Chapter XXVII
Xu Wenqu heard the whispers of Hu Pan and Cheng Pengpeng, and his eyes fell on Fang Shanmu's body: "Teacher Fang, the meaning of survivor deviation, can you tell us about it?"
Fang Shanmu didn't know if Xu Wenqu was interested in being a general, or if he just wanted him to explain in public, so that Sheng Chen could be more acceptable, fortunately, he had learned a lot of relevant psychological knowledge in the workplace for many years, and he had quite a lot of knowledge reserves, so he immediately smiled: "Okay, I'll just say it...... Survivorship bias is better understood – only seeing the results of a certain kind of screening, without being aware of the process of screening, and therefore ignoring the key information that has been screened out, such as winning the lottery. We only focus on the lucky ones who won the lottery, but ignore the silent people who are a huge base and do not win the lottery, and think that winning the lottery is an easy thing. That is, people prefer to focus on the numerator rather than the denominator, and only see a very small numerator, such as 1, and intentionally or unintentionally ignore the huge denominator below, such as 100, 1000 or 10000, from one hundredth to one in 10,000, and everyone will think that they are the one at the top, not the bottom number below. ”
In the same way, we will often cite examples of successful people, such as Da Ma Ge, who is good at English but poor in math, but can become an Internet giant, and conclude that he will succeed if he learns English, which is obviously biased. The more common survivorship bias is a paragraph about smoking, which lists several celebrities who smoke and a few who don't smoke and die early, and then concludes that smokers live a long life, which is obviously also outrageously wrong, because it ignores countless examples of smoking deaths, and only takes special cases from celebrities as samples. ”
"It's not like you're in class. Sheng Chen glanced at Fang Shanmu impatiently, "Don't you go off topic, okay?
"Look, Sister Sheng, you are also a survivor bias, you think that Teacher Fang is talking about the truth in class, because you are too familiar with him, with emotions and dissatisfaction. But in the eyes of outsiders, Mr. Fang is a knowledgeable, personable, and admirable success. Xu Wenqu smiled.
Fang Shanmu raised his head proudly: "Wenqu is right. Now back to the application of life, for Sheng Chen and Jiangbian, Gu Hao and I are their survivors. ”
"What do you mean?Fang Shanmu, what do you want to say?" Jiang Bian pushed Gu Hao away, and was about to rush over, "I warn you surnamed Fang, don't tell me any philosophical terms, and don't talk about any specious truths, if Gu Hao is out there because of your influence, I won't finish with you." ”
Before the riverside took a step, he was stopped by Gu Hao. It's good to be pulled, because at the same time as she moved, Cheng Pengpeng and Hu Pan got up almost at the same time, blocking Fang Shanmu from left to right, and put on a posture to protect Fang Shanmu.
Fang Shan's wood grain did not move at all, so he was not afraid of the riverside like Gu Hao, and separated Cheng Peng and Hu Pan who were blocking in front of him: "Men can't hide behind women, they have to solve things by themselves." Jiangbian, don't play tricks on me, it's useless. If you want to quarrel, let go of the scolding! If you want to fight, just come here, I will let you three times because you are a woman! But after three times, I will fight back. Although men should not beat women, a crazy woman like you is doing harm to the people. Don't put your prestige at home outside, the society is not your mother, I am not your husband, I have no obligation and no mood to provide for you. ”
"You ......" Jiangbian used to reprimand Gu Hao before, as long as he opened his mouth, Gu Hao would inevitably surrender, whether it was sincere or false, anyway, she would be as obedient as a mouse seeing a cat, and she was usually pampered, whether it was at home or outside, she was used to calling and drinking, and was so scolded by Fang Shanmu in front of him, and suddenly became angry, "Fang Shanmu, you wait, I won't kill your company, I don't have the surname Jiang!"
"It's over, it's over!" Gu Hao looked embarrassed, and gently pulled the riverside, "The capital is not our yard, you can grow vegetables if you want to dig a pit, don't talk too much, don't do too much." ”
"How old are you, dare to care about me, get out of the way!" Jiang Bian was furious, and he didn't give Gu Hao any affection.
"Gu Hao, it's your fault for speaking of it, it's you who have deviated too much from the survivors by the river, making her think that men in the world are as easy to bully as you, and she can let her call and drink. Fang Shanmu saw that Jiangbian was almost out of control, and laughed, "Jiangbian, the meaning of survivor deviation is that you think that Gu Hao is obedient and is beaten and scolded by you like a dog, and you will mistakenly think that all men are the same, wrong, very wrong." Just like Gu Hao is lustful, you will also think that there is no good thing for men in the world, and they are all virtuous, which is also ridiculously wrong. ”
"Yes, there is another point that ......" Xu Wenqu was obviously only interested in explaining the nouns, and he didn't mean to dissuade Jiangbian's anger and loss of control at all, and he still had a rational and indifferent expression, "Just like Sister Sheng Chen loves Teacher Fang very much, and is attracted by Teacher Fang's charm, she will think that Teacher Fang's charm is all-encompassing, and other women will also like Teacher Fang as easily as her, which is also a wrong perception." Sister Jiangbian is also the same problem, her strict defense of Gu Hao is also based on her belief that many women are like her, they will care about Gu Hao very much, as long as other women look at Gu Hao more, they are interesting to Gu Hao, and they are afraid that Gu Hao will be snatched away. Gu Hao, who she snatched from others back then, was worried that she would lose it in the same way, but in fact, there was no need to ......."
