Chapter 124: No matter how many levels of chaos you have
As a team that can reach the finals, even if the situation is obviously unfavorable, Chen Ming and his teammates will not give up resistance.
Although Feng Jianxiong occupied all the points, he also had the absolute initiative at the level of morale blows. But calm down and think about it carefully, everyone can find that there is still something to be done on the side of Wuhan University.
After all, Chen Ming is the man who "if Feng Jianxiong hadn't appeared, he would have had a chance to win the best debater this year", although he was criticized in a cold sweat, he could still force himself to calm down quickly.
After only five seconds were wasted, he decisively made the resolute decision of a strong man with a broken arm.
Chen Ming changed his expression of humility and sincerity: "Student Feng's insight is really admirable! I have to admit that in the competitive field of the 'second-level chaotic system', it is indeed reasonable to use suspicious and suspicious people to occupy the mainstream and dominant position. ”
When he said this, it was so sincere that one almost wondered if it was a debate tournament or not.
However, in the next second, he gave a "but", and the painting style changed sharply.
"But we also have to see that in this world, there is more competition in objective facts, from scientists to ordinary R&D personnel, from engineers to doctors, they are all fighting against the search for objective facts. It's fighting against a first-order chaotic system.
In these areas, the degree of zero-sum game is obviously not as good as the second-level chaotic systems that we are familiar with, such as finance and law. In the objective world, right is right and wrong is wrong. Whether an engineer's research results are correct or not does not depend on whether others are also correct.
In these areas, we must also see the resistance to cooperation brought about by the increasingly detailed and professional division of labor in society. At this time, doesn't 'employing people without suspicion and not using suspicious people' just play a role in making talented people feel respected and give full play to their creativity? In these fields, isn't 'employing people without suspicion' more dominant value orientation than 'using suspicious people'?"
When Chen Ming's rebuttal was uttered, it had no effect on winning over ordinary audiences. Because the IQ and knowledge level of the people who eat melons are no longer enough to understand - at least half of the audience in the audience can't even understand what a "first-level chaotic system" is and what a "second-level chaotic system" is.
But Chen Ming also had no choice, because he couldn't refute the other party in the field mentioned by Feng Jianxiong at all, so he could only draw a circle, the concept of the realm, and bet all his last hope on the tactic of "In the field you mentioned, although what you said is right, the field you mentioned only accounts for a very small part of human society".
His bet is that the judges will be able to understand.
In layman's terms, the so-called "first-order chaotic system" is equivalent to a system that can be changed after giving a retarded mind a chance to be reborn. For example, the day before, he saw that the lottery was drawn out of this number, and after he was reborn and went back, he remembered the number and bought it again, and he could win the Mark Six lottery (there are no other variable disturbances). )
And those systems that "change the operation after you read the file, and the enemy will follow suit, so reading the file and respawning cannot guarantee that you will win" is the "second-level chaos system".
For example, Yuval Harari says that history is a typical "second-order chaotic system".
(The classic definition is: to make a prediction about the future of a thing, if this prediction does not change the future, it is a level of chaos, for example, if I said what the weather forecast is tomorrow, the 'day' will not deliberately change the sky in order to make me guess wrong.) If "prediction" itself leads to future changes, it is "second-order chaos". Just like Warren Buffett predicts that a certain stock will rise to a few dollars, but as soon as he says that others will not buy it, they will follow the trend and buy it, and in the end it may not be the result. Therefore, the future of Level 2 Chaos is unpredictable.
For example, in the first chapter of this book, I say that 'in 2019 there will be a sinister lawyer who helps the Dink family with fake adoption procedures and false deductions for income tax'. But suppose that today my book is a big seller, and it is subscribed by 3,000 deputies of the National People's Harmony Congress. Then it is possible that they will close this legal loophole in advance when they have two meetings in these days. It seems that my prediction of the future has failed, but in fact it is only because my prediction has been seen and prevented.
I wrote that sentence in 2017, but you should also notice when you watched the news of the two sessions two days ago that the deputies have begun to formally legislate on the "family deduction income tax", and it was really 2019 when the game got to that point. So, I—not Feng Jianxiong, the protagonist of this book, but me, the author of this book, Zhedong Pifu. I was born again, a prophet, and I saw all this with my own eyes in 2019, but I just didn't believe it.
In the next book, I will also tell you that the end times of the 2040s, when there was great material prosperity, would have been like that - if the world had not become like that in the end, I could only blame my book for being so influential that those media demons who were supposed to destroy the world, such as Niu Huaben, Niu Ke Monzak and others, discovered my views in advance, and were alert and repentant. That's why the earth hasn't become a hell of insult trading.
"The world heeded my warnings and took precautions to destroy in the way I described at the beginning", this kind of thing, to be reasonable, can't blame me for not predicting accurately, right?)
If you were reborn in 1944 and told the Führer Dwight D. Eisenhower to land in Normandy, and the Führer believed it, and transferred all Rommel to Normandy - would that be able to beat the Allies?
Not necessarily, because the Allies saw that the Führer had not been hit, so they might have postponed the attack, strengthened their preparations, or simply changed their plans.
