"And Western economists themselves don't understand what the root cause of the error is, and if they do, they go even further, so they pretend to be confused and mislead the world, but I don't think they understand."

"Then do we Huaxia people have any contributions? I think there is, that is, the re-understanding of Adam Smith's theory and the general Smith theorem. ”

This means that the division of labor is limited by the size of the market...... In fact, it should be subject to three restrictions, the first is limited by natural resources, our country's natural resources have many restrictions, it is impossible to expand so much, oil resources, natural gas and other natural resources are limited, the second is the market size, but the third is the contribution of our Chinese people. ”

"If your market fluctuates very much, and there is a lot of turmoil, then your division of labor will inevitably change from complex to simple, so complexity and stability are a contradiction. Then you will understand that the crisis of today's Western society is that the development is too complex, so it is actually very fragile, which will inevitably lead to an increase in cost maintenance. ”

"For example, it is easy for Lao Mei to recover from the dozens of cattle that bombed the village of Yuenan, and the 911 hit two buildings, is it a big trouble? Is it easy or difficult to recover? Is it expensive to maintain? ”

"So compared to the United States today, if it is attacked by the world, its fragile nature is actually much higher than that of our China, if we lose 1,000, then the United States may lose 3,000, the reason is very simple, right?"

"Because of this, we understand that if it is a competition of scale, there is no equal exchange, and the Americans now claim that the GDP of developed countries is high, but this does not mean that its real productivity is high, but it shows that it controls the discourse power of the international division of labor, scientific and technological hegemony, military hegemony, and financial hegemony."

"So of course, it can and has the ability to monopolize pricing, and it will have the pain of trading 800 million shirts for a Boeing plane back then, so you see, how can it be an equivalent exchange?"

"It's kind of funny that the Americans are proposing not to have free trade, but to have equal, reciprocal trade, which is really funny, because the most equal people enjoy the most resources in the world, pay the least labor, and control the world market, and they also say that it suffers? Everyone's overall intelligence level is not much worse, right? ”

Zhao Xin: "So Mr. Ye, what kind of economic situation do you think we are facing today?" What will the future world look like for a better world? ”

Ye Hua: "What's the situation...... Suppose a field and an industry or company, he now has no competitors, if a mathematical model is established, it should be an S-shaped curve, the scale of the return increases, the turning point remains unchanged for a short period of time, but if it faces a new competitor to enter, an old industry faces a new competitor, it will soon decline, the electrical product was originally in the era of the screen, and now the holographic screenless display is a new competitor entering, it is now (with the screen display) is not weakening? ”

"The so-called metabolism theory is like this, the law of economic movement or the law of industrial movement, it is actually the same as the law of life movement, there is a life cycle."

"A life has a process of childhood, youth, adulthood, and finally aging and dying, but the concept of cycles is uncertain, if the coastline is not born, right? The era of screens may not begin to decay now, so this is uncertain, and it is impossible for a person to die and then emerge from the mother's womb for the next cycle, so metabolism. ”

"Then the concept in mathematics is called a small wave, a wave and a small wave, one after another, so the back waves of the Yangtze River push the front waves, and the sum of a period is what we see in the macroeconomy, which has growth and fluctuations."

"Therefore, the Chinese people not only have their own theories, but also have established a set of systematic mathematical methods that can accurately describe everything from a small life phenomenon to the micro-finance and macro-history of economics."

"We can develop a grand unified theory, this theory can not be compared with Einstein, but it can be parallel to him, Einstein's theoretical unity is based on the particle theory in matter, we unify the metabolic life and economic and social phenomena, here I will not talk about the theory, you can go to Fuda to find the main master, interview Professor Chen, he is definitely more professional than me."

"Then there is an inevitable result of metabolic growth, and we can really discuss what modern marketization means at present."

"You can look at any industry as four stages, the first stage of development is like basic scientific research, can this make money? The answer is not sure, I don't know. ”

"So scientists and research institutes can't make money, they either rely on government grants, or non-profit funds or anything to fund R&D, or they rely on capital or big corporations to support them. You can see Huawei, Coastline and many of the world's tech giants in their R&D investment. ”

"I said that scientific careers need to be supported by capital, which actually makes sense, otherwise you don't have the money to build a laboratory, and there is expensive equipment, and there is a big difference between scientists and entrepreneurs."

"The second stage is the growth period, that is, the initial application stage, at this time external venture capital is coming, this stage of the market economy does play a great role, when the former Soviet Union did not emphasize the market competition in the take-off stage, and the efficiency immediately fell."

"But is there a role for the government at this stage? Because it is very easy to bubble at this stage, the stock market has been pushed up to the point that even if you look at it, a typical example, from the nineties to the beginning of the new century, the Internet as a new industry as a bubble and blowing bubbles is not like this? ”

"So whether the government has a role or not, whether it sets standards will play a big role, Apple was almost killed by Microsoft back then, which is a typical example of backward technology almost starving to death of advanced technology, so it does not mean that what exists must be right."

