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Before the Chinese New Year, my father-in-law and mother-in-law returned from overseas and spent the Spring Festival directly at Wang Qinian's house. Pen × fun × Pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 ｉｎｆｏ

Anyway, everyone has been an old acquaintance for more than 40 years since their parents.

Compared to coming back in previous years, this year they seem a little embarrassed. Talking about the overseas experience, my father-in-law and mother-in-law still have lingering palpitations!

Because, last year's 911 incident, the United States sent troops to Afghanistan. After the start of the long war on terror, they naturally experienced a series of chaos when they negotiated business in the Middle East.

Of course, it's good that people can come back safely, but as for the profits, the partners in the Middle East swept away millions and defected to bin Laden, which caused the father-in-law not only to work in vain last year, but also to make a lot of money in previous years.

After the father-in-law and mother-in-law's family liquidated their liabilities and assets, they found that in addition to buying a house in the capital in the early years, their net worth was less than $10,000.

Counting, it's not as much as Xiaoxiang's private money. You must know that in the past few years, Xiaoxiang's comics have been red and purple, and the private money saved in her account is no less than 3 million.

After returning to China, my mother-in-law was still complaining: "I have said everything, it is better to stay in China and develop." Look at it, Xiao Nian has a lot of interest, and he has built a large enterprise with a scale of hundreds of millions from scratch, and he has no debts at all! Lao Wang's enterprise, more than 2,000 employees, more prestige! Even Xiaoxiang is much stronger than our old couple! ”

The father-in-law blew his beard and glared, and said what kind of economic and business common sense, and the loss was not due to his low level, but to the irresistible factor. Wars lead to fluctuations in people's hearts, defaults by partners, and so on.

didn't talk about these words, but caused the mother-in-law to laugh: "I know that if I drop my book bag, it's like I know how to understand the economy very well." Even if I understand. What's the use? Who talks to you about the economy in times of war? ”

Wang Qinian also persuaded on the side: "It's better to go back to China for development!" Developed countries have relatively stable societies and no threat of war, but their economic growth is slow. Poor countries, small countries. Although there are many investment opportunities, they are not very stable, and once they encounter war, no matter how much money they make, they may also be lost! China has taken into account the advantages of social stability in developed countries, and has the economic growth momentum that surpasses that of the vast majority of developing countries......"

"But. Many economists say that China's economy will collapse in the future! The father-in-law said with some hesitation.

"People who believe this are brain-dead! In the seventies, we talked about collapse, and we have been collapsing for decades, and the GDP has collapsed from 300 billion to 10 trillion. In the future, we will continue to collapse to 20 trillion, 30 trillion, 50 trillion, 100 trillion GDP. Wang Qinian said humorously.

"Haha!" Everyone heard the news. They all laughed.

Wang Qinian was very interested and continued: "I have always disbelieved the words of economists, especially the predictions of economists. Because, in essence, economists explain the phenomena of past history and what should be done about the phenomena that are occurring in the present, and what measures should be taken, which may be effective. But forecasting is not what economics is good at, and asking an economist to tell a fortune is the same as asking a fortune teller in ancient times. I'll say four examples. The economy, the stock market, house prices, oil prices, economists' predictions are all wrong! For the first example, economists have been predicting the rise of India's economy. To surpass China, this prediction, has been predicted for decades, but the reality has repeatedly slapped economists in the face, basically, mainstream economists predict. It's been wrong. As a second example, statistical economists have predicted the S&P 500 index over the past few decades. It turns out that economists are always wrong more often than they are right. The third example. Some economists say that house prices will fall, but according to my observation, the economists who have been shouting about the decline may be wrong for a long time. Ten years in a row, one year it fell, and economists would be smug and say, "Look, I was right." In fact, if you do business according to their predictions, you may lose money and your mother doesn't even know you! The fourth example, oil forecasts, the vast majority of economists' predictions about oil prices, are often wrong! Even OPEC's predictions are often wrong! No one can predict oil, and this is some of the Nobel laureates in economics, and they have a feeling! ”

"So optimistic about house prices?" The father-in-law was surprised.

"Of course, compared with the major cities in developed countries, BJ's housing prices are only one-tenth or one-tenth of those of people. There is absolutely reason to believe that BJ house prices are going to rise! Wang Qinian said with a smile, "At present, a tenfold increase in ten years should be a high probability event!" ”

"What do you mean, real estate is promising!" The father-in-law asked.

"Of course!" "In the past few decades, Hong Kong's housing prices have increased nearly 100 times. Eighty percent of the wealthy families in Hong Kong are related to real estate! ”

"It's a hundredfold!" The father-in-law looked surprised, "No one cares?!" ”

"Who cares?" Wang Qinian shrugged, "In the market economy, real estate developers have the final say. During the British colonization, they sold land to make money, looted Hong Kong, and sent various orders to British enterprises. After the handover, the policy remained unchanged for 50 years. Hong Kong people governing Hong Kong means that Hong Kong's businessmen have been in charge for 50 years, because Hong Kong is the strongest real estate developer, so unless it encounters natural disasters, otherwise, it will continue to rise! Before and after the handover, the country copied Hong Kong's land finance. Therefore, housing prices must also replicate the housing price trend in Hong Kong in the past! ”

Hearing Wang Qinian's explanation, his father-in-law's family was thinking deeply.

"It's better to stay in China and engage in real estate!" The mother-in-law suddenly suggested, "At least be safe!" ”

"Is real estate so easy?" The father-in-law said, "You have to have capital!" ”

"Engaging in real estate business in first-tier cities is definitely no fun!" Wang Qinian said with a smile, "Now there are more than 10 million acres of land in first-tier cities, and the capital threshold is too high." It is recommended to go to third-tier cities, where there is a certain population, and if you are engaged in urbanization, the price of real estate will rise on the one hand, and on the other hand, the rigid demand for users to buy houses is strong! ”

"How's TJ City?" The father-in-law asked.

"Yes!" Wang Qinian said with a smile, "Try to choose cheap land, for example, a cheap lot of only tens of thousands of yuan per acre of land, and don't engage in high-threshold projects such as residential and commercial real estate, but engage in warehouses and logistics bases!" ”

"Warehouse logistics base?" The father-in-law was puzzled.

"It can meet the business development needs of my father's Xiaowang subsidiary, and the little prince has a rigid demand for warehouses and logistics bases!" Wang Qinian explained.

Next, Wang Qinian's parents also joined in the persuasion.

Eventually, the father-in-law was persuaded to set up a real estate company in TJ City. As for the start-up capital, Xiaoxiang contributed 2 million and Wang Qinian contributed 3 million. (To be continued)

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