of electric bicycles in the United States rose by as much as 440%, of which China's electric bicycle products accounted for the highest share.

From this point of view, the scale of China's electric vehicle industry is stable, and its market sales are on the rise!

Such a big market is a big piece of fat, and he is sorry for himself if he doesn't eat a bite.

And electric bicycles are not without opportunities after the new national standard, for example, intelligence is a good choice.

Intelligence is the trend of the times, it is foreseeable that the future of electric bicycle production for reasonable control will be the new normal of the development of the industry, the growth of quantity will gradually give way to the improvement of quality.

With the advent of Internet +, electric vehicles have also entered the era of intelligence, which has become an important product upgrade direction and technological breakthrough in the electric vehicle industry. The era of intelligent lithium electric bicycles has come, and in the face of the emergence of new battery and motor control technologies, conventional electric bicycles can no longer meet the market's requirements for new products.

As a simple example, electric bicycle companies are fully able to launch products that can be interacted with by mobile phone APP, such as fingerprint 0.5 seconds unlocking, which can provide users with an unprecedented user experience.

This can't be done in 06, so can't it be done in 18 and 19?

From the perspective of market demand, China is already the world's largest consumer of electric bicycles. With the continuous growth of China's economy, the acceleration of urbanization, the continuous improvement of consumption levels, the continuous updating of people's consumption concepts, and driven by new energy and energy conservation and emission reduction policies, market demand will definitely continue to maintain stable growth. With the improvement of the technical level of electric bicycles and the enhancement of consumers' brand awareness, the market capacity of first-line brand electric bicycle manufacturers will continue to expand, the market share will increase steadily, and the brand influence will continue to increase.

Therefore, opportunities always coexist with crises, seeing crises can help enterprises avoid losses, and seeing opportunities can enable enterprises to develop rapidly.

Of course, if you can, it is best if the country still has relevant laws in place, which can fundamentally solve the problem, rather than ignoring the one-size-fits-all approach, which will save trouble and the problem is not small.