"What is the reason? The government has given up on setting standards and let backward enterprises that monopolize the market set standards, so there will be irrational phenomena. ”

"So you talk to me in the West about marketization and legalization, and you let the monopoly enterprises formulate it? Or do you want someone to make it out of your self-styled top-level design and don't know anything? Have you ever done business? Have you ever done that business? Do you understand the actual situation? Have you done any data analysis? Right? ”

"The third stage of maturity, which seems to be the housekeeping skill of the neoclassical economy, seems to be able to let go of the invisible hand. Actually, not necessarily, because in the third stage of maturity, the most typical phenomenon is that neoclassical economics cannot explain why giant enterprises and small enterprises can coexist, so even in the maturity stage, the government has a role, what role does it play? Establish an anti-monopoly law to prevent large enterprises that are already backward technologies from using their inherent market dominance and patent barriers to curb the entry of new enterprises. ”

"So Mr. Edward Lazer was talking about the protection of intellectual property rights, and I would like to ask him whose intellectual property rights he protects? Are you protecting the sunset industry or the emerging industry? It's a pity that what I see is that the United States is protecting the sunset industry, which also has data, and I like to use data to speak. ”

"For example, a typical example recently, Elon Musk, known as the 'Iron Man of Silicon Valley', I have met him many times, and Shoreline and Tesla also have commercial cooperation, and may deepen cooperation in the future."

"Then let's talk about Musk, the inventor of an emerging industry, he was really angry and pulled Tesla to the commercial capital to build a factory, which is the emerging industry being forced overseas, so North America is shouting to return to manufacturing, priority, you solve this first...... The coastline is a special case, and our coastline is actually the source of technology. ”

"Going far and getting back to the point, like Tesla, even if you look at the source of many technologies in China that are developed in the United States, and then Huaxia develops first, and then returns to the American market competition after the experiment is successful, defeating the original competitors, it is equivalent to what our great man said about the countryside surrounding the city."

"It's also equivalent to complex science, just like Professor Chen said, I don't have a living soil in Harvard or Chicago, so I go to other places to make it bigger and then reverse to the countryside to surround the city, plus a periphery challenge core."

"At that time, we did not have the ability to challenge and change the old pattern of the domestic film market and the ability of the cinema giants, we have advanced emerging projection technology, but we may not be able to win because they occupy a dominant position in the market, you have no technology, no capital, no connections, and you can't carry out commercialization, how can you take off? The end result could be that advanced technology is starved to death, or swallowed up by an adversary. ”

"So how did we solve this problem at the time? If you look back at the first year of the initial development of the coastline, Greater China did not have the survival soil for our company to start, we looked for Storm to engage in private films, which is considered a marginal area of the film and television industry, challenging the core with the edge, and went to North American theaters to develop business, and cooperated with Disney to cooperate with 1.5 billion US dollars in orders, and the countryside surrounded the city, which became bigger and revitalized the film market in Greater China. ”

"This is the core basic strategy of the countryside surrounding the city and the edge challenge, and it is according to this strategy that our coastline has survived the difficult start of the company's early stage."

"I'm a living example, Tesla is, and then you go and see if history is all like this?"

"What about the fourth stage of aging? The role of government is coming. ”

"Businesses are declining, you say that now the U.S. economy is in recession, our economy is down, and the government comes out to save the market."

"We have ordinary nerds who are still there all day long in the abstract shouting 'the country advances and the people retreat', so what is 'the country advances and the people retreat'? You say that an old man can't walk anymore, do you want a young man to help him? Even if he's dead, do you want to take care of the aftermath for him? When he died, you just left it there and didn't care? So the person who said this doesn't have a basic concept of economics, so should you give your child shelter when he grows up? The old man is eighty or ninety years old and can't walk, do you want to take a hand? ”

"In fact, the biggest mistake you make when you look at economic theory is the Nobel Prize-winning Arrow Debreu model, in which all the products in it have an infinite lifespan."

"I said even if you sell vegetables at the market, there is a cycle, right? After a long time, the fresh vegetables will rot, so you can only throw away the rotten vegetables and deal with them raw, and then find a way to put the fresh vegetables into the basket to sell, the same reason. ”

"As long as you put in every product has its life cycle, every enterprise has a life cycle, then all neoclassical economic theories are all finished, and there has to be an additional one, if there is scale competition, the general equilibrium does not exist."

Zhao Xin: "Mr. Ye is really amazing, you still say that he is not an economist?" ”

Ye Hua: "Haha, I'm really not reasonable, and I've never got a degree in economics." ”

Zhao Xin: "But the professional knowledge you talked about is more professional than those economists who have obtained a doctorate, I think you are unknown but real." ”

Ye Hua: "I have won awards, I have to pinch off this paragraph, I have to pinch it off, otherwise I won't accept you next time I want to interview." ”

Zhao Xin: "Ha~~ Okay, then there is one last big question, Mr. Ye, can you use the perspective of metabolic economic growth theory to talk about the rise and fall of enterprises, the rise and fall of industries, and even the rise and fall of civilization and our Chinese plan?" ”

……