Plans are based on predictions of the future. Pen | fun | pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 info Feng Xiaochen said that these contents are not just predictions, they can be called "spoilers". From the perspective of a traverser, he reviewed China's course from the last 20 years of the 20th century to the beginning of the 21st century, expounded from the aspects of domestic economic development, changes in the international industrial structure, technological development, and improvement of people's living standards, and analyzed the goals of China's equipment industry development in the early 21st century.

The goal he proposed is stronger than the actual development of later generations, because in his opinion, this world should be different from the world he has experienced, and this difference lies in the variable of Feng Xiaochen.

In the 20th century, almost no one believed the "Chinese miracle", and even if someone did, it would be dismissed as a kind of political agitation, and no one would take it seriously. But at the beginning of the 21st century, the term began to appear in the Western media, including United Nations officials, famous scholars, and politicians from various countries to use the word with different mindsets. Indeed, if a developing country that was considered a poor and weak country 30 years ago has achieved the goal of ranking first in the world in terms of industrial output value in only 30 years, and the output of several thousand industrial products ranks first in the world, and some even exceed that of all other countries combined.

Feng Xiaochen's prophecy was an acceleration on the basis of this miracle, and when he heard the ears of everyone in the planning office, it became a complete myth. However, even if they only believed half of Feng Xiaochen's words, everyone still felt their blood boiling, and their eyes flashed with light.

"If we can really reach this level, we will not be in vain. A staff member named Hu Yuehong muttered.

"There's nothing we do here. Zhang Hanyun hit him with a smile.

Hu Yuehong said with a straight face: "What's wrong with us? We are a major equipment office, and the development of the country is inseparable from major equipment." The development of major equipment is inseparable from us, so if it can really achieve the situation that Director Feng said, we are all meritorious heroes. ”

"I agree with what Lao Hu said!" said the little fat man Huang Ming, "I think the situation that Director Feng said is completely possible, as long as we put in enough effort." Let's talk about nuclear power, we are now engaged in 300,000 kilowatts of nuclear power, and in the next 30 years, we will get one million kilowatts, which is not an unattainable goal. The key technologies of nuclear power are nothing more than nuclear island evaporators, voltage regulators, circulating water pumps, fuel rods, drive mechanisms, circuit main pipelines, conventional island steam turbines, and generators. ”

"Time, it's all about time. Zhong Qifan reminded, "30 years seems like a long time, but compared to equipment development, it is a short moment." For example, semiconductor material technology, the development of a material, often takes ten or eight years, and 30 years can't do much. ”

Wu Shican said: "What Xiao Zhong said makes sense, 30 years is not a very long cycle for equipment development. However, the goals that Xiao Feng told us also have a lot of inspiration for us. Our original assumption was a little more conservative. Of course, this is not to say that I think all of the goals mentioned by Xiao Feng can be achieved. I think of it this way, strategically to despise the enemy, tactically to value the enemy. When formulating strategies, we should have some lofty spirits, only in this way can we achieve the best results under the guidance of higher goals.

For example, the problem of new energy vehicles mentioned by Xiao Feng is indeed ignored. According to Xiao Feng's analysis, I think this direction has some value. We should start preparing now, involving new energy materials, such as hydrogen storage materials, fuel cells, new batteries, etc., we can set up a project and carry out some pre-research. In this way, when the prospects of new energy vehicles become clear in the future, we will not be in a hurry or fall behind others. ”

"What Director Wu said is exactly what I think. Feng Xiaochen took over and said, "I will describe such a prospect to you, of course, it does not mean that we can achieve these goals. However, I think we should have the spirit of planning ahead and make some preparations in advance for the new directions that may arise in the future. For example, we can divide the country's industrial strength into several echelons, the first echelon focuses on solving the products necessary for people's lives, and the second echelon aims at the industrial level of the world today, with the goal of catching up with the industrial level of Western countries. As for the third echelon, that is, it will be laid out in advance, and when the time is ripe, it will suddenly emerge to seize the spire of the world's industry, so that China's industry will reach the world's leading level. ”

China's industrial history in the decades since the reform and opening up in 1978 has had brilliant achievements and many regrets. Unfortunately, no one could have foreseen the development of a few decades later, and some short-sighted phenomena appeared. There were some industries that did not have the ability to develop back then, and it is understandable to give up for the time being. However, if you can make some advance layouts, even if you just cultivate some talents and accumulate some experience, you will have the effect of getting twice the result with half the effort when you have the ability to develop in the future, and you will not be struggling due to the lack of foundation.