The same typical "second-level chaotic system" is also in the financial world. Therefore, those who expect to speculate in stocks after rebirth are undoubtedly the products of mentally handicapped writers, and everyone knows that after the stock market joins the disturbance variable of the protagonist, the entire market will follow suit.
This is also why the "artificial intelligence financial transaction analysis machine" can only be a concept of painting cakes, and in the future in 2020, Feng Jianxiong believed in it so much before his rebirth-the pen was pitted - the artificial intelligence of financial analysis can be fed by big data and optimize the algorithm. It doesn't look any different from training an alpha dog to play Go.
But the problem is that this kind of artificial intelligence analysis machine can't analyze the most critical variable of "how many units of your own product or similar products have been sold" - that is, it is equivalent to, even if you are given an "artificial intelligence mind reader" to calculate others, it is equivalent to giving you a chance to see other people's faces clearly, and then reborn to read the file.
But the reborn is not the only one.
The person you want to calculate may also have bought a rebirth instrument, so when you are reborn and go back, you think that the person you are going to deal with is still the mentality of the world before you were reborn, but you don't know that he has also been reborn and has adjusted his mentality.
The game of people fighting with people and the uncertainty of the rules and variables, and the rise to the "second-level chaotic system", all artificial intelligence based on the deep learning category architecture is uncontrollable (including convolutional neural networks/Monte Carlo tree structures, etc.), all of which are unsolvable. )
The meaning of Chen Ming's defense just now is roughly as follows: the second-level chaotic system belongs to "no matter how good I do, I may not be able to win, because it depends on whether the opponent has made mistakes", therefore, the success rate of the second-level system is very low, and there is no "inevitable" means of success that can be summarized.
Therefore, Feng Jianxiong is right to say that "suspicion in employing people" is the mainstream in this field.
Because even if a person's objective conditions are as good as Ma Feng's today, and then travel back to 1999, dig up Ma Feng's entire team, and redo Ahri Baba, he may not be able to succeed.
Because there are also uncontrollable perturbation variables such as luck and the reaction of others.
Ma Feng himself has said many times: there is nothing to learn from successful experience, and only the lessons of failure are valuable. As long as people learn not to die, don't think that they can learn to succeed. Who knows the luck required for success, the right time and place, and which moment will befall you? Only if you don't die, can you have the opportunity to touch your luck a few more times.
People can't control their luck, they can only control the number of chances they have to try their luck. The company's investment capital burn rate is low, and the pie is well drawn, which is nothing more than a few more opportunities to roll the dice.
In such a field, because there is a "destiny of impermanence" and is not subject to human transfer, one can only "doubt" and can only convert money and potential into "the number of dice rolls".
However, in the "first-level chaos system", if you make a mistake and change the file, the result will definitely be better.
An engineer engaged in scientific research, the first time the program did not run because there were a few bugs somewhere, if he was reborn and changed those few BUG codes, the result would be successful.
This is a struggle against objective facts, not against people.
Therefore, there is no question of "luck". As long as the "cause" is right, the "effect" is right.
There is no first in the text, and there is no second in the martial arts.
It took a long time for the judges to completely turn the corner in their minds, and Chen Ming also added a lot of details, almost using the square free debate market to make the professionals accept the setting.
Now, it's up to Feng Jianxiong to refute it.
Level 1 Chaos, Level 2 Chaos, the debate has risen to this height, it seems that sophistry has reached the limit, and it is really difficult to refute it with empirical evidence.
Perhaps, Feng Jianxiong can rely on the sophistry of the same label in the painting world to compete with Chen Ming on the topic of "which type of human work is more and more mainstream in the contemporary and future struggle against first-level chaos and even second-level chaos".
The judges estimated that if Feng Jianxiong had chosen this tactic, he would still win the game.
It's just that it will be a stalemate, and it won't be able to continue to expand the score and open up the gap. And Chen Ming can at least get a decent failure of "even though he is still honored".
It's a pity, how could Feng Jianxiong use such a conservative method.
In his eyes, "earthlings, you know nothing about the power of eloquence".
All those on earth who try to provoke him eloquently must be forcibly killed head-on in order to establish his godhead.
"It seems that the opponent ignores the fact that all your views are based on the assumption that 'in the first-level chaotic system, the economic and social benefits of employing people without suspicion and respecting talents are definitely higher than those used by doubtful people'.
What you want to argue with me is only which is the mainstream of the future workplace of mankind, the first-level chaotic realm or the second-level chaotic realm.
It's a pity that you forgot a crucial point - I never admitted your assumptions!"
When Feng Jianxiong said this, his tone suddenly rose, and his expression became cold.
"What I want to say is that even in the workplace field of the struggle against 'first-level chaos', the comprehensive benefit of 'using people who are suspicious' is still higher than that of 'employing people without suspicion'!"
"What?" Chen Ming couldn't help but exclaim, losing his dignity.
This is equivalent to that when Zhou Yu met Cao Cao in the Battle of Chibi, he did not fight with Cao Cao for "whether this battle is important for land warfare or water warfare, and which occupies the mainstream of the battlefield", but rushed ashore nakedly and shouted to Cao Cao: Come on, you will send the tiger and leopard ride directly, and Lao Tzu will give you a fly swatter!