Sheng Chen didn't speak, his eyes flashing. Jiang Bian was still angry, and snorted disdainfully: "Fang Shanmu is too ugly, who will take a fancy to him? Sheng Chen was young and ignorant and was deceived by him. ”
Fang Shanmu wanted to refute, but was preempted by Cheng Pengpeng, Cheng Pengpeng took a step forward, stood half a meter in front of the riverside, raised his chin, and a playful evil smile appeared on his face: "Do you know why I look down on you? Just take care of your own man, don't meddle in the affairs of other people's families, let alone instigate other people's feelings." Those who chew the root of their tongues will not end well, and there will be retribution. But I also pity you, you can't even control your own man, it's really sad. ”
Gu Hao's face changed greatly, and he couldn't wait to kick Cheng Peng away, he knew that the current riverside was like a powder keg, just a little bit.
Xu Wenqu chuckled lightly and pushed Cheng Pengpeng away: "Don't fan the flames anymore, it's not good to fight." Women should think more rationally, and they should not lose to men in logic and debate, so that men and women are truly equal. Back to the topic, Sister Jiangbian's strict management of Gu Hao is actually a manifestation of lack of self-confidence, in fact, it is really unnecessary, with Gu Hao's personality and charm, he has no market among the 80s and 90s girls. ”
Gu Hao opened his mouth, wanting to defend himself and prove that he was still charming. When the words came to his lips, he understood something, and nodded his head again and again: "That's right, that's right, I'm already old, and I'm not attractive to women between 18 and 58 years old." ”
Xu Wenqu glanced at Gu Hao contemptuously: "You'd better not interject, do you know where your problem is?" You should also remember that I am not speaking to you, I am simply stating the facts, stating my opinion on the relationship between the sexes, without taking sides. ”
Gu Hao touched a nail that was neither soft nor hard, coughed and smiled.
"Sister Jiangbian doesn't have to treat Gu Hao like a child taking care of a pet, you can ask Cheng Pengpeng and Hu Pan, see what they think of Gu Hao, and you will know how popular he is among the opposite sex. Don't let your own false empathy bias sway your judgment, and let your own survivor bias affect your life and mood, and the gains outweigh the losses. ”
"Xu Wenqu, which side are you on?" Jiangbian was furious.
Xu Wenqu shrugged his shoulders and looked innocent: "I only stand on facts and reason. ”
"I'm wrong, our cooperation ends here!Goodbye!" Jiang Bian grabbed his backpack, turned around and left, walked to the door and stood again, "Sheng Chen, are you going with me or staying?" And you, Gu Hao, if you don't leave, don't go home forever, wait to receive my divorce agreement." ”
"It's up to you. Xu Wenqu had an indifferent expression on his face, "I can do it." ”
Sheng Chen hesitated, but still followed the riverside: "What's the use of me staying? I'll go! Fang Shanmu, do you have time next Friday?"
Fang Shanmu nodded: "Okay, see you or leave." ”
Gu Hao didn't want to leave, and was forced by the obscenity of the riverside, so he had to move his steps helplessly: "Old man, old fang, I'll go back first, solve the internal contradictions of the people, conservative estimate, three days, optimistic estimate, one week, rest assured, I will definitely come back." ”
"No, you can't come back. Hu Pan waved his hand happily at Gu Hao, his fingers beating happily like playing a piano in the air, "Goodbye Gu Hao, be a good wife and children at home, listen to me, society is really not suitable for you." ”
"Your ...... every day" Gu Hao couldn't cry and laughed, and borrowed Hu Pan's mantra to comfort himself, "I, Hu Hansan, will come back, Infinite Care Co., Ltd., I can't lack this negative example." ”
Sheng Chen, Jiangbian and Gu Hao walked clean in the blink of an eye, but Xu Wenqu didn't leave, took the water handed over by Cheng Pengpeng and took a sip: "Judging from the fight just now, Teacher Fang has temporarily passed the test, and Sheng Chen, Jiangbian and Gu Hao have all failed." However, Mr. Fang only passed the basic test, and did not completely solve the problems and hidden dangers. ”
Fang Shanmu was very interested in Xu Wenqu's origin and identity: "Okay, let's not talk about our affairs first, let's talk about you, what kind of work do you do, and why are you with Sheng Chen and Jiangbian?"
"Mr. Fang's biggest problem is that his thinking is too straight, it's okay to meet a calm and rational woman like me, but it's difficult to communicate when he meets an ordinary emotional woman like Sheng Chen and Jiangbian......"