There is also the problem of human resources, which is also very regrettable. From the mid-80s to the mid-90s, because of the low remuneration of scientific researchers, many scientific and technological talents either went abroad or went to sea, resulting in a large number of brain drains. In the era when state-owned enterprises were laid off on a large scale, the state adopted the same policy for unskilled workers and excellent technicians, resulting in some outstanding workers with unique skills being reduced to the situation of making a living by setting up stalls and carrying sacks. By the time the economic situation improves, China has become the world's factory, and a large number of skilled workers are urgently needed, these excellent technicians have long been in abundance, and it is difficult to make achievements.

At this time, Feng Xiaochen laid out the context of China's economic development in the next few decades, which is also to remind everyone not to make such a short-sighted mistake.

Zhang He patted the case and said: "Well said, I agree with this proposal of the three echelons." I think that our department can also do a division of labor, Director Zhong is responsible for the first echelon, Director Wu sits in the middle army and leads the second echelon, as for me, I will take care of the third echelon. ”

"Hahahaha!"

Everyone laughed together, just now Wu Shican also said that Zhong Qifan was conservative and Zhang He was too radical, and now Zhang He divided the work for everyone according to the map drawn by Wu Shican. Zhong Qifan feels that China is not good all day long, and it is not as good as foreign countries, so it is good to trouble him to take care of the firewood, rice, oil and salt that meet the people's living needs.

Xiao Zhang's words were a joke. Wu Shican made a round and said, "I think that the three echelons mentioned by Xiao Feng have a certain reference value." As far as the task of our rearmament office is concerned, the focus of the current consideration is to provide urgently needed equipment for some important departments, and it is acceptable if the quality is poor or the level is low. However, the state's requirement for us is to make the level of equipment manufacturing leap to a higher level and reach or approach the international advanced level. In the further future, we must compete with foreign enterprises, and then our goal is not to reach the international advanced level, but to exceed the international advanced level. According to Xiao Feng's proposal, this is the task of the three echelons of one, two, and three.

The work we are doing at the beginning of the rearmament office is something that belongs to the first echelon. The plan made by our planning department now reflects the second echelon. Think about it carefully, what we lack is what Xiao Feng said about the third echelon. In other words, we lack the vision and courage to catch up with and surpass the international advanced level, and at the same time, we lack the preparation in this regard. ”

Hearing Wu Shican say this, although Zhong Qifan still had a lot of disdain in his heart, it was inconvenient to say it directly. He felt that with China's current situation, it would be good to be able to catch up with the world's advanced level in the next 50 years, and that proposing a catch-up strategy was purely a pat on the head and a way of thinking about the Great Leap Forward.

After everyone expressed some more opinions, Wu Shican announced the end of the discussion and asked everyone to consult some more information and interview some experts to see if the goals put forward by Feng Xiaochen were feasible and how they should be achieved. Out of the conference room, he stopped Feng Xiaochen, who was about to go back to the general office, and said, "Xiao Feng, if you are not busy, can you come to my office and sit down?"

"Okay, I'm just about to ask Director Wu for advice. Feng Xiaochen replied with a smile.

The two of them came to Wu Shican's office, Wu Shican beckoned Feng Xiaochen to sit down, he went to close the door first, and then sat opposite Feng Xiaochen, and said, "Xiao Feng, the things you said today inspired me a lot." I suddenly felt that in addition to long-term planning, there are also some things that should be done for the present in our planning department. ”

"What's the matter?" Feng Xiaochen asked.

"Lay the groundwork. Wu Shican said seriously:

"If, as you predicted, half of the world's manufacturing industry is transferred to China due to the impact of global industrial transfer, how many industrial workers do we need? How much equipment do we need to support such a large manufacturing industry? And how many skilled turners, millers, fitters, welders and various professional workers are needed to produce these equipment. If there are no workers, everything is empty, and even if we can buy machinery and equipment, we can't even bring in workers from abroad, right?"

Feng Xiaochen was a little surprised, in fact, he wanted to talk about this issue at the meeting, but he felt that it had nothing to do with the work of the Planning Department, and he was wondering whether to find time to talk to Luo Xiangfei. Unexpectedly, Wu Shican thought of this, and specially pulled him to discuss this issue. Feng Xiaochen didn't say anything, but asked, "So, what does Director Wu think?"

Wu Shican said: "I plan to make another plan, a plan for the training of skilled workers. By the year 2000, we need to train no less than 50 million qualified skilled workers, and only in this way can we ensure that the goals you set out at the conference become a reality. (To be continued.) )